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Volumn 62, Issue 1, 2008, Pages 1-10

Predicting presidential and other multistage election outcomes using state-level pre-election polls

Author keywords

Capstone project; Electoral college; News media; Politics; Simulation; U.S. president

Indexed keywords


EID: 39049143385     PISSN: 00031305     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1198/000313008X267820     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (10)

References (12)
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  • 3
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  • 4
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  • 5
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    • Trial-Heat Forecasts of the Presidential Vote
    • Campbell, J. E., and Wink, K. A. (1990), "Trial-Heat Forecasts of the Presidential Vote," American Politics Quarterly, 18, 251-269.
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    • Campbell, J.E.1    Wink, K.A.2
  • 6
    • 84921386393 scopus 로고
    • Reconciling Bayesian and Frequentist Evidence in the One-Sided Testing Problem
    • Casella, G., and Berger, R. L. (1987), "Reconciling Bayesian and Frequentist Evidence in the One-Sided Testing Problem," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 82, 106-111.
    • (1987) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.82 , pp. 106-111
    • Casella, G.1    Berger, R.L.2
  • 7
    • 0039596756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • State-Level Public Opinion Polls as Predictors of Presidential Election Results: The 1996 Race
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    • Cohen, J.E.1
  • 8
    • 39049152767 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Electoral College Fiasco Looks More Likely, The (DC)
    • Oct. 28
    • Curl, J. (2004), "Electoral College Fiasco Looks More Likely," The (DC) Washington Times, Oct. 28.
    • (2004) Washington Times
    • Curl, J.1
  • 9
    • 0042627070 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using State Polls to Forecast Presidential Election Outcomes in the American States
    • Holbrook, T. M., and DeSart, J. A. (1999), "Using State Polls to Forecast Presidential Election Outcomes in the American States," International Journal of Forecasting, 15, 137-142.
    • (1999) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.15 , pp. 137-142
    • Holbrook, T.M.1    DeSart, J.A.2
  • 10
    • 0343607519 scopus 로고
    • Testing a Point Null Hypothesis: The Irreconcilability of P Values and Evidence: Comment
    • Morris, C. N. (1987), "Testing a Point Null Hypothesis: The Irreconcilability of P Values and Evidence: Comment," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 82, 131-133.
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  • 11
    • 21144438842 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian Multilevel Estimation with Poststratification: State-Level Estimates from National Polls
    • Park, D. K., Gelman, A., and Bafumi, J. (2004), "Bayesian Multilevel Estimation with Poststratification: State-Level Estimates from National Polls," Political Analysis, 12, 375-385.
    • (2004) Political Analysis , vol.12 , pp. 375-385
    • Park, D.K.1    Gelman, A.2    Bafumi, J.3
  • 12
    • 39049085130 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • All Tied Up in Presidential What-Ifs,
    • August 22
    • Sricac, P., and Ritchey, N. P. (2004), "All Tied Up in Presidential What-Ifs," The Washington Post, August 22, 2004.
    • (2004) The Washington Post
    • Sricac, P.1    Ritchey, N.P.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.