The effect of criminal history variables on the process of desistance in adulthood among serious youthful offenders

Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice

Volumn 23, Issue 1, 2007, Pages 28-49

  Ezell, Michael E ^a  

^a VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Adult offending; Age of onset; Desistance; Juvenile offending; Population heterogeneity; State dependence

Indexed keywords

EID: 33847073464     PISSN: 10439862     EISSN: 15525406     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1177/1043986206298943     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Allison, P. D. (1995). Survival analysis using the SAS system: A practical guide. Cary, NC: SAS Institute.
2. Blumstein, A., Cohen, J., Roth, J. A., & Visher, C. A. (Eds.). (1986). Criminal careers and "career criminals" (2 vols.). Washington, DC: National Academy Press.
3. Brame, R., Bushway, S., & Paternoster, R. (1999). On the use of panel research designs and random effects models to investigate static and dynamic theories of criminal offending. Criminology, 37, 599-641.
4. Brame, R., Bushway, S. D., & Paternoster, R. (2003). Examining the prevalence of criminal desistance. Criminology, 41, 423-448.
5. Bushway, S. D., Brame, R., & Paternoster, R. (1999). Assessing stability and change in criminal offending: A comparison of random effects, semiparametric, and fixed effects modeling strategies. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 15, 23-61.
6. Bushway, S. D., Brame, R., & Paternoster, R. (2004). Connecting desistance and recidivism: Measuring changes in criminality over the life span. In S. Maruna & R. Immarigeon (Eds.), After crime and punishment: Pathways to offender reintegration (pp. 85-101). Cullompton, Devon, UK: Willan.
7. Bushway, S. D., Piquero, A. R., Broidy, L. M., Cauffman, E., & Mazerolle, P. (2001). An empirical framework for studying desistance as a process. Criminology, 39, 491-515.
8. Bushway, S. D., Thornberry, T. P., & Krohn, M. D. (2003). Desistance as a developmental process: A comparison of static and dynamic approaches. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 19, 129-153.
9. Cohen, L. E., & Vila, B. J. (1996). Self-control and social-control: An exposition of the Gottfredson-Hirschi/Sampson-Laub debate. Studies on Crime and Crime Prevention, 5, 125-150.
10. D'Unger, A. V., Land, K. C., McCall, P. L., & Nagin, D. S. (1998). How many latent classes of delinquent/criminal careers? Results from mixed Poisson regression analyses. American Journal of Sociology, 103, 1593-1630.
11. Ezell, M. E., & Cohen, L. E. (2005). Desisting from crime: Continuity and change in long-term crime patterns of serious chronic offenders. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.
12. Ezell, M. E., Land, K. C., & Cohen, L. E. (2003). Modeling multiple failure time data: A survey of variance-corrected proportional hazards models with empirical applications to arrest data. In R. Stolzenberg (Ed.), Sociological methodology (Vol. 33, pp. 111-167). Cambridge, MA: Blackwell.
13. Fagan, J. (1989). Cessation of family violence: Deterrence and dissuasion. In L. Ohlin & M. Tonry (Eds.), Family violence (pp. 377-425). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
14. Gottfredson, M., & Hirschi, T. (1990). A general theory of crime. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.
15. Hagan, J., & Palloni, A. (1988). Crimes as social events in the life course: Reconceiving a criminological controversy. Criminology, 26, 87-100.
16. Horney, J., Osgood, D. W., & Marshall, I. H. (1995). Criminal careers in the short-term: Intra-individual variability in crime and its relation to local life circumstances. American Sociological Review, 60, 655-673.
17. Howell, J. C. (1997). Juvenile justice & youth violence. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
18. Kazemian, L. (2007). Desistance from crime: Theoretical, empirical, methodological, and policy considerations. Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice, 23, 5-27.
19. Kazemian, L., & Farrington, D. P. (2006). Exploring residual career length and residual number of offenses for two generations of repeat offenders. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency, 43, 89-113.
20. Laub, J. H., & Sampson, R. J. (2001). Understanding desistance from crime. In M. Tonry (Ed.), Crime and justice: A review of research (Vol. 28, pp. 1-69). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
21. Laub, J. H., & Sampson, R. J. (2003). Shared beginnings, divergent lives: Delinquent boys to age 70. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
22. LeBlanc, M., & Loeber, R. (1998). Developmental criminology updated. In M. Tonry (Ed.), Crime and justice: A review of research (Vol. 23, pp. 115-198). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
23. Lipsey, M. W., & Derzon, J. H. (1998). Predictors of violent or serious delinquency in adolescence and early adulthood: A synthesis of longitudinal research. In R. Loeber & D. P. Farrington (Eds.), Serious and violent juvenile offenders: Risk factors and successful intervention (pp. 86-105). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
24. Loeber, R., & Stouthamer-Loeber, M. (1998). The development of juvenile aggression and violence: Some common misconceptions and controversies. American Psychologist, 52, 242-259.
25. Maruna, S. (2001). Making good: How ex-convicts reform and rebuild their lives. Washington, DC: American Psychological Association.
26. Maume, M. O., Ousey, G. C., & Beaver, K. (2005). Cutting the grass: A reexamination of the link between marital attachment, delinquent peers, and desistance from marijuana use. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 21, 27-53.
27. Nagin, D., & Paternoster, R. (2000). Population heterogeneity and state dependence: State of the evidence and directions for future research. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 16, 117-144.
28. Nagin, D. S., & Paternoster, R. (1991). On the relationship of past to future participation in delinquency. Criminology, 29, 163-189.
29. Nagin, D. S., & Paternoster, R. (1994). Personal capital and social control: The deterrence implications of a theory of individual differences in criminal offending. Criminology, 32, 581-606.
30. Piquero, A. (2004). Somewhere between persistence and desistence: The intermittency of criminal careers. In S. Maruna & R. Immarigeon (Eds.), After crime and punishment: Pathways to offender reintegration (pp. 102-125). Cullompton, Devon, UK: Willan.
31. Piquero, A., Blumstein, A., Brame, R., Haapanen, R., Mulvey, E. P., & Nagin, D. S. (2001). Assessing the impact of exposure time and incapacitation on longitudinal trajectories of criminal offending. Journal of Adolescent Research, 16, 54-74.
32. Piquero, A., Farrington, D. P., & Blumstein, A. (2003). The criminal career paradigm: Background and recent developments. In M. Tonry (Ed.), Crime and justice: A review of research (Vol. 30, pp. 359-506). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
33. Raftery, A. (1995). Bayesian model selection in social research. In P. V. Marsden (Ed.), Sociological methodology (Vol. 25, pp. 111-196). Cambridge, MA: Blackwell.
34. Sampson, R. J., & Laub, J. H. (1992). Crime and deviance in the life course. Annual Review of Sociology, 18, 63-84.
35. Sampson, R. J., & Laub, J. H. (1993). Crime in the making: Pathways and turning points through life. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
36. Sampson, R. J., & Laub, J. H. (2003). Life course desisters? Trajectories of crime among delinquent boys followed to age 70. Criminology, 41, 555-592.
37. Therneau, T. M. (1994a). Extending the Cox model. In D. Y. Lin & T. R. Fleming (Eds.), Proceedings of the first Seattle symposium in Biostatistics: Survival analysis (pp. 51-84). New York: Springer.
38. Therneau, T. M. (1994b). A package for survival analysis in S. section of Biostatistics Technical Report No. 53. Rochester, NY: Mayo Clinic.
39. Therneau, T. M., & Grambsch, P. M. (2000). Modeling survival data: Extending the Cox model. New York: Springer.
40. Uggen, C., & Massoglia, M. (2003). Desistance from crime and deviance as a turning point in the life course. In J. T. Mortimer & M. J. Shanahan (Eds.), Handbook of the life course (pp. 311-329). New York: Kluwer Academic/Plenum.
41. Wright, J. P., & Cullen, F. T. (2004). Employment, peers, and life-course transitions. Justice Quarterly, 21, 183-205.