Ecological niche modeling and geographic distribution of the genus Polianthes L. (Agavaceae) in Mexico: Using niche modeling to improve assessments of risk status

Biodiversity and Conservation

Volumn 16, Issue 6, 2007, Pages 1885-1900

  Solano, Eloy ^a   Feria, T Patricia ^b  

^a UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL AUTÓNOMA DE MÉXICO   (Mexico)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI ST LOUIS   (United States)

Author keywords

Agavaceae; Area of occupancy; Conservation; Distribution; Ecological niche; Endemism; Extent of occurrence; Genetic algorithm; MER; Polianthes

Indexed keywords

ECOLOGICAL MODELING; ENDEMIC SPECIES; EXTINCTION RISK; GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION; HABITAT LOSS; HERB; NICHE; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; PROTECTED AREA; RISK ASSESSMENT; SPECIES OCCURRENCE; SPECIES RICHNESS;

MEXICO [NORTH AMERICA]; NORTH AMERICA; SIERRA MADRE; SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL;

AGAVACEAE; POLIANTHES;

EID: 34249697680     PISSN: 09603115     EISSN: 15729710     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10531-006-9091-0     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Anderson RP, Martínez-Meyer E (2004) Modeling species' geographic distributions for preliminary conservation assessments: an implementation with the spiny pocket mice (Heteromys) of Ecuador. Biol Conserv 116:167-179
2. Arriaga L, Espinoza-Rodríguez JM, Aguilar-Zúñiga C, Martínez-Romero E, Gómez-Mendoza L, Loa-Loza E, Larson J (2000) Regiones prioritarias terrestres de México. Comisión Nacional para el Conocimiento y Uso de la Biodiversidad, México, DF
3. Austin MP (2002) Case studies of the use of environmental gradients in vegetation and fauna modelling: theory and practice in Australia and New Zealand. In: Scott JM, Heglund PJ, Morrison ML, Haufler JB, Raphael MG, Wall WA, Samson FB (eds) Predicting species occurrences. Issues of accuracy and scale. Island Press, London, pp 73-82
4. Brooks TM, Mittermeier RA, Mittermeier CG, da Fonseca GAB, Rylands AB, Konstant WR, Flick P, Pilgrim J, Oldfield S, Magin G, Hilton-Taylor C (2002) Habitat loss and extinction in the hotspots of biodiversity. Conserv Biol 16:909-923
5. Brown JH, Stevens GC, Kaufman DM (1996) The geographic range: size, shape, boundaries, and internal structure. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 27:597-623
6. Elith J, Graham C, Anderson RP, Dudik M, Ferrier S, Guisan A, Hijmans RJ, Huettmann F, Leathwick JR, Lehmann A, Li J, Lohmann LG, Loiselle BA, Manin G, Moritz C, Nakamura M, Nakazawa Y, Overton JMcC, Peterson AT, Phillips SJ, Richardson KS, Scachetti-Prereira R, Schapire RE, Soberón J, Williams S, Wisz MS, Zimmermann NE (2006) Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29:129-151
7. Escalante PP, Navarro SA, Peterson AT (1993) A geographic, ecological and historical analysis of land bird diversity in Mexico. In: Ramamoorthy TP, Bye R, Lot A, Fa J (eds) The biological diversity of Mexico: origins and distribution. Oxford Press, New York, USA, pp 281-307
8. ESRI (1999) ArcView GIS ver 3.2. Environmental System Research Inc., USA
9. Fa JE, Morales LM (1993) Patterns of mammalian diversity in Mexico. In: Ramamoorthy TP, Bye R, Lot A, Fa J (eds) The biological diversity of Mexico: origins and distribution. Oxford Press, New York, USA, pp 319-361
10. Feria ATP, Peterson AT (2002) Prediction of bird community composition based on point-occurrence data and inferential algorithms: a valuable tool in biodiversity assessments. Divers Distrib 8:49-56
11. García-Mendoza A (1995) Riqueza y endemismos de la familia Agavaceae en México. In: Linares E, Chiang F, Bye R, Elias TS (eds) Conservación de Plantas en Peligro de extinción: Diferentes Enfoques. Instituto de Biología, Jardín Botánico, UNAM, México, DF, pp 51-75
12. García-Mendoza A (2004) Agaváceas. In: García- Mendoza AJ, Ordoñez MJ, Briones-Salas M (eds) Biodiversidad de Oaxaca. Instituto de Biología, UNAM-Fondo Oaxaqueño para la Conservación de la Naturaleza-Worldlife Fund, México, DF, pp 159-169
13. Guisan A, Zimmermann NE (2000) Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecol Model 135:147-186
14. Illoldi-Rangel P, Sánchez-Cordero V, Peterson AT (2004) Predicting distribution of Mexican mammals using ecological niche modeling. J Mammal 85:658-662
15. Instituto Nacional de Ecología (1999) Red del Sistema Nacional de Áreas Naturales Protegidas. México, DF
16. IUCN (1997) Cactus and succulent plants. Status survey and conservation plan. Sara Oldfield (comp). Gland, Switzerland and Cambridge, UK
17. Lim BK, Peterson AT, Engstrom MD (2002) Robustness of ecological niche modeling algorithms for mammals in Guyana. Biodivers Conserv 11:1237-1246
18. Lomolino MV, Riddle BR, Brown JH (2005) Biogeography. 3rd edn. Sinauer Associates, Inc, Sunderland, MA
19. Martínez-Meyer E, Peterson AT, Navarro Sigüenza AG (2004) Evolution of seasonal ecological niches in the Passerina buntings (Aves: Cardinalidae). Proc Roy Soc Lond B 271:1151-1157
20. Mas JF, Velásquez A, Díaz-Gallegos JR, Mayorga-Saucedo R, Alcantara C, Bocco G, Castro R, Fernández T, Pérez-Vega A (2004) Assessing land use/cover changes: a nationwide multidate spatial database for Mexico. Int J Appl Earth Observ Geoinform 5:249-261
21. McVaugh R (1989) Liliaceae. In: Anderson WR (ed) Flora Novo-Galiciana. A descriptive account of the vascular plants of western Mexico, vol.15. Annals arboretum. The University of Michigan Herbarium, USA, pp 20-293
22. Morrone JJ, Espinosa-Organista D, Llorente-Bousquets J (2002) Mexican biogeographic provinces: preliminary scheme, general characterizations, and synonymies. Acta Zool Mex 85:83-108
23. Nakazawa Y, Peterson AT, Martínez-Meyer E, Navarro-Sigüenza AG (2004) Seasonal niches of Neartic-Neotropical migratory birds: implications for the evolution of migration. Auk 121:610-618
24. Olson ME, Lomeli JA, Cacho I (2005) Extinction treat in the Pedilanthus clade (Euphorbia, Euphorbiaceae), with special reference to the recently rediscovered E. conzatti (P. pulchellus). Am J Bot 92:634-641
25. Ortega-Huerta MA, Peterson AT (2004) Modelling spatial patterns of biodiversity for conservation prioritization in North-eastern Mexico. Divers Distrib 10:39-54
26. Peterson AT (2001) Predicting species' geographic distribution based on ecological niche modelling. Condor 103:599-605
27. Peterson AT, Cohoon KC (1999) Sensitivity of distributional prediction algorithms to geographical data completeness. Ecol Model 117:159-164
28. Peterson AT, Vieglais DA (2001) Predicting species invasions using ecological niche modelling. BioScience 51:363-371
29. Peterson AT, Watson M (1998) Problems with aerial definitions of endemism: the effects of spatial scaling. Divers Distrib 4:189-194
30. Peterson AT, Ball LG, Cohoon KC (2002a) Predicting distributions of tropical birds. Ibis 144(on-line):E27-E32
31. Peterson AT, Ortega-Huerta M, Bartley G, Sánchez-Cordero V, Soberón J, Buddemeier RH, Stockwell D (2002b) Future projections for Mexican faunas under global climate change scenarios. Nature 416:626-629
32. Ramamoorthy TP, Elliot M (1993) Mexican Lamiaceae. In: Ramamoorthy TP, Bye R, Lot A, Fa J (eds) The biological diversity of México: origins and distribution. Oxford Press, New York, USA, pp 513-539
33. Rapoport EH (1982) Aerographic-geographic strategies of species. Pergamon Press, New York
34. Raxworthy CJ, Martínez-Meyer E, Horning N, Nussbaum RA, Schneider GE, Ortega-Huerta MA, Peterson AT (2003) Predicting distributions of known and unknown reptile species in Madagascar. Nature 426:837-841
35. Sánchez-Cordero V, Cirelli V, Munguia M, Sarkar S (2005a) Place prioritization for biodiversity representation using species' ecological niche modeling. Biodivers Inform 2:11-23
36. Sánchez -Cordero V, Iloldi-Rangel P, Linaje M, Sarkar S, Peterson AT (2005b) Deforestation and extant distributions of Mexican endemic mammals. Biol Conserv 126:465-473
37. SEMARNAT (Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales) (2002) Norma Oficial Mexicana NOM-059-ECOL-2001, Protección ambiental-Especies nativas de México de flora y fauna silvestres-Categorías de riesgo y especificaciones para su inclusión, exclusión o cambio-Lista de especies en riesgo. Diario Oficial de la Federación. 6 de marzo de 2002, Primera sección, México, DF
38. Soberón J, Peterson AT (2005) Interpretation of models of fundamental ecological niches and species' distributional areas. Biodivers Inform 2:1-10
39. Solano CE (2000) Sistemática del género Polianthes L. (Agavaceae). Tesis de Doctorado. Facultad de Ciencias, División de Estudios de Posgrado, UNAM, México, DF
40. Stockwell D, Noble R (1992) Induction of sets of rules from animal distribution data a robust and informative method of data analysis. Math Comput Simul 33:385-390
41. Stockwell D, Peterson AT (2002) Effects of sample size on accuracy of species distribution models. Ecol Model 148:1-13
42. Stockwell D, Peterson AT (2003) Comparison of resolution of methods for mapping biodiversity patterns from point-occurance data. Ecol Ind 3:213-221
43. Valdés RJ, Cabral CI (1993) Chronology of Mexican grasses. In: Ramamoorthy TP, Bye R, Lot A, Fa J (eds) The biological diversity of Mexico: origins and distribution. Oxford Press, New York, USA, pp 439-446
44. Vargas JH, Consiglio T, Jørgensen PM, Croat TB (2004) Modelling distribution patterns in a species-rich plant genus, Anthurium (Araceae), in Ecuador. Divers Distrib 10:211-216
45. Willis F, Moat J, Paton A (2003) Defining a role for herbarium data in Red list assessments: a case study of Plectranthus from eastern and southern tropical Africa. Biodivers Conserv 12:1537-1552