Modeling population growth of the ovenbird (Seiurus aurocapilla) in the Southern Appalachians

Auk

Volumn 124, Issue 4, 2007, Pages 1359-1372

  Podolsky, Andrei L ^a   Simons, Theodore R ^a   Collazo, Jaime A ^a  

^a NORTH CAROLINA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Annual fecundity; Annual survival; Double brooding; Ovenbird; Population growth models; Renesting; Seiurus aurocapilla

Indexed keywords

FECUNDITY; GROWTH RATE; MIGRATORY SPECIES; MULTIPLE BROODING; POPULATION ESTIMATION; POPULATION GROWTH; POPULATION MODELING; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SONGBIRD; SOURCE-SINK DYNAMICS; SURVIVAL;

APPALACHIANS; NORTH AMERICA;

PASSERI; SEIURUS; SEIURUS AUROCAPILLUS;

EID: 36448938641     PISSN: 00048038     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1642/0004-8038(2007)124[1359:MPGOTO]2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (76)

1. ASKINS, R. A. 2000. Restoring North America's Birds: Lessons from Landscape Ecology. Yale University Press, New Haven, Connecticut.
2. BAYNE, E. M., AND K. A. HOBSON. 2002. Annual survival of adult American Redstarts and Ovenbirds in the southern boreal forest. Wilson Bulletin 114:358-367.
3. BRAWN, J. D., AND S. K. ROBINSON. 1996. Source-sink population dynamics may complicate the interpretation of long-term census data. Ecology 77:3-12.
4. BURKE, D. M., AND E. NOL. 1998. Influence of food abundance, nest-site habitat, and forest fragmentation on breeding Ovenbirds. Auk 115:96-104.
5. BURKE, D. M., AND E. NOL. 2000. Landscape and fragment size effects on reproductive success of forest-breeding birds in Ontario. Ecological Applications 10:1749-1761.
6. DESANTE, D. F., M. P. NOTT, AND D. R. O'GRADY. 2001. Identifying the proximate demographic cause(s) of population change by modeling spatial variation in productivity, survivorship, and population trends. Ardea 89:185-208.
7. DONOVAN, T. M., P. W. JONES, E. M. ANNAND, AND F. R. THOMPSON III. 1997. Variation in local-scale edge effects: Mechanisms and landscape context. Ecology 78:2064-2075.
8. DONOVAN, T. M., R. H. LAMBERSON, A. KIMBER, F. R. THOMPSON III, AND J. FAABORG. 1995a. Modeling the effects of habitat fragmentation on source and sink demography of Neotropical migrant birds. Conservation Biology 9:1396-1407.
9. DONOVAN, T. M., AND C. M. STANLEY. 1995. A new method of determining Ovenbird age on the basis of rectrix shape. Journal of Field Ornithology 66:247-252.
10. DONOVAN, T. M., F. R. THOMPSON III, J. FAABORG, AND J. R. PROBST. 1995b. Reproductive success of migratory birds in habitat sources and sinks. Conservation Biology 9:1380-1395.
11. FAABORG, J., AND W. J. ARENDT. 1995. Survival rates of Puerto Rican birds: Are islands really that different? Auk 112:503-507.
12. FAABORG, J., M. BRITTINGHAM, T. M. DONOVAN, AND J. BLAKE. 1995. Habitat fragmentation in the temperate zone. Pages 357-380 in Ecology and Management of Neotropical Migratory Birds: A Synthesis and Review of Critical Issues (T. E. Martin and D. M. Finch, Eds.). Oxford University Press, Oxford, United Kingdom.
13. FAABORG, J., F. R. THOMPSON III, S. K. ROBINSON, T. M. DONOVAN, D. R. WHITEHEAD, AND J. D. BRAWN. 1998. Understanding fragmented Midwestern landscapes: The future. Pages 193-207 in Avian Conservation: Research and Management (J. M. Marzluff and R. Sallabanks, Eds.). Island Press, Washington, D.C.
14. FARNSWORTH, G. L. 1998. Nesting success and seasonal fecundity of the Wood Thrush, Hylocichla mustelina, in Great Smoky Mountains National Park. Ph.D. dissertation, North Carolina State University, Raleigh.
15. FARNSWORTH, G. L., AND T. R. SIMONS. 2001. How many baskets? Clutch sizes that maximize annual fecundity of multiple-brooded birds. Auk 118:973-982.
16. FARNSWORTH, G. L., AND T. R. SIMONS. 2005. Relationship between Mayfield nest-survival estimates and seasonal fecundity: A cautionary reply. Auk 122:1000-1001.
17. FARNSWORTH, G. L., K. C. WEEKS, AND T. R. SIMONS. 2000. Validating the assumptions of the Mayfield method. Journal of Field Ornithology 71:658-664.
18. FLASPOHLER, D. J., S. A. TEMPLE, AND R. N. ROSENFIELD. 2001. Effects of forest edges on Ovenbird demography in a managed forest landscape. Conservation Biology 15:173-183.
19. FORD, T. B., D. E. WINSLOW, D. R. WHITEHEAD, AND M. A. KOUKOL. 2001. Reproductive success of forest-dependent songbirds near an agricultural corridor in south-central Indiana. Auk 118:864-873.
20. GIBBS, J. P., AND J. FAABORG. 1990. Estimating the viability of Ovenbird and Kentucky Warbler populations in forest fragments. Conservation Biology 4:193-196.
21. GREENWOOD, P. J., AND P. H. HARVEY. 1982. The natal and breeding dispersal of birds. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 13:1-21.
22. GRZYBOWSKI, J. A., AND C. M. PEASE. 2005. Renesting determines seasonal fecundity in songbirds: What do we know? What should we assume? Auk 122:280-291.
23. HANN, H. W. 1937. Life history of the Oven-bird in southern Michigan. Wilson Bulletin 49:145-237.
24. HENSLER, G. L., AND J. D. NICHOLS. 1981. The Mayfield method of estimating nesting success: A model, estimators and simulation results. Wilson Bulletin 93:42-53.
25. HOLMES, R. T., P. P. MARRA, AND T. W. SHERRY. 1996. Habitat-specific demography of breeding Black-Throated Blue Warblers (Dendroica caerulescens): Implications for population dynamics. Journal of Animal Ecology 65:183-195.
26. HOWLETT, J. S., AND B. J. M. STUTCHBURY. 1997. Within-season dispersal, nest-site modification, and predation in renesting Hooded Warblers. Wilson Bulletin 109:643-649.
27. JOHNSON, D. H. 1979. Estimating nesting success: The Mayfield method and an alternative. Auk 96:651-661.
28. JONES, J., J. J. BARG, T. S. SILLETT, M. L. VEIT, AND R. J. ROBERTSON. 2004. Minimum estimates of survival and population growth for Cerulean Warblers (Dendroica cerulea) breeding in Ontario, Canada. Auk 121:15-22.
29. KING, D. I., C. R. GRIFFIN, AND R. M. DEGRAAF. 1996. Effects of clearcutting on habitat use and reproductive success of the Ovenbird in forested landscapes. Conservation Biology 10:1380-1386.
30. LEVINS, R. 1966. The strategy of model building in population biology. American Scientist 54:421-431.
31. MANOLIS, J. C., D. E. ANDERSEN, AND F. J. CUTHBERT. 2000a. Patterns in clearcut edge and fragmentation effect studies in northern hardwood-conifer landscapes: Retrospective and power analysis and Minnesota results. Wildlife Society Bulletin 28:1088-1101.
32. MANOLIS, J. C., D. E. ANDERSEN, AND F. J. CUTHBERT. 2000b. Uncertain nest fates in songbird studies and variation in Mayfield estimation. Auk 117:615-626.
33. MANOLIS, J. C., D. E. ANDERSEN, AND F. J. CUTHBERT. 2002. Edge effect on nesting success of ground nesting birds near regenerating clearcuts in a forest-dominated landscape. Auk 119:955-970.
34. MARSHALL, M. R., D. R. DIEFENBACH, L. A. WOOD, AND R. J. COOPER. 2004. Annual survival estimation of migratory songbirds confounded by incomplete breeding site-fidelity: Study designs that may help. Animal Biodiversity and Conservation 27:59-72.
35. MARTIN, T. E. 1995. Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites, nest predation, and food. Ecological Monographs 65:101-127.
36. MARTIN, T. E., AND G. R. GEUPEL. 1993. Nest-monitoring plots: Methods for locating nests and monitoring success. Journal of Field Ornithology 64:507-519.
37. MATTSSON, B. J., AND G. J. NIEMI. 2006. Factors influencing predation on Ovenbird (Seiurus aurocapilla) nests in northern hardwoods: Interactions across spatial scales. Auk 123:82-96.
38. MAY, R. M., AND S. K. ROBINSON. 1985. Population dynamics of avian brood parasitism. American Naturalist 126:475-494.
39. MAYFIELD, H. [F.] 1961. Nesting success calculated from exposure. Wilson Bulletin 75:255-261.
40. MAYFIELD, H. F. 1975. Suggestions for calculating nest success. Wilson Bulletin 87:456-466.
41. MURPHY, M. T. 2001. Habitat-specific demography of a long-distance, Neotropical migrant bird, the Eastern Kingbird. Ecology 82:1304-1318.
42. MURRAY, B. G., JR. 1991. Measuring annual reproductive success, with comments on the evolution of reproductive behavior. Auk 108:942-952.
43. MURRAY, B. G., JR. 1992. The evolutionary significance of lifetime reproductive success. Auk 109:167-172.
44. NAGY, L. R., AND R. T. HOLMES. 2004. Factors influencing fecundity in migratory songbirds: Is nest predation the most important? Journal of Avian Biology 35:487-491.
45. NAGY, L. R., AND R. T. HOLMES. 2005. To double-brood or not? Individual variation in the reproductive effort in Black-Throated Blue Warblers (Dendroica caerulescens). Auk 122:902-914.
46. NICHOLS, J. D., B. R. NOON, S. L. STOKES, AND J. E. HINES. 1981. Remarks on the use of mark-recapture methodology in estimating avian population size. Pages 121-136 in Estimating Numbers of Terrestrial Birds (C. J. Ralph and J. M. Scott, Eds.). Studies in Avian Biology, no. 6.
47. PAYEVSKY, V. A. 1985. Bird Demography. Nauka, St. Petersburg, Russia.
48. PEASE, C. M., AND J A. GRZYBOWSKI. 1995. Assessing the consequences of brood parasitism and nest predation on seasonal fecundity in passerine birds. Auk 112:343-363.
49. PERKINS, D. W., AND P. D. VICKERY. 2001. Annual survival of an endangered passerine, the Florida Grasshopper Sparrow. Wilson Bulletin 113:211-216.
50. PODOLSKY, A. L. 2003. Behavioral ecology and population status of Wood Thrush and Ovenbird in Great Smoky Mountains National Park. Ph.D. dissertation, North Carolina State University, Raleigh.
51. PORNELUZI, P. A., AND J. FAABORG. 1999. Season-long fecundity, survival, and viability of Ovenbirds in fragmented and unfragmented landscapes. Conservation Biology 13:1151-1161.
52. POWELL, L. A., M. J. CONROY, D. G. KREMENTZ, AND J. D. LANG. 1999. A model to predict breeding-season productivity for multi-brooded songbirds. Auk 116:1001-1008.
53. PULLIAM, H. R. 1988. Sources, sinks, and population regulation. American Naturalist 132:652-661.
54. RICKLEFS, R. E. 1973. Fecundity, mortality, and avian demography. Pages 366-435 in Breeding Biology of Birds (D. S. Farner, Ed.). National Academy of Sciences, Philadelphia.
55. RICKLEFS, R. E. 1997. Comparative demography of New World populations of thrushes (Turdus spp.). Ecological Monographs 67:23-43.
56. ROBBINS, C. S., J. R. SAUER, R. S. GREENBERG, AND S. DROEGE. 1989. Population declines in North American birds that migrate to the Neotropics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 86:7658-7662.
57. ROBERTS, J. O. L. 1971. Survival among some North American wood warblers. Bird-Banding 42:165-184.
58. RODEWALD, A. D. 2004. Nest-searching cues and studies of nest-site selection and nesting success. Journal of Field Ornithology 75:31-39.
59. RUTH, J. M., D. R. PETIT, J. R. SAUER, M. D. SAMUEL, F. A. JOHNSON, M. D. FORNWALL, C. E. KORSCHGEN, AND J. P. BENNETT. 2003. Science for avian conservation: Priorities for the new millennium. Auk 120:204-211.
60. SANDERCOCK, B. K., AND A. JARAMILLO. 2002. Annual survival rates of wintering sparrows: Assessing demographic consequences of migration. Auk 119:149-165.
61. SAUER, J. R., J. E. HINES, AND J. FALLON. 2005. The North American Breeding Bird Survey, Results and Analysis, 1966-2004, version 2005.2. U.S. Geological Survey Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, Maryland. [Online.] Available at www.mbr-pwrc.usgs.gov/bbs/bbs2004.html
62. SAVIDGE, I. R., AND D. E. DAVIS. 1974. Survival of some common passerines in a Pennsylvania woodlot. Bird-Banding 45:152-155.
63. SCHMUTZ, J. A., R. F. ROCKWELL, AND M. R. PETERSEN. 1997. Relative effects of survival and reproduction on the population dynamics of Emperor Geese. Journal of Wildlife Management 61:191-201.
64. SCHROEDER, M. A. 1997. Unusually high reproductive effort by Sage Grouse in a fragmented habitat in north-central Washington. Condor 99:933-941.
65. SILLETT, T. S., AND R. T. HOLMES. 2002. Variation in survivorship of a migratory songbird throughout its annual cycle. Journal of Animal Ecology 71:296-308.
66. SIMONS, T. R., G. L. FARNSWORTH, AND S. A. SHRINER. 2000. Evaluating Great Smoky Mountains National Park as a population source for the Wood Thrush. Conservation Biology 14:1133-1144.
67. SIMONS, T. R., AND S. A. SHRINER. 2000. Ecology and conservation of Neotropical migrants in the southern Appalachians. 1999 Annual Report to the National Park Service.
68. TEMPLE, S. A., AND J. R. CARY. 1988. Modeling dynamics of habitat-interior bird populations in fragmented landscapes. Conservation Biology 2:340-347.
69. TERBORGH, J. W. 1992. Why American songbirds are vanishing. Scientific American 266:98-104.
70. THOMPSON, B. C., G. E. KNADLE, D. L. BRUBAKER, AND K. S. BRUBAKER. 2001. Nest success is not an adequate comparative estimate of avian reproduction. Journal of Field Ornithology 72:527-536.
71. VAN HORN, M. A., AND T. M. DONOVAN. 1994. Ovenbird (Seiurus aurocapillus). In Birds of North America, no. 88 (A. Poole and F. Gill, Eds.). Academy of Natural Sciences, Philadelphia, and American Ornithologists' Union, Washington, D.C.
72. VERHULST, S., J. M. TINBERGEN, AND S. DAAN. 1997. Multiple breeding in the Great Tit. A trade-off between successive reproductive attempts? Functional Ecology 11:714-722.
73. VILLARD, M.-A., K. FREEMARK, AND G. MERRIAM. 1992. Metapopulation theory and Neotropical migrant birds in temperate forests: An empirical investigation. Pages 474-482 in Ecology and Conservation of Neotropical Migrant Landbirds (J. M. Hagan III and D. W. Johnston, Eds.). Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, D.C.
74. WANDER, S. A. 1985. Comparative breeding biology of the Ovenbird in large vs. fragmented forests: Implications for the conservation of Neotropical migrant birds. Ph.D. dissertation, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey.
75. WILCOVE, D. S. 1985. Nest predation in forest tracts and the decline of migratory songbirds. Ecology 66:1211-1214.
76. ZACH, R., AND J. B. FALLS. 1976. A second brood in the Ovenbird, Seiurus aurocapillus. Canadian Field-Naturalist 90:58-59.