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Prediction, explanation and the epistemology of future studies
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Aligica P.D. Prediction, explanation and the epistemology of future studies. Futures 36 10 (2003) 1027-1040
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Aligica, P.D.1
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Where now for futures studies?
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Slaughter R.A. Where now for futures studies?. Futures 34 3-4 (2002) 229-233
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Slaughter, R.A.1
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Transaction Publishers, Piscataway, NJ
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Bell W. Foundations of Futures Studies: Human Science for a New Era. Vol. 1: History, Purposes, and Knowledge (1997), Transaction Publishers, Piscataway, NJ
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(1997)
Foundations of Futures Studies: Human Science for a New Era. Vol. 1: History, Purposes, and Knowledge
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Bell, W.1
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5
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33846565197
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M. Godet, Creating Futures: Scenario Planning as a Strategic Management Tool, Economica, PLACE, 2001 (M. Godet, Manuel de prospective strategique, Tome 1 and 2, Dunod, 2001, 2004).
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6
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33846568283
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J.C. Glenn and the Futures International Group, Scenarios, in Futures Research Methodology, AC/UNU Millennium Project, Version 2.0, 〈http://www.acunu.org/millennium/FRM-v2.html〉.
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7
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33846631152
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C. Booth, M. Rowlinson, P. Clark, A. Delahaye, S. Procter, Scenarios and counterfactuals as modal narratives, in: Paper to the Third Conference on Advancing Foresight Methodologies, Roskilde, Denmark, 12-14 May 2005.
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10
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33846636208
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The future of public sector reform: towards a learning society?
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DEMOS & Hewlett Packard, London
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Miller R. The future of public sector reform: towards a learning society?. Adaptive Public Services: The Next Phase of Transformation? (2003), DEMOS & Hewlett Packard, London
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Adaptive Public Services: The Next Phase of Transformation?
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Miller, R.1
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33747108655
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National College for School Leadership, UK
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Miller R., and Bentley T. Unique Creation (2003), National College for School Leadership, UK
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(2003)
Unique Creation
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Miller, R.1
Bentley, T.2
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12
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33846620414
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OECD International Futures Programme's 21st Century Transition series. (Available at: 〈http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/12/42/1903212.pdf〉).
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13
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33846567084
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R. Miller, Getting the questions right: challenges for 21st century policy makers, optimum online, Journal of Public Sector Management 33:3 (Fall 2003). (Available at: 〈http://www.optimumonline.ca/article.phtml?id=183〉).
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18
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0037409782
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An updated scenario typology
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van Notten P.W.F., Rotmans J., van Asselt M.B.A., and Rothman D.S. An updated scenario typology. Futures 35 5 (2003) 423-444
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van Notten, P.W.F.1
Rotmans, J.2
van Asselt, M.B.A.3
Rothman, D.S.4
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19
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33846623564
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Cloudy Crystal Balls: An assessment of recent European and global scenario studies and models, European Environment Agency, November 2000, 〈http://www.eea.eu.int〉. P. Van Notten, Writing on the Wall: Scenario Development in Times of Discontinuity, dissertation.com, 2005.
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21
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33846607126
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R. Slaughter, Knowledge Base of Futures Studies, vol. 2, 2005; W. Schultz, Defining Futures Fluency.
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24
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D.C. North, Dealing with the non-ergodic world: institutional economics, property rights and the global environment, Duke Environmental Law and Policy Forum. X:1 (Fall 1999) 1-12. (Available at: 〈http://www.law.duke.edu/shell/cite.pl?10+Duke+Envtl.+L.+&+Pol'y+F.+1〉).
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25
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33846643363
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K. Boulding, Basic Evolutionary Model, Evolutionary Economics, Sage, Beverley Hills, 1981, p. 44.
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33846565672
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National Education Association, The Future of Higher Education, 〈http://www2.nea.org/he/future/index.html〉.
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33846644754
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National College for School Leadership, FutureSight, NCSL, 2004
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33846648319
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A. Wynberg, Wider and Deeper: A Review and Critique of Science and Technology Foresight Exercises in the 1990s, AFI Monograph Series, 2003 〈http://www.swin.edu.au/afi/publications/monographs/index.htm〉.
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32
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R. Slaughter, The Knowledge Base of Future Studies, Professional Edition 2005, 〈http://www.foresightinternational.com.au/books/kbfsproedn.php〉.
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K. Bruland, Technological Revolutions, innovation systems and convergence from a historical perspective, University of Oslo, Convergence Project, February, 2001; C. Perez, Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital, Edward Elgar, 2002.
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35
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84972159301
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The sociocultural aspects of technological change: the rise of the Swiss electricity supply economy
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Gugerli D. The sociocultural aspects of technological change: the rise of the Swiss electricity supply economy. Science in Context 8 3 (1995)
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E. Kilpi, Complexity and emergence, personal communication of the author; N. Johnson, The Science of Diversity in a Fast Changing World, 〈http://www.lanl.gov/orgs/dvo/sci_diversity/overview.shtml〉.
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38
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M. Buchanan, Complexity Tools in Evaluation of Policy Options for a Networked Knowledge Society, DG Information Society, European Commission, June 2003.
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R. Miller, Measuring What People Know: Human Capital Accounting for the Knowledge Economy, OECD, 1996. (Available at: 〈http://www1.oecd.org/publications/e-book/9196031E.PDF〉).
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D.E. Atkins, Revolutionizing Science and Engineering through Cyberinfrastructure: Report of the National Science Foundation Advisory Panel on Cyberinfrastructure, National Science Foundation, February 3, 2003. (Available at: 〈http://www.communitytechnology.org/nsf_ci_report/〉).
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33846595063
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The Millennium Project has produced a scenario bibliography with over 450 scenario sets available at 〈http://www.acunu.org/millennium/information.html〉 which are organized in the "Futures Matrix" in the following domains: Demographics and Human Resources; Environmental Change and Biodiversity; Technological Capacity; Governance and Conflict; International Economics and Wealth; Integration or Whole Futures.
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See Innovation UK 〈http://www.innovation.gov.uk/〉.
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