메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 58, Issue 10, 2007, Pages 993-1003

From rainfall to farm incomes - Transforming advice for Australian drought policy. I. Development and testing of a bioeconomic modelling system

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AGRI-ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY; DROUGHT; FARM; INCOME; MODEL TEST; PREDICTION; RAINFALL;

EID: 37349059257     PISSN: 00049409     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1071/AR06193     Document Type: Conference Paper
Times cited : (28)

References (43)
  • 1
    • 23144455470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ABARE , Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics, Canberra, ACT
    • ABARE (2003) Australian farm survey report. Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics, Canberra, ACT.
    • (2003) Australian farm survey report
  • 2
    • 0037314121 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk in rural development: Challenges for managers and policy makers
    • doi: 10.1016/S0308-521X(02)00064-1
    • Anderson JR (2003) Risk in rural development: challenges for managers and policy makers. Agricultural Systems 75, 161-197. doi: 10.1016/S0308-521X(02)00064-1
    • (2003) Agricultural Systems , vol.75 , pp. 161-197
    • Anderson, J.R.1
  • 3
    • 0141792631 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertain climate - the recent history of drought policy in Australia
    • doi: 10.1111/1467-8497.00281
    • Botterill L (2003) Uncertain climate - the recent history of drought policy in Australia. The Australian Journal of Politics and History 49, 61-74. doi: 10.1111/1467-8497.00281
    • (2003) The Australian Journal of Politics and History , vol.49 , pp. 61-74
    • Botterill, L.1
  • 5
    • 37349106819 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Grains - outlook for wheat, coarse grains and oilseeds to 2011-12
    • Brown A, Lawrance L, O'Donnell V (2007) Grains - outlook for wheat, coarse grains and oilseeds to 2011-12. Australian Commodities 14, 27-41.
    • (2007) Australian Commodities , vol.14 , pp. 27-41
    • Brown, A.1    Lawrance, L.2    O'Donnell, V.3
  • 6
    • 37349024046 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the effects of a temporary loss of export markets in case of a foot and mouth disease outbreak in Australia: Preliminary results on costs to Australian beef producers and consumers
    • Cao L, Klijn N, Gleeson T (2003) Modelling the effects of a temporary loss of export markets in case of a foot and mouth disease outbreak in Australia: preliminary results on costs to Australian beef producers and consumers. Agribusiness Review 11, 1-18.
    • (2003) Agribusiness Review , vol.11 , pp. 1-18
    • Cao, L.1    Klijn, N.2    Gleeson, T.3
  • 7
    • 37349098123 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Carter JO, Hall WB, Brook KD, Mc Keon GM, Day KA, Paull CJ (2000) Aussie GRASS: Australian Grassland and Rangeland Assessment by Spatial Simulation. In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)
    • Carter JO, Hall WB, Brook KD, Mc Keon GM, Day KA, Paull CJ (2000) Aussie GRASS: Australian Grassland and Rangeland Assessment by Spatial Simulation. In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. Vol. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)
  • 8
    • 37349046450 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation criteria for statistical editing and imputation. UK Office for National Statistics
    • Chambers R (2001) Evaluation criteria for statistical editing and imputation. UK Office for National Statistics, Methodology Report 28: (www.statistics.gov.uk/downloads/theme_other/GSSMethodology_No_28 v2.pdf).
    • (2001) Methodology Report , vol.28
    • Chambers, R.1
  • 9
    • 37349067925 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Chapman SC, Imray RJ, Hammer GL (2000) Can seasonal forecasts predict movements in grain prices? In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)
    • Chapman SC, Imray RJ, Hammer GL (2000) Can seasonal forecasts predict movements in grain prices? In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. Vol. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)
  • 10
    • 85050119800 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Meat - outlook for beef and veal, sheep meat, pigs and poultry to 2011-12
    • Drum F, Shaw I, Wood A, Ashton D, Lindsay P (2007) Meat - outlook for beef and veal, sheep meat, pigs and poultry to 2011-12. Australian Commodities 14, 62-72.
    • (2007) Australian Commodities , vol.14 , pp. 62-72
    • Drum, F.1    Shaw, I.2    Wood, A.3    Ashton, D.4    Lindsay, P.5
  • 11
    • 37349108596 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hammer G (2000) A general systems approach to applying seasonal climate forecasts. In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)
    • Hammer G (2000) A general systems approach to applying seasonal climate forecasts. In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. Vol. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)
  • 16
    • 19044377773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of the 2002-2003 drought on Australia
    • doi: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2005.01.008
    • Horridge M, Madden J, Wittwer G (2005) The impact of the 2002-2003 drought on Australia. Journal of Policy Modeling 27, 285-308. doi: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2005.01.008
    • (2005) Journal of Policy Modeling , vol.27 , pp. 285-308
    • Horridge, M.1    Madden, J.2    Wittwer, G.3
  • 17
    • 37349008288 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hunt B, Hirst AC (2000) Global climate models and their potential for seasonal climate forecasting. In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)
    • Hunt B, Hirst AC (2000) Global climate models and their potential for seasonal climate forecasting. In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. Vol. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)
  • 18
    • 0002790338 scopus 로고
    • Australian broadacre agriculture: Forecasting supply at the farm level
    • 93.7, Canberra, ACT, Australia
    • Kokic P, Beare S, Topp V, Tulpule V (1993) Australian broadacre agriculture: forecasting supply at the farm level. ABARE Research Report 93.7., Canberra, ACT, Australia.
    • (1993) ABARE Research Report
    • Kokic, P.1    Beare, S.2    Topp, V.3    Tulpule, V.4
  • 21
    • 37349062473 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kruseman G (2000) Bio-economic household modelling for agricultural intensification. PhD thesis, Wageningen University, The Netherlands, Mansholt Studies No. 20.
    • Kruseman G (2000) Bio-economic household modelling for agricultural intensification. PhD thesis, Wageningen University, The Netherlands, Mansholt Studies No. 20.
  • 22
    • 37349052830 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Laughlin G, Clark A (2000) Drought science and drought policy in Australia: a risk management perspective. In 'Early warning systems for drought preparedness and drought management. Proceedings of an Expert Group Meeting'. Lisbon. (Eds A Wilhite, MVK Sivakumar, DA Wood) (World Meteorological Organisation: Geneva)
    • Laughlin G, Clark A (2000) Drought science and drought policy in Australia: a risk management perspective. In 'Early warning systems for drought preparedness and drought management. Proceedings of an Expert Group Meeting'. Lisbon. (Eds A Wilhite, MVK Sivakumar, DA Wood) (World Meteorological Organisation: Geneva)
  • 24
    • 0020867250 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • McBride J, Nicholls N (1983) Seasonal relationships between Australian rainfall and the Southern Oscillation. Monthly Weather Review 111, 1998-2004. doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(1983)111〈1998:SRBARA〉2.0.CO;2
    • McBride J, Nicholls N (1983) Seasonal relationships between Australian rainfall and the Southern Oscillation. Monthly Weather Review 111, 1998-2004. doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(1983)111〈1998:SRBARA〉2.0.CO;2
  • 25
    • 37349035051 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • McKeon G, Ash A, Hall W, Stafford Smith M (2000) Simulation of grazing strategies for beef production in north-east Queensland. In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)
    • McKeon G, Ash A, Hall W, Stafford Smith M (2000) Simulation of grazing strategies for beef production in north-east Queensland. In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. Vol. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)
  • 27
    • 21744440251 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal and inter-annual climate forecasting: The new tool for increasing preparedness to climate variability and change in agricultural planning and operations
    • doi: 10.1007/s10584-005-5948-6
    • Meinke H, Stone R (2005) Seasonal and inter-annual climate forecasting: the new tool for increasing preparedness to climate variability and change in agricultural planning and operations. Climatic Change 70, 221-253. doi: 10.1007/s10584-005-5948-6
    • (2005) Climatic Change , vol.70 , pp. 221-253
    • Meinke, H.1    Stone, R.2
  • 28
    • 33746365472 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Projecting resource use in Australian broadacre agriculture
    • Nelson R (2002) Projecting resource use in Australian broadacre agriculture. Australian Commodities 9, 23-28.
    • (2002) Australian Commodities , vol.9 , pp. 23-28
    • Nelson, R.1
  • 29
    • 37349038192 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From rainfall to farm incomes - transforming advice for Australian drought policy. II. Forecasting farm incomes
    • Nelson R, Kokic P, Meinke H (2007) From rainfall to farm incomes - transforming advice for Australian drought policy. II. Forecasting farm incomes. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 58, 1004-1012.
    • (2007) Australian Journal of Agricultural Research , vol.58 , pp. 1004-1012
    • Nelson, R.1    Kokic, P.2    Meinke, H.3
  • 31
    • 33644632997 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical forage research for the future - better use of research resources to deliver adoption and benefits to farmers. In 'Tropical legumes for sustainable farming systems in southern Africa and Australia
    • Eds A Whitbread, B Pengelly, ACIAR: Canberra, ACT
    • Pengelly B, Whitbread A, Mazaiwana P, Mukombe N (2004) Tropical forage research for the future - better use of research resources to deliver adoption and benefits to farmers. In 'Tropical legumes for sustainable farming systems in southern Africa and Australia'. ACIAR Proceedings No. 115. (Eds A Whitbread, B Pengelly) (ACIAR: Canberra, ACT)
    • (2004) ACIAR Proceedings , vol.115
    • Pengelly, B.1    Whitbread, A.2    Mazaiwana, P.3    Mukombe, N.4
  • 32
    • 33746330713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic overview - prospects for world economic recovery in 2003
    • Penm J, Fisher B (2003) Economic overview - prospects for world economic recovery in 2003. Australian Commodities 10, 5-19.
    • (2003) Australian Commodities , vol.10 , pp. 5-19
    • Penm, J.1    Fisher, B.2
  • 34
    • 0042925743 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On measuring the quality of a probabilistic commodity forecast for a system that incorporates seasonal climate forecasts
    • doi: 10.1002/joc.932
    • Potgieter A, Everingham Y, Hammer G (2003) On measuring the quality of a probabilistic commodity forecast for a system that incorporates seasonal climate forecasts. International Journal of Climatology 23, 1195-1210. doi: 10.1002/joc.932
    • (2003) International Journal of Climatology , vol.23 , pp. 1195-1210
    • Potgieter, A.1    Everingham, Y.2    Hammer, G.3
  • 36
    • 24944572969 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A simple regional-scale model for forecasting sorghum yield across North-Eastern Australia
    • doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2005.07.009
    • Potgieter A, Hammer G, Doherty A, de Voil P (2005) A simple regional-scale model for forecasting sorghum yield across North-Eastern Australia. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 132, 143-153. doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2005.07.009
    • (2005) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , vol.132 , pp. 143-153
    • Potgieter, A.1    Hammer, G.2    Doherty, A.3    de Voil, P.4
  • 37
    • 0036165817 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial and temporal patterns in Australian wheat yield and their relationship with ENSO
    • doi: 10.1071/AR01002
    • Potgieter AB, Hammer GL, Butler D (2002) Spatial and temporal patterns in Australian wheat yield and their relationship with ENSO. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 53, 77-89. doi: 10.1071/AR01002
    • (2002) Australian Journal of Agricultural Research , vol.53 , pp. 77-89
    • Potgieter, A.B.1    Hammer, G.L.2    Butler, D.3
  • 38
    • 37349018784 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rickert KG, Stuth JW, Mc Keon GM (2000) Modelling pasture and animal production. In 'Field and laboratory methods for grassland and animal production research'. (Eds L't Mannetje, RM Jones) (CABI Publishing: New York)
    • Rickert KG, Stuth JW, Mc Keon GM (2000) Modelling pasture and animal production. In 'Field and laboratory methods for grassland and animal production research'. (Eds L't Mannetje, RM Jones) (CABI Publishing: New York)
  • 39
    • 37349070782 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scoccimarro M, Mues C, Topp V (1994) Climatic variability and farm risk, Occasional Paper. Land and Water Resources Research and Development Corporation, no. CV01/95.
    • Scoccimarro M, Mues C, Topp V (1994) Climatic variability and farm risk, Occasional Paper. Land and Water Resources Research and Development Corporation, no. CV01/95.
  • 40
    • 0000868798 scopus 로고
    • A survey of agricultural household models: Recent findings and policy implications
    • doi: 10.1093/wber/1.1.149
    • Singh I, Squire L, Strauss J (1986) A survey of agricultural household models: recent findings and policy implications. The World Bank Economic Review 1, 149-179. doi: 10.1093/wber/1.1.149
    • (1986) The World Bank Economic Review , vol.1 , pp. 149-179
    • Singh, I.1    Squire, L.2    Strauss, J.3
  • 41
    • 0029660787 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction of global rainfall probabilities using phases of the Southern Oscillation Index
    • doi: 10.1038/384252a0
    • Stone RC, Hammer GL, Marcussen T (1996) Prediction of global rainfall probabilities using phases of the Southern Oscillation Index. Nature 384, 252-255. doi: 10.1038/384252a0
    • (1996) Nature , vol.384 , pp. 252-255
    • Stone, R.C.1    Hammer, G.L.2    Marcussen, T.3
  • 42
    • 0032123368 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exceptional circumstances provisions in Australia - is there too much emphasis on drought?
    • doi: 10.1016/S0308-521X(98)00027-4
    • Thompson D, Powell R (1998) Exceptional circumstances provisions in Australia - is there too much emphasis on drought? Agricultural Systems 57, 469-488. doi: 10.1016/S0308-521X(98)00027-4
    • (1998) Agricultural Systems , vol.57 , pp. 469-488
    • Thompson, D.1    Powell, R.2
  • 43
    • 37348998984 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • White B (2000) The importance of climate variability and seasonal forecasting to the Australian economy. In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)
    • White B (2000) The importance of climate variability and seasonal forecasting to the Australian economy. In 'Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems - the Australian experience'. Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library. Vol. 21. (Eds GL Hammer, N Nicholls, C Mitchell) (Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands)


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.