-
2
-
-
1642504592
-
Enhancing weather information with probability forecasts
-
American Meteorological Society (AMS)
-
American Meteorological Society (AMS). Enhancing weather information with probability forecasts. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 83 3 (2002) 450-452
-
(2002)
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
, vol.83
, Issue.3
, pp. 450-452
-
-
-
3
-
-
0004634590
-
Public responses to hurricane probability forecasts
-
Baker E. Public responses to hurricane probability forecasts. The Professional Geographer 47 2 (1995) 137-148
-
(1995)
The Professional Geographer
, vol.47
, Issue.2
, pp. 137-148
-
-
Baker, E.1
-
8
-
-
34548816197
-
-
Cockroft, C., 2000, Survey on Hurricane Warning Effectiveness. University of Charleston, viewed 8 January 2003, 〈http://www.comet.ucar.edu/outreach/Linder_Appendix.doc〉.
-
-
-
-
9
-
-
34548826263
-
-
COMET, 2001. Improving Hurricane Forecast Effectiveness. The COMET Outreach Program (sponsored by the National Weather Service) West Virginia, in Collaboration with the University of Charleston, USA.
-
-
-
-
10
-
-
34548833055
-
-
COMET, 2003a, Mission Statement, viewed 23 April 2003, 〈http://www.comet.ucar.edu/cometmiss.htm〉.
-
-
-
-
11
-
-
34548817030
-
-
COMET, 2003b. Empowering the forecast consumer: an investigation of citizen need for, and the technology for communicating, process-centered weather information, viewed 23 April 2003, 〈http://www.comet.ucar.edu/outreach/9893883.htm〉.
-
-
-
-
12
-
-
23944488089
-
-
Copestake, A., et al., 2002. Multiword expressions: linguistic precision and reusability. In: Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Language Resources and Evaluation (LREC 2002), Las Palmas, Canary Islands, pp. 1941-1947.
-
-
-
-
13
-
-
34548826808
-
-
CVAP, 1999. Climag: Newsletter of the Climate Variability in Agriculture R&D Program. Issue 2, July 1999, viewed 7 January 2003 〈http://www.cvap.gov.au/climag2.htm〉.
-
-
-
-
14
-
-
34548863395
-
-
DelMas, R.C., 2002. A review of the literature on learning and understanding probability. Paper Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Educational Research Association, New Orleans, LA, April 1-5, 2002.
-
-
-
-
15
-
-
34548864413
-
-
Doswell, C., Brooks, H., 1998. Probabilistic Forecasting II (Outlooks, Watches, and Warnings). Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, USA, viewed 5 November 2002, 〈http://www.cimms.ou.edu/~doswell/probability/Probability_2.html〉.
-
-
-
-
16
-
-
34548862610
-
-
Environment Canada, 2001. November 2001: Changes to Probability of Precipitation (POP) Forecasts. Meteorological Service of Canada, viewed 15 November 2002, 〈http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/pop_e.html〉.
-
-
-
-
17
-
-
34548823526
-
-
Environment Canada, 2002. Probability of Precipitation: Improving the Weather Forecast with the Aid of Numbers. Meteorological Service of Canada, viewed 15 November 2002, 〈http://www.msc-smc.ec.gc.ca/cd/brochures/probability_e.cfm〉.
-
-
-
-
18
-
-
0001965495
-
Difficulties in learning basic concepts in probability and statistics: implications for research
-
Garfield J., and Ahlgren A. Difficulties in learning basic concepts in probability and statistics: implications for research. Journal for Research in Mathematics Education 19 (1988) 46-63
-
(1988)
Journal for Research in Mathematics Education
, vol.19
, pp. 46-63
-
-
Garfield, J.1
Ahlgren, A.2
-
19
-
-
23644440946
-
A 30% chance of rain tomorrow: how does the public understand probabilistic weather forecasts?
-
Gigerenzer G., Hertwig R., van den Broek E., Fasolo B., and Katsikopoulos K.V. A 30% chance of rain tomorrow: how does the public understand probabilistic weather forecasts?. Risk Analysis 25 3 (2005) 623-629
-
(2005)
Risk Analysis
, vol.25
, Issue.3
, pp. 623-629
-
-
Gigerenzer, G.1
Hertwig, R.2
van den Broek, E.3
Fasolo, B.4
Katsikopoulos, K.V.5
-
20
-
-
34548815941
-
-
Giles, B., 2003. Weather and Probability Forecasts. BBC Weather, viewed 13 January 2003 〈http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/alphabet48.shtml〉.
-
-
-
-
21
-
-
34548829930
-
-
McDavitt, B., 1998. Weather Forecasts in NZ in 1998-Some Personal Opinions. viewed 5 May 2003 〈http://metsoc.rsnz.org/view1.html〉.
-
-
-
-
22
-
-
34548846953
-
-
Mileti, D., 1996. Presentation at Pan Pacific Hazards Conference, July 30, 1996, viewed 20 November 2002 〈http://webserve.dma.state.ky.us/pio_ador.htm〉.
-
-
-
-
23
-
-
20444472566
-
Forecasters and Probability Forecasts: the response to a questionnaire
-
Murphy A., and Winkler R. Forecasters and Probability Forecasts: the response to a questionnaire. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 52 3 (1971) 158-165
-
(1971)
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
, vol.52
, Issue.3
, pp. 158-165
-
-
Murphy, A.1
Winkler, R.2
-
25
-
-
0011024769
-
Probability forecasts: a survey of National Weather Service forecasters
-
Murphy A., and Winkler R. Probability forecasts: a survey of National Weather Service forecasters. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 55 12 (1974) 1449-1452
-
(1974)
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
, vol.55
, Issue.12
, pp. 1449-1452
-
-
Murphy, A.1
Winkler, R.2
-
26
-
-
0000488291
-
Subjective probability forecasting experiments in meteorology: some preliminary results
-
Murphy A., and Winkler R. Subjective probability forecasting experiments in meteorology: some preliminary results. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 55 10 (1974) 1206-1216
-
(1974)
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
, vol.55
, Issue.10
, pp. 1206-1216
-
-
Murphy, A.1
Winkler, R.2
-
28
-
-
34548858477
-
-
National Academy of Sciences, 2003. Communicating Uncertainties in Weather and Climate Information: A Workshop Summary. The National Academies, USA, p. 2.
-
-
-
-
29
-
-
34548841958
-
-
National Research Council, 2003. Communicating Uncertainties in Weather and Climate Information: A Workshop Summary. The National Academy of Science, USA.
-
-
-
-
30
-
-
85009653439
-
Understanding uncertainty: forecasting seasonal climate for farmers in Zimbabwe
-
Patt A. Understanding uncertainty: forecasting seasonal climate for farmers in Zimbabwe. Risk Decision and Policy 6 (2001) 105-119
-
(2001)
Risk Decision and Policy
, vol.6
, pp. 105-119
-
-
Patt, A.1
-
31
-
-
34548815023
-
-
Saviers, A., Van Bussum, L., 1999. Juneau Public Questionnaire: Results, Analyses, and Conclusions. Western Region Technical Attachment. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association, USA.
-
-
-
-
32
-
-
34548848554
-
-
Sharp, D.H., Jacobs, D.L., Pendergrast, J.C., Spratt, S.M., Blottman, P.F., Hagemeyer, B.C., 2003. Graphically Depicting East-Central Florida Hazardous Weather Forecasts. accessed 23 May 2003 〈http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/ghwo_ghls_ta.html〉.
-
-
-
-
33
-
-
0033178111
-
Trust, emotion, sex, politics, and science: surveying the risk-assessment battlefield
-
Slovic P. Trust, emotion, sex, politics, and science: surveying the risk-assessment battlefield. Risk Analysis 19 (1999) 689-701
-
(1999)
Risk Analysis
, vol.19
, pp. 689-701
-
-
Slovic, P.1
-
34
-
-
34548819064
-
-
Van Bussum, L., 1999. A Composite Look at Weather Surveys: Using Several Weather Surveys to Get an Estimate of Public Opinion. National Weather Service Office, Sacramento, USA, viewed 19 November 2002 〈http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/wrhq/99TAs/9920/〉.
-
-
-
-
35
-
-
34548843928
-
-
Weatherzone Forums, 2000. What does 'Fine' mean to you? The Weather Company, viewed 9 May 2003 〈http://www.weatherzone.com.au/cgi-bin/ultimatebb.cgi?ubb=get_topic;f=13;t=000908;p=1〉.
-
-
-
-
36
-
-
34548840306
-
-
World Meteorological Organisation, 2002. Guide on Improving Public Understanding of and Response to Warnings. WMO/TD No. 1139, Geneva, Switzerland.
-
-
-
|