Climate change and its impact on soil and vegetation carbon storage in Kenya, Jordan, India and Brazil

Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment

Volumn 122, Issue 1, 2007, Pages 114-124

  Falloon, Pete ^a   Jones, Chris D ^a   Cerri, Carlos Eduardo ^b   Al Adamat, Rida ^c   Kamoni, Peter ^d   Bhattacharyya, Tapas ^e   Easter, Mark ^f   Paustian, Keith ^f   Killian, Kendrick ^f   Coleman, Kevin ^g   Milne, Eleanor ^f  

^a MET OFFICE   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF SÃO PAULO   (Brazil)

^c Jordan Badia Research and Development Center   (Jordan)

^d National Agricultural Laboratories   (Kenya)

^e INDIAN COUNCIL OF AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH   (India)

^f Department of Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences   (United States)

^g ROTHAMSTED RESEARCH   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Climate change; Ecosystems; GCM; Modelling; Net primary production; RothC; Soil carbon

Indexed keywords

CARBON BUDGET; CARBON SEQUESTRATION; CIRCULATION MODELING; CLIMATE CHANGE; GLOBAL CLIMATE; LAND USE CHANGE; NET PRIMARY PRODUCTION; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; TEMPERATURE EFFECT;

ASIA; BRAZIL; EURASIA; INDIA; JORDAN; MIDDLE EAST; SOUTH AMERICA; SOUTH ASIA;

EID: 34047098759     PISSN: 01678809     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.agee.2007.01.013     Document Type: Article

References (33)

1. Al-Adamat, R., Rawajfih, Z., Easter, M., Paustian, K., Coleman, K., Milne, E., Falloon, P., Powlson, D.S., Batjes, N.H., 2007. Predicted soil organic carbon stocks and changes in Jordan between 2000 and 2030 made using the GEFSOC Modelling System. In: Milne, E., Powlson, D.S., Cerri, C.E.P. (Eds.), Soil Carbon Stocks at Regional Scales. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 122, 35-45.
2. Batjes, N.H., Al-Adamat, R., Bhattacharyya, T., Bernoux, M., Cerri, C.E.P., Gicheru, P., Kamoni, P., Milne, E., Pal, D.K., Rawajfih, Z., 2007. Preparation of consistent soil data sets for modelling purposes: secondary SOTER data for four case study areas. In: Milne, E., Powlson, D.S., Cerri, C.E.P. (Eds.), Soil Carbon Stocks at Regional Scales. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 122, 26-34.
3. Betts R.A. Self-beneficial effects of vegetation on climate in a General Circulation Model. Geophys. Res. Lett. 26 (1999) 1457-1460
4. Betts R.A. Offset of the potential carbon sink from boreal forestation by decreases in surface albedo. Nature 408 (2000) 187-190
5. Betts R., Falloon P., Klein Goldewijk K., and Ramankutty N. Biogeophysical effects of land use on climate: model simulations of radiative forcing and large-scale temperature change. Agric. For. Meteorol. 142 (2007) 216-233
6. Betts R.A., Cox P.M., Collins M., Harris P.P., Huntingford C., and Jones C.D. The role of ecosystem-atmosphere interactions in simulated Amazonian precipitation decrease and forest dieback under global climate warming. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 78 (2004) 157-175
7. Bhattacharyya T., Pal D.K., Velayutham M.V., Chandran P., and Mandal C. Total carbon stock in Indian soils: issues, priorities and management. Land Resource Management for Food Environment security (International Conference on Land Resource Management) (2005), Soil Conservation Society of India, New Delhi 1-46
8. Bhattacharyya, T., Pal, D.K., Easter, M., Batjes, N.H., Milne, E., Gajbhiye, K.S., Chandran, P., Ray, S.K., Mandal, C., Paustian, K., Williams, S., Killian, K., Coleman, K., Falloon, P., Powlson, D.S., 2007. Modelled soil organic carbon stocks and changes in the Indo-Gangetic Plains, India from 1980 to 2030. In: Milne, E., Powlson, D.S., Cerri, C.E.P. (Eds.), Soil Carbon Stocks at Regional Scales. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 122, 84-94.
9. Cerri, C.E.P., Easter, M., Paustian, K., Killian, K., Coleman, K., Bernoux, M., Falloon, P., Powlson, D.S., Batjes, N.H., Milne, E., Cerri, C.C., 2007. Predicted soil organic carbon stocks and changes in the Brazilian Amazon between 2000 and 2030. In: Milne, E., Powlson, D.S., Cerri, C.E.P. (Eds.), Soil Carbon Stocks at Regional Scales. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 122, 58-72.
10. Coleman K., and Jenkinson D.S. RothC-26.3, A Model for the Turnover of Carbon in Soil: Model Description and User's Guide (1999), Lawes Agricultural Trust, Harpenden, UK
11. Cowling S.A., Betts R.A., Cox P.M., Ettwein V.J., Jones C.D., Maslin M.A., and Spall S.A. Contrasting simulated past and future responses of the Amazonian forest to atmospheric change. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. London. 359 (2004) 539-547
12. Cox, P.M., 2001. Description of the TRIFFID dynamic global vegetation model. Technical Note 24. Hadley Centre, Met Office.
13. Cox P.M., Betts R.A., Collins M., Harris P.P., Huntingford C., and Jones C.D. Amazonian forest dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st Century. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 78 (2004) 137-156
14. Cox P.M., Betts R.A., Jones C.D., Spall S.A., and Totterdell I.J. Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model. Nature 408 (2000) 184-187
15. Easter, M., Paustian, K., Killian, K., Williams, S., Feng, T., Al Adamat, R., Batjes, N.H., Bernoux, M., Bhattacharyya, T., Cerri, C.C., Cerri, C.E.P., Coleman, K., Falloon, P., Feller, C., Gicheru, P., Kamoni, P., Milne, E., Pal, D.K., Powlson, D.S., Rawajfih, Z., Sessay, M., Wokabi, S., 2007. The GEFSOC soil carbon modelling system: a tool for conducting regional-scale soil carbon inventories and assessing the impacts of land use change on soil carbon. In: Milne, E., Powlson, D.S., Cerri, C.E.P. (Eds.), Soil Carbon Stocks at Regional Scales. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 122, 13-25.
16. Falloon P.D., Smith P., Coleman K., and Marshall S. Estimating the size of the inert organic matter pool for use in the Rothamsted carbon model. Soil Biol. Biochem. 30 (1998) 1207-1211
17. Falloon, P., 2004. Using RothC with climate and land use change at the 1 km scale. Section 7. In: Milne, R. (Ed.), Carbon Sequestration in Vegetation Soils. Annual Report for DEFRA Contract GA01054, May 2004. Centre for Ecology Hydrology, Bush, Edinburgh, U.K.
18. Friedlingstein P., Bopp L., Ciais P., Dufresne J., Fairhead L., LeTreut H., Monfray P., and Orr J. Positive feedback between future climate change and the carbon cycle. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28 (2001) 1543-1546
19. Friedlingstein P., Dufresne J.L., Cox P.M., and Rayner P. How positive is the feedback between climate change and the carbon cycle?. Tellus B 55B (2003) 692-700
20. Friedlingstein P., Cox P., Betts R., Bopp L., von Bloh W., Brovkin V., Doney S., Eby M., Fung I., Govindasamy B., John J., Jones C., Joos F., Kato T., Kawamiya M., Knorr W., Lindsay K., Matthews H.D., Raddatz T., Rayner P., Reick C., Roeckner E., Schnitzler K.G., Schnur R., Strassmann K., Thompson S., Weaver A.J., Yoshikawa C., and Zeng N. Climate-carbon cycle feedback analysis, results from the C4MIP model inter comparison. J. Climate 19 (2006) 3337-3353
21. Gedney N., and Valdes P.J. The effect of Amazonian deforestation on the northern hemisphere circulation and climate. Geophys. Res. Lett. 27 (2000) 3053-3056
22. Gordon C., Cooper C., Senior C.A., Banks H., Gregory J.M., Johns T.C., Mitchell J.F.B., and Wood R.A. The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments. Clim. Dyn. 16 (2000) 147-168
23. Hulme, M., Jenkins, G.J., Lu, X., Turnpenny, J.R., Mitchell, T.D., Jones, R.G., Lowe, J., Murphy, J.M., Hassell, D., Boorman, P., McDonald, R., Hill, S., 2002. Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom: The UKCIP02 Scientific Report. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK, 120 pp.
24. IPCC, 2000. In: Nakicenovic, N., Swart, R. (Eds.), Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. A Special Report of the IPCC. Cambridge University Press, UK, 570 pp.
25. Johns T.C., Durman C.F., Banks H.T., Roberts M.J., McLaren A.J., Ridley J.K., Senior C.A., Williams K.D., Jones A., Rickard G.J., Cusack S., Ingram W.J., Crucifix M., Sexton D.M.H., Joshi M.M., Dong B.W., Spencer H., Hill R.S.R., Gregory J.M., Keen A.B., Pardaens A.K., Lowe J.A., Bodas-Salcedo A., Stark S., and Searl Y. The new Hadley Centre climate model HadGEM1: evaluation of coupled simulations. J. Climate 19 (2006) 1327-1353
26. 2 and sulphate aerosols. Geophys. Res. Lett. 30 (2003) 1479 10.1029/2003GL016867
27. Jones C.D., McConnell C., Coleman K.W., Cox P., Falloon P.D., Jenkinson D., and Powlson D. Global climate change and soil carbon stocks; predictions from two contrasting models for the turnover of organic carbon in soil. Global Change Biol. 11 (2005) 154-166 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2004.00885.x
28. Kamoni, P.T., Gicheru, P.T., Wokabi, S.M., Easter, M., Milne, E., Coleman, K., Falloon, P., Paustian, K., 2007. Predicted soil organic carbon stocks and changes in Kenya between 1990 and 2030. In: Milne, E., Powlson, D.S., Cerri, C.E.P. (Eds.), Soil Carbon Stocks at Regional Scales. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 122, 3-12.
29. Laurance W.F., Albernaz A.K.M., Fearnside P.M., Vasconcelos H.L., and Ferreira L.V. Deforestation in Amazonia. Science 304 (2004) 1109-1111
30. Martin G.M., Ringer M.A., Pope V.D., Jones A., Dearden C., and Hinton T.J. The physical properties of the atmosphere in the new Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model, HadGEM1. Part 1. Model description and global climatology. J. Climate 19 (2006) 1274-1301
31. Milne, E., Al-Adamat, R., Batjes, N.H., Bernoux, M., Bhattacharyya, T., Cerri, C.C., Cerri, C.E.P., Coleman, K., Easter, M., Falloon, P., Feller, C., Gicheru, P., Kamoni, P., Killian, K., Pal, D.K., Paustian, K., Powlson, D., Rawajfih, Z., Sessay, M., Williams, S., Wokabi, S., 2007. National and sub national assessments of soil organic carbon stocks and changes: the GEFSOC modelling system. In: Milne, E., Powlson, D.S., Cerri, C.E.P. (Eds.), Soil Carbon Stocks at Regional Scales. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 122, 3-12.
32. Murphy J.M., Sexton D.M.H., Barnett D.N., Jones G.S., Webb M.J., Collins M., and Stainforth D.A. Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations. Nature 430 (2004) 768-772
33. Palmer J.R., and Totterdell I.J. Production and export in a global ocean ecosystem model. Deep-Sea Res. 48 (2001) 1169-1198