Uncertainty in predictions of oil spill trajectories in open sea

Ocean Engineering

Volumn 34, Issue 3-4, 2007, Pages 576-584

  Sebastiao P ^a   Guedes Soares, C ^a  

^a INSTITUTO SUPERIOR TÉCNICO   (Portugal)

Author keywords

Drift modelling; Oil spill; Uncertainty modeling

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; MARINE POLLUTION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; OCEANOGRAPHY; RANDOM PROCESSES; STATISTICAL METHODS;

DRIFT MODELLING; OIL SPILL TRAJECTORIES; OPEN SEA; UNCERTAINTY MODELLING;

OIL SPILLS;

COMPUTER SIMULATION; MARINE POLLUTION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; OCEANOGRAPHY; OIL SPILLS; RANDOM PROCESSES; STATISTICAL METHODS;

DRIFT BEHAVIOR; NUMERICAL MODEL; OBSERVATIONAL METHOD; OIL SPILL RESPONSE; SEAWATER; SIMULATION; WIND DIRECTION;

ATLANTIC OCEAN;

EID: 33846692809     PISSN: 00298018     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2006.01.014     Document Type: Article

References (16)

1. Benjamin J.B., and Cornell C.A. Probability, Statistics and Decision for Civil Engineers (1970), McGraw-Hill, New York
2. Ekman V.W. On the influence of the earth's rotation on ocean currents. Ark. Mat. Astron. Fys. 2 11 (1905) 1-53
3. Fay J.A. The Spread of Oil Slicks on a Calm Sea. In: Hoult D.P. (Ed). Oil on the Sea (1969), Plenum Press, New York 53-63
4. Guedes Soares, C., Sebastião, P., 2002. Risk of oil spill pollution of the Portuguese Coast. In: Brebbia, C.A. (Ed.), Risk Analysis III-Third International Conference on Computer Simulation in Risk Analysis and Hazard Mitigation, 19-21 June 2002, Sintra, Portugal. WIT Press, Southampton, pp. 335-345.
5. Guedes Soares C., Sebastião P., and Silva F. System for oil spill prediction. In: Blain W.R., and Brebbia C.A. (Eds). Hydraulic Engineering Software VIII (Hydrosoft 2000) (2000), WIT Press, Southampton 217-226
6. Horne R.A. Marine Chemistry (1969), Wiley-InterScience, New York
7. Jokuty P., Whiticar S., Wang Z., Fingas M., Fieldhouse B., Lambert P., and Mullin J. Properties of crude oils and oil products, Manuscript Report EE- 165 (1999), Environmental Protection Service, Environment Canada, Ottawa, Ont.
8. Mackay, D., Buist, I., Mascarenhas, R., Petersen, S., 1980. Oil-spill processes and models. Report EE-8. Environmental Protection Service, Canada.
9. Richardson P.L., and McKee T.K. Average seasonal variation of the Atlantic equatorial currents from historical ship drifts. Journal of Physical and Oceanography 14 (1984) 1226-1238
10. Richardson P.L., and Walsh D. Mapping climatological seasonal variations of surface currents in the tropical Atlantic using ship drifts. Journal Geophysical Research 91 (1986) 10537-10550
11. Samuels W.B., Huang N.E., and Amstutz D.E. An oil pill trajectory analysis model with a variable wind deflection angle. Ocean Engineering 9 4 (1982) 347-360
12. Sebastião P., and Guedes Soares C. Modelling the fate of oil spills at sea. Spill Science & Technology Bulletin 2 2/3 (1995) 121-131
13. Sebastião P., and Guedes Soares C. Weathering of oil spills accounting for oil components. In: Garcia-Martinez R., and Brebbia C.A. (Eds). Oil and Hydrocarbon Spills-Modelling, Analysis and Control (OIL SPILL 98) (1998), Southampton, UK 63-72
14. Sebastião, P., Guedes Soares, C., 2003. Pre-operational system for oil spill simulation, building the European capacity in operational oceanography, In: Dahlin, H., Flemming, N.C., Nittis, K., Petersson, S.E. (Eds.), Elsevier Oceanography Series, pp. 190-194.
15. Spaulding M.L. A state-of-the-art review of oil spill trajectory and fate modelling. Oil & Chemicals Pollution 4 (1988) 39-55
16. Stiver W., and Mackay D. Evaporation rate of spills of hydrocarbons and petroleum mixtures. Environmental Science and Technology 18 11 (1984) 834-840