메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 204, Issue 3-4, 2007, Pages 420-426

The outbreak pattern of SARS cases in China as revealed by a mathematical model

Author keywords

Effective reproduction number; Epidemiology; Model; Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)

Indexed keywords

EPIDEMIOLOGY; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PULMONARY DISEASES; RESPIRATORY SYSTEM; VIRUSES;

EID: 34247579785     PISSN: 03043800     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.01.020     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (24)

References (31)
  • 3
    • 0036846225 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A general model for stochastic SIR epidemics with two level of mixing
    • Ball F., and Neal P. A general model for stochastic SIR epidemics with two level of mixing. Math. Biosci. 180 (2002) 73-102
    • (2002) Math. Biosci. , vol.180 , pp. 73-102
    • Ball, F.1    Neal, P.2
  • 4
    • 0027275537 scopus 로고
    • Parametric inference for epidemic models
    • Becker N.G. Parametric inference for epidemic models. Math. Biosci. 117 (1993) 239-251
    • (1993) Math. Biosci. , vol.117 , pp. 239-251
    • Becker, N.G.1
  • 6
    • 0033479072 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical studies of infectious disease incidence
    • Becker N.G., and Britton T. Statistical studies of infectious disease incidence. Stat. Soc. Ser. B 61 (1999) 287-292
    • (1999) Stat. Soc. Ser. B , vol.61 , pp. 287-292
    • Becker, N.G.1    Britton, T.2
  • 7
    • 0018041874 scopus 로고
    • A generalization of the Kermack-McKendrick deterministic epidemic model
    • Capasso V., and Serio G. A generalization of the Kermack-McKendrick deterministic epidemic model. Math. Biosci. 42 (1978) 43-61
    • (1978) Math. Biosci. , vol.42 , pp. 43-61
    • Capasso, V.1    Serio, G.2
  • 8
    • 0025159677 scopus 로고
    • 0 in the models for infectious diseases in the heterogeneous populations
    • 0 in the models for infectious diseases in the heterogeneous populations. J. Math. Biol. 28 (1990) 65-382
    • (1990) J. Math. Biol. , vol.28 , pp. 65-382
    • Diekmann, O.1    Heesterbeek, H.2    Metz, J.A.J.3
  • 9
    • 0037709737 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the SARS epidemic
    • Dye C., and Gay N. Modeling the SARS epidemic. Science 300 (2003) 1884-1885
    • (2003) Science , vol.300 , pp. 1884-1885
    • Dye, C.1    Gay, N.2
  • 10
    • 0020072418 scopus 로고
    • Measles in England and Wales-I: an analysis of factors underlying seasonal patterns
    • Fine P.E.M., and Clarkson J.A. Measles in England and Wales-I: an analysis of factors underlying seasonal patterns. Int. J. Epidemiol. 11 (1982) 5-15
    • (1982) Int. J. Epidemiol. , vol.11 , pp. 5-15
    • Fine, P.E.M.1    Clarkson, J.A.2
  • 11
    • 0034078757 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Subcritical endemic steady states in mathematical models for animal infectious with incomplete immunity
    • Greenhalgh D., Diekmann O., and de Jong M.C.M. Subcritical endemic steady states in mathematical models for animal infectious with incomplete immunity. Math. Biosci. 165 (2000) 1-25
    • (2000) Math. Biosci. , vol.165 , pp. 1-25
    • Greenhalgh, D.1    Diekmann, O.2    de Jong, M.C.M.3
  • 13
    • 0029445684 scopus 로고
    • An SIS epidemic model with variable population size and a delay
    • Hethcote H.W., and van den Driesssche P. An SIS epidemic model with variable population size and a delay. J. Math. Biol. 54 (1995) 177-194
    • (1995) J. Math. Biol. , vol.54 , pp. 177-194
    • Hethcote, H.W.1    van den Driesssche, P.2
  • 15
    • 0027977506 scopus 로고
    • Accurately simulating the growth in the size of the HIV infected population in AIDS epidemic country: computing the USA HIV infection curve
    • Kramer I. Accurately simulating the growth in the size of the HIV infected population in AIDS epidemic country: computing the USA HIV infection curve. Math. Comput. Model. 19 (1994) 91-112
    • (1994) Math. Comput. Model. , vol.19 , pp. 91-112
    • Kramer, I.1
  • 17
    • 12444346408 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission dynamics and control of severe acute respiratory syndrome
    • Lipsitch M., et al. Transmission dynamics and control of severe acute respiratory syndrome. Science 300 (2003) 1966-1970
    • (2003) Science , vol.300 , pp. 1966-1970
    • Lipsitch, M.1
  • 18
    • 0342409417 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamical evolution of discrete epidemic models
    • Méndez V.M., and Fort J. Dynamical evolution of discrete epidemic models. Physica A: Statist. Mech. Appl. 284 (2000) 309-317
    • (2000) Physica A: Statist. Mech. Appl. , vol.284 , pp. 309-317
    • Méndez, V.M.1    Fort, J.2
  • 19
    • 0037099662 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global stability of two-stage epidemic model with generalized non-linear incidence
    • Moghadas S.M. Global stability of two-stage epidemic model with generalized non-linear incidence. Math. Comput. Simulat. 60 (2002) 107-118
    • (2002) Math. Comput. Simulat. , vol.60 , pp. 107-118
    • Moghadas, S.M.1
  • 22
    • 34247640329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monteriro, L.H.A., Sasso, J.B., Beilinck J.G.C., 2006b. Continous and discrete approached to the epidemiology of viral spreading in populations taking into account the delay of incubation time. Ecol. Model., doi:10.1016/j.ecomodel.2006.09.27.
  • 23
    • 0036847164 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A tutorial introduction to Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemic models using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods
    • O'Neill P.D. A tutorial introduction to Bayesian inference for stochastic epidemic models using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Math. Biosci. 180 (2002) 103-114
    • (2002) Math. Biosci. , vol.180 , pp. 103-114
    • O'Neill, P.D.1
  • 24
    • 12444260277 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions
    • Riley S., et al. Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions. Science 300 (2003) 1961-1966
    • (2003) Science , vol.300 , pp. 1961-1966
    • Riley, S.1
  • 25
    • 0037429355 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamical behavior of an epidemic model with a nonlinear incidence rate
    • Ruan S., and Wang W. Dynamical behavior of an epidemic model with a nonlinear incidence rate. J. Differential Equat. 188 (2003) 135-163
    • (2003) J. Differential Equat. , vol.188 , pp. 135-163
    • Ruan, S.1    Wang, W.2
  • 26
    • 0037466563 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelers struggle to grasp epidemic's potential scope
    • Vogel G. Modelers struggle to grasp epidemic's potential scope. Science 300 (2003) 558-559
    • (2003) Science , vol.300 , pp. 558-559
    • Vogel, G.1
  • 27
    • 0033199407 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Perspective: human contact patterns and the spread of airborne infection disease
    • Wallinga J., Edmunds W.J., and Kretzchmar M. Perspective: human contact patterns and the spread of airborne infection disease. Trends Microbiol. 9 (1999) 372-377
    • (1999) Trends Microbiol. , vol.9 , pp. 372-377
    • Wallinga, J.1    Edmunds, W.J.2    Kretzchmar, M.3
  • 28
    • 0036130937 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global dynamics of an epidemic model with time delay
    • Wendi W., and Zhien M. Global dynamics of an epidemic model with time delay. Nonlinear Anal.: Real World Appl. 3 (2002) 365-373
    • (2002) Nonlinear Anal.: Real World Appl. , vol.3 , pp. 365-373
    • Wendi, W.1    Zhien, M.2
  • 29
    • 33749664460 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Science Press, Beijing (in Chinese)
    • Yang H.M. SARS Control Manual (2003), Science Press, Beijing (in Chinese)
    • (2003) SARS Control Manual
    • Yang, H.M.1
  • 30
    • 0024743270 scopus 로고
    • Estimating the initial relative infection rate for a stochastic epidemic model
    • Yip P. Estimating the initial relative infection rate for a stochastic epidemic model. Theor. Populat. Biol. 36 (1989) 202-213
    • (1989) Theor. Populat. Biol. , vol.36 , pp. 202-213
    • Yip, P.1
  • 31
    • 0038663004 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extrinsic and intrinsic factors determine the eruptive dynamics of Brandt's voles Microtus brandti in Inner Mongolia, China
    • Zhang Z., Pech R., Davis S., Shi D., Wan X., and Zhong W. Extrinsic and intrinsic factors determine the eruptive dynamics of Brandt's voles Microtus brandti in Inner Mongolia, China. Oikos 100 (2003) 299-310
    • (2003) Oikos , vol.100 , pp. 299-310
    • Zhang, Z.1    Pech, R.2    Davis, S.3    Shi, D.4    Wan, X.5    Zhong, W.6


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.