An early history of hindsight research

Social Cognition

Volumn 25, Issue 1, 2007, Pages 10-13

  Fischhoff, Baruch ^a  

^a CARNEGIE MELLON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 35548967921     PISSN: 0278016X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1521/soco.2007.25.1.10     Document Type: Review

References (15)

1. Ellis, A. (1966). Psychosexual and marital problems. In L. A. Berg & L. A. Pennington (Eds.), An introduction to clinical psychology. New York: Ronald.
2. Fischhoff, B. (1975). Hindsight ≠ foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 104, 288-299.
3. Fischhoff, B. (1976). The effect of temporal setting on likelihood, estimates. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 15, 180-194.
4. Fischhoff, B. (1982). For those condemned to study the past: Reflections on historical judgment. In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, & A. Tversky (Eds.), judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. New York: Cambridge University Press.
5. Fischhoff, B., & Beyth, R. (1974). Failure has many fathers. Review of I. Janis, Victims of Groupthink. Megamot, 28, 325-328 (in Hebrew).
6. Reprinted in Policy Sciences, 7, 388-393.
7. Fischhoff, B., & Beyth, R. (1975). "I knew it would happen": Remembered probabilities of once-future things. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 13, 1-16.
8. Fischhoff, B., Gonzalez, R.M., Lerner, J.S., & Small, D. A. (2005). Evolving judgments of terrorism risks: Foresight, hindsight, and emotion. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 11, 124-139.
9. Janis, I. (1972). Victims of groupthink. Boston: Houghton Mifflin.
10. Lakatos, I. (1970). Falsification and the scientific research programmes. In I. Lakatos & A. Musgrave (Eds.), Criticism and the growth of scientific knowledge. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
11. Meehl, P.E. (1973). Why I do not attend case conferences. In Psychodiagnosis: Selected papers (pp. 225-302). New York: Norton.
12. Motterlini, M. (1999). For and against method. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
13. Roediger, H.L., III. (2004). Great dissertations: Mark I. Observer, 17(10).
14. Slovic, P., & Fischhoff, B. (1977). On the psychology of experimental surprises. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 3, 544-551.
15. Slovic, P., & Lichtenstein, S. (1971). Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 6, 649-744.