메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 17, Issue 9, 2007, Pages 679-688

Weather Variability and the Incidence of Cryptosporidiosis: Comparison of Time Series Poisson Regression and SARIMA Models

Author keywords

Cryptosporidiosis; Poisson Regression; SARIMA; Time Series; Weather

Indexed keywords

ADULT; AKAIKE INFORMATION CRITERION; ANALYTICAL ERROR; ARTICLE; AUSTRALIA; CORRELATION ANALYSIS; CRYPTOSPORIDIOSIS; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; FEMALE; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; INFECTION CONTROL; LOW TEMPERATURE; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; POISSON REGRESSION MODEL; PREDICTION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR; SEASONAL AUTO REGRESSION INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE MODEL; STATISTICAL MODEL; TEMPERATURE SENSITIVITY; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; WEATHER;

EID: 34548041200     PISSN: 10472797     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2007.03.020     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (74)

References (50)
  • 1
  • 2
    • 0030513348 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Epidemiologic aspects of human cryptosporidiosis and the role of waterborne transmission
    • Meinhardt P.L., Casemore D.P., and Miller K.B. Epidemiologic aspects of human cryptosporidiosis and the role of waterborne transmission. Epidemiol Rev 18 (1996) 118-136
    • (1996) Epidemiol Rev , vol.18 , pp. 118-136
    • Meinhardt, P.L.1    Casemore, D.P.2    Miller, K.B.3
  • 4
    • 34548034862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Australian Department of Health and Aged Care. National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System. Available at: http://www1.health.gov.au/cda/Source/CDA-index.cfm. Accessed October 10, 2006.
  • 5
    • 0028919819 scopus 로고
    • Cryptosporidium and cryptosporidiosis in man and animals
    • O'Donoghue P.J. Cryptosporidium and cryptosporidiosis in man and animals. Int J Parasitol 25 (1995) 139-195
    • (1995) Int J Parasitol , vol.25 , pp. 139-195
    • O'Donoghue, P.J.1
  • 6
    • 0030955032 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental ecology of Cryptosporidium and public health implications
    • Rose J.B. Environmental ecology of Cryptosporidium and public health implications. Annu Rev Public Health 18 (1997) 135-161
    • (1997) Annu Rev Public Health , vol.18 , pp. 135-161
    • Rose, J.B.1
  • 7
    • 27144523544 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of precipitation on seasonal variability in cryptosporidiosis recorded by the North West England surveillance system in 1990-1999
    • Naumova E., Christodouleas J., Hunter P., and Syed Q. Effect of precipitation on seasonal variability in cryptosporidiosis recorded by the North West England surveillance system in 1990-1999. J Water Health 3 (2005) 185-196
    • (2005) J Water Health , vol.3 , pp. 185-196
    • Naumova, E.1    Christodouleas, J.2    Hunter, P.3    Syed, Q.4
  • 8
    • 0019491392 scopus 로고
    • Finding causes of seasonal diseases using time series analysis
    • Bowie C., and Prothero D. Finding causes of seasonal diseases using time series analysis. Int J Epidemiol 10 (1981) 87-92
    • (1981) Int J Epidemiol , vol.10 , pp. 87-92
    • Bowie, C.1    Prothero, D.2
  • 9
    • 0023241606 scopus 로고
    • Time series designs of potential interest to epidemiologists
    • Catalano R., and Serxner S. Time series designs of potential interest to epidemiologists. Am J Epidemiol 26 (1987) 724-731
    • (1987) Am J Epidemiol , vol.26 , pp. 724-731
    • Catalano, R.1    Serxner, S.2
  • 10
    • 0022592006 scopus 로고
    • Box-Jenkins modelling of some viral infectious diseases
    • Helfenstein U. Box-Jenkins modelling of some viral infectious diseases. Stat Med 5 (1986) 37-47
    • (1986) Stat Med , vol.5 , pp. 37-47
    • Helfenstein, U.1
  • 11
    • 0025918751 scopus 로고
    • The use of transfer function models, intervention analysis and related time series methods in epidemiology
    • Helfenstein U. The use of transfer function models, intervention analysis and related time series methods in epidemiology. Int J Epidemiol 20 (1991) 808-815
    • (1991) Int J Epidemiol , vol.20 , pp. 808-815
    • Helfenstein, U.1
  • 12
    • 0030103494 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Box-Jenkins modelling in medical research
    • Helfenstein U. Box-Jenkins modelling in medical research. Stat Methods Med Res 5 (1996) 3-22
    • (1996) Stat Methods Med Res , vol.5 , pp. 3-22
    • Helfenstein, U.1
  • 13
    • 0034606790 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of El Niño and ambient temperature on hospital admissions for diarrhoeal disease in Peruvian children
    • Checkley W., Epstein L., Gilman R., Figueroa D., Gama R., Patz J., et al. Effect of El Niño and ambient temperature on hospital admissions for diarrhoeal disease in Peruvian children. Lancet 355 (2000) 442-450
    • (2000) Lancet , vol.355 , pp. 442-450
    • Checkley, W.1    Epstein, L.2    Gilman, R.3    Figueroa, D.4    Gama, R.5    Patz, J.6
  • 14
    • 0037136928 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of air-pollution control on death rates in Dublin, Ireland: an intervention study
    • Clancy L., Goodman P., Sinclair H., and Dockery D. Effect of air-pollution control on death rates in Dublin, Ireland: an intervention study. Lancet 360 (2002) 1184-1185
    • (2002) Lancet , vol.360 , pp. 1184-1185
    • Clancy, L.1    Goodman, P.2    Sinclair, H.3    Dockery, D.4
  • 15
    • 0036682106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the use of generalized additive models in time-series studies of air pollution and health
    • Dominici F., McDermott A., Zeger S., and Samet J. On the use of generalized additive models in time-series studies of air pollution and health. Am J Epidemiol 156 (2002) 193-203
    • (2002) Am J Epidemiol , vol.156 , pp. 193-203
    • Dominici, F.1    McDermott, A.2    Zeger, S.3    Samet, J.4
  • 16
    • 0036668498 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Associations of cold temperatures with GP consultations for respiratory and cardiovascular disease amongst the elderly in London
    • Hajat S., and Haines A. Associations of cold temperatures with GP consultations for respiratory and cardiovascular disease amongst the elderly in London. Int J Epidemiol 31 (2002) 825-830
    • (2002) Int J Epidemiol , vol.31 , pp. 825-830
    • Hajat, S.1    Haines, A.2
  • 17
    • 0037029043 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lung cancer, cardiopulmonary mortality, and long-term exposure to fine particulate air pollution
    • Pope C., Burnett R., Thun M., Calle E., Krewski D., Ito K., et al. Lung cancer, cardiopulmonary mortality, and long-term exposure to fine particulate air pollution. JAMA 287 (2002) 1132-1141
    • (2002) JAMA , vol.287 , pp. 1132-1141
    • Pope, C.1    Burnett, R.2    Thun, M.3    Calle, E.4    Krewski, D.5    Ito, K.6
  • 18
    • 0036432803 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is hygiene promotion cost-effective? A case study in Burkina Faso
    • Borghi J., Guinness L., Ouedraogo J., and Curtis V. Is hygiene promotion cost-effective? A case study in Burkina Faso. Trop Med Int Health 7 (2002) 960-969
    • (2002) Trop Med Int Health , vol.7 , pp. 960-969
    • Borghi, J.1    Guinness, L.2    Ouedraogo, J.3    Curtis, V.4
  • 19
    • 0036401266 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting malaria incidence from historical morbidity patterns in epidemic-prone areas of Ethiopia: a simple seasonal adjustment method performs best
    • Abeku T., deVlas S., Borsboom G., Teklehaimanot A., Kebede A., Olana D., et al. Forecasting malaria incidence from historical morbidity patterns in epidemic-prone areas of Ethiopia: a simple seasonal adjustment method performs best. Trop Med Int Health 7 (2002) 851-857
    • (2002) Trop Med Int Health , vol.7 , pp. 851-857
    • Abeku, T.1    deVlas, S.2    Borsboom, G.3    Teklehaimanot, A.4    Kebede, A.5    Olana, D.6
  • 20
    • 0031753106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of time-series analysis in infectious disease surveillance
    • 327-323
    • Allard R. Use of time-series analysis in infectious disease surveillance. Bull World Health Organ 76 (1998) 327-323
    • (1998) Bull World Health Organ , vol.76
    • Allard, R.1
  • 21
    • 0035975951 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic linear model and SARIMA: a comparison of their forecasting performance in epidemiology
    • Nobre F., Monteiro A., Telles P., and Williamson G. Dynamic linear model and SARIMA: a comparison of their forecasting performance in epidemiology. Stat Med 20 (2001) 3051-3069
    • (2001) Stat Med , vol.20 , pp. 3051-3069
    • Nobre, F.1    Monteiro, A.2    Telles, P.3    Williamson, G.4
  • 22
    • 0035740163 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of poisson regression and box-jenkins models to evaluate the short-term effects of environmental noise levels on daily emergency admissions in Madrid, Spain
    • Tobias A., Diaz J., Saez M., and Alberdi J. Use of poisson regression and box-jenkins models to evaluate the short-term effects of environmental noise levels on daily emergency admissions in Madrid, Spain. Eur J Epidemiol 17 (2001) 765-771
    • (2001) Eur J Epidemiol , vol.17 , pp. 765-771
    • Tobias, A.1    Diaz, J.2    Saez, M.3    Alberdi, J.4
  • 23
    • 0013136164 scopus 로고
    • A regression model for time series of counts
    • Zeger S. A regression model for time series of counts. Biometrika 75 (1988) 621-629
    • (1988) Biometrika , vol.75 , pp. 621-629
    • Zeger, S.1
  • 24
    • 21344478694 scopus 로고
    • Time series regression for counts: an investigation into the relationship between Sudden Infant Death Syndrome and environmental temperature
    • Campbell M. Time series regression for counts: an investigation into the relationship between Sudden Infant Death Syndrome and environmental temperature. J Royal Stat Soc A 157 (1994) 191-208
    • (1994) J Royal Stat Soc A , vol.157 , pp. 191-208
    • Campbell, M.1
  • 25
    • 4243084366 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of a predictive model for Ross River virus disease in Brisbane, Australia
    • Hu W., Nicholls N., Lindsay M., Dale P., McMichael A., Mackenzie J., et al. Development of a predictive model for Ross River virus disease in Brisbane, Australia. Am J Trop Med Hyg 71 (2004) 129-137
    • (2004) Am J Trop Med Hyg , vol.71 , pp. 129-137
    • Hu, W.1    Nicholls, N.2    Lindsay, M.3    Dale, P.4    McMichael, A.5    Mackenzie, J.6
  • 26
    • 0042621214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • [electronic resource], Australian Bureau of Statistics, Canberra
    • Australian Bureau of Statistics. 2001 census basic. [electronic resource] (2002), Australian Bureau of Statistics, Canberra
    • (2002) Australian Bureau of Statistics. 2001 census basic
  • 28
    • 20744444099 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal temperature fluctuations induces rapid inactivation of Cryptosporidium parvum
    • Li X., Atwill E., Dunbar L., Jones T., Hook J., and Tate K. Seasonal temperature fluctuations induces rapid inactivation of Cryptosporidium parvum. Environ Sci Technol 15 (2005) 4484-4489
    • (2005) Environ Sci Technol , vol.15 , pp. 4484-4489
    • Li, X.1    Atwill, E.2    Dunbar, L.3    Jones, T.4    Hook, J.5    Tate, K.6
  • 31
    • 34548031799 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • SAS Institute Inc. SAS /STAT software changes and enhancements through release 6.12. Cary (NC): 1997.
  • 33
    • 34548035581 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • SAS I. SAS /STAT software changes and enhancements through release 6.12. Cary (NC): 1997.
  • 37
    • 32344439731 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison of multivariable regression models to analyse cost data
    • Dodd S., Bassi A., Bodger K., and Williamson P. A comparison of multivariable regression models to analyse cost data. J Eval Clin Pract 12 (2006) 76-86
    • (2006) J Eval Clin Pract , vol.12 , pp. 76-86
    • Dodd, S.1    Bassi, A.2    Bodger, K.3    Williamson, P.4
  • 38
    • 18144366154 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating time-series models to forecast the demand for tourism in Singapore: comparing within-sample and postsample results
    • Oh C., and Morzuch B. Evaluating time-series models to forecast the demand for tourism in Singapore: comparing within-sample and postsample results. J Travel Res 43 (2005) 404-413
    • (2005) J Travel Res , vol.43 , pp. 404-413
    • Oh, C.1    Morzuch, B.2
  • 39
    • 0028090279 scopus 로고
    • Use of Poisson regression and time series analysis for detecting changes over time in rates of child injury following a prevention program
    • Kuhn L., Davidson L., and Durkin M. Use of Poisson regression and time series analysis for detecting changes over time in rates of child injury following a prevention program. Am J Epidemiol 140 (1994) 943-955
    • (1994) Am J Epidemiol , vol.140 , pp. 943-955
    • Kuhn, L.1    Davidson, L.2    Durkin, M.3
  • 41
    • 0344356142 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On autocorrelation in a Poisson regression model
    • Davis R., Dunsmuir W., and Wang Y. On autocorrelation in a Poisson regression model. Biometrika 87 (2000) 491-505
    • (2000) Biometrika , vol.87 , pp. 491-505
    • Davis, R.1    Dunsmuir, W.2    Wang, Y.3
  • 42
    • 0141499921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity analysis of common statistical models used to study the short-term effects of air pollution on health
    • Tobias A., Saez M., Galan I., and Campbell M. Sensitivity analysis of common statistical models used to study the short-term effects of air pollution on health. Int J Biometeorol 47 (2003) 227-229
    • (2003) Int J Biometeorol , vol.47 , pp. 227-229
    • Tobias, A.1    Saez, M.2    Galan, I.3    Campbell, M.4
  • 44
    • 13744260107 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Application of linear stochastic models to monthly flow data of Kelkit Stream
    • Yurekli K., Kurunc A., and Ozturk F. Application of linear stochastic models to monthly flow data of Kelkit Stream. Ecol Model 183 (2005) 67-75
    • (2005) Ecol Model , vol.183 , pp. 67-75
    • Yurekli, K.1    Kurunc, A.2    Ozturk, F.3
  • 46
    • 0033575369 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and satellite indicators to forecast Rift Valley fever epidemics in Kenya
    • Linthicum K., Anyamba A., Tucker C., Kelley P., Myers M.F., and Peters C. Climate and satellite indicators to forecast Rift Valley fever epidemics in Kenya. Science 285 (1999) 347-348
    • (1999) Science , vol.285 , pp. 347-348
    • Linthicum, K.1    Anyamba, A.2    Tucker, C.3    Kelley, P.4    Myers, M.F.5    Peters, C.6
  • 48
    • 0034243321 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A community outbreak of Cryptosporidium infection associated with a swimming pool complex
    • Stafford R., Neville G., Towner C., and McCall B. A community outbreak of Cryptosporidium infection associated with a swimming pool complex. Commun Dis Intell 24 (2000) 236-239
    • (2000) Commun Dis Intell , vol.24 , pp. 236-239
    • Stafford, R.1    Neville, G.2    Towner, C.3    McCall, B.4
  • 49
    • 0029904498 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Outbreak of cryptosporidiosis linked to an indoor swimming pool
    • Lemmon J., McAnulty J., and Bawden-Smith J. Outbreak of cryptosporidiosis linked to an indoor swimming pool. Med J Aust 165 (1996) 613-616
    • (1996) Med J Aust , vol.165 , pp. 613-616
    • Lemmon, J.1    McAnulty, J.2    Bawden-Smith, J.3
  • 50
    • 84965509416 scopus 로고
    • Time aggregation bias in hazard-rete models with covariates
    • Peterson T., and Koput K. Time aggregation bias in hazard-rete models with covariates. Sociol Methods Res 21 (1992) 25-51
    • (1992) Sociol Methods Res , vol.21 , pp. 25-51
    • Peterson, T.1    Koput, K.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.