Potential effects of climate change on runoff in the Yellow River basin of China

Transactions of the ASABE

Volumn 50, Issue 3, 2007, Pages 911-918

  Zhang, Guang Hui ^a   Fu, Su Hua ^a   Fang, Wei Hua ^b   Imura, Hidefumi ^b   Zhang, Xun Chang ^c  

^a BEIJING NORMAL UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b NAGOYA UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

^c USDA ARS GRAZINGLANDS RESEARCH LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

Aridity index; Climate change; Runoff; Yellow River

Indexed keywords

ARIDITY INDEX; YELLOW RIVER;

CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; EVAPORATION; RIVER BASIN PROJECTS; RIVERS; WATER RESOURCES;

RUNOFF;

ARIDITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; EVAPORATION; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; INDUSTRIALIZATION; POPULATION GROWTH; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODELING; SEMIARID REGION; URBANIZATION; WATER AVAILABILITY; WATER MANAGEMENT;

ASIA; CHINA; EURASIA; FAR EAST; YELLOW RIVER;

EID: 34447558373     PISSN: 21510032     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Arnell, N. W. 1996. Global Warming, River Flows and Water Resources. Chichester, U.K.: Wiley.
2. Arnell, N. W. 1999. Climate change and global water resource: A new assessment. Global Environ. Change 9(supp. 1): 31-49.
3. Arora, V. K. 2002. The use of the aridity index to assess climate change effect on annual runoff. J. Hydrol. 265: 164-177.
4. Budyko, M. I. 1948. Evaporation under Natural Conditions (in Russian). Gidrometeorizdat (Leningrad). English translation by IPST (Jerusalem).
5. Budyko, M. I. 1974. Climate and Life. Orlando, Fla.: Academic Press.
6. Chen, Y. Q., T. M. Wang, and X. X. Qiao. 1997. Prediction of Water Resources Supply and Demand for Cities in Shortage of Water in Yellow River Basin (in Chinese), 35-108. Zhengzhou, China: Yellow River Hydraulic Press.
7. Chiew, F. H., P. H. Whetton, T. A. McMahon, and A. B. Pittock. 1995. Simulation of the impacts of climate change on runoff and soil moisture in Australian catchment. J. Hydrol. 167: 121-147.
8. Favis-Mortlock, D., and J. Bordman. 1995. Nonlinear responses of soil erosion to climate change: A modeling study on the UK South Downs. Catena 25: 365-387.
9. Favis-Mortlock, D., and J. T. Guerra. 1999. The implication of general circulation model estimates of rainfall for future erosion: A case study from Brazil. Catena 37: 329-354.
10. Fen, S. Y. 2000. Sustainable Utilization and Management for Water Resource (in Chinese). Beijing, China: Science Press.
11. Forch, G., F. Garde, and J. Jensen. 1996. Climate change and design criteria in water resources management: A regional case study. Atmospheric Res. 42: 33-51.
12. Fu, B. J. and H. Gulinck. 1994. Land evaluation in area of severe erosion: The Loess Plateau of China. Land Degradation and Rehabilitation 5(1): 261-270.
13. Hargreaves, G. H. 1994. Defining and using reference evapotranspiration. J. Irrig. Drain. Eng., ASCE 120(6): 1132-1139.
14. Hay, L. E., I. L. Wilby, and G. H. Leavesley. 2000. A comparison of delta change and downscaled GCM scenarios for three mountainous basins in the United States. J. American Water Resource Assoc. 36(2): 387-397.
15. He, X. B., Z. B. Li, M. D. Hao, K. L. Tang, and F. L. Zheng. 2003. Down-scale analysis for water scarcity in response to soil-water conservation on Loess Plateau of China. Agric., Ecosystem and Environ. 94(3): 355-361.
16. IPCC. 2001. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of IPCC. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, and D. Xiaosu, eds. Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press.
17. Jin, L. S., and W. R. Young. 2001. Water use in agriculture in China: Importance, challenges, and implications for policy. Water Policy 3(3): 215-228.
18. Kamga, F. M. 2001. Impact of greenhouse gas induced climate change on the runoff of the Upper Banue River (Cameroon). J. Hydrol. 252: 145-156.
19. Koster, R. D., and M. J. Suarez. 1999. A simple framework for examining the interannual variability of land surface moisture flues. J. Climate 12: 1911-1917.
20. Li, Y. H. 1999. Theory and Technique of Water-Saving Irrigation (in Chinese). Wuhan, China: Wuhan Hydraulic Press.
21. Liu, C. M., and X. G. Cheng. 2001. Evolving Law and Maintaining Mechanism of Renewable Capacity of Water Resource in Yellow River Basin (in Chinese). Zhengzhou, China: Huanghe Hydraulic Press.
22. Loaiciga, H. A., J. B. Valdes, R. Vogel, J. Garvey, and H. Schwarz. 1996. Global warming and the hydrologic cycle. J. Hydrol. 174: 83-127.
23. Menzel, L., and G. Burger. 2002. Climate change scenarios and run-off response in the Mulde catchment (southern Elbe, Germany). J. Hydrol. 267: 53-64.
24. Mimikou, M. A., S. P. Kanelloppulou, and E. A. Baltas. 1999. Human implication of changes in the hydrological regime due to climate change in northern Greece. Global Environ. Change 9(2): 139-156.
25. Muzik, I. 2002. A first-order analysis of the climate change effect on the flood frequencies in a sub-alpine watershed by means of a hydrological rainfall-runoff model. J. Hydrol. 267: 65-73.
26. Nearing, M. A. 2001. Potential changes in rainfall erosivity in the United States with climate change during the 21st century. J. Soil and Water Cons. 56(3): 229-232.
27. Ol'dekop, E. M. 1911. On evaporation from the surface of river basins (in Russian). Transactions on Meteorological Observations. Tartu, Estonia: University of Tartu.
28. Oliver, M. A., and R. Webster. 1990. Kriging: A method of interpolation for Geographical Information Systems. Intl. J. Geographic Info. Systems 4(4): 313-332.
29. Pruski, F. F., and M. A. Nearing. 2002. Runoff and soil loss responses to changes in precipitation: A computer simulation study. J. Soil and Water Cons. 57(1): 7-16.
30. Sankarasubramanian, A., and R. M. Vogel. 2001. Climate elasticity of streamflow in the United States. Water Resources Res. 37(6): 1771-1781.
31. Shi, H., and M. A. Shao. 2000. Soil and water loss from the Loess Plateau in China. J. Arid Environ. 45(1): 9-20.
32. Stott, P. A., and J. A. Kettleborough. 2002. Origins and estimates of uncertainty in predictions of twenty-first century temperature. Nature 416(6882): 723-726.
33. Varis, O., and P. Vakkilainen. 2001. China's eight challenges to water resources management in the first quarter of the 21st century. Geomorphology 41(2-3): 93-104.
34. Westmacott, J. R., and D. H. Burn. 1997. Climate change effects on the hydrologic regime within the Churchill-Nelson river basin. J. Hydrol. 202: 263-279.
35. Xu, Z. X., K. Takeuchi, H. Ishidaira, and X. W. Zhang. 2002. Sustainability analysis for Yellow River water resource using the system dynamics approach. Water Resource Mgmt. 16(3): 239-261.
36. Zhang, G. H, B. Y. Liu, G. B. Liu, X. W. He, and M. A. Nearing. 2003. Detachment of undisturbed soil by shallow flow. SSSA J. 67(3): 713-719.
37. Zhang, G. H, M. A. Nearing, and B. Y. Liu. 2005. Potential effects of climate change on rainfall erosivity in the Yellow River basin of China. Trans. ASAE 48(2): 511-517.
38. Zhang, L., W. R. Dawes, and G. R. Walker. 2001. Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetation changes at catchment scale. Water Resource Res. 37(3): 701-708.