메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 380, Issue 1-2, 2007, Pages 287-296

Lead-lag cross-sectional structure and detection of correlated-anticorrelated regime shifts: Application to the volatilities of inflation and economic growth rates

Author keywords

Convention; GDP growth; Inflation; Thermal optimal path; Time series

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS; OPTIMIZATION; STATISTICAL MECHANICS; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS;

EID: 34247857698     PISSN: 03784371     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2007.02.114     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (33)

References (39)
  • 1
    • 0011046885 scopus 로고
    • Testing for causality: a personal viewpoint
    • Granger C.W.J. Testing for causality: a personal viewpoint. J. Econ. Dyn. Control 2 (1980) 329-352
    • (1980) J. Econ. Dyn. Control , vol.2 , pp. 329-352
    • Granger, C.W.J.1
  • 2
    • 0000428582 scopus 로고
    • Advertising and aggregate consumption-an analysis of causality
    • Ashley R., Granger C.W.J., and Schmalensee R. Advertising and aggregate consumption-an analysis of causality. Econometrica 48 (1980) 1149-1167
    • (1980) Econometrica , vol.48 , pp. 1149-1167
    • Ashley, R.1    Granger, C.W.J.2    Schmalensee, R.3
  • 3
    • 34247860515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R.F. Engle, H. White (Eds.), Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting: A Festschrift in Honour of Clive W.J. Granger, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 1999.
  • 4
    • 85036425679 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R. Q. Quiroga, T. Kreuz, P. Grassberger, Event synchronization: a simple and fast method to measure synchronicity and time delay patterns, Phys. Rev. E 66 (2002) 041904.
  • 6
    • 0037201218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonlinear analysis of bivariate data with cross recurrence plots
    • Marwan N., and Kurths J. Nonlinear analysis of bivariate data with cross recurrence plots. Phys. Lett. A 302 (2002) 299-307
    • (2002) Phys. Lett. A , vol.302 , pp. 299-307
    • Marwan, N.1    Kurths, J.2
  • 7
    • 0036311757 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cross recurrence plot based synchronization of time series
    • Marwan N., Thiel M., and Nowaczyk N. Cross recurrence plot based synchronization of time series. Nonlinear Processes Geophys. 9 (2002) 325-331
    • (2002) Nonlinear Processes Geophys. , vol.9 , pp. 325-331
    • Marwan, N.1    Thiel, M.2    Nowaczyk, N.3
  • 8
    • 33644885031 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: the "optimal thermal causal path" method
    • Sornette D., and Zhou W.-X. Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: the "optimal thermal causal path" method. Quant. Finance 5 (2005) 577-591
    • (2005) Quant. Finance , vol.5 , pp. 577-591
    • Sornette, D.1    Zhou, W.-X.2
  • 9
    • 32144431930 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: the "optimal thermal causal path" method with application to economic data
    • Zhou W.-X., and Sornette D. Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: the "optimal thermal causal path" method with application to economic data. J. Macroecon. 28 (2006) 197-226
    • (2006) J. Macroecon. , vol.28 , pp. 197-226
    • Zhou, W.-X.1    Sornette, D.2
  • 11
    • 34247866139 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A. Orléan, Le rôle des conventions dans la logique monétaire, in: R. Salais, L. Thévenot (Eds.), Le travail. Marchés, règles, conventions, Economica-INSEE (1986) 219-238.
  • 12
    • 0242451416 scopus 로고
    • Anticipations et conventions en situation d'incertitude
    • Orléan A. Anticipations et conventions en situation d'incertitude. Cah. Econ. Politique 13 (1987) 153-172
    • (1987) Cah. Econ. Politique , vol.13 , pp. 153-172
    • Orléan, A.1
  • 13
    • 0007815332 scopus 로고
    • Pour une approche cognitive des conventions économiques
    • Orléan A. Pour une approche cognitive des conventions économiques. Rev. Econ. 40 (1989) 241-272
    • (1989) Rev. Econ. , vol.40 , pp. 241-272
    • Orléan, A.1
  • 14
    • 51249166267 scopus 로고
    • How do conventions evolve?
    • Orléan A. How do conventions evolve?. J. Evol. Econ. 2 (1992) 165-177
    • (1992) J. Evol. Econ. , vol.2 , pp. 165-177
    • Orléan, A.1
  • 15
    • 21144449964 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • L'économie des conventions: définitions et résultats
    • Orléan A. (Ed), Presses Universitaires de France, coll. "Quadrige", Paris
    • Orléan A. L'économie des conventions: définitions et résultats. In: Orléan A. (Ed). Analyse Économique Des Conventions (2004), Presses Universitaires de France, coll. "Quadrige", Paris
    • (2004) Analyse Économique Des Conventions
    • Orléan, A.1
  • 16
    • 0344076285 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Persistance et changement des conventions. Deux modèles simples et quelques illustrations
    • Orléan A. (Ed), Presses Universitaires de France, coll. "Quadrige", Paris
    • Boyer R., and Orléan A. Persistance et changement des conventions. Deux modèles simples et quelques illustrations. In: Orléan A. (Ed). Analyse Économique Des Conventions. second ed. (2004), Presses Universitaires de France, coll. "Quadrige", Paris
    • (2004) Analyse Économique Des Conventions. second ed.
    • Boyer, R.1    Orléan, A.2
  • 17
    • 34247887280 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A. Orléan, Efficience, finance comportementaliste et convention: une synthèse théorique, in: R. Boyer, M. Dehove, D. Plihon (Eds.), Les Crises Financières, Rapport du Conseil d'Analyse Economique, Oct. Compléments A, 2004, pp. 241-270.
  • 18
    • 33847213230 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Self-referential behaviour, overreaction and conventions in financial markets
    • Wyart M., and Bouchaud J.-P. Self-referential behaviour, overreaction and conventions in financial markets. J. Econ. Behav. Org. 63 (2007) 1-24
    • (2007) J. Econ. Behav. Org. , vol.63 , pp. 1-24
    • Wyart, M.1    Bouchaud, J.-P.2
  • 19
    • 34247875803 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The analysis of dynamic patterns and resources of output volatilities in China's business cycles
    • (in Chinese)
    • Liu J.-Q., and Liu Z.-G. The analysis of dynamic patterns and resources of output volatilities in China's business cycles. Econ. Res. J. 40 3 (2005) 26-35 (in Chinese)
    • (2005) Econ. Res. J. , vol.40 , Issue.3 , pp. 26-35
    • Liu, J.-Q.1    Liu, Z.-G.2
  • 20
    • 0033733880 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Directed polymers at finite temperatures in 1 + 1 and 2 + 1 dimensions
    • Wang X.-H., Havlin S., and Schwartz M. Directed polymers at finite temperatures in 1 + 1 and 2 + 1 dimensions. J. Phys. Chem. B 104 (2000) 3875-3880
    • (2000) J. Phys. Chem. B , vol.104 , pp. 3875-3880
    • Wang, X.-H.1    Havlin, S.2    Schwartz, M.3
  • 21
    • 0000745581 scopus 로고
    • Inflation and real interest
    • Mundell R.A. Inflation and real interest. J. Political Econ. 71 (1963) 280-283
    • (1963) J. Political Econ. , vol.71 , pp. 280-283
    • Mundell, R.A.1
  • 22
    • 0000736356 scopus 로고
    • Money and economic growth
    • Tobin J. Money and economic growth. Econometrica 33 (1965) 671-684
    • (1965) Econometrica , vol.33 , pp. 671-684
    • Tobin, J.1
  • 23
    • 84985855289 scopus 로고
    • Money and production function
    • Fischer S. Money and production function. Econ. Inquiry 12 (1974) 517-533
    • (1974) Econ. Inquiry , vol.12 , pp. 517-533
    • Fischer, S.1
  • 24
    • 0000742748 scopus 로고
    • Rational choice and patterns of growth in a monetary economy
    • Sidrauski M. Rational choice and patterns of growth in a monetary economy. Am. Econ. Rev. 57 (1967) 534-544
    • (1967) Am. Econ. Rev. , vol.57 , pp. 534-544
    • Sidrauski, M.1
  • 25
    • 0039300451 scopus 로고
    • The mirage of economic inflation
    • Okun A.M. The mirage of economic inflation. Brookings Papers Econ. Act. 1971 2 (1971) 485-498
    • (1971) Brookings Papers Econ. Act. , vol.1971 , Issue.2 , pp. 485-498
    • Okun, A.M.1
  • 26
    • 0000962629 scopus 로고
    • Nobel lecture: inflation and unemployment
    • Friedman M. Nobel lecture: inflation and unemployment. J. Political Econ. 85 (1977) 451-472
    • (1977) J. Political Econ. , vol.85 , pp. 451-472
    • Friedman, M.1
  • 27
    • 0029774010 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On measuring the effect of inflation uncertainty on real GNP growth
    • Davis G.K., and Kanago B. On measuring the effect of inflation uncertainty on real GNP growth. Oxford Econ. Pap. 48 (1996) 163-175
    • (1996) Oxford Econ. Pap. , vol.48 , pp. 163-175
    • Davis, G.K.1    Kanago, B.2
  • 28
    • 0032395367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High and uncertain inflation: results from a new data set
    • Davis G.K., and Kanago B. High and uncertain inflation: results from a new data set. J. Money Credit Banking 30 (1998) 218-230
    • (1998) J. Money Credit Banking , vol.30 , pp. 218-230
    • Davis, G.K.1    Kanago, B.2
  • 29
    • 0031764160 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cross-country evidence on the link between inflation volatility and growth
    • Al-Marhubi F. Cross-country evidence on the link between inflation volatility and growth. Appl. Econ. 30 (1998) 1317-1326
    • (1998) Appl. Econ. , vol.30 , pp. 1317-1326
    • Al-Marhubi, F.1
  • 30
    • 0034400970 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effects of real and nominal uncertainty on inflation and output growth: some GARCH-M evidence
    • Grier K.B., and Perry M.J. The effects of real and nominal uncertainty on inflation and output growth: some GARCH-M evidence. J. Appl. Econometrics 15 (2000) 45-58
    • (2000) J. Appl. Econometrics , vol.15 , pp. 45-58
    • Grier, K.B.1    Perry, M.J.2
  • 31
    • 0039010131 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inflation uncertainty, unemployment uncertainty and economic activity
    • Hayford M.D. Inflation uncertainty, unemployment uncertainty and economic activity. J. Macroecon. 22 (2000) 315-329
    • (2000) J. Macroecon. , vol.22 , pp. 315-329
    • Hayford, M.D.1
  • 32
    • 33745321050 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inflation uncertainty, output growth uncertainty and macroeconomic performance
    • Fountas S., Karanasos M., and Kim J. Inflation uncertainty, output growth uncertainty and macroeconomic performance. Oxford Bull. Econ. Stat. 68 (2006) 319-343
    • (2006) Oxford Bull. Econ. Stat. , vol.68 , pp. 319-343
    • Fountas, S.1    Karanasos, M.2    Kim, J.3
  • 33
    • 0010875815 scopus 로고
    • Estimation and control of a macroeconomic model with rational expectations
    • Taylor J.B. Estimation and control of a macroeconomic model with rational expectations. Econometrica 47 (1979) 1267-1286
    • (1979) Econometrica , vol.47 , pp. 1267-1286
    • Taylor, J.B.1
  • 34
    • 0030502536 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The long-run variance of output and inflation under alternative monetary policy rules
    • Defina R.H., Stark T.C., and Taylor H.E. The long-run variance of output and inflation under alternative monetary policy rules. J. Macroecon. 18 (1996) 235-251
    • (1996) J. Macroecon. , vol.18 , pp. 235-251
    • Defina, R.H.1    Stark, T.C.2    Taylor, H.E.3
  • 35
    • 0031506389 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Inflation/output variance trade-offs and optimal monetary policy
    • Fuhrer J.C. Inflation/output variance trade-offs and optimal monetary policy. J. Money Credit Banking 29 (1997) 214-234
    • (1997) J. Money Credit Banking , vol.29 , pp. 214-234
    • Fuhrer, J.C.1
  • 36
    • 2542497749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The inflation/output variability trade-off: further evidence
    • Cobham D., Macmillan P., and Mcmillan D.G. The inflation/output variability trade-off: further evidence. Appl. Econ. Lett. 11 (2004) 347-350
    • (2004) Appl. Econ. Lett. , vol.11 , pp. 347-350
    • Cobham, D.1    Macmillan, P.2    Mcmillan, D.G.3
  • 37
    • 0036055990 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The inflation-output variability tradeoff and monetary policy: evidence from a GARCH model
    • Lee J. The inflation-output variability tradeoff and monetary policy: evidence from a GARCH model. South. Econ. J. 69 (2002) 175-188
    • (2002) South. Econ. J. , vol.69 , pp. 175-188
    • Lee, J.1
  • 38
    • 3242678079 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The inflation-output variability trade-off: OECD evidence
    • Lee J. The inflation-output variability trade-off: OECD evidence. Contemp. Econ. Policy 22 (2004) 344-356
    • (2004) Contemp. Econ. Policy , vol.22 , pp. 344-356
    • Lee, J.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.