메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 17, Issue 17, 2007, Pages 1421-1430

Volatility forecasts: The role of asymmetric and long-memory dynamics and regional evidence

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ASYMMETRY; FORECASTING METHOD; MODELING; STOCK MARKET;

EID: 36148933765     PISSN: 09603107     EISSN: 14664305     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/09603100601007149     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (11)

References (40)
  • 1
    • 0001917976 scopus 로고
    • Conditional heteroscedasticity in time series of stock returns
    • Akigiray, V. (1989) Conditional heteroscedasticity in time series of stock returns. Journal of Business, 62, pp. 55-80.
    • (1989) Journal of Business , vol.62 , pp. 55-80
    • Akigiray, V.1
  • 2
    • 0005880209 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Answering the skeptics: Yes, standard volatility models do provide accurate forecasts
    • Andersen, TG and Bollerslev, T. (1998) Answering the skeptics: Yes, standard volatility models do provide accurate forecasts. International Economic Review, 39, pp. 889-905.
    • (1998) International Economic Review , vol.39 , pp. 889-905
    • Andersen, T.G.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 3
    • 0041308591 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting financial market volatility: Sample frequency vis-á-vis forecast horizon
    • Andersen, TG, Bollerslev, T. and Lange, S. (1999) Forecasting financial market volatility: Sample frequency vis-á-vis forecast horizon. Journal of Empirical Finance, 6, pp. 457-477.
    • (1999) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.6 , pp. 457-477
    • Andersen, T.G.1    Bollerslev, T.2    Lange, S.3
  • 4
    • 0040485278 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fractionally integrated generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity
    • Baillie, R. T., Bollerslev, T. and Mikkelsen, HO (1996) Fractionally integrated generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 74, pp. 3-30.
    • (1996) Journal of Econometrics , vol.74 , pp. 3-30
    • Baillie, R.T.1    Bollerslev, T.2    Mikkelsen, H.O.3
  • 5
    • 84993867944 scopus 로고
    • ARCH models: Properties, estimation and testing
    • Bera, AK and Higgins, ML (1993) ARCH models: Properties, estimation and testing. Journal of Economic Surveys, 7, pp. 305-362.
    • (1993) Journal of Economic Surveys , vol.7 , pp. 305-362
    • Bera, A.K.1    Higgins, M.L.2
  • 7
    • 49149136203 scopus 로고
    • A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the business cycle
    • Beveridge, S. and Nelson, CR (1981) A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the business cycle. Journal of Monetary Economics, 7, pp. 151-174.
    • (1981) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.7 , pp. 151-174
    • Beveridge, S.1    Nelson, C.R.2
  • 9
    • 42449156579 scopus 로고
    • Generalised autoregressive heteroscedasticity
    • Bollerslev, T. (1986) Generalised autoregressive heteroscedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31, pp. 307-327.
    • (1986) Journal of Econometrics , vol.31 , pp. 307-327
    • Bollerslev, T.1
  • 12
    • 0030117828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An evaluation of volatility forecasting techniques
    • Brailsford, TJ and Faff, RW (1996) An evaluation of volatility forecasting techniques. Journal of Banking and Finance, 20, pp. 419-438.
    • (1996) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.20 , pp. 419-438
    • Brailsford, T.J.1    Faff, R.W.2
  • 13
    • 0033939128 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exchange controls and transmission of equity market volatility: The case of the UK
    • Chelley-Steeley, PL (2000) Exchange controls and transmission of equity market volatility: The case of the UK. Applied Financial Economics, 10, pp. 317-322.
    • (2000) Applied Financial Economics , vol.10 , pp. 317-322
    • Chelley-Steeley, P.L.1
  • 14
    • 49049143130 scopus 로고
    • The stochastic behaviour of common stock variances: Value, leverage and interest rate effects
    • Christie, AA (1982) The stochastic behaviour of common stock variances: value, leverage and interest rate effects. Journal of Financial Economics, 10, pp. 407-432.
    • (1982) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.10 , pp. 407-432
    • Christie, A.A.1
  • 15
    • 0037212429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International equity market comovements: Economic fundamentals or contagion?
    • Connolly, RA and Wang, FA (2003) International equity market comovements: Economic fundamentals or contagion?. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 11, pp. 23-43.
    • (2003) Pacific-Basin Finance Journal , vol.11 , pp. 23-43
    • Connolly, R.A.1    Wang, F.A.2
  • 16
    • 0041012082 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting volatility and correlations with EGARCH models
    • Cumby, R., Figlewski, S. and Hasbrouch, J. (1993) Forecasting volatility and correlations with EGARCH models. Journal of Derivatives, pp. 51-63.
    • (1993) Journal of Derivatives , pp. 51-63
    • Cumby, R.1    Figlewski, S.2    Hasbrouch, J.3
  • 17
    • 0742324055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Moment and memory properties of linear conditional heteroscedasticity models and a new model
    • Davidson, J. (2004) Moment and memory properties of linear conditional heteroscedasticity models and a new model. Journal of Business and Economics Statistics, 22, pp. 16-29.
    • (2004) Journal of Business and Economics Statistics , vol.22 , pp. 16-29
    • Davidson, J.1
  • 19
    • 38249018907 scopus 로고
    • Volatility forecasting without data snooping
    • Dimson, E. and Marsh, P. (1990) Volatility forecasting without data snooping. Journal of Banking and Finance, 14, pp. 399-421.
    • (1990) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.14 , pp. 399-421
    • Dimson, E.1    Marsh, P.2
  • 20
    • 0041059062 scopus 로고
    • A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model
    • Ding, Z., Granger, CWJ and Engle, RF (1993) A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model. Journal of Empirical Finance, 1, pp. 83-106.
    • (1993) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.1 , pp. 83-106
    • Ding, Z.1    Granger, C.W.J.2    Engle, R.F.3
  • 21
    • 0000051984 scopus 로고
    • Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation
    • Engle, RF (1982) Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50, pp. 987-1007.
    • (1982) Econometrica , vol.50 , pp. 987-1007
    • Engle, R.F.1
  • 22
    • 84963146757 scopus 로고
    • Modelling the persistence of conditional variances
    • Engle, RF and Bollerslev, T. (1986) Modelling the persistence of conditional variances. Econometric Reviews, 5, pp. 1-50.
    • (1986) Econometric Reviews , vol.5 , pp. 1-50
    • Engle, R.F.1    Bollerslev, T.2
  • 25
    • 0000557541 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting stock market volatility using (nonlinear) GARCH models
    • Franses, PH and Dijk, D. (1996) Forecasting stock market volatility using (nonlinear) GARCH models. Journal of Forecasting, 15, pp. 229-235.
    • (1996) Journal of Forecasting , vol.15 , pp. 229-235
    • Franses, P.H.1    Dijk, D.2
  • 26
    • 0034395874 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stationary ARCH models: Dependence structure and central limit theorem
    • Giraitis, L., Kokoszka, P. and Leipus, R. (2000) Stationary ARCH models: dependence structure and central limit theorem. Econometric Theory, 16, pp. 3-22.
    • (2000) Econometric Theory , vol.16 , pp. 3-22
    • Giraitis, L.1    Kokoszka, P.2    Leipus, R.3
  • 27
    • 84993601065 scopus 로고
    • On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks
    • Glosten, LR, Jagannathan, R. and Runkle, DE (1993) On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. Journal of Finance, 48, pp. 1779-1801.
    • (1993) Journal of Finance , vol.48 , pp. 1779-1801
    • Glosten, L.R.1    Jagannathan, R.2    Runkle, D.E.3
  • 28
    • 84993915193 scopus 로고
    • Predicting volatility in the foreign exchange market
    • Jorion, P. (1995) Predicting volatility in the foreign exchange market. Journal of Finance, 50, pp. 381-400.
    • (1995) Journal of Finance , vol.50 , pp. 381-400
    • Jorion, P.1
  • 29
    • 0039338653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk and turnover in foreign exchange market
    • Chicago University Press, Chicago
    • Jorion, P. (1996) Risk and turnover in foreign exchange market. The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets, pp. 19-37. Chicago University Press, Chicago
    • (1996) The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets , pp. 19-37
    • Jorion, P.1
  • 30
    • 23844441526 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic stock market integration driven by the European Monetary Union: An empirical analysis
    • Kim, SJ and Moshirian, F. (2005) Dynamic stock market integration driven by the European Monetary Union: An empirical analysis. Journal of Banking and Finance, 29, pp. 2475-2502.
    • (2005) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.29 , pp. 2475-2502
    • Kim, S.J.1    Moshirian, F.2
  • 31
    • 84992529786 scopus 로고
    • Volatility and links between national stock markets
    • King, M., Sentana, E. and Wadhwani, S. (1994) Volatility and links between national stock markets. Econometrica, 62, pp. 901-934.
    • (1994) Econometrica , vol.62 , pp. 901-934
    • King, M.1    Sentana, E.2    Wadhwani, S.3
  • 32
  • 33
    • 4744342417 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Daily volatility forecasts: Reassessing the performance of GARCH Models
    • McMillan, DG and Speight, AEH (2004) Daily volatility forecasts: reassessing the performance of GARCH Models. Journal of Forecasting, 23, pp. 449-460.
    • (2004) Journal of Forecasting , vol.23 , pp. 449-460
    • McMillan, D.G.1    Speight, A.E.H.2
  • 34
    • 0012907277 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting UK stock market volatility: A comparative analysis of alternate methods
    • McMillan, DG, Speight, AEH and Gwilym, O ap (2000) Forecasting UK stock market volatility: A comparative analysis of alternate methods. Applied Financial Economics, 10, pp. 435-448.
    • (2000) Applied Financial Economics , vol.10 , pp. 435-448
    • McMillan, D.G.1    Speight, A.E.H.2    Gwilym, O.Ap.3
  • 35
    • 0000641348 scopus 로고
    • Conditional heteroscedasticity in asset returns: A new approach
    • Nelson, DB (1991) Conditional heteroscedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59, pp. 347-370.
    • (1991) Econometrica , vol.59 , pp. 347-370
    • Nelson, D.B.1
  • 36
    • 45149141217 scopus 로고
    • Alternative models for conditional stock market volatility
    • Pagan, AR and Schwert, GW (1990) Alternative models for conditional stock market volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 45, pp. 267-290.
    • (1990) Journal of Econometrics , vol.45 , pp. 267-290
    • Pagan, A.R.1    Schwert, G.W.2
  • 37
    • 0344547293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting volatility in financial markets: A review
    • Poon, SH and Granger, CWJ (2003) Forecasting volatility in financial markets: A review. Journal of Economic Literature, 41, pp. 478-539.
    • (2003) Journal of Economic Literature , vol.41 , pp. 478-539
    • Poon, S.H.1    Granger, C.W.J.2
  • 39
    • 0000157150 scopus 로고
    • Stock return volatility in the Tokyo stock exchange
    • Tse, YK (1991) Stock return volatility in the Tokyo stock exchange. Japan and the World Economy, 3, pp. 285-298.
    • (1991) Japan and the World Economy , vol.3 , pp. 285-298
    • Tse, Y.K.1
  • 40
    • 0002721552 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting volatility in the Singapore stock market
    • Tse, YK and Tung, SH (1992) Forecasting volatility in the Singapore stock market. Asia Pacific Journal of Management, 9, pp. 1-13.
    • (1992) Asia Pacific Journal of Management , vol.9 , pp. 1-13
    • Tse, Y.K.1    Tung, S.H.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.