Seasonal components of avian population change: Joint analysis of two large-scale monitoring programs

Ecology

Volumn 88, Issue 1, 2007, Pages 49-55

  Link, William A ^a   Sauer, John R ^a  

^a PATUXENT WILDLIFE RESEARCH CENTER   (United States)

Author keywords

Breeding Bird Survey; Carolina Wren; Christmas Bird Count; Hierarchical models; Seasonal population change; Snow cover; Thryothorus ludovicianus; Winter weather effects

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE EFFECT; MONITORING; POPULATION DECLINE; POPULATION DYNAMICS; POPULATION SIZE; SEASONAL VARIATION; SEVERE WEATHER; SONGBIRD; SURVEY;

ANIMAL; ARTICLE; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; ECOLOGY; METHODOLOGY; PHYSIOLOGY; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SEASON; SONGBIRD; STATISTICAL MODEL;

ANIMALS; ECOLOGY; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; MODELS, STATISTICAL; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SEASONS; SONGBIRDS;

AVES; THRYOTHORUS; THRYOTHORUS LUDOVICIANUS;

EID: 34247173303     PISSN: 00129658     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/0012-9658(2007)88[49:SCOAPC]2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (17)

1. Bent, A. C. 1966. Life histories of North American nuthatches, wrens, thrashers, and their allies. Dover, New York, New York, USA.
2. Bock, C. E., and T. L. Root. 1981. The Christmas Bird Count and avian ecology. Pages 17-23 in C. J. Ralph and J. M. Scott, editors. Estimating numbers of terrestrial birds. Studies in Avian Ecology 6.
3. Butcher, G. S., and C. E. McCulloch. 1990. Influence of observer effort on the number of individual birds recorded on Christmas Bird Counts. Pages 120-129 in J. R. Sauer and S. Droege, editors. Survey designs and statistical methods for the estimation of avian population trends, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Biological Report 90(1).
4. Link, W. A., and J. R. Sauer. 1999. Controlling for varying effort in count surveys: an analysis of Christmas Bird Count Data. Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics 4:116-125.
5. Link, W. A., and J. R. Sauer. 2002. A hierarchical model for population change with application to Cerulean Warblers. Ecology 83:2832-2840.
6. Link, W. A., J. R. Sauer, and D. Niven. 2006. A hierarchical model for regional analysis of population change from the Christmas Bird Count, with application to the American Black Duck. Condor 108:13-24.
7. Mehlman, D. W. 1997. Change in avian abundance across the geographic range in response to environmental change. Ecological Applications 7:614-624.
8. Nichols, J. D., J. E. Hines, J.-D. Lebreton, and R. Pradel. 2000. Estimation of contributions to population growth: a reverse-time capture-recapture approach. Ecology 81:3362-3376.
9. Robbins, C. S., D. Bystrak, and P. H. Geissler. 1986. The Breeding Bird Survey: its first fifteen years, 1965-1979. U.S. Fish Wildlife Service Resource Publication 157.
10. Root, T. L., and S. H. Schneider. 1993. Can large-scale climatic models be linked with multiscale ecological studies? Conservation Biology 7:256-270.
11. Sauer, J. R., J. E. Fallon, and R. Johnson. 2003. Use of North American Breeding Bird Survey data to estimate population change for bird conservation regions. Journal of Wildlife Management 67:372-389.
12. Sauer, J. R., J. E. Hines, and J. Fallon. 2005. The North American Breeding Bird Survey: results and analysis 1966-2004. Version 2005.1. USGS Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, Laurel, Maryland, USA. 〈http://www.mbr- pwrc.usgs.gov/bbs/bbs2004.html〉
13. Sauer, J. R., G. W. Pendleton, and B. G. Peterjohn. 1996. Evaluating causes of population change in North American insectivorous songbirds. Conservation Biology 10:465-478.
14. Sauer, J. R., B. G. Peterjohn, and W. A. Link. 1994. Observer differences in the North American Breeding Bird Survey. Auk 111:50-62.
15. Spiegelhalter, D. J., A. Thomas, and N. G. Best. 1999. WinBUGS version 1.2 user manual. MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. 〈http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/〉
16. Thogmartin, W. E., J. R. Sauer, and M. G. Knutson. 2004. A hierarchical spatial model of avian abundance with application to Cerulean Warblers. Ecological Applications 14:1766-1779.
17. Wetmore, A. 1919. A note on the decrease of the Carolina Wren near Washington. Auk 36:289-290.