메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 7, Issue 6-7, 2007, Pages 813-827

Preferences, utility and risk perception in engineering decision making

Author keywords

Consequence modelling; Decision making; Design decisions; Life cycle utility; Preference modelling; Preferences; Risk aversion; Risk perception; Utility

Indexed keywords


EID: 34548103901     PISSN: 14668297     EISSN: 17415241     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2007.014661     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (11)

References (31)
  • 1
    • 34548105384 scopus 로고
    • The foundations of a positive theory of choice involving risk and criticism of the postulates and axioms of the US School
    • Allais, M. (1952) 'The foundations of a positive theory of choice involving risk and criticism of the postulates and axioms of the US School', in Allais and Hagen (1979).
    • (1952) Allais and Hagen
    • Allais, M.1
  • 3
    • 0003509657 scopus 로고
    • Aspects of the theory of risk-bearing
    • Helsinki: Yrjö Jahnssonin Sätio
    • Arrow, K.J. (1965) 'Aspects of the theory of risk-bearing', Lecture 2, Helsinki: Yrjö Jahnssonin Sätio.
    • (1965) Lecture 2
    • Arrow, K.J.1
  • 4
    • 85005385613 scopus 로고
    • Risk perception in psychology and economics
    • Arrow, K.J. (1982) 'Risk perception in psychology and economics', Economic Inquiry, Vol. 20, pp.1-9.
    • (1982) Economic Inquiry , vol.20 , pp. 1-9
    • Arrow, K.J.1
  • 6
    • 34249838202 scopus 로고
    • Recent developments in modelling preferences: Uncertainty and ambiguity
    • Kluwer Academic Press, pp
    • Camerer, C and Weber, M. (1992) 'Recent developments in modelling preferences: uncertainty and ambiguity', Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Kluwer Academic Press, pp.325-370.
    • (1992) Journal of Risk and Uncertainty , pp. 325-370
    • Camerer, C.1    Weber, M.2
  • 7
    • 0037379193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ditlevsen, O. (2003) 'Decision modelling and acceptance criteria', Structural Safety, 25, Elsevier Science, pp.165-191.
    • Ditlevsen, O. (2003) 'Decision modelling and acceptance criteria', Structural Safety, Vol. 25, Elsevier Science, pp.165-191.
  • 9
    • 84957363402 scopus 로고
    • Risk ambiguity and savage axioms
    • Ellsberg, D. (1961) 'Risk ambiguity and savage axioms', Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 75, pp.57-67.
    • (1961) Quarterly Journal of Economics , vol.75 , pp. 57-67
    • Ellsberg, D.1
  • 10
    • 25444467439 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the treatment of uncertainties and probabilities in engineering decision analysis
    • Faber, M.H. (2005) 'On the treatment of uncertainties and probabilities in engineering decision analysis', Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering, Vol. 127, pp.243-248.
    • (2005) Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering , vol.127 , pp. 243-248
    • Faber, M.H.1
  • 14
    • 0038880221 scopus 로고
    • Towards a positive theory of preferences under risk
    • Hagen, O. (1979) 'Towards a positive theory of preferences under risk', in Allais and Hagen (1979).
    • (1979) Allais and Hagen
    • Hagen, O.1
  • 15
    • 0003584694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Joint Committee of Structural Safety JCSS, published on the www under
    • Joint Committee of Structural Safety (JCSS) (2001) Probabilistic Model Code, published on the www under www.jcss.ethz.ch.
    • (2001) Probabilistic Model Code
  • 16
    • 0000125532 scopus 로고
    • Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk
    • Kahneman, D. and Tversky, A. (1979) 'Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk', Econometrica, Vol. 47, pp.263-291.
    • (1979) Econometrica , vol.47 , pp. 263-291
    • Kahneman, D.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 17
    • 33751197582 scopus 로고
    • Reversal of preferences between bids and choices in gambling decisions
    • Lichtenstein, S. and Slovic, P. (1971) 'Reversal of preferences between bids and choices in gambling decisions', Journal of Experimental Psychology, Vol. 89, pp.46-55.
    • (1971) Journal of Experimental Psychology , vol.89 , pp. 46-55
    • Lichtenstein, S.1    Slovic, P.2
  • 18
    • 0001451226 scopus 로고
    • Expected utility analysis without the independent axiom
    • Machina, M.J. 1982. Expected utility analysis without the independent axiom. Econometrica, Vol. 50, pp.277-323.
    • (1982) Econometrica , vol.50 , pp. 277-323
    • Machina, M.J.1
  • 20
    • 34548107853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimizing structural safety levels on the basis of lifetime utility objectives of the individual
    • Cape Town, South Africa. Published on CD, Paper 398
    • Maes, MA. and Stewart, M. (2004) 'Optimizing structural safety levels on the basis of lifetime utility objectives of the individual', Proceedings SEMC 2004, Cape Town, South Africa. Published on CD, Paper 398.
    • (2004) Proceedings SEMC 2004
    • Maes, M.A.1    Stewart, M.2
  • 21
    • 84916160640 scopus 로고
    • Do personal probabilities of probabilities have an operational meaning?
    • Marschak, J. (1975) 'Do personal probabilities of probabilities have an operational meaning?', Theory and Decision, Vol. 6, pp.435-453.
    • (1975) Theory and Decision , vol.6 , pp. 435-453
    • Marschak, J.1
  • 23
    • 0001579697 scopus 로고
    • Risk aversion in the small and in the large
    • Pratt, J.W. (1964) 'Risk aversion in the small and in the large', Econometrica, Vol. 32, Nos. 1-2, pp. 122-136.
    • (1964) Econometrica , vol.32 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 122-136
    • Pratt, J.W.1
  • 25
    • 34548102382 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk perception and rational risk management
    • private communication
    • Rackwitz, R. (2003) 'Risk perception and rational risk management', Draft Manuscript, private communication.
    • (2003) Draft Manuscript
    • Rackwitz, R.1
  • 26
    • 0004124101 scopus 로고
    • Division of Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, Boston, Harvard University
    • Raiffa, H. and Schlaifer, R. (1961) Applied Statistical Decision Theory, Division of Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, Boston, Harvard University.
    • (1961) Applied Statistical Decision Theory
    • Raiffa, H.1    Schlaifer, R.2
  • 28
    • 0000498415 scopus 로고
    • The Ellsberg Paradox and risk aversion: An anticipated utility approach
    • Segal, U. (1987) 'The Ellsberg Paradox and risk aversion: an anticipated utility approach', International Economic Review, Vol. 28, pp. 175-202.
    • (1987) International Economic Review , vol.28 , pp. 175-202
    • Segal, U.1
  • 29
    • 84980136540 scopus 로고
    • Who accepts Savage's axiom
    • Slovic, P. and Tversky, A. (1974) 'Who accepts Savage's axiom', Behavioural Science, Vol. 19, pp.368-373.
    • (1974) Behavioural Science , vol.19 , pp. 368-373
    • Slovic, P.1    Tversky, A.2
  • 30
    • 0016264378 scopus 로고
    • Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
    • Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. (1974) 'Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases', Science, Vol. 185, pp.1124-1131.
    • (1974) Science , vol.185 , pp. 1124-1131
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 31
    • 34548108073 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Von Neumann, J. and Morgenstern, O. (1944) Theory of Games and Economical Behaviour, Princeton University Press (also: 3rd edition, 1953, John Wiley & Sons).
    • Von Neumann, J. and Morgenstern, O. (1944) Theory of Games and Economical Behaviour, Princeton University Press (also: 3rd edition, 1953, John Wiley & Sons).


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.