Consensus of numerical model forecasts of significant wave heights

Weather and Forecasting

Volumn 22, Issue 4, 2007, Pages 792-803

  Woodcock, Frank ^a   Greenslade, Diana J M ^a  

^a BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY RESEARCH CENTRE   (Australia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BATHYMETRY; FORECASTING; LINEAR REGRESSION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; METEOROLOGY;

BIAS CORRECTION; WAVE HEIGHT;

WATER WAVES;

DEEP WATER; ERROR CORRECTION; FORECASTING METHOD; NUMERICAL MODEL; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SHALLOW WATER; SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT;

EID: 38849102291     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/WAF1021.1     Document Type: Article

References (23)

1. Bidlot, J.-R., D. J. Holmes, P.A. Wittman, R. Lalbeharry, and H. S. Chen, 2002: Intercomparison of the performance of operational ocean wave forecasting systems with buoy data. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 287-310.
2. Booij, N., R. C. Ris, and L. H. Holthuijsen, 1999: A third-generation wave model for coastal regions. Part I. Model description and validation. J. Geophys. Res., 104, 7649-7666.
3. Daley, R., 1991: Atmospheric Data Analysis. Cambridge University Press, 457 pp.
4. Donelan, M., and W. J. Pierson, 1983: The sampling variability of estimates of spectra of wind-generated waves. J. Geophys. Res., 88, 4381-4392.
5. Efron, B,, and R. Tibshirani, 1991: Statistical data analysis in the computer age. Science, 253, 390-395.
6. Glahn, H. R., and D. A. Lowry, 1972: The use of model output statistics (MOS) in objective weather forecasting. J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 1203-1211.
7. Greenslade, D. J. M., 2001: The assimilation of ERS-2 significant wave height data in the Australian region. J. Mar. Syst., 28, 141-160.
8. Greenslade, D. J. M., and I. R. Young, 2004: Background errors in a global wave model determined form altimeter data. J. Geophys. Res., 109, C09007, doi:10.1029/2004JC002324.
9. Gorman, R. M., K. R. Bryan, and A. K. Liang, 2003: Wave hindcast for the New Zealand region: Nearshore validation and coastal wave climate. N. Z. J. Mar. Freshwater Res., 37, 567-588.
10. Hemer, M. A., and J. A. T. Bye, 1999: The swell climate of the south Australian sea. Trans. Royal Soc. S. Aust., 123 (3), 107-113.
11. Hibon, M., and T. Evgeniou, 2005: To combine or not to combine: Selecting among forecasts and their combinations. Int. J. Forecasting, 21, 15-24.
12. Holt, M. W., 1997: Assimilation of ERS-2 altimeter observations into a global wave model. Research Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling - 1997, WGNE Rep. 25, WMO/TD-792, 8.31-8.32.
13. Komen, G. J., L. Cavaleri, M. Donelan, K. Hasselmann, S. Hasselmann, and P. A. E. M. Janssen, 1994: Dynamics and Modelling of Ocean Waves. Cambridge University Press, 532 pp.
14. Mao, Q., R. T. McNider, S. F. Mueller, and H. H. Juang, 1999: An optimal model output calibration algorithm suitable for objective temperature forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 190-202.
15. Monaldo, F., 1988: Expected differences between buoy and radar altimeter estimates of wind speed and significant wave height and their implications on buoy-altimeter comparisons. J. Geophys. Res., 93, 2285-2302.
16. National Meteorological and Oceanographic Centre, 1999: Changes to the operational sea state forecast system. Bureau of Meteorology Operations Bull. 47, Melbourne, Australia, 6 pp.
17. Stensrud, D. J., and J. A. Skindlov, 1996: Gridpoint predictions of high temperature from a mesoscale model. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 103-110.
18. Stensrud, D. J., and N. Yussouf, 2003: Short-range ensemble predictions of 2-m temperature and dewpoint temperature over New England. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 2510-2524.
19. Stensrud, D. J., and N. Yussouf,, 2005: Bias-corrected short-range ensemble forecasts of near surface variables. Meteor. Appl., 12, 217-230.
20. Tolman, H. L., 1991: A third-generation model for wind waves on slowly varying, unsteady and inhomogeneous depths and currents. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 21, 782-797.
21. WAMDI Group, 1988: The WAM model - A third generation ocean wave prediction model. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 18, 1775-1810.
22. Wonnacott, T. H., and R. J. Wonnacott, 1972: Introductory Statistics. Wiley, 510 pp.
23. Woodcock, F., and C. Engel, 2005: Operational consensus forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 101-111.