메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 74, Issue 3, 2007, Pages 331-340

The future of the mobile phone business

(1)  Boretos, George P a  

a NONE   (Greece)

Author keywords

China; Europe; GSM system; Logistic curve; Mobile phones; Mobile users; Natural growth; S curve; Technological forecasting; World

Indexed keywords

GLOBAL SYSTEM FOR MOBILE COMMUNICATIONS; MOBILE PHONES; SOCIETIES AND INSTITUTIONS; STATISTICS; WIRELESS TELECOMMUNICATION SYSTEMS;

EID: 33847335915     PISSN: 00401625     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2005.11.005     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (53)

References (21)
  • 1
    • 0019656375 scopus 로고
    • Society as a learning system: discovery, invention, and innovation cycles revisited
    • Marchetti C. Society as a learning system: discovery, invention, and innovation cycles revisited. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 18 4 (1980) 267-282
    • (1980) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.18 , Issue.4 , pp. 267-282
    • Marchetti, C.1
  • 2
    • 0020885130 scopus 로고
    • Recession 1983: ten more years to go?
    • Marchetti C. Recession 1983: ten more years to go?. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 24 4 (1983) 331-342
    • (1983) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.24 , Issue.4 , pp. 331-342
    • Marchetti, C.1
  • 4
    • 8344221813 scopus 로고
    • A personal memoir: from terawatts to witches: my life with logistics at IIASA
    • Marchetti C. A personal memoir: from terawatts to witches: my life with logistics at IIASA. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 37 4 (1990) 409-414
    • (1990) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.37 , Issue.4 , pp. 409-414
    • Marchetti, C.1
  • 5
    • 15844399106 scopus 로고
    • Millenarian cycles in the dynamics of the Catholic church: a system analysis
    • Marchetti C. Millenarian cycles in the dynamics of the Catholic church: a system analysis. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 46 2 (1994) 189-196
    • (1994) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.46 , Issue.2 , pp. 189-196
    • Marchetti, C.1
  • 6
  • 7
    • 0041762989 scopus 로고
    • Competition and forecasts for Nobel prize awards
    • Modis T. Competition and forecasts for Nobel prize awards. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 34 2 (1988) 95-102
    • (1988) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.34 , Issue.2 , pp. 95-102
    • Modis, T.1
  • 9
    • 0001629210 scopus 로고
    • Technological substitutions in the computer industry
    • Modis T. Technological substitutions in the computer industry. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 43 2 (1993) 157-167
    • (1993) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.43 , Issue.2 , pp. 157-167
    • Modis, T.1
  • 10
    • 0000102128 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Genetic re-engineering of corporations
    • Modis T. Genetic re-engineering of corporations. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 56 2 (1997) 107-118
    • (1997) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.56 , Issue.2 , pp. 107-118
    • Modis, T.1
  • 13
    • 0036577526 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the growth of complexity and change
    • Modis T. Forecasting the growth of complexity and change. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 69 4 (2002) 377-404
    • (2002) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.69 , Issue.4 , pp. 377-404
    • Modis, T.1
  • 14
    • 33847310020 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • © GSM Association 1999-2005 (http://www.gsmworld.com/news/statistics/pdf/gsma_stats_q4_04.pdf).
  • 15
    • 33847333510 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Telecommunications Research Project, Centre of Asian Studies, University of Hong Kong (http://www.trp.hku.hk/datafile/china.xls).
  • 16
    • 33847273322 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division: World Population Prospects-the 2004 revision (http://esa.un.org/unpp/index.asp?panel=2-data extracted 12 Aug 2005).
  • 17
    • 0001638281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A primer on logistic growth and substitution: the mathematics of the Loglet Lab Software
    • Meyer P.S., Yung J.W., and Ausubel J.H. A primer on logistic growth and substitution: the mathematics of the Loglet Lab Software. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 61 3 (1999) 247-271
    • (1999) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.61 , Issue.3 , pp. 247-271
    • Meyer, P.S.1    Yung, J.W.2    Ausubel, J.H.3
  • 18
    • 0009665219 scopus 로고
    • Fractal aspects of natural growth
    • Modis T. Fractal aspects of natural growth. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 47 (1994) 63-73
    • (1994) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.47 , pp. 63-73
    • Modis, T.1
  • 19
    • 0000343240 scopus 로고
    • Chaoslike states can be expected before and after logistic growth
    • Modis T., and Debecker A. Chaoslike states can be expected before and after logistic growth. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 41 (1992) 111-120
    • (1992) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.41 , pp. 111-120
    • Modis, T.1    Debecker, A.2
  • 20
    • 0010916323 scopus 로고
    • Determination of the uncertainties in S-curve logistic fits
    • Debecker A., and Modis T. Determination of the uncertainties in S-curve logistic fits. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 46 (1994) 153-173
    • (1994) Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change , vol.46 , pp. 153-173
    • Debecker, A.1    Modis, T.2
  • 21
    • 33847260435 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World Development Indicators, The World Bank 2005, (http://devdata.worldbank.org/wdi2005/Section2.htm).


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.