Designing and analyzing randomized experiments: Application to a Japanese election survey experiment

American Journal of Political Science

Volumn 51, Issue 3, 2007, Pages 669-687

  Horiuchi, Yusaku ^a   Imai, Kosuke ^b   Taniguchi, Naoko ^c  

^a AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^b PRINCETON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c TEIKYO UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 34250686881     PISSN: 00925853     EISSN: 15405907     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2007.00274.x     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Alvarez, R. Michael. 1998. Information and Elections: Revised to Include the 1996 Presidential Election. Ann Arbor : University of Michigan Press.
2. Angrist, Joshua D. 2004 Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Theory and Practice The Economic Journal 114 (494 C52 C83.
3. Angrist, Joshua D., and Guido W. Imbens. 1995 Two-Stage Least Squares Estimation of Average Causal Effects in Models with Variable Treatment Intensity Journal of the American Statistical Association 90 (430 431 42.
4. Angrist, Joshua D., Guido W. Imbens, and Donald B. Rubin. 1996 Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables (with Discussion) Journal of the American Statistical Association 91 : 444 55.
5. Barnard, John, Constantine E. Frangakis, Jennifer L. Hill, and Donald B. Rubin. 2003 Principal Stratification Approach to Broken Randomized Experiments: A Case Study of School Choice Vouchers in New York (with Discussion) Journal of the American Statistical Association 98 (462 299 311.
6. Bartels, Larry M. 1996 Uninformed Votes: Information Effects in Presidential Elections American Journal of Political Science 40 (1 194 230.
7. Basinger, Scott J., and Howard Lavine. 2005 Ambivalence, Information, and Electoral Choice American Political Science Review 99 (2 169 184.
8. Burden, Barry C. 2000 Voter Turnout and the National Election Studies Political Analysis 8 (4 389 98.
9. Cheng, Jing, and Dylan Small. 2006 Bounds on Causal Effects in Three-Arm Trials with Noncompliance Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, Methodological 68 (5 815 96.
10. Cochran, W., and G. Cox. 1957. Experimental Designs. New York : Wiley.
11. Cox, David R. 1958. Planning of Experiments. New York : John Wiley & Sons.
12. Cox, David R., and Nancy Reid. 2000. The Theory of the Design of Experiments. New York : Chapman & Hall.
13. Downs, Anthony. 1957. An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York : HarperCollins.
14. Druckman, James N., Donald P. Green, James H. Kuklinski, and Arthur Lupia. 2006 The Growth and Development of Experimental Research in Political Science American Political Science Review 100 (4 627 35.
15. Ferejohn, John A., and James H. Kuklinski, eds. 1990. Information and Democratic Processes. Urbana and Chicago : University of Illinois Press.
16. Frangakis, Constantine E., and Donald B. Rubin. 1999 Addressing Complications of Intention-to-Treat Analysis in the Combined Presence of All-or-None Treatment-Noncompliance and Subsequent Missing Outcomes Biometrika 86 (2 365 79.
17. Frangakis, Constantine E., and Donald B. Rubin. 2002 Principal Stratification in Causal Inference Biometrics 58 (1 21 9.
18. Gelman, Andrew, and Donald B. Rubin. 1992 Inference from Iterative Simulations Using Multiple Sequences (with Discussion) Statistical Science 7 (4 457 72.
19. Greevy, Robert, Bo Lu, Jeffrey H. Silber, and Paul Rosenbaum. 2004 Optimal Multivariate Matching Before Randomization Biostatistics 5 (2 263 75.
20. Grofman, Bernard, ed. 1993. Information, Participation, and Choice: An Economic Theory of Democracy in Perspective. Ann Arbor : University of Michigan Press.
21. Hill, Jennifer L., Donald B. Rubin, and Neal Thomas. 1999 The Design of the New York School Choice Scholarship Program Evaluation In Research Designs: Inspired by the Work of Donald Campbell, ed. Leonard Bickman. Thousand Oaks, CA : Sage Publications.
22. Hirano, Keisuke, Guido W. Imbens, Donald B. Rubin, and Xiao-Hua Zhou. 2000 Assessing the Effect of an Influenza Vaccine in an Encouragement Design Biostatistics 1 (1 69 88.
23. Horiuchi, Yusaku, Kosuke Imai, and Naoko Taniguchi. 2007 Replication Data for 'Designing and Analyzing Randomized Experiments: Application to a Japanese Election Survey Experiment.' hdl: 1902.1/JMFHKLRCXS http://id.thedata.org/ hdl%3A1902.1%2FJMFHKLRCXS. Henry A. Murray Research Archive [distributor (DDI)].
24. Hotz, V. Joseph, Guido W. Imbens, and Julie H. Mortimer. 2005 Predicting the Efficacy of Future Training Programs Using Past Experiences at Other Locations Journal of Econometrics 125 (1-2 241 70.
25. Imai, Kosuke. 2005 Do Get-Out-the-Vote Calls Reduce Turnout? The Importance of Statistical Methods for Field Experiments American Political Science Review 99 (2 283 300.
26. Imai, Kosuke. 2006. Statistical Analysis of Randomized Experiments with Nonignorable Missing Binary Outcomes. Technical report. Princeton University.
27. Imai, Kosuke. 2007 experiment: R package for designing and analyzing randomized experiments Available at The Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN). http://cran.r-project.org.
28. Imai, Kosuke, and David A. van Dyk. 2004 Causal Inference with General Treatment Regimes: Generalizing the Propensity Score Journal of the American Statistical Association 99 (467 854 66.
29. Imai, Kosuke, and David A. van Dyk. 2005 A Bayesian Analysis of the Multinomial Probit Model Using Marginal Data Augmentation Journal of Econometrics 124 (2 311 34.
30. Imai, Kosuke, Gary King, and Elizabeth A. Stuart. 2007. Misunderstandings among Experimentalists and Observationalists: Balance Test Fallacies in Causal Inference. Technical report. Princeton University.
31. Imbens, Guido W., and Donald B. Rubin. 1997 Bayesian Inference for Causal Effects in Randomized Experiments with Noncompliance Annals of Statistics 25 (1 305 27.
32. Koop, Gary, and Dale J. Poirier. 2004 Bayesian Variants of Some Classical Semiparametric Regression Techniques Journal of Econometrics 123 (2 259 82.
33. Lassen, David Dreyer. 2005 The Effect of Information on Voter Turnout: Evidence from a Natural Experiment American Journal of Political Science 49 (1 103 18.
34. Little, Roderick J.A., and Donald B. Rubin. 1987. Statistical Analysis with Missing Data. New York : John Wiley & Sons.
35. Matsumoto, Masao. 2006 The End of the Independent Voters: A Change of Party Identification (in Japanese) Senkyo Kenkyu 21 : 39 50.
36. McDermott, Rose. 2002 Experimental Methods in Political Science Annual Review of Political Science 5 : 31 61.
37. Pearl, Judea. 2000. Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference. New York : Cambridge University Press.
38. Prior, Markus. 2005 News vs. Entertainment: How Increasing Media Choice Widens Gaps in Political Knowledge and Turnout American Journal of Political Science 49 (3 577 92.
39. R Development Core Team. 2006. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. Vienna, Austria : R Foundation for Statistical Computing. ISBN 3-900051-07-0. http://www.R-project.org.
40. Richardson, Bradley M. 1997. Japanese Democracy. New Haven : Yale University Press.
41. Sekhon, Jasjeet. 2004 The Varying Role of Voter Information Across Democratic Societies Working Paper.
42. Silver, Brian D., Barbara A. Anderson, and Paul R. Abramson. 1986 Who Overreports Voting? American Political Science Review 80 (2 613 24.
43. Tanaka, Aiji. 1997 Attitudinal Structure of Independent Voters: Rethinking Measurement and Conceptualization of Partisanship (in Japanese) Leviathan 20 : 101 29.
44. Weisberg, Herbert F., and Aiji Tanaka. 2001 Change in the Spatial Dimensions of Party Conflict: The Case of Japan in the 1990s Political Behavior 23 (1 75 101.
45. Yatchew, Adonis. 1998 Nonparametric Regression Techniques in Economics Journal of Economic Literature 36 : 669 721.