Simulation-based estimation of BSE infection in Japan

Preventive Veterinary Medicine

Volumn 84, Issue 1-2, 2008, Pages 135-151

  Yamamoto, Takehisa ^a   Tsutsui, Toshiyuki ^a   Nishiguchi, Akiko ^a   Kobayashi, Sota ^a  

^a NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ANIMAL HEALTH   (Japan)

Author keywords

Bovine spongiform encephalopathy; Japan; Maximum likelihood estimation; Simulation model; Variant Creutzfeldt Jakob disease

Indexed keywords

AGING; ANIMAL; ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; BOVINE SPONGIFORM ENCEPHALOPATHY; CATTLE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; FEMALE; JAPAN; TIME;

AGING; ANIMALS; CATTLE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; ENCEPHALOPATHY, BOVINE SPONGIFORM; FEMALE; JAPAN; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; TIME FACTORS;

ANIMALIA; BOS; BOVINAE;

EID: 39149091676     PISSN: 01675877     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2007.11.007     Document Type: Article

References (19)

1. Anderson R.M., Donnelly C.A., Ferguson N.M., Woolhouse M.E., Watt C.J., Udy H.J., MaWhinney S., Dunstan S.P., Southwood T.R., Wilesmith J.W., Ryan J.B., Hoinville L.J., Hillerton J.E., Austin A.R., and Wells G.A. Transmission dynamics and epidemiology of BSE in British cattle. Nature 382 (1996) 779-788
2. Anonymous, 2000. The BSE Inquiry, vol. 2 Science House of Commons papers. London, p. 101. http://www.bseinquiry.go.
3. Bradley R., Collee J.G., and Liberski P.P. Variant CJD (vCJD) and bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE): 10 and 20 years on: part 1. Folia. Neuropathology 44 (2006) 93-101
4. Bruce M.E., Will R.G., Ironside J.W., McConnell I., Drummond D., Suttie A., McCardle L., Chree A., Hope J., Birkett C., Cousens S., Fraser H., and Bostock C.J. Transmissions to mice indicate that 'new variant' CJD is caused by the BSE agent. Nature 389 (1997) 498-501
5. Butler D. Did UK 'dump' contaminated feed after ban?. Nature 381 (1996) 544-545
6. Department of Health, 2006. Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease in the UK. http://www.gnn.gov.uk/Content/Detail.asp?ReleaseID=231175&NewsAreaID=2.
7. Donnelly C.A. BSE in France: epidemiological analysis and predictions. C. R. Biol. 325 (2002) 793-806
8. Donnelly C.A., Ferguson N.M., Ghani A.C., and Anderson R.M. Implications of BSE infection screening data for the scale of the British BSE epidemic and current European infection levels. Proc. Biol. Sci. 269 (2002) 2179-2190
9. Ferguson N.M., Donnelly C.A., Woolhouse M.E., and Anderson R.M. The epidemiology of BSE in cattle herds in Great Britain. II. Model construction and analysis of transmission dynamics. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B. Biol. Sci. 352 (1997) 803-838
10. Heim D., and Kihm U. Risk management of transmissible spongiform encephalopathies in Europe. Rev. Sci. Technol. 22 (2003) 179-199
11. Heim D., and Kihm U. Bovine spongiform encephalopathy in Switzerland-the past and the present. Rev. Sci. Technol. 18 (1999) 135-144
12. MAFF. Investigation into Infection Sources and Infection Routes of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) (in Japanese) (2003). http://www.maff.go.jp/soshiki/seisan/eisei/bse/ekigaku.pdf
13. R Development Core Team. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing (2005), R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. http://www.R-project.org
14. Wells G.A., Scott A.C., Johnson C.T., Gunning R.F., Hancock R.D., Jeffrey M., Dawson M., and Bradley R. A novel progressive spongiform encephalopathy in cattle. Vet. Rec. 121 (1987) 419-420
15. Wilesmith J.W. Manual on Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (1998), Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
16. Wilesmith J.W., Ryan J.B., and Atkinson M.J. Bovine spongiform encephalopathy: epidemiological studies on the origin. Vet. Rec. 128 (1991) 199-203
17. Wilesmith J.W., Wells G.A., Cranwell M.P., and Ryan J.B. Bovine spongiform encephalopathy: epidemiological studies. Vet. Rec. 123 (1988) 638-644
18. World Organisation for Animal Health (O.I.E.), 2005. Terrestrial Animal Health Code (2005), CHAPTER 2.3.13. Bovine Spongiform encephalopathy. http://www.oie.int/eng/normes/mcode/en_chapitre_2.3.13.htm.
19. Yamamoto T., Tsutsui T., Nonaka T., Kobayashi S., Nishiguchi A., and Yamane I. A quantitative assessment of the risk of exposure to bovine spongiform encephalopathy via meat-and-bone meal in Japan. Prev. Vet. Med. 75 (2006) 221-238