Reconstruction of quaternary temperature fields by dynamically consistent smoothing

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 30, Issue 4, 2008, Pages 421-437

  Gebhardt, Christoph ^a,b   Kühl, Norbert ^a   Hense, Andreas ^a   Litt, Thomas ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF BONN   (Germany)

^b DEUTSCHER WETTERDIENST   (Germany)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

PALEOCLIMATE; PALEOTEMPERATURE; PROBABILITY; PROXY CLIMATE RECORD; QUATERNARY; RECONSTRUCTION; SMOOTHING;

EID: 38349104284     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-007-0299-9     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. Aaby B, Tauber H (1995) Eemian climate and pollen. Nature 376:27-28
2. Aalbersberg G, Litt T (1998) Multiproxy climate reconstructions for the Eemian and Early Weichselian. J Quat Sci 13:367-390
3. Arakawa A (1972) Numerical simulation of weather and climate: Design of the UCLA general circulation model, University of California, Department of Meteorology, Technical report 7
4. Berger A (1978) Long-term variations of daily insolation and quaternary climate change. J Clim 72:74-86
5. Berger JO (1985) Statistical decision theory and bayesian analysis. Springer Series in Statistics, Springer, New York, 617 pp
6. Cheddadi R, Mamakowa K, Guiot J, de Beaulieu J-L, Reille M, Andrieu V, Granoszewski W, Peyron O (1998) Was the climate of the Eemian stable? A quantitative climate reconstruction from seven European pollen records. Palaeogeogr Palaeoclim Palaeoecol 143:73-85
7. Courtier P, Thépaut J-N, Hollingsworth A (1994) A strategy for operational implementation of 4D-Var, using an incremental approach. Quat J R M S 120:1367-1387
8. Field MH, Huntley B, Müller H (1994) Eemian climate fluctuations observed in a European pollen record. Nature 371:779-783
9. Gebhardt C, Kühl N, Hense A, Litt T (2003) Multiscale processes and the reconstruction of palaeoclimate. In: Neugebauer HJ, Simmer C (eds) Dynamics of multiscale earth systems. Lecture notes in earth sciences 97, Springer, Heidelberg, pp 358
10. Guiot J, Boreux JJ, Braconnot P, Torre F, PMIP participants (1999) Data-model comparison using fuzzy logic in paleoclimatology. Clim Dyn 15:569-581
11. Hense A, Glowienka-Hense R, von Storch H, Stähler U (1990) Northern hemisphere atmospheric response to changes of Atlantic Ocean SST on decadal timescales: A GCM experiment. Clim Dyn 4:157-174
12. Holton JR (1992) Introduction to dynamic meteorology. Academic Prss, San Diego, 511 pp
13. Hultén E (1964) The circumpolar plants. Vascular cryptogams, conifers, monocotyledons, vol I. Almqvist & Wiksell, Stockholm, pp 280
14. Hultén E (1971) The circumpolar plants. Dicotyledons, vol II. Almqvist & Wiksell, Stockholm, pp 463
15. Ingleby NB, Lorenc AC (1993) Bayesian quality control using multivariate normal distributions. Quart J Roy Meteorol Soc 119:1195-1225
16. Isarin RFB, Bohncke SJP (1999) Mean July temperatures during the Younger Dryas in Northwestern and Central Europe as inferred from climate indicator plant species. Quat Res 51:158-173
17. Iversen J (1944) Viscum, Hedera and Ilex as climate indicators. Geol Fören Förhandl 66:463-483
18. Jalas J, Suominen J (1973) Atlas Florae Europaeae. Distribution of vascular plants in Europe, II: Gymnospermae (Pinaceae to Ephedraceae). The committee for mapping the flora of Europe & Societas Biologica Fennica Vanamo, pp 40
19. Jalas J, Suominen J (1976) Atlas Florae Europaeae. Distribution of vascular plants in Europe., III: Salicaceae to Balanophoraceae. The committee for mapping the flora of Europe & Societas Biologica Fennica Vanamo, pp 128
20. Jalas J, Suominen J (1989) Atlas Florae Europaeae. Distribution of vascular plants in Europe, VIII: Nymphaeaceae to Ranunculaceae. The committee for mapping the flora of Europe & Societas Biologica Fennica Vanamo, pp 261
21. Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Zhu Y, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgins W, Janowiak J, Mo KC, Ropelewski C, Wang J, Leetmaa A, Reynolds R, Jenne R, Joseph D (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Met Soc 77:437-471
22. Kaspar F, Kühl N, Cubasch U, Litt T (2005) A model-data comparison of European temperatures in the Eemian interglacial. Geophys Res Lett 32: L11703, doi:10.1029/2005GL022456
23. Klaßen J, Hense A, Römer U (1994) Climate anomalies north of 55°N associated with tropical climate extremes. Int J Clim 14:829-842
24. Kühl N (2003) Die Bestimmung botanisch-klimatologischer Transferfunktionen und die Rekonstruktion des bodennahen Klimazustandes in Europa während der Eem-Warmzeit. Dissertationes Botanica 375, pp 149
25. Kühl N, Litt T (2003) Quantitative time series reconstruction of Eemian temperature at three European sites using pollen data. Veg Hist Archaeobot 12(4):205-214
26. Kühl N, Gebhardt C, Litt T, Hense A (2002) Probability density functions as botanical-climatological transfer functions for climate reconstruction. Quat Res 58:381-392
27. Kukla G, Berger A, Lotti R, Brown J (1981) Orbital signature of interglacials. Nature 290:295-300
28. Le Dimet F-X, Talagrand O (1986) Variational algorithms for analysis and assimilation of meteorological observations: Theoretical aspects. Tellus 38A:97-110
29. Lorenc AC, Ballard SP, Bell RS, Ingleby NB, Andrews PLF, Barker DM, Bray JR, Clayton AM, Dalby T, Li D, Payne TJ, Saunders FW (2000) The Met. Office global three-dimensional variational data assimilation scheme. Quart J R Meteorol Soc 126:2991-3012
30. Menke B, Tynni R (1984) Das Eeminterglazial und das Weichselfrühglazial von Rederstall/Dithmarschen und ihre Bedeutung für die mitteleuropäische Jungpleistozän-Gliederung. Geol Jahrbuch A 76:3-120
31. Meusel H, Jäger E (1992) Vergleichende Chorologie der zentraleuropäischen Flora, vol III. Karten, Fischer, pp 688
32. Meusel H, Jäger E, Weinert E (1964) Vergleichende Chorologie der zentraleuropäischen Flora, vol I. Karten, Fischer, pp 258
33. Meusel H, Jäger E, Rauschert S, Weinert E (1978) Vergleichende Chorologie der zentraleuropäischen Flora, vol. II. Karten, Fischer, pp 259-421
34. Montoya M, von Storch H, Crowley TJ (2000) Climate simulation for 125 kyr bp with a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model. J Clim 13:1057-1072
35. Müller H (1974) Pollenanalytische Untersuchungen und Jahresschichtenzählung an der eem-zeitlichen Kieselgur von Bispingen/Luhe. Geol Jahrbuch A 21:149-169
36. New MG, Hulme M, Jones PD (1999) Representing 20th century space-time climate variability. I: Development of a 1961-1990 mean monthly terrestrial climatology. J Clim 12:829-856
37. Overpeck JT, Webb T III, Prentice IC (1985) Quantitative interpretation of fossil pollen spectra: Dissimilarity coefficients and the method of modern analogs. Quat Res 23:87-108
38. Poole D (2005) Linear algebra: A modern introduction. Thomson-Brooks Cole, Boston, pp 684
39. Press WH, Teukolsky SA, Vetterling WT, Flannery BP (1992) Numerical recipes in FORTRAN, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 963
40. Rabier F, Courtier P (1992) Four-dimensional assimilation in the presence of baroclinic instability. Quat J R Met Soc 118:649-672
41. Rial JA (1999) Pacemaking the ice ages by frequency modulation of earth's orbital eccentricity. Science 285:564-568
42. Rioual P, Andrieu-Ponel V, Rietti-Shati M, Battarbee RW, de Beaulieu J-L, Cheddadi R, Reille M, Svobodova H, Shemesh A (2001) High-resolution record of climate stability in France during the last interglacial period. Nature 413:293-296
43. Schözel CA, Hense A, Hübl P, Kühl N, Litt T (2002) Digitization and geo-referencing of botanical distribution maps. J Biogeogr 29:851-856
44. Sivia DS (1996) Data analysis. A Bayesian tutorial, Oxford University Press, Oxford, pp 189
45. Smyth P (2000) Model selection for probabilistic clustering using cross-validated likelihood. Statist Comp 9:63-72
46. Smyth P, Ide K, Ghil M (1999) Multiple regimes in northern hemisphere height fields via mixture model clustering. J Atm Sci 56:3704-3723
47. Stirling CH, Esat TM, Lambeck K, McCulloch MT, Blake SG, Lee D-C, Halliday AN (2001) Orbital forcing of the marine isotope stage 9 interglacial. Science 291:290-293
48. von Storch H, Zwiers FW (1999) Statistical analysis in climate research. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 484
49. Tarantola A (2005) Invers problem theory and methods for model parameter estimation. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Philadelphia, pp 342
50. Tikhonov AN, Arsenin VY (1977) Solution of Ill-posed problems. Winston and Sons, New York, pp 224
51. Velichko AA, Grichuk VP, Gurtovaya EM, Barash MS, Borisova MS (1992) Climates during the last interglacial. In: Frenzel B, Pecsi M, Velichko AA (eds) Atlas of palaeoclimates and palaeoenvironments of the Northern hemisphere, Late Pleistocene-Holocene, pp 86-89
52. Woodward FI (1987) Climate and plant distribution. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 174
53. Zagwijn WH (1996) Analysis of Eemian climate in western and central Europe. Quat Sci Rev 15:451-469