메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 65, Issue 1, 2008, Pages 263-275

Limits, variability, and general behavior of statistical predictability of the midlatitude atmosphere

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATOLOGY; COMPUTER SIMULATION; EARTH ATMOSPHERE; STATISTICAL METHODS;

EID: 38849089957     PISSN: 00224928     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2007JAS2234.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (21)

References (40)
  • 2
    • 0035322317 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability of the inverse energy cascade in 2D turbulence
    • Boffetta, G., and S. Musacchio, 2001: Predictability of the inverse energy cascade in 2D turbulence. Phys. Fluids, 13, 1060-1062.
    • (2001) Phys. Fluids , vol.13 , pp. 1060-1062
    • Boffetta, G.1    Musacchio, S.2
  • 3
    • 0032453445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of ensemble size on ensemble prediction
    • Buizza, R., and T. N. Palmer, 1998: Impact of ensemble size on ensemble prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 2503-2518.
    • (1998) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.126 , pp. 2503-2518
    • Buizza, R.1    Palmer, T.N.2
  • 4
    • 0001030710 scopus 로고
    • Geostrophic turbulence
    • Charney, J. G., 1971: Geostrophic turbulence. J. Atmos. Sci., 28, 1087-1095.
    • (1971) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.28 , pp. 1087-1095
    • Charney, J.G.1
  • 6
    • 8744221249 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability and information theory. Part I: Measures of predictability
    • DelSole, T., 2004: Predictability and information theory. Part I: Measures of predictability. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 2425-2440.
    • (2004) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.61 , pp. 2425-2440
    • DelSole, T.1
  • 7
    • 0028602156 scopus 로고
    • The Liouville equation and its potential usefulness for the prediction of forecast skill. Part I: Theory
    • Ehrendorfer, M., 1994a: The Liouville equation and its potential usefulness for the prediction of forecast skill. Part I: Theory. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 703-713.
    • (1994) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.122 , pp. 703-713
    • Ehrendorfer, M.1
  • 8
    • 0028572653 scopus 로고
    • The Liouville equation and its potential usefulness for the prediction of forecast skill. Part II
    • Ehrendorfer, M., 1994b: The Liouville equation and its potential usefulness for the prediction of forecast skill. Part II: Applications. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 714-728.
    • (1994) Applications. Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.122 , pp. 714-728
    • Ehrendorfer, M.1
  • 9
    • 0031395074 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eddy viscosity and stochastic backscatter parameterizations on the sphere for atmospheric circulation models
    • Frederiksen, J., and A. G. Davies, 1997: Eddy viscosity and stochastic backscatter parameterizations on the sphere for atmospheric circulation models. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 2475-2492.
    • (1997) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.54 , pp. 2475-2492
    • Frederiksen, J.1    Davies, A.G.2
  • 10
    • 33846381018 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Handbook of Stochastic Methods for Physics, Chemistry, and the Natural Sciences
    • Springer-Verlag, 415 pp
    • Gardiner, C. W., 2004: Handbook of Stochastic Methods for Physics, Chemistry, and the Natural Sciences. Springer Series in Synergetics, Vol. 13, Springer-Verlag, 415 pp.
    • (2004) Springer Series in Synergetics , vol.13
    • Gardiner, C.W.1
  • 11
    • 0038703289 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interannual to decadal predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model
    • Grötzner, A., M. Latif, A. Timmermann, and R. Voss, 1999: Interannual to decadal predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model. J. Climate, 12, 2607-2624.
    • (1999) J. Climate , vol.12 , pp. 2607-2624
    • Grötzner, A.1    Latif, M.2    Timmermann, A.3    Voss, R.4
  • 12
    • 0032024819 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter technique
    • Houtekamer, P. L., and H. L. Mitchell, 1998: Data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter technique. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 796-811.
    • (1998) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.126 , pp. 796-811
    • Houtekamer, P.L.1    Mitchell, H.L.2
  • 13
    • 0036646756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring dynamical prediction utility using relative entropy
    • Kleeman, R., 2002: Measuring dynamical prediction utility using relative entropy. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 2057-2072.
    • (2002) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.59 , pp. 2057-2072
    • Kleeman, R.1
  • 14
    • 34147129242 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Information flow in ensemble weather predictions
    • Kleeman, R., 2007a: Information flow in ensemble weather predictions. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 1005-1016.
    • (2007) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.64 , pp. 1005-1016
    • Kleeman, R.1
  • 15
    • 34248656231 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical predictability in the atmosphere and other dynamical systems
    • Kleeman, R., 2007b: Statistical predictability in the atmosphere and other dynamical systems. Physica D, 230, 65-71.
    • (2007) Physica D , vol.230 , pp. 65-71
    • Kleeman, R.1
  • 16
    • 0032694914 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new method for determining the reliability of dynamical ENSO predictions
    • Kleeman, R., and A. M. Moore, 1999: A new method for determining the reliability of dynamical ENSO predictions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 694-705.
    • (1999) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.127 , pp. 694-705
    • Kleeman, R.1    Moore, A.M.2
  • 17
    • 23744485056 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability in a model of geostrophic turbulence
    • Kleeman, R., and A. J. Majda, 2005: Predictability in a model of geostrophic turbulence. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 2864-2879.
    • (2005) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.62 , pp. 2864-2879
    • Kleeman, R.1    Majda, A.J.2
  • 19
    • 0015035312 scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric predictability and two-dimensional turbulence
    • Leith, C. E., 1971: Atmospheric predictability and two-dimensional turbulence. J. Atmos. Sci., 28, 145-161.
    • (1971) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.28 , pp. 145-161
    • Leith, C.E.1
  • 20
    • 0000630257 scopus 로고
    • Theoretical skill of Monte Carlo forecasts
    • Leith, C. E., 1974: Theoretical skill of Monte Carlo forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 102, 409-418.
    • (1974) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.102 , pp. 409-418
    • Leith, C.E.1
  • 21
    • 0000282315 scopus 로고
    • Predictability of turbulent flows
    • Leith, C. E., and R. Kraichnan, 1972: Predictability of turbulent flows. J. Atmos. Sci., 29, 1041-1058.
    • (1972) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.29 , pp. 1041-1058
    • Leith, C.E.1    Kraichnan, R.2
  • 22
    • 24044454736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new general circulation model: Formulation and preliminary results in a single and multiprocessor environment
    • Leslie, L. M., and K. Fraedrich, 1997: A new general circulation model: Formulation and preliminary results in a single and multiprocessor environment. Climate Dyn., 13, 35-43.
    • (1997) Climate Dyn , vol.13 , pp. 35-43
    • Leslie, L.M.1    Fraedrich, K.2
  • 23
    • 0020969393 scopus 로고
    • Stratified turbulence and the mesoscale variability of the atmosphere
    • Lilly, D., 1983: Stratified turbulence and the mesoscale variability of the atmosphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 749-761.
    • (1983) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.40 , pp. 749-761
    • Lilly, D.1
  • 24
    • 33745951199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical intraseasonal variability in 14 IPCC AR4 climate models. Part I: Convective signals
    • Lin, J.-L., and Coauthors, 2006: Tropical intraseasonal variability in 14 IPCC AR4 climate models. Part I: Convective signals. J. Climate, 19,2665-2690.
    • (2006) J. Climate , vol.19 , pp. 2665-2690
    • Lin, J.-L.1
  • 25
    • 84975888044 scopus 로고
    • Analysis methods for numerical weather prediction
    • Lorene, A. C., 1986: Analysis methods for numerical weather prediction. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 1112, 1177-1194.
    • (1986) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc , vol.1112 , pp. 1177-1194
    • Lorene, A.C.1
  • 26
    • 0000241853 scopus 로고
    • Deterministic non-periodic flows
    • Lorenz, E. N., 1963: Deterministic non-periodic flows. J. Atmos. Sci., 20, 130-141.
    • (1963) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.20 , pp. 130-141
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 27
    • 0000853495 scopus 로고
    • Predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion
    • Lorenz, E. N., 1969: Predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion. Tellus, 21, 289-387.
    • (1969) Tellus , vol.21 , pp. 289-387
    • Lorenz, E.N.1
  • 28
    • 0028590799 scopus 로고
    • Diabatic initialization using recursive filters
    • Lynch, P., and X.-Y. Huang, 1994: Diabatic initialization using recursive filters. Tellus, 46A, 583-597.
    • (1994) Tellus , vol.46 A , pp. 583-597
    • Lynch, P.1    Huang, X.-Y.2
  • 29
    • 8744297806 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A framework of predictability through relative entropy
    • Majda, A. J., R. Kleeman, and D. Cai, 2002: A framework of predictability through relative entropy. Methods Appl. Anal., 9, 425-444.
    • (2002) Methods Appl. Anal , vol.9 , pp. 425-444
    • Majda, A.J.1    Kleeman, R.2    Cai, D.3
  • 30
    • 0022266328 scopus 로고
    • A climatology of atmospheric wavenumber spectra observed by commercial aircraft
    • Nastrom, G., and K. Gage, 1985: A climatology of atmospheric wavenumber spectra observed by commercial aircraft. J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 950-960.
    • (1985) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.42 , pp. 950-960
    • Nastrom, G.1    Gage, K.2
  • 31
    • 0033945325 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate
    • Palmer, T. N., 2000: Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate. Rep. Prog. Phys., 63, 71-116.
    • (2000) Rep. Prog. Phys , vol.63 , pp. 71-116
    • Palmer, T.N.1
  • 32
    • 0342804504 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ECMWF operational implementation of four-dimensional variational assimilation. I: Experimental results with simplified physics
    • Rabier, F., H. Järvinen, E. Klinker, J.-F. Mahfouf, and A. Simmons, 2000: The ECMWF operational implementation of four-dimensional variational assimilation. I: Experimental results with simplified physics. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 1143.
    • (2000) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc , vol.126 , pp. 1143
    • Rabier, F.1    Järvinen, H.2    Klinker, E.3    Mahfouf, J.-F.4    Simmons, A.5
  • 33
    • 0036612028 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory
    • Roulston, M. S., and L. A. Smith, 2002: Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1653-1660.
    • (2002) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.130 , pp. 1653-1660
    • Roulston, M.S.1    Smith, L.A.2
  • 35
    • 0033208415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A conceptual framework for predictability studies
    • Schneider, T., and S. Griffies, 1999: A conceptual framework for predictability studies. J. Climate, 12, 3133-3155.
    • (1999) J. Climate , vol.12 , pp. 3133-3155
    • Schneider, T.1    Griffies, S.2
  • 36
    • 23744450253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the reliability of ENSO dynamical predictions
    • Tang, Y., R. Kleeman, and A. Moore, 2005: On the reliability of ENSO dynamical predictions. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 1770-1791.
    • (2005) J. Atmos. Sci , vol.62 , pp. 1770-1791
    • Tang, Y.1    Kleeman, R.2    Moore, A.3
  • 37
    • 0001509508 scopus 로고
    • Ensemble forecasting at NMC: The generation of perturbations
    • Toth, Z., and E. Kalnay, 1993: Ensemble forecasting at NMC: The generation of perturbations. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 2317-2330.
    • (1993) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc , vol.74 , pp. 2317-2330
    • Toth, Z.1    Kalnay, E.2
  • 38
    • 1842685707 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scale interactions and atmospheric predictability: An updated perspective
    • Tribbia, J., and D. Baumhefner, 2004: Scale interactions and atmospheric predictability: An updated perspective. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 703-713.
    • (2004) Mon. Wea. Rev , vol.132 , pp. 703-713
    • Tribbia, J.1    Baumhefner, D.2
  • 39
    • 0001907318 scopus 로고
    • Why do forecasts for near normal often fail?
    • van den Dool, H., and Z. Toth, 1991: Why do forecasts for near normal often fail? Wea. Forecasting, 6, 76-85.
    • (1991) Wea. Forecasting , vol.6 , pp. 76-85
    • van den Dool, H.1    Toth, Z.2
  • 40
    • 20544469956 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Explicit convection over the western Pacific warm pool in the community atmospheric model
    • Ziemiaski, M. Z., W. W. Grabowski, and M. W. Moncrieff, 2005: Explicit convection over the western Pacific warm pool in the community atmospheric model. J. Climate, 18, 1482-1502.
    • (2005) J. Climate , vol.18 , pp. 1482-1502
    • Ziemiaski, M.Z.1    Grabowski, W.W.2    Moncrieff, M.W.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.