메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 13, Issue 6, 2006, Pages 651-659

Complexity and predictability of daily precipitation in a semi-arid region: An application to Ceará, Brazil

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPLEXITY; ENTROPY; INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; PREDICTION; SEMIARID REGION; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; TOPOGRAPHY;

EID: 33751502279     PISSN: 10235809     EISSN: 16077946     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/npg-13-651-2006     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (14)

References (36)
  • 1
    • 85039249575 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Verification of the seasonal prognostics of precipitation in the Ceará State by using percentiles
    • in Portuguese
    • Alves, J. M. B.: Verification of the seasonal prognostics of precipitation in the Ceará State by using percentiles, Rev. Bras. Meteorol, 15, 73-86 (in Portuguese), 2000.
    • (2000) Rev. Bras. Meteorol , vol.15 , pp. 73-86
    • Alves, J.M.B.1
  • 2
  • 3
    • 27744527740 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global observation and forecast skill
    • Bengtsson, L., Hodges, K. I., and Froude, L. S. R.: Global observation and forecast skill, Tellus, 57A, 515-527, 2005.
    • (2005) Tellus , vol.57 A , pp. 515-527
    • Bengtsson, L.1    Hodges, K.I.2    Froude, L.S.R.3
  • 4
    • 33646007955 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A note on atmospheric predictability
    • Bengtsson, L. and Hodges, K. I.: A note on atmospheric predictability, Tellus, 58, 154-157, 2006.
    • (2006) Tellus , vol.58 , pp. 154-157
    • Bengtsson, L.1    Hodges, K.I.2
  • 5
    • 84918358658 scopus 로고
    • On the length of programs for computing finite binary sequences
    • Chaitin, G.: On the length of programs for computing finite binary sequences, J. Assoc.Comput. Mach., 13, 547-569, 1965.
    • (1965) J. Assoc.Comput. Mach. , vol.13 , pp. 547-569
    • Chaitin, G.1
  • 8
    • 0000228108 scopus 로고
    • Hierarchical approach to complexity with application to dynamical systems
    • D'Alessandro, G. and Politi, A.: Hierarchical approach to complexity with application to dynamical systems, Phys. Rev. Lett., 64, 1609-1612, 1990.
    • (1990) Phys. Rev. Lett. , vol.64 , pp. 1609-1612
    • D'Alessandro, G.1    Politi, A.2
  • 9
    • 0032148097 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence of two regimes of easterly waves over West Africa and the tropical Atlantic
    • Diedhiou, A., Janicot, S., Vitard, A., and Felice, P.: Evidence of two regimes of easterly waves over West Africa and the tropical Atlantic, Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 2805-2808, 1998.
    • (1998) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.25 , pp. 2805-2808
    • Diedhiou, A.1    Janicot, S.2    Vitard, A.3    Felice, P.4
  • 10
    • 0033427545 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Easterly wave regimes and associated convection over West Africa and tropical Atlantic: Results from the NCEP/NCAR and ECMWF reanalyses
    • Diedhiou, A., Janicot, S., Vitard, A., Felice P., and Laurent, H.: Easterly wave regimes and associated convection over West Africa and tropical Atlantic: Results from the NCEP/NCAR and ECMWF reanalyses, Clim. Dyn., 15, 795-882, 1999.
    • (1999) Clim. Dyn. , vol.15 , pp. 795-882
    • Diedhiou, A.1    Janicot, S.2    Vitard, A.3    Felice, P.4    Laurent, H.5
  • 12
    • 0027380913 scopus 로고
    • Complexity and predictability of hourly precipitation
    • Elsner, J. B. and Tsonis, A. A.: Complexity and Predictability of Hourly Precipitation, J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 400-405, 1993.
    • (1993) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.50 , pp. 400-405
    • Elsner, J.B.1    Tsonis, A.A.2
  • 13
    • 0042317681 scopus 로고
    • Toward a quantitative theory of self-generated complexity
    • Grassberger, P.: Toward a quantitative theory of self-generated complexity, Int. J. Theor. Phys., 25, 907-938, 1986.
    • (1986) Int. J. Theor. Phys. , vol.25 , pp. 907-938
    • Grassberger, P.1
  • 15
    • 0001902056 scopus 로고
    • Three approaches to the definition of the concept "Quantity of information"
    • Kolmogorov, A. N.: Three approaches to the definition of the concept "Quantity of information", Prob. Inf. Transm., 1, 1-7, 1965.
    • (1965) Prob. Inf. Transm. , vol.1 , pp. 1-7
    • Kolmogorov, A.N.1
  • 16
    • 0019206604 scopus 로고
    • Diurnal rainfall variation in northeast Brazil
    • Kousky, V. E.: Diurnal Rainfall Variation in Northeast Brazil, Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 488-498, 1980.
    • (1980) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.108 , pp. 488-498
    • Kousky, V.E.1
  • 17
    • 0019678846 scopus 로고
    • Interdiurnal surface pressure variations in Brazil: Their spatial distribution, origins and effects
    • Kousky, V. E. and Ferreira, N. J.: Interdiurnal surface pressure variations in Brazil: their spatial distribution, origins and effects, Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 1999-2008, 1981.
    • (1981) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.109 , pp. 1999-2008
    • Kousky, V.E.1    Ferreira, N.J.2
  • 18
    • 0009757387 scopus 로고
    • Information theory and climate prediction
    • Leung, L. Y. and North, G. R.: Information theory and climate prediction, J. Climate, 3, 5-14, 1990.
    • (1990) J. Climate , vol.3 , pp. 5-14
    • Leung, L.Y.1    North, G.R.2
  • 19
    • 0042608733 scopus 로고
    • Complicated measures of complexity
    • Maddox, J.: Complicated measures of complexity, Nature, 344, 705, 1990.
    • (1990) Nature , vol.344 , pp. 705
    • Maddox, J.1
  • 20
    • 0037654728 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The tropical Atlantic meridional SST gradient index and its relationships with the SOI, NAO and Southern Ocean
    • Mélice, J.-L. and Servain, J.: The tropical Atlantic meridional SST gradient index and its relationships with the SOI, NAO and Southern Ocean, Clim. Dyn., 20(5), 447-464, 2003.
    • (2003) Clim. Dyn. , vol.20 , Issue.5 , pp. 447-464
    • Mélice, J.-L.1    Servain, J.2
  • 21
    • 0019748175 scopus 로고
    • On the dynamics of droughts in north-east Brazil: Observation, theory, and numerical experiments with a general circulation model
    • Moura, A. D. and Shukla, J.: On the dynamics of droughts in north-east Brazil: Observation, theory, and numerical experiments with a general circulation model, J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 2653-2675, 1981.
    • (1981) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.38 , pp. 2653-2675
    • Moura, A.D.1    Shukla, J.2
  • 22
    • 1142269647 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical prediction of sea-surface temperature over the tropical Atlantic
    • Repelli, C. A. and Nobre, P.: Statistical prediction of sea-surface temperature over the tropical Atlantic, Int. J. Climatol., 24, 45-55, 2004.
    • (2004) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.24 , pp. 45-55
    • Repelli, C.A.1    Nobre, P.2
  • 23
    • 0000335198 scopus 로고
    • Global and regional scale precipitations associated with El Niño/Southern Oscillation
    • Ropelewsky, C. F. and Halpert, M. S.: Global and regional scale precipitations associated with El Niño/Southern Oscillation, Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 985-996, 1987.
    • (1987) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.115 , pp. 985-996
    • Ropelewsky, C.F.1    Halpert, M.S.2
  • 24
    • 0036612028 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating probabilistic forecast using information theory
    • Roulston, M. S. and Smith, L.: Evaluating Probabilistic Forecast using Information Theory, Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1653-1660, 2002.
    • (2002) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.130 , pp. 1653-1660
    • Roulston, M.S.1    Smith, L.2
  • 25
    • 0033208415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A conceptual framework for predictability studies
    • Schneider, T. and Griffies, S. M.: A conceptual framework for predictability studies, J. Climate, 12, 3133-3155, 1999.
    • (1999) J. Climate , vol.12 , pp. 3133-3155
    • Schneider, T.1    Griffies, S.M.2
  • 26
    • 84856043672 scopus 로고
    • A mathematical theory of communication
    • Shanon, C. E.: A mathematical theory of communication, Bell. Syst. Technol. J., 27, 379-423, 1948.
    • (1948) Bell. Syst. Technol. J. , vol.27 , pp. 379-423
    • Shanon, C.E.1
  • 27
    • 33751551078 scopus 로고
    • Predictability, advances in geophysics
    • edited by: Manabe, S., Academic Press
    • Shukla, J.: Predictability, Advances in Geophysics, in: Atmos. and Ocean Modelling. Part B: Weather Dynamics, edited by: Manabe, S., Academic Press: 87-123, 1985.
    • (1985) Atmos. and Ocean Modelling. Part B: Weather Dynamics , pp. 87-123
    • Shukla, J.1
  • 28
    • 0003626132 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • End to end ensemble forecasting: Towards evaluating the economic value of the ensemble prediction system
    • Smith, L. A., Roulston, M. S., and Hornberger, J.: End to end ensemble forecasting: Towards evaluating the economic value of the ensemble prediction system, ECMWF Tech. Rep., 336, 2001.
    • (2001) ECMWF Tech. Rep. , pp. 336
    • Smith, L.A.1    Roulston, M.S.2    Hornberger, J.3
  • 29
    • 0034098639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical methods for interpreting Monte Carlo ensemble forecasts
    • Stephenson, D. B. and Doblas-Reyes, F. J.: Statistical methods for interpreting Monte Carlo ensemble forecasts, Tellus, 52A, 300-322, 2000.
    • (2000) Tellus , vol.52 A , pp. 300-322
    • Stephenson, D.B.1    Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2
  • 30
    • 0035297791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of nonlinear dynamics in the atmosphere sciences
    • Tsonis, A. A.: The impact of nonlinear dynamics in the atmosphere sciences, Int. J. Bifurcation and Chaos, 11, 881-902, 2001.
    • (2001) Int. J. Bifurcation and Chaos , vol.11 , pp. 881-902
    • Tsonis, A.A.1
  • 31
    • 0024218570 scopus 로고
    • The weather attractor over very short time scales
    • Tsonis, A. A. and Elsner, J. B.: The weather attractor over very short time scales, Nature, 33, 545-547, 1988.
    • (1988) Nature , vol.33 , pp. 545-547
    • Tsonis, A.A.1    Elsner, J.B.2
  • 33
    • 0024706415 scopus 로고
    • On the dynamics of a forced reaction-diffusion model for biological pattern formation
    • Tsonis, A. A., Elsner, J. B., and Tsonis, P. A.: On the dynamics of a forced reaction-diffusion model for biological pattern formation, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. USA, 80, 4938-4942, 1989.
    • (1989) Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. USA , vol.80 , pp. 4938-4942
    • Tsonis, A.A.1    Elsner, J.B.2    Tsonis, P.A.3
  • 35
    • 85039250003 scopus 로고
    • Análise da qualidade de séries diárias da pluviometria no estado de São Paulo do Banco de Dados hidrométricos do DAEE-CTH
    • edited by: Clarke, R. T., Chaudhry, F., and Baptista, M., ABRH Publications, (in Portuguese), November
    • Xavier, A. F. S., Xavier, T. M. B. S., Silva Dias, M. A. F., and Toledo, S. R. C.: Análise da Qualidade de Séries Diárias da Pluviometria no Estado de São Paulo do Banco de Dados Hidrométricos do DAEE-CTH, in: Desenvolvimento Sustentável dos Recursos Hídricos, edited by: Clarke, R. T., Chaudhry, F., and Baptista, M., ABRH Publications, no. 1 (in Portuguese), November 1995.
    • (1995) Desenvolvimento Sustentável dos Recursos Hídricos , vol.1
    • Xavier, A.F.S.1    Xavier, T.M.B.S.2    Silva Dias, M.A.F.3    Toledo, S.R.C.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.