Regional modeling of decadal rainfall variability over the Sahel

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 29, Issue 1, 2007, Pages 89-99

  Herceg, Deborah ^a   Sobel, Adam H ^b,c   Sun, Liqiang ^c  

^a RUTGERS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b Columbia University ^*  (United States)

^c Earth Institute   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; CLIMATE FORCING; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE VARIATION; DECADAL VARIATION; DROUGHT; GLOBAL WARMING; RAINFALL; REGIONAL CLIMATE; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; TROPOSPHERE;

AFRICA; SAHEL [SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA]; SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA;

EID: 34248526035     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-006-0218-5     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Barnston AG, Mason SJ, Goddard L, DeWitt DG, Zebiak SE (2003) Multimodel ensembling in seasonal climate forecasting at IRI. Bull Am Meteorl Soc 84(12):1783-1796 http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-84-12-1783
2. Biasutti M, Giannini A (2006) Robust Sahel drying in response to late 20th century forcings. Geophys Res Lett (in press)
3. Camargo SJ, Li H, Sun L (2006) Feasibility study for downscaling seasonal tropical cyclone activity using NCEP Regional Spectral Model. Intl J Clim (in press)
4. Charney JG (1975) Dynamics of deserts and draught in Sahel. Q J R Met Soc 101:193-202
5. Chen M, Xie P, Janowiack J, Arkin PA (2002) Global land precipitation: A 50-yr monthly analysis based on gauge observations. J Hydrometeorl 3:249-266
6. Chiang JCH, Lintner BR (2005) Mechanisms of remote tropical surface warming during El Niño. J Clim 18:4130-4149
7. Chiang JCH, Sobel AH (2002) Tropical tropospheric temperature variations caused by ENSO and their influence on the remote tropical climate. J Clim 15:2616-2631
8. Chou C, Neelin JD (2004) Mechanisms of global warming impacts on regional tropical precipitation. J Clim 17:2688-2701
9. Folland CK, Palmer TN, Parker DE (1986) Sahel rainfall and worldwide sea temperatures 1901-85. Nature 320:602-607
10. Giannini A, Saravanan R, Chang P (2003) Oceanic forcing of Sahel rainfall on interannual to interdecadal time scales. Science 302:1027-1030
11. Held IM, Delworth TL, Lu J, Findell KL, Knutson TR (2005) Simulation of Sahel drought in the 20th and 21st centuries. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 0: 0509057102
12. Hong SY (2005) Physical processes in atmospheric model-NCEP MRF/RSM physics. (available from http://www.ecpc.ucsd.edu/projects/RSM)
13. Jenkins GS, Gaye AT, Sylla B (2005) Late 20th century attribution of drying trends in the Sahel from the regional climate model (RegCM3). Gephys Res Lett 32: http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005GL024225
14. Juang H, Hong SY (2001) Sensitivity of the NCEP regional spectral model to domain size and nesting strategy. Mon Weather Rev 129:2904-2922
15. Juang H, Kanamitsu M (1994) The NMC nested regional spectral model. Mon Weather Rev 122:3-24
16. Juang H, Hong SY, Kanamitsu M (1997) The NCEP regional spectral model: an update. Bull Am Meteorl Soc 78:2125-2143
17. Kiladis GN, Diaz HF (1989) Global climate anomalies associated with extremes in the southern oscillation. J Clim 2:1069-1090
18. Klein SA, Soden BJ, Lau NC (1999) Remote sea surface temperature variations during ENSO: Evidence for a tropical atmospheric bridge. J Clim 12:917-932
19. Koster RD, Suarez MJ (2001) Soil moisture memory in climate models. J Hydrometeorol 1:558-570
20. Lintner BT, Chiang JCH (2006) Adjustment of the remote tropical climate to El Niño conditions. J Clim (in press)
21. Lough JM (1986) Tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures and rainfall variations in subsaharan Africa. Mon Weather Rev 14:561-570
22. Lyon B, Barnston AG (2005) ENSO and the spatial extent of interannual precipitation extremes in tropical land areas. J Clim 18:5095-5109
23. Mason SJ, Goddard L (2001) Probabilistic precipitation anomalies associated with ENSO. Bull Am Meteorl Soc 82:619-638
24. Mitchell K (2001) The community NOAH land-surface model (LSM). (available from http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/gcp/noahlsm)
25. Mitchell T, Jones P (2005) An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high-resolution grids. Int J Climatol 25:693-712
26. Neelin JD, Chou C, Su H (2003) Tropical drought regions in global warming and El Niño teleconnections. Geophys Res Lett 30(24): http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2003GLO018625
27. New M, Hulme M, Jones P (1999) Representing twentieth-century space-time climate variability. Part I: Development of a 1961-90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology. J Clim 12:829-856
28. Nicholson S (1993) An overview of African rainfall fluctuations of the last decade. J Clim 6:473-487
29. Palmer TN (1986) Influence of the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian oceans on Sahel rainfall. Nature 322:251-253
30. Roeckner E, Arpe K, Bengtsson L, Christoph M, Claussen M, Duemenil L, Esch M, Giorgetta M, Schlese U, Schulzweida U (1996) The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM-4: Model description and simulation of present-day climate. Tech. Rep. 218, Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, p 90
31. Ropelewski CF, Halpert MS (1986) Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Mon Weather Rev 115:1606-1626
32. Rowell DP (2003) The impact of Mediterranean SSTs on the Sahelian rainfall season. J Clim 16:849-862
33. RSM short course: GSM/RSM basics (2005) (available online from http://www.ecpc.ucsd.edu/projects/RSM)
34. Sobel AH, Bretherton CS (2000) Modeling tropical precipitation in a single column. J Clim 13:4378-4392
35. Sobel AH, Held IM, Bretherton CS (2002) The ENSO signal in tropical tropospheric temperature. J Clim 15:2702-2706
36. Su H, Neelin JD, Meyerson JE (2003) Sensitivity of tropical tropospheric temperature to sea surface temperature forcing. J Clim 16:1283-1301
37. Su H, Neelin JD, Meyerson JE (2005) Tropical tropospheric temperature and precipitation response to sea surface temperature forcing. In: Wang JCC, Xie S-P, (ed) Ocean-atmosphere interaction and climate variability, vol 147 of geophysical monograph series, American Geophysical Union, pp 379-392
38. Sun L, Semazzi FHM, Giorgi F, Ogallo L (1999a) Application of the NCAR regional climate model to eastern Africa, 1, Simulation of the short rains of 1988. J Geophys Res 104:6529-6548
39. Sun L, Semazzi FHM, Giorgi F, and Ogallo L (1999b) Application of the NCAR regional climate model to eastern Africa, 2, Simulation of interannual variability of short rains. J Geophys Res 104:6549-6562
40. Thiaw WM, Bell GD (2005) Mechanisms associated with the June-September 2003 Sahel rainfall and implications for seasonal climate forecasts. CLIVAR Exch 10(1):2931
41. Vizy EK, Cook KH (2002) Development and application of a mesoscale climate model for the tropics: Influence of sea surface temperature anomalies on the West African monsoon. J Geophys Res 107, http:// dx.doi.org/10.1029/2001JD000686
42. Ward MN (1998) Diagnosis and short lead time prediction of summer rainfall in tropical north Africa at interannual and multidecadal timescales. J Clim 11:3167-3190
43. Xie P, Arkin PA (1996) Analysis of global monthly precipitation using gauge observation satellite estimates, and numerical predictions. J Clim 9:840-858