Technology learning systems as non-trivial machines

Kybernetes

Volumn 36, Issue 3-4, 2007, Pages 348-363

  Wene, Clas Otto ^a  

^a Wenergy AB   (Sweden)

Author keywords

Cybernetics; Eigenvalues and eigenfunctions; Experiential learning; Learning curves; Technology led strategy

Indexed keywords

CYBERNETICS; LEARNING SYSTEMS; MANAGEMENT SCIENCE;

CYBERNETIC THEORIES; DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH; EXPERIENTIAL LEARNING; FEEDBACK REGULATION; LEARNING CURVES; RADICAL INNOVATION; TECHNOLOGY LEARNING; TECHNOLOGY LED STRATEGY;

EIGENVALUES AND EIGENFUNCTIONS;

EID: 34249016060     PISSN: 0368492X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1108/03684920710747002     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Abell, D.F. and Hammond, J.S. (1979), "Cost dynamics: scale and experience effects", Strategic Planning: Problems and Analytical Approaches, Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.
2. Adler, P.S. and Clark, K.B. (1991), "Behind the learning curve: a sketch of the learning process", Management Science, Vol. 37 No. 3, p. 267.
3. Argote, L. and Epple, D. (1990), "Learning curves in manufacturing", Science, Vol. 247, p. 920.
4. Arthur, B. (1990), "Competing technologies: an overview", in Dosi, G. et al. (Eds), Technical Change and Economic Theory, Pinter, London.
5. Ayres, R.U. and Martinas, K. (1992), "Experience and life cycle: some analytical implications", Technovation, Vol. 12, p. 465.
6. Beer, S. (1979), Heart of Enterprise, Wiley, Chichester.
7. Bodde, D.L. (1976), "Riding the experience curve", Technology Review, March-April.
8. Boston Consulting Group (1968), Perspectives on Experience, Boston Consulting Group Inc., Stockholm.
9. Chapman, N.A., Andersson, J., Robinson, P., Skagius, K., Wene, C-O., Wiborgh, M. and Wingefors, S. (1995), Systems Analysis, Scenario Construction and Consequence Analysis Definition for Site-94, SKI Report 95:26, Swedish Nuclear Power Inspectorate, Stockholm.
10. Claeson Colpier, U. and Cornland, D. (2002), "The economics of the combined cycle gas turbine - an experience curve analysis", Energy Policy, Vol. 30, p. 309.
11. Cranwell, R.M., Guzowski, R.V., Campbell, J.E. and Ortiz, N.R. (1990), "Risk methodology for geologic disposal of radioactive waste: scenario selection procedure", Report of US Nuclear Regulatory Commission NUREG/CR-1667 (SAND-1429), NRC, Washington, DC.
12. Durstewitz, M. and Hoppe-Kilpper, M. (1999), "Using information of Germany's '250 MW Wind' - programme for the construction of wind power experience curves", in Wene, C-O., Voss, A. and Fried, T. (Eds), Proceedings IEA Workshop on Experience Curves for Policy Making - The Case of Energy Technologies, 10-11 May 1999, Forschungsbericht 67, Institut für Energiewirtschaft und Rationelle Energieanwendung, Universität Stuttgart, Stuttgart.
13. Dutton, J.M. and Thomas, A. (1984), "Treating progress functions as a managerial opportunity", Academy of Management Review, Vol. 9, p. 235.
14. Edenhofer, O., Lessmann, K., Kemfert, C., Grubb, M. and Köhler, J. (2006), "Induced technological change: exploring its implications for the economics of atmospheric stabilization", The Energy Journal, Endogenous Technological Change and the Economics of Stabilisation Special Issue, p. 57.
15. Espejo, R. (2004), "The footprints of complexity", Kybernetes, Vol. 33 Nos 3/4, p. 671.
16. Espejo, R., Bowling, D. and Hoverstadt, P. (1999), "The viable system model and the Viplan software", Kybernetes, Vol. 28 Nos 6/7, p. 661.
17. Freeman, C. and Perez, C. (1988), "Structural crises of adjustment, business cycles and investment behaviour", in Dosi, G., Freeman, C., Nelson, R., Silverberg, G. and Soete, L. (Eds), Technical Change and Economic Theory, Chapter 3, Pinter, London.
18. Gomes, L.C., Walecka, J.D. and Weisskopf, V.F. (1958), "Properties of nuclear matter", Annals of Physics, Vol. 3, p. 241.
19. Grubb, M., Chapuis, T. and Duong, M.H. (1995), "The economics of changing course", Energy Policy, Vol. 23, p. 417.
20. Hall, G. and Howell, S. (1985), "The experience curve from the economist's perspective", Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 6, p. 197.
21. Harmon, C. (2000), Experience Curves of Photovoltaic Technology, IR-00-014, IIASA, Laxenburg.
22. IEA/OECD (2000), Experience Curves for Energy Technology Policy, International Energy Agency/Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris.
23. IEA/OECD (2003), Creating Markets for Energy Technologies, International Energy Agency/Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris.
24. IEA/OECD (2006), Energy Technology Perspectives 2006 - In Support of the G8 Plan of Action, Scenarios and Strategies to 2050, International Energy Agency/Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris.
25. Irwin, D.A. and Kleman, P.J. (1994), "Learning-by-doing in semiconductor industry", Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 102 No. 6, p. 1200.
26. Jaskow, P.L. and Rose, N.L. (1985), "The effects of technological change, experience, and environmental regulation on the construction cost of coal-burning generating units", Rand Journal of Economics, Vol. 16, p. 1.
27. Junginger, M., Faaij, A. and Turkenburg, W.C. (2005), "Global experience curves for wind farms", Energy Policy, Vol. 33, pp. 133-50.
28. Kauffman, L.H. (1996), "Virtual logic", System Research, Vol. 13 No. 3, p. 293.
29. Luhman, N. (1996), "Membership and motives in social systems", System Research, Vol. 13 No. 3, p. 341.
30. McDonald, A. and Schattenholzer, L. (2001), "Learning rates for energy technologies", Energy Policy, Vol. 29, pp. 255-61.
31. Mattsson, N. and Wene, C-O. (1997), "Assessing new energy technologies using an energy system model with endogenized experience curves", Int. Journal of Energy Research, Vol. 21, p. 385.
32. Mölleryd, B.G. (1997), The Building of a World Industry - The Impact of Entrepreneurship on Swedish Mobile Telephony, via Teldok 28e, Stockholm.
33. Neij, L. (1999), "Cost dynamics of wind power", Energy, Vol. 24, p. 375.
34. Neij, L., Andersen, P.D., Durstewitz, M., Helby, P., Hoppe-Kilpper, M. and Morthorst, P.E. (2004), Experience Curves: a Tool for Energy Policy Assessment, IMES/EESS Report No. 40, Department of Technology and Society, Lund University, Lund.
35. Nemet, G.F. (2006), "Beyond the learning curve: factors influencing cost reductions in photovoltaics", Energy Policy, Vol. 34 No. 17, p. 3218.
36. PV News (2006), "The future of thin film PV", PV News, August.
37. Salmon, R. (2004), "The changing world of TV displays", EBU Technical Review, April.
38. Schaeffer, G.J., Seebregts, A.J., Beurskens, L.W.M., Moor, H.H.C.de, Alsema, E.A., Sark, W.G.J.H.M. van, Durstewitz, M., Perrin, M., Boulanger, P., Laukamp, H. and Zuccaro, C. (2004), "Learning from the Sun; analysis of the use of experience curves for energy policy purposes: the case of photovoltaic power", Final Report of the Photex Project, ECN-C-04-035, ECN, Petten.
39. Spenser-Brown, G. (1979), Laws of Form, E.P. Dutton, New York, NY.
40. Stern, N. (2006), The Economics of Climate Change - The Stern Review, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
41. Varela, F. (1979), Principles of Biological Autonomy, Elsevier-North Holland, New York, NY.
42. Varela, F. (1984), "Two principles for self-organization", in Ulrich, H. and Probst, J.B. (Eds), Self-Organization and Management of Social Systems, Springer, Berlin, pp. 25-32.
43. Victor, N.M. and Ausubel, J.H. (2002), "DRAMs as model organisms for study of technological evolution", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 69 No. 3, p. 243.
44. von Förster, H. (1984), "Principles of self-organization: in a social-managerial context", in Ulrich, H. and Probst, J.B. (Eds), Self-Organization and Management of Social Systems, Springer, Berlin, pp. 2-24.
45. Watanabe, C., Wakabayashi, K. and Miyazawa, T. (2000), "Industrial dynamism and the creation of a 'Virtuous Cycle' between R&D, market growth and price reduction - the case of photovoltaic power generation (PV) development in Japan", Technovation, Vol. 20, p. 299.
46. 2 Mitigation, CP-93-2, IIASAA, Laxenburg, p. 355.
47. Wene, C-O. (1999), "Experience curves: measuring the performance of the black box", in Wene, C-O., Voss, A. and Fried, T. (Eds), Proceedings IEA Workshop on Experience Curves for Policy Making - The Case of Energy Technologies, 10-11 May 1999, Forschungsbericht 67, Institut für Energiewirtschaft und Rationelle Energieanwendung, Universität Stuttgart, Stuttgart, p. 53.
48. Wene, C-O. (2005), "Technology learning and investments need for upstream oil and the LNG chain", in Ellersdorfer, I. and Fahl, U. (Eds), Proceedings Ansätze zur Modellierung von Innovation in der Energiewirtschaft, Mensch und Buch Verlag, Berlin, p. 99.
49. Wene, C-O. (2007), "A cybernetic perspective on technology learning", in Foxon, T., Köhler, J., Oughton, C. et al. (Eds), Innovations for a Low Carbon Economy: Economic, Institutional and Management Approaches, Edward Elgar, London (to be published).
50. Wright, T.P. (1936), "Factors affecting the cost of airplanes", Journal of Aeronautical Sciences, Vol. 3, p. 122.