Spring phenology, latitude, and the timing of breeding in two migratory ducks: Implications of climate change impacts

Annales Zoologici Fennici

Volumn 44, Issue 6, 2007, Pages 475-485

  Oja, Heli ^a   Pöysä, Hannu ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF EASTERN FINLAND   (Finland)

^b FINNISH FOREST RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (Finland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BREEDING; CLIMATE CHANGE; HATCHING DATE; ICE BREAKUP; LATITUDE; MIGRATORY SPECIES; NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; PHENOLOGY; WATERFOWL;

EURASIA; EUROPE; FINLAND; NORTHERN EUROPE; SCANDINAVIA;

ANAS; ANAS PLATYRHYNCHOS; BUCEPHALA CLANGULA;

EID: 38349016739     PISSN: 0003455X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (62)

1. Ahola, M., Laaksonen, T., Sippola, K., Eeva, T., Rainio, K. & Lehikoinen, E. 2004: Variation in climate warming along the migration route uncouples arrival and breeding dates. - Global Change Biol. 10: 1610-1617.
2. Anderson, W. L., Robertson, D. M. & Magnuson, J. J. 1996: Evidence of recent warming and El Niño-related variations in ice breakup of Wisconsin lakes. - Limnol. Oceanogr. 41: 815-821.
3. Blais, S., Guillemain, M., Durant, D., Fritz, H. & Guillon, N. 2001: Growth and plumage development of pintail ducklings. - Wildfowl 52: 69-86.
4. Blenckner, T. & Hillebrand, H. 2002: North Atlantic Oscilation signatures in aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems - a meta-analysis. - Global Change Biol. 8: 203-212.
5. Blenckner, T. & Chen, D. 2003: Comparison of the impact of regional and North Atlantic atmospheric circulation on an aquatic ecosystem. - Climate Res. 23: 131-136.
6. Blenckner, T., Järvinen, M. & Weyhenmeyer, G. A. 2004: Atmospheric circulation and its impact on ice phenology in Scandinavia. - Boreal Env. Res. 9: 371-380.
7. Both, C., Artemyev, A. V., Blaauw, B., Cowie, R. J., Dekhuijzen, A. J., Eeva, T., Enemar, A., Gustafsson, L., Ivankina, E. V., Järvinen, A., Metcalfe, N. B., Nyholm, N. E. I., Potti, J., Ravussin, P.-A., Sanz, J. J., Silverin, B., Slater, F. M., Sokolov, L. V., Török, J., Winkel, W., Wright, J., Zang, H. & Visser, M. E. 2004: Large-scale geographical variation confirms that climate change causes birds to lay earlier. - Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 271: 1657-1662.
8. Both, C., Bijlsma, R. G. & Visser, M. E. 2005: Climatic effects on timing of spring migration and breeding in a long-distance migrant, the pied flycatcher Ficedula hypoleuca. - J. Avian Biol. 36: 368-373.
9. Brown, J. L., Shou-Hsien, L. & Bhagabati, N. 1999: Long-term trend toward earlier breeding in an American bird: A response to global warming? - Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 96: 5565-5569.
10. Butler, C. J. 2003: The disproportionate effect of global warming on the arrival dates of short-distance migratory birds in North America. - Ibis 145: 484-495.
11. Clark, N. A., Varley, T. A., Evans, J. & Wright, G. A. 1987: Breeding success of mallard Anas platyrhynchos at Loch Leven national nature reserve. - Bird Study 34: 129-134.
12. Conover, W. J. & Iman, R. L. 1981: Rank transformations as a bridge between parametric and nonparametric statistics. - Am. Stat. 35: 124-129.
13. Crick, H. Q. P. 2004: The impact of climate change on birds. - Ibis 146 (Suppl.1): 48-56.
14. Drent, R. H. & Daan, S. 1980: The prudent parent: energetic adjustments in avian breeding. - Ardea 68: 225-252.
15. Dunn, P. 2004: Breeding dates and reproductive performance. - Adv. Ecol. Res. 35: 69-87.
16. Dunn, P. O. & Winkler, D. W. 1999: Climate change has affected the breeding date of tree swallows throughout North America. - Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 266: 2487-2490.
17. Dzus, E. H. & Clark, R. G. 1998: Brood survival and recruitment of mallards in relation to wetland density and hatching date. - Auk 115: 311-318.
18. Elmberg, J., Nummi, P., Pöysä, H., Gunnarsson, G. & Sjöberg, K. 2005: Early breeding teal Anas crecca use the best lakes and have the highest reproductive success. - Ann. Zool. Fennici 42: 37-43.
19. Fredga, S. & Dow, H. 1983: Annual variation in the reproductive performance of goldeneyes. - Wildfowl 34: 120-126.
20. Gollop, J. B. & Marshall, W. H. 1954: A guide to ageing duck broods in the field. - Mississippi Flyway Council Technical Section Report.
21. Hallett, T. B., Coulson, T., Pilkington, J. G., Clutton-Brock, T. H., Pemberton, J. M. & Grenfell, B. T. 2004: Why large-scale climate indices seem to predict ecological processes better than local weather. - Nature 430: 71-75.
22. Hurrell, J. W. 1995: Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation. - Science 269: 676-679.
23. Hurrell, J. W., Kushnir, Y., Ottersen, G. & Visbeck, M. 2003: An overview of the North Atlantic Oscillation. - Geophysical Monograph Series 134: 1-35.
24. Järvinen, A. 1993: Spatial and temporal variation in reproductive traits of adjacent northern pied flycatcher Ficedula hypoleuca populations. - Ornis Scand. 24: 33-40.
25. Jonzén, N., Lindén, A., Ergon, T., Knudsen, E., Vik, J. O., Rubolini, D., Piacentini, D., Brinch, C., Spina, F., Karlsson, L., Stervander, M., Andersson, A., Waldenström, J., Lehikoinen, A., Edvardson, E., Solvang, R. & Stenseth, N. C. 2006. Rapid advance of spring arrival dates in long-distance migratory birds. - Science 312: 1959-1961.
26. Korhonen, J. 2005: Suomen vesistöjen jääolot [Ice conditions in lakes and rivers in Finland]. - Suomen ympäristö 751, Finnish Environment Institute. [In Finnish with English summary].
27. Laaksonen, T., Ahola M., Eeva, T., Väisänen, R. A. & Lehikoinen, E. 2006: Climate change, migratory connectivity and changes in laying date and clutch size of the pied flycatcher. - Oikos 114: 277-290.
28. Lehikoinen, A., Kilpi, M. & Öst, M. 2006: Winter climate affects subsequent breeding success of common eiders. - Global Change Biol. 12: 1355-1365.
29. Lehikoinen, E., Sparks, T. H. & Zalakevicius, M. 2004: Arrival and departure dates. - Adv. Ecol. Res. 35: 1-31.
30. Linkola, P. 1962: Havaintoja sorsalintujen lisää ntymistuloksesta Keski-Hämeessä [Notes on the breeding success of ducks in central Häme]. - Suomen Riista 15: 157-174. [In Finnish with English summary].
31. Ludwig, G. X., Alatalo, R. V., Helle, P., Lindén, H., Lindström, J. & Siitari, H. 2006: Short- and long-term population dynamical consequences of asymmetric climate change in black grouse. - Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 273: 2009-2016.
32. Magnuson, J. J., Robertson, D. M., Benson, B. J., Wynne, R. H., Livingstone, D. M., Arai, T., Assel, R. A., Barry, R. G., Card, V., Kuusisto, E., Granin, N. G., Prowse, T. D., Stewart, K. M. & Vuglinski, V. S. 2000: Historical trends in lake and river ice cover in the Northern Hemisphere. - Science 289: 1743-1746.
33. Martin, T. E. 1995: Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites, nest predation, and food. - Ecol. Monogr. 65: 101-127.
34. McCarty, J. P. 2001: Ecological consequences of recent climate change. - Conserv. Biol. 15: 320-331.
35. Milonoff, M., Pöysä, H. & Runko, P. 1998: Factors affecting clutch size and duckling survival in the common golden-eye Bucephala clangula. - Wildl. Biol. 4: 73-80.
36. Møller, A. P., Fiedler, W. & Berthold, P. (eds.) 2004: Birds and climate change. Adv. Ecol. Res. 35. - Elsevier Science, London.
37. Oja, H. & Pöysä, H. 2005: Kevään ajoittumisen vaikutus sinisorsan ja telkän pesimäaikatauluun ja poikasten lentokykyyn metsästyskauden alkaessa [The effect of spring chronology on the timing of breeding and on the occurrence of unfledged birds at the beginning of the hunting season in mallard and common goldeneye populations]. - Suomen Riista 51: 7-15. [In Finnish with English summary].
38. Ottersen, G., Planque, B., Belgrano, A., Post, E., Reid, P. C. & Stenseth, N. C. 2001: Ecological effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation. - Oecologia 128: 1-14.
39. Parmesan, C. & Yohe, G. 2003: A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. - Nature 421: 37-42.
40. Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Yalden, D. W. & Whittingham, M. J. 2005: Warmer springs advance the breeding phenology of golden plovers Pluvialis apricaria and their prey (Tipulidae). - Oecologia 143: 470-476.
41. Pehrsson, O. 1984: Relationships of food to spatial and temporal breeding strategies of mallards in Sweden. - J. Wildl. Manage. 48: 322-339.
42. Pehrsson, O. 1986: Duckling production of the oldsquaw in relation to spring weather and small-rodent fluctuations. - Can. J. Zool. 64: 1835-1841.
43. Pirkola, M. K. & Högmander, J. 1974: Sorsapoikueiden iänmääritys [The age determination of duck broods in the field]. - Suomen Riista 25: 50-55. [In Finnish with English summary].
44. Pöysä, H. 1989: Vesilintuyhteisöjen vakauden alueellisista eroista Suomessa [Geographical gradients in the stability of waterfowl communities in Finland]. - Suomen Riista 35: 7-16. [In Finnish with English summary].
45. Pöysä, H. 1998: Monitoring waterfowl production in Finland. - Acta Zoologica Lituanica, Ornithologica 8: 52-56.
46. Pöysä, H., Lammi, E., Väisänen, R. A. & Wikman, M. 1993: Monitoring of waterbirds in the breeding season: the programme used in Finland in 1986-92. - IWRB Spec. Publ. 26: 7-12.
47. Rainio, K., Laaksonen, T., Ahola, M., Vähätalo, A. V. & Lehikoinen, E. 2006: Climatic responses in spring migration of boreal and arctic birds in relation to wintering area and taxonomy. - J. Avian Biol. 37: 507-515.
48. Robinson, R. A., Learmonth, J. A., Hutson, A. M., Macleod, C. D., Sparks, T. H., Leech, D. I., Pierce, G. J., Rehfisch, M. M. & Crick, H. Q. P. 2005: Climate change and migratory species. - BTO Research Report 414.
49. Sanz, J. J. 2003: Large-scale effect of climate change on breeding parameters of pied flycatchers in Western Europe. - Ecography 26: 45-50.
50. Sedinger, J. S., Ward, D. H., Schamber, J. L., Butler, W. I., Eldridge, W. D., Conant, B., Voelzer, J. F., Chelgren, N. D. & Herzog, M. P. 2006: Effects of El Niño on distribution and reproductive performance of black brant. - Ecology 87: 151-159.
51. Siegel, S. & Castellan, N. J. Jr. 1988: Nonparametric statistics for the behavioral sciences. - McGraw-Hill, New York.
52. Stenseth, N. C., Mysterud, A., Ottersen, G., Hurrell, J. W., Chan, K.-S. & Lima, M. 2002: Ecological effects of climate fluctuations. - Science 297: 1292-1296.
53. Stenseth, N. C. & Mysterud, A. 2005: Weather packages: finding the right scale and composition of climate in ecology. - J. Anim. Ecol. 74: 1195-1198.
54. Toft, C. A., Trauger, D. L. & Murdy, H. W. 1984: Seosonal decline in brood size of sympatric waterfowl (Anas and Aythya, Anatidae) and a proposed evolutionary explanation. - J. Anim. Ecol. 53: 75-82.
55. Torti, V. M. & Dunn, P. O. 2005: Variable effects of climate change on six species of North American birds. - Oecologia 145: 486-495.
56. Väisänen, R. A. 1974: Timing of waterfowl breeding on the Krunnit Islands, Gulf of Bothnia. - Ornis Fennica 51: 61-84.
57. Verboven, N. & Visser, M. E. 1998: Seasonal variation in local recruitment of great tits: the importance of being early. - Oikos 81: 511-524.
58. Visser, M. E., van Noordwijk, A. J., Tinbergen, J. M. & Lessells, C. M. 1998: Warmer springs lead to mistimed reproduction in great tits (Parus major). - Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 265: 1867-1870.
59. Visser, M. E., Adriaensen, F., van Baien, J. H., Blondel, J., Dhondt, A. A., van Dongen, S., du Feu, C., Ivankina, E. V., Kerimov, A. B., de Laet, J., Matthysen, E., McCleery, R., Orell, M. & Thomson, D. L. 2003: Variable responses to large-scale climate change in European Parus populations. - Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 270: 367-372.
60. Walther, G.-R., Post, E., Convey, P., Menzel, A., Parmesan, C., Beebee, T. J. C., Fromentin, J.-M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O. & Bairlein, F. 2002: Ecological responses to recent climate change. - Nature 416: 389-395.
61. Weatherhead, P. J. 2005: Effects of climate variation on timing of nesting, reproductive success, and offspring sex ratios of red-winged blackbirds. - Oecologia 144: 168-175.
62. Wiggins, D. A., Pärt, T. & Gustafsson, L. 1994: Seasonal decline in collared flycatcher Ficedula albicollis reproductive success: an experimental approach. - Oikos 70: 359-364.