메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 44, Issue 4, 2007, Pages 865-888

Signal extraction with Kalman Filter: A study of the Hong Kong property price bubbles

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS; KALMAN FILTER; PRICE DYNAMICS; PROPERTY MARKET;

EID: 34247205249     PISSN: 00420980     EISSN: 1360063X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/00420980601185650     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (33)

References (60)
  • 2
    • 0040289946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Presidential address: Do financial institutions matter?
    • Allen, F. (2001) Presidential address: Do financial institutions matter?. The Journal of Finance, 56, pp. 1165-1176.
    • (2001) The Journal of Finance , vol.56 , pp. 1165-1176
    • Allen, F.1
  • 3
    • 0034771181 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asset bubbles, monetary policy and bank lending in Japan: An empirical investigation
    • Basile, A. and Joyce, J. P. (2001) Asset bubbles, monetary policy and bank lending in Japan: An empirical investigation. Applied Economics, 33, pp. 1737-1744.
    • (2001) Applied Economics , vol.33 , pp. 1737-1744
    • Basile, A.1    Joyce, J.P.2
  • 4
    • 0038152137 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Property cycles, speculative bubbles and the gross income multiplier
    • Bjorklund, K. and Soderberg, B. (1999) Property cycles, speculative bubbles and the gross income multiplier. Journal of Real Estate Research, 18, pp. 151-174.
    • (1999) Journal of Real Estate Research , vol.18 , pp. 151-174
    • Bjorklund, K.1    Soderberg, B.2
  • 6
    • 0003105445 scopus 로고
    • Asset prices in a production economy
    • University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL
    • Brock, W. A. (1982) Asset prices in a production economy. The Economics of Information and Uncertainty, pp. 1-46. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL
    • (1982) The Economics of Information and Uncertainty , pp. 1-46
    • Brock, W.A.1
  • 9
    • 84936220056 scopus 로고
    • Cointegration and tests of present value models
    • Campbell, J. Y. and Shiller, R. J. (1987) Cointegration and tests of present value models. The Journal of Political Economy, 95:5, pp. 1062-1088.
    • (1987) The Journal of Political Economy , vol.95 , Issue.5 , pp. 1062-1088
    • Campbell, J.Y.1    Shiller, R.J.2
  • 11
    • 0000007521 scopus 로고
    • The dividend-price ratio and expectations of future dividends and discount factors
    • Campbell, J. Y. and Shiller, R. J. (1988) The dividend-price ratio and expectations of future dividends and discount factors. The Review of Financial Studies, 1:3, pp. 195-228.
    • (1988) The Review of Financial Studies , vol.1 , Issue.3 , pp. 195-228
    • Campbell, J.Y.1    Shiller, R.J.2
  • 12
    • 34247233875 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bull market in oil poised for correction
    • Carrigan, B. (2004) Bull market in oil poised for correction. The Toronto Star
    • (2004) The Toronto Star
    • Carrigan, B.1
  • 13
    • 0042827442 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detecting rational bubbles in the residential housing markets in Hong Kong
    • Chan, H. L., Lee, S. K. and Woo, K. Y. (2001) Detecting rational bubbles in the residential housing markets in Hong Kong. Economic Modeling, 18, pp. 61-73.
    • (2001) Economic Modeling , vol.18 , pp. 61-73
    • Chan, H.L.1    Lee, S.K.2    Woo, K.Y.3
  • 14
    • 0001442825 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • House price dynamics: A survey of theoretical and empirical issues
    • Cho, M. (1996) House price dynamics: A survey of theoretical and empirical issues. Journal of Housing Research, 7:2, pp. 145-172.
    • (1996) Journal of Housing Research , vol.7 , Issue.2 , pp. 145-172
    • Cho, M.1
  • 19
    • 84936067423 scopus 로고
    • The theory of rational bubbles in stock prices
    • Diba, B. T. and Grossman, H. I. (1988) The theory of rational bubbles in stock prices. The Economic Journal, 98:392, pp. 746-754. 392,
    • (1988) The Economic Journal , vol.98 , Issue.392 , pp. 746-754
    • Diba, B.T.1    Grossman, H.I.2
  • 20
    • 0000754766 scopus 로고
    • Explosive rational bubbles in stock prices?
    • Diba, B. T. and Grossman, H. I. (1988) Explosive rational bubbles in stock prices?. The American Economic Review, 78:3, pp. 520-530.
    • (1988) The American Economic Review , vol.78 , Issue.3 , pp. 520-530
    • Diba, B.T.1    Grossman, H.I.2
  • 23
    • 0001315552 scopus 로고
    • Market fundamentals versus price-level bubbles: The first tests
    • Flood, R. P. and Garber, P. M. (1980) Market fundamentals versus price-level bubbles: The first tests. The Journal of Political Economy, 88:4, pp. 745-770.
    • (1980) The Journal of Political Economy , vol.88 , Issue.4 , pp. 745-770
    • Flood, R.P.1    Garber, P.M.2
  • 25
    • 0002021110 scopus 로고
    • Stock market efficiency: An autopsy?
    • Fortune, P. (1991) Stock market efficiency: An autopsy?. New England Economic Review, pp. 17-41.
    • (1991) New England Economic Review , pp. 17-41
    • Fortune, P.1
  • 29
    • 0003410290 scopus 로고
    • Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ
    • Hamilton, J. D. (1994) Time Series Analysis, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ
    • (1994) Time Series Analysis
    • Hamilton, J.D.1
  • 31
    • 0034383856 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Property asset bubbles: Evidence from the Sydney office market
    • Hendershott, P. H. (2000) Property asset bubbles: Evidence from the Sydney office market. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 20:1, pp. 67-81.
    • (2000) Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics , vol.20 , Issue.1 , pp. 67-81
    • Hendershott, P.H.1
  • 36
    • 0036016198 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regime shifts in Asian equity and real estate markets
    • Kallberg, J. G., Liu, C. H. and Pasquariello, P. (2002) Regime shifts in Asian equity and real estate markets. Real Estate Economics, 30:2, pp. 263-291.
    • (2002) Real Estate Economics , vol.30 , Issue.2 , pp. 263-291
    • Kallberg, J.G.1    Liu, C.H.2    Pasquariello, P.3
  • 37
    • 34247202460 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Paper presented at the Asia Real Estate Society Fifth Annual conference Beijing
    • Kim, K.-H. and Lee, H. S. (2000) Paper presented at the Asia Real Estate Society Fifth Annual conference Beijing
    • (2000)
    • Kim, K.-H.1    Lee, H.S.2
  • 38
    • 8644231289 scopus 로고
    • Speculation and price bubbles in the Korean and Japanese real estate markets
    • Kim, K.-H. and Suh, S.-H. (1993) Speculation and price bubbles in the Korean and Japanese real estate markets. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 6, pp. 73-87.
    • (1993) Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics , vol.6 , pp. 73-87
    • Kim, K.-H.1    Suh, S.-H.2
  • 39
    • 5844382055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An Ordo-liberal perspective on land problems in Korea
    • Lee, J. S. (1997) An Ordo-liberal perspective on land problems in Korea. Urban Studies, 34:7, pp. 1071-1084.
    • (1997) Urban Studies , vol.34 , Issue.7 , pp. 1071-1084
    • Lee, J.S.1
  • 41
    • 34247196995 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asset price movements and monetary policy in South Korea
    • Basel, Switzerland
    • Lim, H. Y. (2003) Asset price movements and monetary policy in South Korea. Monetary Policy in a Changing Environment, pp. 313-337. Basel, Switzerland
    • (2003) Monetary Policy in a Changing Environment , pp. 313-337
    • Lim, H.Y.1
  • 42
    • 34247241999 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Center for Urban Land Economics Research, School of Business, University of Wisconsin
    • Malpezzi and Wachter, S. M. (2002) The role of speculation in real estate cycles, The Center for Urban Land Economics Research, School of Business, University of Wisconsin
    • (2002) The Role of Speculation in Real Estate Cycles
    • Malpezzi Wachter, S.M.1
  • 43
    • 0000692440 scopus 로고
    • An unbiased reexamination of stock market volatility
    • Mankiew, N. G., Romer, D. and Shapiro, M. D. (1985) An unbiased reexamination of stock market volatility. Journal of Finance, 40, pp. 677-689.
    • (1985) Journal of Finance , vol.40 , pp. 677-689
    • Mankiew, N.G.1    Romer, D.2    Shapiro, M.D.3
  • 45
    • 84926272721 scopus 로고
    • Speculative hyperinflations in maximizing models: Can we rule them out?
    • Obstfeld, M. and Rogoff, K. (1983) Speculative hyperinflations in maximizing models: Can we rule them out?. Journal of Political Economy, 91, pp. 675-687.
    • (1983) Journal of Political Economy , vol.91 , pp. 675-687
    • Obstfeld, M.1    Rogoff, K.2
  • 50
    • 0006059517 scopus 로고
    • Do prices reflect market fundamentals in real estate markets?
    • Scott, L. O. (1990) Do prices reflect market fundamentals in real estate markets?. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 3, pp. 5-23.
    • (1990) Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics , vol.3 , pp. 5-23
    • Scott, L.O.1
  • 51
    • 0002393332 scopus 로고
    • Market volatility and investor behavior
    • Shiller, R. J. (1990) Market volatility and investor behavior. The American Economic Review, 80:2, pp. 58-62.
    • (1990) The American Economic Review , vol.80 , Issue.2 , pp. 58-62
    • Shiller, R.J.1
  • 54
    • 0031273052 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large financial crashes
    • Sornette, D. and Johansen, A. (1997) Large financial crashes. Physica A, 245, pp. 411-422.
    • (1997) Physica A , vol.245 , pp. 411-422
    • Sornette, D.1    Johansen, A.2
  • 55
    • 0001022690 scopus 로고
    • On the possibility of speculation under rational expectations
    • Tirole, J. (1982) On the possibility of speculation under rational expectations. Econometrica, 50, pp. 1163-1181.
    • (1982) Econometrica , vol.50 , pp. 1163-1181
    • Tirole, J.1
  • 56
    • 0001575872 scopus 로고
    • Asset bubbles and overlapping generations
    • Tirole, J. (1985) Asset bubbles and overlapping generations. Econometrica, 53, pp. 1071-1100.
    • (1985) Econometrica , vol.53 , pp. 1071-1100
    • Tirole, J.1
  • 57
    • 34247529903 scopus 로고
    • Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability
    • Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. (1973) Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability. Cognitive Psychology, 5, pp. 207-232.
    • (1973) Cognitive Psychology , vol.5 , pp. 207-232
    • Tversky, A.1    Kahneman, D.2
  • 59
    • 0031535305 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rational bubbles in the stock market: Accounting for the U. S. stock-price volatility
    • Wu, Y. (1997) Rational bubbles in the stock market: Accounting for the U. S. stock-price volatility. Economic Inquiry, 35, pp. 309-319.
    • (1997) Economic Inquiry , vol.35 , pp. 309-319
    • Wu, Y.1
  • 60
    • 34247281363 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Property market bubbles: Some evidence from Seoul and Hong Kong
    • Xiao, Q. (2005) Property market bubbles: Some evidence from Seoul and Hong Kong
    • (2005)
    • Xiao, Q.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.