메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 141, Issue 2, 2007, Pages 1196-1218

Confidence sets for the date of a single break in linear time series regressions

Author keywords

Coverage control; Locally best test; Test inversion

Indexed keywords

ASYMPTOTIC ANALYSIS; DATA STRUCTURES; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PROBLEM SOLVING; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

EID: 34848925459     PISSN: 03044076     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2007.02.001     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (63)

References (44)
  • 1
    • 0001758906 scopus 로고
    • Heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix estimation
    • Andrews D. Heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix estimation. Econometrica 59 (1991) 817-858
    • (1991) Econometrica , vol.59 , pp. 817-858
    • Andrews, D.1
  • 2
    • 0001162133 scopus 로고
    • Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point
    • Andrews D. Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point. Econometrica 61 (1993) 821-856
    • (1993) Econometrica , vol.61 , pp. 821-856
    • Andrews, D.1
  • 3
    • 0242498734 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • End-of-sample instability tests
    • Andrews D. End-of-sample instability tests. Econometrica 71 (2003) 1661-1694
    • (2003) Econometrica , vol.71 , pp. 1661-1694
    • Andrews, D.1
  • 4
    • 0000383942 scopus 로고
    • An improved heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix estimator
    • Andrews D., and Monahan J. An improved heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix estimator. Econometrica 60 (1992) 953-966
    • (1992) Econometrica , vol.60 , pp. 953-966
    • Andrews, D.1    Monahan, J.2
  • 5
    • 0000209591 scopus 로고
    • Optimal tests when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative
    • Andrews D., and Ploberger W. Optimal tests when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative. Econometrica 62 (1994) 1383-1414
    • (1994) Econometrica , vol.62 , pp. 1383-1414
    • Andrews, D.1    Ploberger, W.2
  • 6
    • 0003021285 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal changepoint tests for normal linear regression
    • Andrews D., Lee I., and Ploberger W. Optimal changepoint tests for normal linear regression. Journal of Econometrics 70 (1996) 9-38
    • (1996) Journal of Econometrics , vol.70 , pp. 9-38
    • Andrews, D.1    Lee, I.2    Ploberger, W.3
  • 7
    • 84981423142 scopus 로고
    • Least squares estimation of a shift in linear processes
    • Bai J. Least squares estimation of a shift in linear processes. Journal of Time Series Analysis 15 (1994) 453-470
    • (1994) Journal of Time Series Analysis , vol.15 , pp. 453-470
    • Bai, J.1
  • 8
    • 0031492060 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating multiple breaks one at a time
    • Bai J. Estimating multiple breaks one at a time. Econometric Theory 13 (1997) 315-352
    • (1997) Econometric Theory , vol.13 , pp. 315-352
    • Bai, J.1
  • 9
    • 0031325058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of a change point in multiple regressions
    • Bai J. Estimation of a change point in multiple regressions. Review of Economics and Statistics 79 (1997) 551-563
    • (1997) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.79 , pp. 551-563
    • Bai, J.1
  • 10
    • 0001262068 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Likelihood ratio tests for multiple structural changes
    • Bai J. Likelihood ratio tests for multiple structural changes. Journal of Econometrics 91 (1999) 299-323
    • (1999) Journal of Econometrics , vol.91 , pp. 299-323
    • Bai, J.1
  • 11
    • 0346906789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes
    • Bai J., and Perron P. Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica 66 (1998) 47-78
    • (1998) Econometrica , vol.66 , pp. 47-78
    • Bai, J.1    Perron, P.2
  • 12
    • 84929267412 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multiple structural change models: a simulation analysis
    • Corbea D., Durlauf S., and Hansen B. (Eds), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • Bai J., and Perron P. Multiple structural change models: a simulation analysis. In: Corbea D., Durlauf S., and Hansen B. (Eds). Econometric Theory and Practice: Frontiers of Analysis and Applied Research (2006), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge 212-237
    • (2006) Econometric Theory and Practice: Frontiers of Analysis and Applied Research , pp. 212-237
    • Bai, J.1    Perron, P.2
  • 13
    • 0001568702 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for and dating common breaks in multivariate time series
    • Bai J., Lumsdaine R., and Stock J. Testing for and dating common breaks in multivariate time series. Review of Economic Studies 65 (1998) 395-432
    • (1998) Review of Economic Studies , vol.65 , pp. 395-432
    • Bai, J.1    Lumsdaine, R.2    Stock, J.3
  • 14
    • 0000233570 scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood estimation of a change-point in the distribution of independent random variables: general multiparameter case
    • Bhattacharya P. Maximum likelihood estimation of a change-point in the distribution of independent random variables: general multiparameter case. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 23 (1987) 183-208
    • (1987) Journal of Multivariate Analysis , vol.23 , pp. 183-208
    • Bhattacharya, P.1
  • 15
    • 0001536844 scopus 로고
    • Some aspects of change-point analysis
    • Carlstein E., Müller H., and Siegmund D. (Eds), Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Hayward
    • Bhattacharya P. Some aspects of change-point analysis. In: Carlstein E., Müller H., and Siegmund D. (Eds). Change-Point Problems (1994), Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Hayward 28-56
    • (1994) Change-Point Problems , pp. 28-56
    • Bhattacharya, P.1
  • 16
    • 34848884721 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Boivin, J., 2003. Has U.S. monetary policy changed? Evidence from drifting coefficients and real time data. Mimeo, Columbia University.
  • 17
    • 0000094871 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for the presence of a random walk in a series with structural breaks
    • Busetti F., and Harvey A. Testing for the presence of a random walk in a series with structural breaks. Journal of Time Series Analysis 22 (2001) 127-150
    • (2001) Journal of Time Series Analysis , vol.22 , pp. 127-150
    • Busetti, F.1    Harvey, A.2
  • 18
    • 0006260747 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monetary policy rules and macroeconomic stability: evidence and some theory
    • Clarida R., Gali J., and Gertler M. Monetary policy rules and macroeconomic stability: evidence and some theory. Quarterly Journal of Economics 115 (2000) 147-180
    • (2000) Quarterly Journal of Economics , vol.115 , pp. 147-180
    • Clarida, R.1    Gali, J.2    Gertler, M.3
  • 19
    • 34848835944 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Crainiceanu, C., Vogelsang, T., 2002. Spectral density bandwidth choice: source of nonmonotonic power for tests of a mean shift in a time series. Mimeo, Cornell University.
  • 20
    • 33749072972 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficient tests for general persistent time variation in regression coefficients
    • Elliott G., and Müller U. Efficient tests for general persistent time variation in regression coefficients. Review of Economic Studies 73 (2006) 907-940
    • (2006) Review of Economic Studies , vol.73 , pp. 907-940
    • Elliott, G.1    Müller, U.2
  • 21
    • 0036021934 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal similar tests for structural change for the linear regression model
    • Forchini G. Optimal similar tests for structural change for the linear regression model. Econometric Theory 18 (2002) 853-867
    • (2002) Econometric Theory , vol.18 , pp. 853-867
    • Forchini, G.1
  • 22
    • 0001028687 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sample splitting and threshold estimation
    • Hansen B. Sample splitting and threshold estimation. Econometrica 68 (2000) 575-603
    • (2000) Econometrica , vol.68 , pp. 575-603
    • Hansen, B.1
  • 23
  • 24
    • 77956887957 scopus 로고
    • Inference about the change-point in a sequence of random variables
    • Hinkley D. Inference about the change-point in a sequence of random variables. Biometrika 57 (1970) 1-17
    • (1970) Biometrika , vol.57 , pp. 1-17
    • Hinkley, D.1
  • 26
    • 0242280259 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for stationarity with a break
    • Kurozumi E. Testing for stationarity with a break. Journal of Econometrics 108 (2002) 63-99
    • (2002) Journal of Econometrics , vol.108 , pp. 63-99
    • Kurozumi, E.1
  • 28
    • 0012462939 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consumption, aggregate wealth and expected stock returns
    • Lettau M., and Ludvigson S. Consumption, aggregate wealth and expected stock returns. Journal of Finance 56 (2001) 815-849
    • (2001) Journal of Finance , vol.56 , pp. 815-849
    • Lettau, M.1    Ludvigson, S.2
  • 29
    • 0000101621 scopus 로고
    • Properties of sequences of partial sums of polynomial regression residuals with applications to test for change of regression at unknown times
    • MacNeill I. Properties of sequences of partial sums of polynomial regression residuals with applications to test for change of regression at unknown times. The Annals of Statistics 6 (1978) 422-433
    • (1978) The Annals of Statistics , vol.6 , pp. 422-433
    • MacNeill, I.1
  • 30
    • 24144447850 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Size and power of tests of stationarity in highly autocorrelated time series
    • Müller U. Size and power of tests of stationarity in highly autocorrelated time series. Journal of Econometrics 128 (2005) 195-213
    • (2005) Journal of Econometrics , vol.128 , pp. 195-213
    • Müller, U.1
  • 31
    • 0000281342 scopus 로고
    • Asymptotic theory of a test for constancy of regression coefficients against the random walk alternative
    • Nabeya S., and Tanaka K. Asymptotic theory of a test for constancy of regression coefficients against the random walk alternative. The Annals of Statistics 16 (1988) 218-235
    • (1988) The Annals of Statistics , vol.16 , pp. 218-235
    • Nabeya, S.1    Tanaka, K.2
  • 32
    • 0000706085 scopus 로고
    • A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix
    • Newey W., and West K. A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix. Econometrica 55 (1987) 703-708
    • (1987) Econometrica , vol.55 , pp. 703-708
    • Newey, W.1    West, K.2
  • 34
    • 2442455826 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monetary policy rules, macroeconomic stability, and inflation: a view from the trenches
    • Orphanides A. Monetary policy rules, macroeconomic stability, and inflation: a view from the trenches. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 36 (2004) 151-175
    • (2004) Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking , vol.36 , pp. 151-175
    • Orphanides, A.1
  • 35
    • 0036888093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Market timing and return prediction under model instability
    • Pesaran M., and Timmermann A. Market timing and return prediction under model instability. Journal of Empirical Finance 9 (2002) 495-510
    • (2002) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.9 , pp. 495-510
    • Pesaran, M.1    Timmermann, A.2
  • 37
    • 0039925680 scopus 로고
    • Confidence intervals for the largest autoregressive root in U.S. macroeconomic time series
    • Stock J. Confidence intervals for the largest autoregressive root in U.S. macroeconomic time series. Journal of Monetary Economics 28 (1991) 435-459
    • (1991) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.28 , pp. 435-459
    • Stock, J.1
  • 38
    • 70350105390 scopus 로고
    • Unit roots, structural breaks and trends
    • Engle R., and McFadden D. (Eds), North-Holland, New York
    • Stock J. Unit roots, structural breaks and trends. In: Engle R., and McFadden D. (Eds). Handbook of Econometrics vol. 4 (1994), North-Holland, New York 2740-2841
    • (1994) Handbook of Econometrics , vol.4 , pp. 2740-2841
    • Stock, J.1
  • 39
    • 0030528942 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence on structural instability in macroeconomic time series relations
    • Stock J., and Watson M. Evidence on structural instability in macroeconomic time series relations. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 14 (1996) 11-30
    • (1996) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.14 , pp. 11-30
    • Stock, J.1    Watson, M.2
  • 40
    • 34848884725 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Timmermann, A., Paye, B., 2004. Instability of return prediction models. Mimeo, UCSD.
  • 41
    • 0009368151 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sources of nonmonotonic power when testing for a shift in mean of a dynamic time series
    • Vogelsang T. Sources of nonmonotonic power when testing for a shift in mean of a dynamic time series. Journal of Econometrics 88 (1999) 283-299
    • (1999) Journal of Econometrics , vol.88 , pp. 283-299
    • Vogelsang, T.1
  • 42
    • 0000260870 scopus 로고
    • On the likelihood ratio test for a shift in locations of normal populations
    • Worsley K. On the likelihood ratio test for a shift in locations of normal populations. Journal of the American Statistical Association 72 (1979) 180-186
    • (1979) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.72 , pp. 180-186
    • Worsley, K.1
  • 43
    • 77956887062 scopus 로고
    • Confidence regions and tests for a change-point in a sequence of exponential family random variables
    • Worsley K. Confidence regions and tests for a change-point in a sequence of exponential family random variables. Biometrika 73 (1986) 91-104
    • (1986) Biometrika , vol.73 , pp. 91-104
    • Worsley, K.1
  • 44
    • 0002367537 scopus 로고
    • Survey of classical and Bayesian approaches to the change-point problem: fixed sample and sequential procedures of testing and estimation
    • Rizivi M., Rustagi J., and Siegmund D. (Eds), Academic Press, New York
    • Zacks S. Survey of classical and Bayesian approaches to the change-point problem: fixed sample and sequential procedures of testing and estimation. In: Rizivi M., Rustagi J., and Siegmund D. (Eds). Recent Advances in Statistics (1983), Academic Press, New York 245-269
    • (1983) Recent Advances in Statistics , pp. 245-269
    • Zacks, S.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.