Ecosystem vulnerability of China under B2 climate scenario in the 21st century

Chinese Science Bulletin

Volumn 52, Issue 10, 2007, Pages 1379-1386

  Wu, Shaohong ^a,b   Dai, Erfu ^a   Huang, Mei ^a   Shao, Xuemei ^a,b   Li, Shuangcheng ^c   Tao, Bo ^a  

^a INSTITUTE OF GEOGRAPHIC SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCES RESEARCH   (China)

^b INSTITUTE OF GEOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS   (China)

^c PEKING UNIVERSITY   (China)

Author keywords

China; Climate change; Ecosystem; Scenario; Vulnerability

Indexed keywords

CONIFEROPHYTA;

EID: 34347272685     PISSN: 10016538     EISSN: 18619541     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11434-007-0197-x     Document Type: Article

References (44)

1. Houghton J T, Ding Y, Griggs D J, et al. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, A Report of the Working Group I of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001
2. Shi Y F, Liu C H, Wang Z T, et al. Short Glacier Inventory of China (in Chinese). Shanghai: Shanghai Popular Science Press, 2005
3. Nelson F E. Geocryology: Enhanced: (Un)frozen in Time. Science, 2003, 299: 1673-1675
4. Izrael Yu A, Anokhin Yu A, Pavlov A V. Permafrost evolution and the modern climate change. Meteorol Hydrol, 2002, 1: 22-34
5. Osterkamp T E, Vierek L, Shur Y, et al. Observations of thermokasrt and its impact on boreal frosts in Alaska USA. Arc Antarct Alp Res, 2000, 32: 303-315
6. Zheng J Y, Ge Q S, Hao Z X. Impacts of climate warming on plants phenophases in China for the last 40 years. Chin Sci Bull, 2002, 47 (21): 1826-1831
7. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Int Legal Mater, 1992, 31: 849-856
8. 2 concentration on plants and ecosystems. Acta Geogra Sin (in Chinese), 1996, 51(Suppl): 141-150
9. Zheng Y R, Zhou G S, Zhang X S, et al. Sensitivity of Terrestrial Ecosystem to Global Change in China. Acta Bot Sin(in Chinese), 1997, 39(9): 837-840
10. McCarthy J J, Canziani O F, Leary N A, et al. Summary for Policy makers in Climate Change 2001: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. McCarthy J J, et al, eds. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001
11. van Minnen J G, Onigkeit J, Alcamo J. Critical climate change as an approach to assess climate change impacts in Europe: Development and application. Environ Sci Pol, 2002, 5: 335-347
12. 2, ozone, and global climate change. Agric Ecosyst Environ, 2003, 97: 1-20
13. Hitz S, Smith J. Estimating global impacts from climate change. Glob Environ Change, 2004, 14: 201-218
14. Nakicenovic N, Alcamo J, Davis G, et al. Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2000. 1-599
15. Zhao M C. The impact of global climate change on the natural zones in China. In: Zhang Y, Zhang P Y, Zhang H X, et al, eds. Climate Change and Its Impacts. The Institute of Geographic Research of Chinese Academy of Sciences Serials Articles on Global Change (1) (in Chinese). Beijing: Meteorological Press, 1993. 168-177
16. Ci L J, Yang X H, Chen Z X. The potential impacts of climate change scenarios on desertification in China. Earth Sci Front(in Chinese), 2002, 9(2): 287-294
17. Ci L J. The impact of global change on desertification in China. J Nat Resour(in Chinese). 1994, 9(4): 289-303
18. Chen X Q, Zhang F C. Spring phonological change in Beijing in the last 50 years and its response to the climatic changes. Agric Meteor (in Chinese), 2001, 22(1): 1-5
19. Zhao M S, Ronald P N, Yan X D, et al. Modeling the vegetation of China under changing climate. Acta Geogra Sin(in Chinese), 2002, 57(1): 28-37
20. 2. Acta Phytoecol Sin(in Chinese), 2001, 25(2): 175-189
21. Liu S R. The impact of climate change on the forest productivity in China. In: Guo Q S, Yan H, Liu S R, et al, eds. The Impact of Climate Change on China Forest (in Chinese). Beijing: China Science and Technology Press, 1997. 75-93
22. Fang J Y. Global Ecology - Climate Change and Ecological Response(in Chinese). Beijing: Higher Education Press, 2000
23. Peng S L, Zhao P, Ren H, et al. The possible heat-driven pattern variation of zonal vegetation and agricultural ecosystems along the North-south transect of China under the global change. Earth Sci Front(in Chinese), 2002, 9(1): 217-226
24. Xu D Y, Guo Q S, Yan H, et al. The Impact of Climate Change on China Forest (in Chinese). Beijing: China Science and Technology Press, 1997
25. Li B, et al. Modeling on the potential impact of climate change on ground biomass in Inner Mongolia's temperate zone. In: Lin E D, et al, eds. Modeling the Impact of Global Climate Change on China Agriculture(in Chinese). Beijing: China Agricultural Scientech Press, 1997. 92-97
26. Zhang X S, Liu C Y Prospect of plants change on the Tibetan Plateau under global change. In: Zhang X S, Chen Z K, eds. Global Change and Ecosystems(in Chinese). Shanghai: Shanghai Science and Technology Press, 1994. 17-26
27. Liu Z Q, Liu H Y, Lu X G Ecological fragility of wetlands in Sanjiang Plain. Chin J Appl Ecol (in Chinese), 2001, 12 (2): 241-244
28. th Chapter, Lakes in the arid regions in Northwest China and its changes. In: Shi Y F, ed. Climate and Sea Level Change and Its Trend and Impact in China, the impact of Climate Change on the Water Resources in Northwest and North China(in Chinese). Jinan: Shandong Science and Technology Press, 1995. 120-148
29. st century. Adv Clim Change Res (in Chinese), 2005, 1 (2): 80-83
30. Xu Y L, Zhang Y, Lin E D. Analyses on the climate change responses over China under SRES B2 scenario using PRECIS. Chin Sci Bull, 2006, 51 (18): 2260-2267
31. Jones R G, Noguer M, Hassell D C, et al. Generating High Resolution Climate Change Scenarios Using PRECIS. Exeter: Met Office Hadley Centre, 2004. 1-35
32. Zhang S H, Peng G B, Huang M. Derivation of earth surface parameters in vegetation properties supported by GIS techniques. Clim Environ Res (in Chinese), 2004, 9(1): 80-91
33. Zhang S H, Peng G B, Huang M. The feature extraction and data fusion of regional soil textures based on GIS techniques. Clim Environ Res(in Chinese), 2004, 9(1): 65-79
34. Ji J J. A climate-vegetation interaction model: Simulating physical and biological processes at the surface. J Biogeogr, 1995, 22: 445-451
35. Ji J J, Yu L. A simulation study of coupled feedback mechanism between physical and biogeochemical processes at the surface. Sci Atmos Sin (in Chinese), 1999, 23(4): 439-448
36. Ji J J, Huang M, Liu Q. Modeling studies of response mechanism of steppe productivity to climate change in middle latitude semiarid regions in China. Acta Meteorol Sin(in Chinese), 2005, 63(3): 257-266
37. Ji J J, Hu Y C. A multi-level canopy model including physical transfer and physiological growth processes. Clim Environ Res (in Chinese), 1999, 4(2): 152-164
38. Lu J H. The simulation of interaction between atmosphere and vegetation on regional and annual scale. Dissertation for the Doctoral Degree(in Chinese). Beijing: Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 1999
39. Lu J H. Ji J J. A simulation study of atmosphere-vegetation interactions over the Tibetan Plateau Part I: Physical fluxes and parameters. Chin J Atmos Sci (in Chinese), 2002, 26(1): 111-126
40. Lu J H, Ji J J. A simulation study of atmosphere-vegetation interaction over the Tibetan Plateau Part II: Net primary productivity and leaf area index. J Atmos Sci (in Chinese), 2002, 26(2): 255-262
41. Li Y P, Ji J J. Simulations of carbon exchange between global terrestrial ecosystem and the atmosphere. Acta Geogra Sin (in Chinese), 2001, 56 (4): 379-389
42. Wu S H, Zhao H X, Yin Y H, et al. Recognition of ecosystem response to climate change impact. Adv Clim Change Res, 2006, 2(suppll): 59-63
43. Li S C, Wu S H, Dai E F. Assessing the fragility of ecosystem using artificial neural network model. Acta Ecol Sin(in Chinese), 2005, 25(3): 621-626
44. Liu Y H, Li X B, et al. Vulnerable Environment and Sustainable Development (in Chinese). Beijing: Commercial Press, 2001