Modelling adaptive management strategies for coping with the impacts of climate variability and change on riverine algal blooms

Global Change Biology

Volumn 13, Issue 11, 2007, Pages 2453-2465

  Viney, Neil R ^a   Bates, Bryson C ^a   Charles, Stephen P ^a   Webster, Ian T ^a   Bormans, Myriam ^a,b  

^a CSIRO   (Australia)

^b UNIVERSITÉ DE RENNES 1   (France)

Author keywords

Adaptive management; Algal blooms; Anabaena circinalis; Climate change; Climate variability; Weir pool stratification

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; ALGAL BLOOM; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; HYDROLOGY; STREAMFLOW; WATER RESOURCE;

AUSTRALASIA; AUSTRALIA; MURRUMBIDGEE RIVER; NEW SOUTH WALES;

ALGAE; ANABAENA; ANABAENA CIRCINALIS;

EID: 35348910411     PISSN: 13541013     EISSN: 13652486     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01443.x     Document Type: Article

References (27)

1. Bates BC, Charles SP, Campbell EP (2001) Stochastic downscaling experiments for southwest Western Australia. In: Second Research Report - Towards Understanding Climate Variability in South Western Australia, pp. 97-148. Indian Ocean Climate Initiative Panel, Perth, Australia.
2. Bates BC, Charles SP, Hughes JP (1998) Stochastic downscaling of numerical climate model simulations. Environmental Modelling and Software, 13, 325-331.
3. Bek P (1994) Murrumbidgee nutrients and algal growth potential: The Bek report. In: The Murrumbidgee Past and Present (eds Roberts J, Oliver R), pp. 1-6. CSIRO Division of Water Resources, Griffith, Australia.
4. Bormans M, Condie SA (1998) Modelling the distribution of Anabaena and Melosira in a stratified river weir pool. Hydrobiologia, 364, 3-13.
5. Bormans M, Maier H, Burch M, Baker P (1997) Temperature stratification in the lower Murray River, Australia: Implications for cyanobacterial bloom development. Marine and Freshwater Research, 48, 647-654.
6. Bormans M, Webster IT (1997) A mixing criterion for turbid rivers. Environmental Modelling and Software, 12, 329-333.
7. Bormans M, Webster IT (1998) Dynamics of temperature stratification in lowland rivers. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 124, 1059-1063.
8. Bowling LC, Baker PD (1996) Major cyanobacterial bloom in the Barwon-Darling River, Australia, in 1991, and underlying limnological conditions. Marine and Freshwater Research, 47, 643-657.
9. Burges SJ (1998) Streamflow prediction: Capabilities, opportunities, and challenges. In: Hydrologic Sciences: Taking Stock and Looking Ahead, pp. 101-134. National Academy of Sciences, Washington, USA.
10. Charles SP, Bates BC, Hughes JP (1999) A spatio-temporal model for downscaling precipitation occurrence and amounts. Journal of Geophysical Research, 104, 31657-31669.
11. Charles SP, Bates BC, Viney NR (2003) Linking atmospheric circulation to daily rainfall patterns across the Murrumbidgee River Basin. Water Science and Technology, 48, 233-240.
12. Davis JR, Koop K (2006) Eutrophication in Australian rivers, reservoirs and estuaries -a southern hemisphere perspective on the science and its implications. Hydrobiologia, 559, 23-76.
13. Elliott JA, Jones ID, Thackeray SJ (2006) Testing the sensitivity of phytoplankton communities to changes in water temperature and nutrient load, in a temperate lake. Hydrobiologia, 559, 401-411.
14. Elliott JA, Thackeray SJ, Huntingford C, Jones RG (2005) Combining a regional climate model with a phytoplankton community model to predict future changes in phytoplankton in lakes. Freshwater Biology, 50, 1404-1411.
15. Garnett C, Shaw G, Moore D, Florian P, Moore M (2003) Impact of Climate Change on Toxic Cyanobacterial (Blue-Green Algal) Blooms and Algal Toxin Production in Queensland. National Research Centre for Environmental Toxicology, Brisbane, Australia.
16. Giorgi F, Hewitson B, Christensen J et al. (2001) Regional climate information - evaluation and projections. In: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis (eds Houghton JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ et al.), pp. 583-638. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
17. Gordon HB, Rotstayn LD, McGregor JL et al. (2002) The CSIRO Mk3 Climate System Model. Technical Paper No. 60. CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia, 130 pp.
18. Hughes JP, Guttorp P, Charles SP (1999) A non-homogeneous hidden Markov model for precipitation occurrence. Applied Statistics, 48, 15-30.
19. Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R et al. (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 77, 437-471.
20. Mackay AW, Ryves DB, Morley DW, Jewson DH, Rioual P (2006) Assessing the vulnerability of endemic diatom species in Lake Baikal to predicted future climate change: A multivariate approach. Global Change Biology, 12, 2297-2315.
21. Maier HR, Burch MD, Bormans M (2001) Flow management strategies to control blooms of the cyanobacterium, Anabaena circinalis, in the River Murray at Morgan, South Australia. Regulated Rivers: Research and Management, 17, 637-650.
22. Maier HR, Dandy GC, Burch MD (1998) Use of artificial neural networks for modelling cyanobacteria Anabaena spp. in the River Murray, South Australia. Ecological Modelling, 105, 257-272.
23. Mitrovic SM, Chessman BC, Bowling LC, Cooke RH (2006) Modelling suppression of cyanobacterial blooms by flow management in a lowland river. River Research and Applications, 22, 109-114.
24. Nash JE, Sutcliffe JV (1970) River flow forecasting through conceptual models, I, a discussion of principles. Journal of Hydrology, 10, 282-290.
25. Sherman BS, Webster IT, Jones GJ, Oliver RL (1998) Transitions between Aulacoseira and Anabaena dominance in a turbid river weir pool. Limnology and Oceanography, 43, 1902-1915.
26. Simons M, Podger G, Cooke R (1996) IQQM - a hydrologic modelling tool for water resource and salinity management. Environmental Software, 11, 185-192.
27. Webster IT, Sherman BS, Bormans M, Jones G (2000) Management strategies for cyanobacterial blooms in an impounded lowland river. Regulated Rivers: Research and Management, 16, 513-525.