메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 70, Issue 2, 2006, Pages

Clinical versus actuarial judgments in criminal justice decisions: Should one replace the other?

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 34547826596     PISSN: 00149128     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (33)

References (39)
  • 2
    • 84935413018 scopus 로고
    • Interaction of judgmental and statistical forecasting methods: Issues and analysis
    • Bunn, D., & Wright, G. (1991). Interaction of judgmental and statistical forecasting methods: Issues and analysis. Management Science, 37 (5), 501-518.
    • (1991) Management Science , vol.37 , Issue.5 , pp. 501-518
    • Bunn, D.1    Wright, G.2
  • 3
    • 77449135853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bureau of Labor Statistics, U. S. Department of Labor, Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2006-07 Edition, Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists, on the internet at http://www.bis.gov/oco/ocos265.htm (visited on May 26, 2006).
    • Bureau of Labor Statistics, U. S. Department of Labor, Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2006-07 Edition, Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists, on the internet at http://www.bis.gov/oco/ocos265.htm (visited on May 26, 2006).
  • 4
    • 0038362417 scopus 로고
    • Judgments of recidivism risk: Conflicts between clinical strategies and base-rate information
    • Carroll, J. S. (1977). Judgments of recidivism risk: Conflicts between clinical strategies and base-rate information. Law and Human Behavior, 1 (2), 191-198.
    • (1977) Law and Human Behavior , vol.1 , Issue.2 , pp. 191-198
    • Carroll, J.S.1
  • 6
    • 77449087470 scopus 로고
    • Combining human judgment and multiple regression
    • Darlington, R. B. (1986). Combining human judgment and multiple regression. Journal of Personality Assessment, 50 (3), 362-395.
    • (1986) Journal of Personality Assessment , vol.50 , Issue.3 , pp. 362-395
    • Darlington, R.B.1
  • 7
    • 0011588247 scopus 로고
    • Case by case versus rule-generated procedures for the allocation of scarce resources
    • M. Kaplan and S. Schwartz eds, New York: Academic Press
    • Dawes, R. M. (1975). Case by case versus rule-generated procedures for the allocation of scarce resources. In M. Kaplan and S. Schwartz (eds.), Human judgment and decision processes in applied setting, pp. 83-94. New York: Academic Press.
    • (1975) Human judgment and decision processes in applied setting , pp. 83-94
    • Dawes, R.M.1
  • 8
    • 0011780476 scopus 로고
    • The robust beauty in decision making
    • Dawes, R. M. (1979). The robust beauty in decision making. Psychological Bulletin, 34 (7), 571-582.
    • (1979) Psychological Bulletin , vol.34 , Issue.7 , pp. 571-582
    • Dawes, R.M.1
  • 9
    • 0016381404 scopus 로고
    • Linear models in decision making
    • Dawes, R. M., & Corrigan, B. (1974). Linear models in decision making. Psychological Bulletin, 81, (2), 95-106.
    • (1974) Psychological Bulletin , vol.81 , Issue.2 , pp. 95-106
    • Dawes, R.M.1    Corrigan, B.2
  • 10
    • 27844592608 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ethical implications of Paul Meehl's work on comparing clinical versus actuarial prediction methods
    • Dawes, R. M. (2005). The ethical implications of Paul Meehl's work on comparing clinical versus actuarial prediction methods. Journal of Clinical Psychology, 61 (10), 1245-1255.
    • (2005) Journal of Clinical Psychology , vol.61 , Issue.10 , pp. 1245-1255
    • Dawes, R.M.1
  • 11
    • 0033130255 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A message from psychologists to economists: Mere predictability doesn't matter like it should (without a good story appended to it)
    • Dawes, R. M. (1999). A message from psychologists to economists: Mere predictability doesn't matter like it should (without a good story appended to it). Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 39, 29-40.
    • (1999) Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization , vol.39 , pp. 29-40
    • Dawes, R.M.1
  • 12
    • 0024981793 scopus 로고
    • Clinical versus actuarial judgment
    • Dawes, R. M., Faust, D., & Meehl, P. E. (1989). Clinical versus actuarial judgment. Science, New Series, 243 (4899), 1668-1674.
    • (1989) Science, New Series , vol.243 , Issue.4899 , pp. 1668-1674
    • Dawes, R.M.1    Faust, D.2    Meehl, P.E.3
  • 13
    • 26444568173 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparative validity analysis of multiple measures of violence risk in a sample of criminal offenders
    • Douglas, K. S., Yeoman, M., & Boer, D. P. (2005). Comparative validity analysis of multiple measures of violence risk in a sample of criminal offenders. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 32 (5), 479-510.
    • (2005) Criminal Justice and Behavior , vol.32 , Issue.5 , pp. 479-510
    • Douglas, K.S.1    Yeoman, M.2    Boer, D.P.3
  • 14
    • 0016306094 scopus 로고
    • Psychiatry and the presumption of expertise: Flipping coins in the courtroom
    • Ennis, B. J., & Litwack, T. R. (1974). Psychiatry and the presumption of expertise: Flipping coins in the courtroom. California Law Review, 62, 693-752.
    • (1974) California Law Review , vol.62 , pp. 693-752
    • Ennis, B.J.1    Litwack, T.R.2
  • 15
    • 0038529182 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probation and Parole in the United States, 2004
    • Washington, DC: U. S. Department of Justice
    • Glaze, L. E., & Palla, S. (2005). Probation and Parole in the United States, 2004. Bureau of Justice Statistics Bulletin (NCJ 210676). Washington, DC: U. S. Department of Justice.
    • (2005) Bureau of Justice Statistics Bulletin (NCJ 210676)
    • Glaze, L.E.1    Palla, S.2
  • 16
    • 85056007222 scopus 로고
    • The efficacy of alternative approaches to parole prediction
    • Glaser, D. (1955). The efficacy of alternative approaches to parole prediction. American Sociological Review, 20, 283-287.
    • (1955) American Sociological Review , vol.20 , pp. 283-287
    • Glaser, D.1
  • 17
    • 84964159034 scopus 로고
    • Prediction tables as accounting devices for judges and parole boards
    • Glaser, D. (1962). Prediction tables as accounting devices for judges and parole boards. Crime and Delinquency, 8 (3), 239-258.
    • (1962) Crime and Delinquency , vol.8 , Issue.3 , pp. 239-258
    • Glaser, D.1
  • 18
    • 0000044792 scopus 로고
    • Man versus model of man: A rationale, plus some evidence for a method of improving on clinical inference
    • Goldberg, L. R. (1970). Man versus model of man: A rationale, plus some evidence for a method of improving on clinical inference. Psychological Bulletin, 73, 422-432.
    • (1970) Psychological Bulletin , vol.73 , pp. 422-432
    • Goldberg, L.R.1
  • 19
    • 30344462184 scopus 로고
    • Comparing and combining subjective and objective parole predictors
    • Sept-Dec, Vacaville: California Medical Facility
    • Gottfredson, D. M. (1961). Comparing and combining subjective and objective parole predictors. Research Newsletter, 3 (Sept-Dec). Vacaville: California Medical Facility.
    • (1961) Research Newsletter , vol.3
    • Gottfredson, D.M.1
  • 20
    • 30344448384 scopus 로고
    • Development and operational use of prediction methods in correctional work
    • Washington, DC: American Statistical Association
    • Gottfredson, D. M., & Beverly, R. F. (1962). Development and operational use of prediction methods in correctional work. Proceedings of the Social Statistics Section. Washington, DC: American Statistical Association.
    • (1962) Proceedings of the Social Statistics Section
    • Gottfredson, D.M.1    Beverly, R.F.2
  • 21
    • 0012646565 scopus 로고
    • Accuracy of prediction models
    • Blumstein, A. et al, eds, Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences Press
    • Gottfredson, S. D., & Gottfredson, D. M. (1986). Accuracy of prediction models. In Blumstein, A. et al., (eds.), Criminal Careers and "Career Criminals," Vol. II, Washington, DC: National Academy of Sciences Press.
    • (1986) Criminal Careers and Career Criminals , vol.2
    • Gottfredson, S.D.1    Gottfredson, D.M.2
  • 22
    • 30344431512 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical risk assessment: Old problems and new applications
    • Gottfredson, S. D., & Moriarty, L. J. (2006). Statistical risk assessment: Old problems and new applications. Crime & Delinquency, 52 (1), 178-200.
    • (2006) Crime & Delinquency , vol.52 , Issue.1 , pp. 178-200
    • Gottfredson, S.D.1    Moriarty, L.J.2
  • 23
    • 0344386561 scopus 로고
    • Clinical versus statistical prediction in psychology
    • L. Postman ed, New York: Knopf
    • Gough, H. G. (1962). Clinical versus statistical prediction in psychology. In L. Postman (ed), Psychology in the Making, pp. 526-584. New York: Knopf.
    • (1962) Psychology in the Making , pp. 526-584
    • Gough, H.G.1
  • 24
    • 12344314560 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Twenty years of progress in violence risk assessment
    • Hanson, R. K. (2005). Twenty years of progress in violence risk assessment. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 20 (2), 212-217.
    • (2005) Journal of Interpersonal Violence , vol.20 , Issue.2 , pp. 212-217
    • Hanson, R.K.1
  • 25
    • 0036676418 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prospective replication of the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide in predicting violent recidivism among forensic patients
    • Harris, G. T., Rice, M. E., & Cormier, C. A. (2002). Prospective replication of the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide in predicting violent recidivism among forensic patients. Law and Human Behavior, 26 (4), 377-394.
    • (2002) Law and Human Behavior , vol.26 , Issue.4 , pp. 377-394
    • Harris, G.T.1    Rice, M.E.2    Cormier, C.A.3
  • 26
    • 12344260004 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Communicating violence risk information to forensic decision makers
    • Hilton, N. Z., Harris, G. T., Rawson, K., & Beach, G. A. (2005). Communicating violence risk information to forensic decision makers. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 32 (1), 97-116.
    • (2005) Criminal Justice and Behavior , vol.32 , Issue.1 , pp. 97-116
    • Hilton, N.Z.1    Harris, G.T.2    Rawson, K.3    Beach, G.A.4
  • 27
    • 21644460134 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting wife assault: A critical review and implications for policy and practice
    • Hilton, N. Z. & Harris, G. T. (2005). Predicting wife assault: A critical review and implications for policy and practice. Trauma, Violence and Abuse, 6 (1), 3-23.
    • (2005) Trauma, Violence and Abuse , vol.6 , Issue.1 , pp. 3-23
    • Hilton, N.Z.1    Harris, G.T.2
  • 28
    • 33645664750 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sixty-six years of research on the clinical versus actuarial prediction of violence
    • Hilton, N. Z., Harris, G. T., & Rice, M. E. (2006). Sixty-six years of research on the clinical versus actuarial prediction of violence. Counseling Psychologist, 34 (3), 400-409.
    • (2006) Counseling Psychologist , vol.34 , Issue.3 , pp. 400-409
    • Hilton, N.Z.1    Harris, G.T.2    Rice, M.E.3
  • 30
    • 0020760865 scopus 로고
    • Comparison and combination of clinical and statistical predictions of recidivism among adult offenders
    • Holland, T. R., Holt, N., Levi, M., & Beckett, G. E. (1983). Comparison and combination of clinical and statistical predictions of recidivism among adult offenders. Journal of Applied Psychology, 68 (2), 203-211.
    • (1983) Journal of Applied Psychology , vol.68 , Issue.2 , pp. 203-211
    • Holland, T.R.1    Holt, N.2    Levi, M.3    Beckett, G.E.4
  • 32
    • 0035591810 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Actuarial versus clinical assessments of dangerousness
    • Litwack, T. R. (2001). Actuarial versus clinical assessments of dangerousness. Psychology Public Policy and Law, 7 (2), 409-443.
    • (2001) Psychology Public Policy and Law , vol.7 , Issue.2 , pp. 409-443
    • Litwack, T.R.1
  • 34
    • 0001632330 scopus 로고
    • Antecedent probability and the efficiency of psychometric signs, patterns, or cutting scores
    • Meehl, P. E., & Rosen, A. (1955). Antecedent probability and the efficiency of psychometric signs, patterns, or cutting scores. Psychological Bulletin, 52 (3), 194-216.
    • (1955) Psychological Bulletin , vol.52 , Issue.3 , pp. 194-216
    • Meehl, P.E.1    Rosen, A.2
  • 35
    • 12344267197 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Advances in the assessment and prediction of interpersonal violence
    • Mills, J. F. (2005). Advances in the assessment and prediction of interpersonal violence. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 20 (2), 236-241.
    • (2005) Journal of Interpersonal Violence , vol.20 , Issue.2 , pp. 236-241
    • Mills, J.F.1
  • 38
    • 0010783941 scopus 로고
    • Banker judgment versus formal forecasting models: The case of country risk assessment
    • Somerville, R. A., & Taffler, R. J. (1995). Banker judgment versus formal forecasting models: The case of country risk assessment. Journal of Banking & Finance, 19, 281-297.
    • (1995) Journal of Banking & Finance , vol.19 , pp. 281-297
    • Somerville, R.A.1    Taffler, R.J.2
  • 39
    • 27844453219 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • In praise of clinical judgment: Meehl's forgotten legacy
    • Westen, D., & Weinberger, J. (2005). In praise of clinical judgment: Meehl's forgotten legacy. Journal of Clinical Psychology, 61 (10), 1257-1276.
    • (2005) Journal of Clinical Psychology , vol.61 , Issue.10 , pp. 1257-1276
    • Westen, D.1    Weinberger, J.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.