Models and applications for risk assessment and prediction of Asian soybean rust epidemics

Fitopatologia Brasileira

Volumn 31, Issue 6, 2006, Pages 533-544

  Del Ponte, Emerson Medeiros ^a   Godoy, Cláudia V ^b   Canteri, Marcelo G ^c   Reis, Erlei M ^d   Yang, X B ^e  

^a FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF RIO GRANDE DO SUL   (Brazil)

^b EMBRAPA CERRADOS   (Brazil)

^c STATE UNIVERSITY OF LONDRINA   (Brazil)

^d UNIVERSITY OF PASSO FUNDO   (Brazil)

^e IOWA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Disease forecasting; Disease simulation models; Fungal aerobiology; Phakopsora pachyrhizi

Indexed keywords

GLYCINE MAX; PHAKOPSORA PACHYRHIZI;

EID: 34047138563     PISSN: 01004158     EISSN: 16784677     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1590/S0100-41582006000600001     Document Type: Review

References (55)

1. ALVES, S.A.M., FURTADO, G.Q. & BERGAMIN FILHO, A. Influência das condições climáticas sobre a ferrugem da soja. In: Zambolim, L. (Org.). Ferrugem Asiática da Soja, Visconde do Rio Branco MG. Suprema Gráfica e Editora. 2006. pp. 37-59.
2. ALVES, S.A.M., FURTADO, G.Q., GODOY, C.V. & BERGAMIN FILHO, A. Influência da temperatura no período latente da ferrugem asiática da soja. Summa Phytopathologica 32:S71. 2006. (Resumo)
3. BATCHELOR, W.D., YANG, X.B. & TSCHANZ, A.T. Development of a neural network for soybean rust epidemics. Transactions of the American Society of Agricultural Engineers 40:247-252. 1997.
4. BROMFIELD, K.R. Soybean rust: some considerations relevant to threat analysis. Protection Ecology 2:251-257. 1980.
5. BROMFIELD, K.R. Soybean Rust. Saint Paul MN. APS Press. Monograph no. 11. 1984.
6. CALDWELL, P.M., NUNKUMAR, A., PRETORIUS, Z.A. & FERNANDES, J.M.C. Development of Phakopsora pachyrhizi at different temperatures, relative humidities and leaf wetness duration. Proceedings, 9th International Workshop on Plant Disease Epidemiology. Landerneau, France. 2005.
7. CANTERI, M.G., GODOY, C.V., DEL PONTE, E.M., FERNANDES, J.M.C. & PAVAN, W. Aplicações da computação na fitopatologia. Revisão Anual de Patologia de Plantas, 12:243-285. 2004.
8. CANTERI, M.G. Mapas de Risco de Epidemias. Fitopatologia Brasileira, 29 (suplemento):S27-S28. 2004.
9. CANTERI, M.G., CARAMORI, P., TSUKAHARA, R., SILVA, O.C., FARIA, R. & GODOY, C.V. A system to map risk of infection by Phakopsora pachyrhizi for Parana State, Brazil. Phytopathology 95:S16. 2005 (Abstract)
10. DEL PONTE, E.M. & YANG, X.B. Estratégias de modelaje para la predición e comunicación del riesgo de epidemias de la roya asiática de la soja. In: Popler, L.D. (Ed.) Roya Asiática de la Soja en América - El libro. Las Talitas, Tucumán, Estación Experimental Obispo Colombres. 2006. pp. 49-62.
11. DEL PONTE, E.M., GODOY, C.V., LI, X. & YANG, X.B. Predicting severity of Asian soybean rust with empirical rainfall models. Phytopathology 96:797-803. 2006.
12. DEL PONTE, E.M., LI, X. & YANG, X.B. Assessing the rainfall suitability of Asian soybean rust epidemics in the US soybean regions. Proceedings, National Soybean rust symposium, Nashville, TN, USA. . Online: http://www.plantmanagementnetwork.org/infocenter/topic/soybeanrust/symposium/ posters/06.asp. 2005.
13. DUTHIE, J.A. Models of the response of foliar parasites to the combined effects of temperature and duration of wetness. Phytopathology 87:1088-1095. 1997.
14. EVANS, K.J., NYQUIST, W.E. & LATIN, R.X. A model based on temperature and leaf weatness duration for establishment of alternaria leaf blight of muskmelon. Phytopathology 82:890-895. 1992.
15. FUNDAÇÃO ABC. Sistema de informação de doenças da soja. Online: http://sid.fundacaoabc.org.br. 2006.
16. GREGORY, P.H. The Microbiology of the Atmosphere. New York NY. Wiley. 1973.
17. GUMPERT, F. M., GEIGER, H. H. & STAHLE, U. A mathematical model of the epidemics in homogeneous and heterogeneous host stands. Zeitschrift Pflanzenkrankheiten Pflanzenschutz 94:206-215. 1987.
18. ISARD S.A., MAIN, C.E., KEEVER, T., MAGAREY, R., REDLIN, S. & RUSSO, J.M. Weather based Assessment of Soybean Rust Threat to North America: First Year Report to Aphis. US Department of Agriculture, Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service. Online: https://netfiles.uiuc.edu/ariatti/www/SBR/ Rep_15Jul04.htm. 2004.
19. ISARD, S.A., GAGE, S.H., COMTOIS, P. & RUSSO, J.M. Principles of the Atmospheric Pathway for Invasive Species Applied to Soybean Rust. Bioscience 55:851-861. 2005.
20. ISARD, S.A., DUFAULT, N.S., MILES, M.R., HARTMAN, G.L., RUSSO, J.M., DE WOLF, E.D. & MOREL, W. The effect of solar irradiance on the mortality of Phakopsora pachyrhizi urediniospores. Plant Disease 90:941-945. 2006.
21. KIM, K.S., YANG, X.B., PAN, Z. & PEREZ-HERNANDES, O. Simulation of spore trajectories to identify potential pathways of soybean rust in the United States. Phytopathology 95:S54. 2005a. (Abstract)
22. KIM, K.S., WANG, T.C. & YANG, X.B. Simulation of apparent infection rate to predict severity of soybean rust using a fuzzy logic system. Phytopathology 95:1122-1131. 2005b.
23. KITANI, K. & INOUE, Y. Studies on the soybean rust. Bull. Shikoku Agric. Exp. Stn. (Zentsuji, Japan) 5:319-342. 1960.
24. KOCHMAN, J.K. The effect of temperature on development of soybeans rust (Phakopsora pachyrhizi). Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 30:273-277. 1979.
25. KOCHMAN, J.K. Soybean rust in Australia. In: Ford, R.E. & Sinclair, J.B. (Eds.) Rust of Soybean - The problem and research needs. Manila, Philippines. International Agricultural Publications. 1977. pp. 44-48.
26. KRAUSE, R.A. & MASSIE, L.B. Predictive systems: modern approaches to disease control. Annual Review of Phytopathology 13:31-47. 1975.
27. LALANCETTE, N., ELLIS, M.A. & MADDEN, L.V. Development of an infection efficiency model for Plasmopara viticola on American Grape based on temperature and duration of leaf wetness. Phytopathology 78:794-800. 1988.
28. LEVY, C. Epidemiology and chemical control of soybean rust in southern Africa. Plant Disease 89:669-674. 2005.
29. MARCHETTI, M.A., MELCHING, J.S. & BROMFIELD, K. R. The effects of temperature and dew period on germination and infection by urediospores of Phakopsora pachyrhizi. Phytopathology 66:461-463. 1976.
30. MELCHING, J.S., BROMFIELD, K.R. & KINGSOLVER, C.H. Infection, colonization, and uredospore production on Wayne soybean by four cultures of Phakopsora pachyrhizi, the cause of soybean rust. Phytopathology 69:1262-1265. 1979.
31. MELCHING, J.S., DOWLER, W.M., KOOGLE, D.L. & ROYER, M.H. Effects of duration, frequency, and temperature of leaf wetness periods on soybean rust. Plant Disease 73:117-122. 1989.
32. NAPDFC. North American Plant Disease Forecast Center. Soybean Rust Forecast Homepage. Online: http://www.ces.ncsu.edu/depts/pp/soybeanrust/. 2006.
33. NOAA. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Atmospheric Research Laboratory. NOAA ARL HYSPLIT Model. Online: http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ ready/hysplit4.html. 2006.
34. NOAA. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Climate Prediction Center. 2005. Online: http://www.cpc.noaa.gov
35. PAN, Z., PIVONIA, S., PASKEN, R., PIETROWICZ, J. & YANG, X.B. Simulation of airborne dispersal potentials of soybean rust from Africa to South America and from South America to North America. Phytopathology 94:S90. 2004. (Abstract)
36. PAN, Z., XUE, L., DEL PONTE, E.M., ANDRADE, D., LI, X., PASKEN, R. & YANG, X.B. Soybean rust dispersal prediction and analysis in the US for 2005 growing season. Proceedings, National Soybean rust symposium, Nashville, TN, USA. Online: http://www.plantmanagementnetwork.org/infocenter/topic/soybeanrust/ symposium/posters/26.asp. 2005.
37. PAN, Z., YANG, X.B., PIVONIA, S., XUE, L., PASKEN, R. & ROADS, J. Long-term prediction of soybean rust entry into the continental United States. Plant Disease 90:840-846. 2006.
38. PIVONIA, S. & YANG, X.B. Assessment of potential year round establishment of soybean rust throughout the world. Plant Disease 88:523-529. 2004.
39. PIVONIA, S. & YANG, X.B. Relating epidemic progress from a general disease model to seasonal appearance time of rusts in the United States: implications for soybean rust. Phytopathology 96:400-407. 2006.
40. REIS, E.M., SARTORI, A.F. & CAMARA, R.K. Modelo climático para a previsão da ferrugem da soja. Summa Phytopathologica 30:290-292. 2004.
41. RIPLEY, B.D. Pattern Recognition and Neural Networks. Cambridge. Cambridge University Press. 1996.
42. ROSSI, R.L. First report of Phakopsora pachyrhizi, the causal organism of soybean rust in the Province of Misiones, Argentina. Plant Disease 87:102. 2003.
43. SCHNEIDER, R.W., HOLIER, C.A., WHITAM, H.K., PALM, M.E., MCKEMY, J.M., HERNANDEZ, J.R., LEVY, L. & DEVRIES-PATERSON, R. First Report of Soybean Rust Caused by Phakopsora pachyrhizi in the Continental United States. Plant Disease 89:774. 2005.
44. SINCLAIR, J.B. & HARTMAN, G. L. Soybean diseases. In: Hartman, G.L., Sinclair, J.B. & Rupe, J.C. (Eds.) Compendium of soybean diseases. 4 ed. Saint Paul MN. APS Press. 1999. pp. 3-4.
45. SOUTHERST, R.W. & MAYWALD, G.F. A computerized system for matching climates in ecology. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 13:281-299. 1985.
46. TAN, Y.J., YU, Z. & YANG, C.Y. Soybean rust. Beijing, China. China Agricultural Press. 1996.
47. TENG, P.S. A comparison of simulation approaches to epidemic modeling. Annual Review of Phytopathology 23:351-379. 1985.
48. TSCHANZ, A. T. Soybean rust epidemiology: Final report. Asian Vegetable Research and Development Center. 1984.
49. VAN DER PLANK, J.E. Plant diseases: epidemics and control. New York NY. Academic Press. 1963.
50. YANG, X.B. Risk assessment: concepts, development, and future opportunities. Plant Health Progress. doi:10.1094/PHP-2003-11-3-02-RV. 2003.
51. YANG, X.B., DOWLER, W.M. & TSCHANZ, A.T. A simulation model for assessing soybean rust epidemics. Journal of Phytopathology 133:187-200. 1991a.
52. YANG, X.B., DOWLER, W.M. & ROYER, M.H. Assessing the risk and potential impact of an exotic plant disease. Plant Disease 75:976-982. 1991b.
53. YANG, X.B., DEL PONTE, E.M. & KIM, K.S. Soybean rust outlook - June 30. Integrated Crop Management 494(17):4. 2005.
54. YANG, X.B. Framework development in plant disease risk assessment and its application. European Journal of Plant Pathology 115:25-34. 2006.
55. YORINORI, J.T. Asiatic rust of soyabean (Phakopsora pachyrhizi): occurrence in Brazil and management strategies. Londrina PR. Embrapa Soja, Documentos 186. 2002. pp. 73-83.