Occupational employment projections to 2016

Monthly Labor Review

Volumn 130, Issue 11, 2007, Pages 86-125

  Dohm, Arlene ^a   Shniper, Lynn ^a  

^a BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS   (United States)

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EID: 37249073364     PISSN: 00981818     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. For more information on the population and labor force projections cited throughout this article, see Mitra Toossi, "Labor force projections to 2016: more workers in their golden years," this issue, pp. 33-52.
2. These projections assume that the current immigration policy and levels of immigration will remain constant.
3. For more information on the methodology used to calculate net replacement needs, see Occupational Projections and Training Data, 2006-07 edition, Bulletin 2602 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2006), Chapter VI; and 2008-09 edition, Bulletin 2702, forthcoming.
4. The number of job openings generated due to growth is expected to be greater than the overall employment change between 2006 and 2016 (15.6 million new jobs), because occupations with declining employment do not create any job openings due to growth.
5. See Betty W. Su, "The U.S. economy to 2016: slower growth as boomers begin to retire," this issue, pp. 13-32, for more information on economic projections pertaining to the U.S. economy.
6. See Rose A. Woods and Eric B. Figueroa, "Industry output and employment projections to 2016," this issue, pp. 53-96, for more information on the employment, output, and productivity projections, by industry, cited throughout this article.
7. Occupational projections presented in this article provide information to those interested in labor market issues. They also provide the background for analyses of future employment opportunities described in the forthcoming 2008-09 Occupational Outlook Handbook. The Internet version of this edition of the Handbook, which will be accessible at www.bls.gov/oco/, is expected to be available in late December 2007;
8. the print version of the 2008-09 Handbook, BLS Bulletin 2700, should be available in the spring of 2008. Job outlook information in the 2008-09 Handbook will use the projections presented in each of the articles in this issue of the Monthly Labor Review. For a description of the methodology used to develop employment projections, see BLS Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2490 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, April 1997), pp. 122-29, on the Internet at www.bls.gov/ emp/nioem/empioan.htm (visited Nov. 30,2007).
9. Those who are self-employed in their primary job are expected to add 643,000 of the 675,000 new jobs fbr all self-employed workers. Those who are self-employed in their secondary jobs are expected to add the remaining 32,000 new jobs.
10. Woods and Figueroa, "Industry output and employment projections to 2016."
11. For more information on the occupational classification system used in this article, see Executive Office of the President, Office of Management and Budget, Standard Occupation Classification Manual 2000 (Lanham, MD, Bernan Associates, 2000),
12. Woods and Figueroa, "Industry output and employment projections to 2016."
13. The education and training categories listed in the tables in this article show the category that best describes the most significant source of postsecondary education or training needed by most workers in a given occupation to become fully qualified in that occupation. However, in many occupations that require a range of education and training, there is more than one way to become qualified. For more information on education and training categories and the educational attainment of workers in occupations, see Occupational Projections and Training Data, 2006-07 edition, Bulletin 2602 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2006), and Occupational Projections and Training Data, 2008-09 edition, Bulletin 2702 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, forthcoming).
14. For detailed occupations that are growing, net replacement needs equal the number of job openings due to growth and net replacements, minus the number of job openings due to growth (numeric change). For detailed occupations that are declining, all job openings are due to replacement needs.
15. Net separations do not count all movements of workers out of an occupation - a measure termed total separations. For example, an opening caused by a worker who stops working for a time and then gets another job in his or her previous occupation would be counted in the measure of total separations, but not in net separations. (See the discussion of the uses of replacement needs information developed in Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Projections and Training Data.)