Hydrological responses of a watershed to historical land use evolution and future land use scenarios under climate change conditions

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Volumn 12, Issue 1, 2008, Pages 101-110

  Quilbe R ^a   Rousseau, A N ^a   Moquet, J S ^a   Savary, S ^a   Ricard, S ^a   Garbouj, M S ^a  

^a CENTRE EAU TERRE ENVIRONNEMENT   (Canada)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURAL LAND; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE CONDITIONS; FUTURE PROSPECT; HISTORY; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; LAND USE; RIVER DISCHARGE; RUNOFF; SATELLITE IMAGERY; WATERSHED;

CANADA; CHAUDIERE RIVER; NORTH AMERICA; QUEBEC [CANADA];

EID: 38849098953     PISSN: 10275606     EISSN: 16077938     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/hess-12-101-2008     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Arnold, J. G. and Williams, J. R.: SWRRB - A watershed scale model for soil and water resources management, in: Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology, edited by: Singh, V. P., Water Resources Publication, Highlands ranch, 847-908, 1995.
2. Bouraoui, F., Vachaud, G., and Chen, T.: Prediction of the effect of climatic changes and land use management on water resources, Phys. Chem. Earth, 23(4), 379-384, 1998.
3. Butcher, J. B.: Forecasting future land use for watershed assessment, J. Am. Water Resour. As., 35(3), 555-565, 1999.
4. Chaire en hydrologie statistique: HYFRAN - Hydrological Frequency Analysis, v. 1.1. INRS-ETE / HYDRO-QUÉBEC / ALCAN / CRSNG, 2002.
5. Cognard-Plancq, A.-L., Voltz, M., Didon-Lescot, J.-F., and Normand, M.: The role of forest cover on streamflow down subMediterranean mountain watersheds: a modelling approach, J. Hydrol., 254(1-4), 229-243, 2001.
6. Costa, M. H., Botta, A., and Cardille, J. A.: Effects of large-scale changes in land cover on the discharge of the Tocantins River, Southeastern Amazonia, J. Hydrol., 283(1-4), 206-217, 2003.
7. Crooks, S. and Davies, H.: Assessment of Land Use Change in the Thames Catchment and its Effect on the Flood Regime of the River, Phys. Chem. Earth (B), 26(7-8), 583-591, 2001.
8. Definens Imaging: eCognition: Online user guide, available at: http://www.definiens-imaging.com, 2001
9. Dolbec, J.-F., Rousseau, A. N., and Quilbé, R.: Développement d'un process de classification d'images satellitaires afin de détecter les changements d'occupation du sol sur le bassin versant de la rivière Chaudière pour la période 1970 à 2000 : Exemple de l'image Landsat-5 du 6 août 1987, Report No 802, INRS-ETE, Québec, 2005.
10. Drogue, G., Pfister, L., Leviandier, T., El Idrissi, A., Iffly, J.-F., Matgen, P., Humbert, J., and Hoffmann, L.: Simulating the spatiotemporal variability of streamflow response to climate change scenarios in a mesoscale basin, J. Hydrol., 293(1-4), 255-269, 2004.
11. Dunn, S. M. and Mackay, R.: Spatial variation in evapotranspiration and the influence of land use on catchment hydrology, J. Hydrol., 171(1-2), 49-73, 1995.
12. Flato, G. M., Boer, G. J., Lee, W., McFarlane, N., Ramsden, D., and Weaver, A.: The CCCma global coupled model and its climate, Clim. Dynam., 16, 451-467, 2000.
13. Fohrer, N., Haverkamp, S., Eckhardt, K., and Frede, H.-G.: Hydrologic Response to land use changes on the catchment scale, Phys. Chem. Earth (B), 26(7-8), 577-582, 2001.
14. Fortin, J.-P., Turcotte, R., Massicotte, S., Moussa, R., Fitzback, J., and Villeneuve, J.-P.: A distributed watershed model compatible with remote sensing and GIS data, Part I: Description of the model, J. Hydrol. Eng., 6(2), 91-99, 2001a.
15. Fortin, J.-P., Turcotte, R., Massicotte, S., Moussa, R., Fitzback, J., and Villeneuve, J.-P.: A distributed watershed model compatible with remote sensing and GIS data, Part II: Application to the Chaudière watershed, J. Hydrol. Eng., 6(2), 100-108, 2001b.
16. Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., and Tebaldi, C.: Review. Linking climate change modelling to impact studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 1547-1578, 2007.
17. Gachon, P., St-Hilaire, A., Ouarda, T., Nguyen, V. T. V., Lin, C., Milton, J., Chaumont, D., Goldstein, J., Hessami, M., Nguyen, T. D., Selva, F., Nadeau, M., Roy, P., Parishkura, D., Major, D., Choux, M., and Bourque, A.: A first evaluation of the strength and weaknesses of statistical downscaling methods for simulating extremes over various regions of eastern Canada, Pinal report, Sub-component, Climate Change Action Fund (CCAF), Environment Canada, Montréal, Québec, Canada, 2005.
18. Gauthier, Y.: Rapport technique présenté dans le cadre de GIBSI, Rapport technique no RT-462a, INRS-Eau, Sainte-Foy, Québec, 1996.
19. Johns, T. C., Gregory, J. M., Ingram, W. J., Johnson, C. E., Jones, A., Lowe, J. A., Mitchell, J. F. B., Roberts, D. L., Sexton, D. H. M., Stevenson, D. S., Tett, S. F. B., and Woodge, M. J.: Anthropogenic climate change for 1860 to 2100 simulated with the HadCM3 model under updated emissions scenarios, Hadley Centre Technical Note 22, The Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, The Met Office, Bracknell, UK, 2001.
20. Kite, G. W.: Application of a land class hydrological model to climatic change, Water Resour. Res., 29(7), 2377-2384, 1993.
21. Laprise, R.: Regional climate modelling, J. Comput. Phys., doi:10.1016/j.jcp.2006.10.024, in press, 2006.
22. Lavigne, M.-P., Rousseau, A. N., Turcotte, R., Laroche, A.-M., Fortin, J.-P., and Villeneuve, J.-P: Validation and use of a distributed hydrological modeling system to predict short term effects of clear cutting on the hydrological regime of a watershed, Earth Interactions, 8(3), 1-19, 2004.
23. Matheussen, B., Kirschbaum, R. L., Goodman, I. A., O'Donnell, G. M., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: Effects of land cover change on streamflow in the interior Columbia River Basin (USA and Canada), Hydrol. Process., 14(5), 867-885, 2000.
24. Pielke, R. A. Sr.: Land use and climate change, Science, 310(5754), 1625-1626, 2005.
25. Quilbé, R., Rousseau, A. N., Duchemin, M., Poulin, A., Gangbazo, G., and Villeneuve, J.-P: Selecting a calculation method to estimate sediment and nutrient loads in streams: application to the Beaurivage River (Québec, Canada), J. Hydrol., 326, 295-310, 2005.
26. Quilbé, R. and Rousseau, A. N.: GIBSI : An integrated modelling system for watershed management - Sample applications and current developments, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sc., 11, 1785-1795, 2007.
27. Quilbé, R., Rousseau, A. N., Moquet, J.-S., Trinh, N. B., Dibike, Y. B., Gachon, P., and Chaumont, D.: Assessing the effect of climate change on river flow using general circulation models and hydrological modelling. Application to the Chaudière River (Québec, Canada), Can. Water Resour. J., in press, 2008.
28. Roeckner, E., Arpe, K., Bengtsson, L., Christoph, M., Claussen, M., Dümenil, L., Esch, M., Giorgetta, M., Schlese, U., and Schulzweida, U.: The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM4: model description and simulation of present-day climate, 218, Max Planck Institut für Meteorology, 1996.
29. Rousseau, A. N., Mailhot, A., Turcotte, R., Duchemin, M., Blanchette, C., Roux, M., Etong, N., Dupont, J., and Villeneuve, J.-P.: GIBSI - An integrated modelling system prototype for river basin management, Hydrobiologia, 422/423, 465-475, 2000.
30. Scinocca, J. F. and McFarlane, N. A.: The variability of modeled tropical precipitation, J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1993-2015, 2004.
31. Tong, S. T. Y. and Chen, W.: Modeling the relationship between land use and surface water quality, J. Environ. Manage., 66(4), 377-393, 2002.
32. Villeneuve, J.-P., Blanchette, C., Duchemin, M., Gagnon, J.-F., Mailhot, A., Rousseau, A. N., Roux, M., Tremblay, J.-F., and Turcotte, R.: Rapport Final du Projet GIBSI : Gestion de l'Eau des Bassins Versants à l'Aide d'un Système Informatisé. Mars 1998 : Tome 1., R-462, INRS-Eau, Sainte-Foy, 1998.
33. Wilby, R. L., Dawson, C. W., and Barrow, E. M.: SDSM - a decision support tool for the assessment of regional climate change impacts, Environ. Modell. Softw., 17(2), 145-157, 2002.
34. Wilby, R. L., Whitehead, P. G., Wade, A. J., Butterfield, D., Davis, R. J., and Watts, G.: Integrated modelling of climate change impacts on water resources and quality in a lowland catchment: River Kennet, UK, J. Hydrol. 330(1-2), 204-220, 2006.
35. Wischmeier, W. H. and Smith, D. D.: Predicting rainfall erosion losses - A guide to conservation planning, Agricultural Handbook No. 537, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, D.C., 1978.
36. Wood A. W., E. P. Maurer, A. Kumar, and Lettenmaier, D.: Long-range experimental hydrologic forecasting for the eastern United States, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D20), 4429, doi:10.1029/2001JD000659, 2002.
37. Xu, C.-Y: Climate Change and Hydrologic Models: A Review of Existing Gaps and Recent Research Developments, Water Resour. Manage., 13(5), 369-382, 1999.
38. Yeo, I., Gordon, S. I., and Guldmann, J. M.: Optimizing patterns of land use to reduce peak runoff flow and nonpoint source pollution with an integrated hydrological and land-use model, Earth Interactions, 8(6), 1-20, 2004.