Real-time prediction of shut-in production from hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico

Proceedings - SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition

Volumn 3, Issue , 2006, Pages 1835-1841

  Watson Jr , C C ^a   Johnson, M E ^b  

^a Kinetic Analysis Corporation   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL FLORIDA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

NUMERICAL HURRICANE MODEL; PRODUCTION PLANNING; REAL-TIME PREDICTION; SHUT-IN PRODUCTION;

FORECASTING; HURRICANES; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; REAL TIME SYSTEMS; SURGES (FLUID);

OIL WELL PRODUCTION;

EID: 33750981849     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (11)

1. Blake, E., J. Jarrell, E. Rappaport, and C. Landsea, 2005. The Deadliest, Costliest, and Most Intense United States Tropical Cyclones from 1851 to 2005, NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS NHC-31.
2. Goldenberg, S.B., C.W. Landsea, A.M. Mestas-Nuñez, and W.M. Gray, 2001: The Recent Increase in Atlantic Hurricane Activity. Causes and Implications, Science, 293, 474-479 (2001).
3. Emanuel, K., 2005: Increasing Destructiveness of Tropical Cyclones Over the Past 30 Years, Nature, 43, 686-688.
4. Mann, M. E. and Emanuel, K., 2006: Atlantic Hurricane Trends Linked to Climate Change, EOS, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 87, 233-244.
5. Kaiser, M., and A. Pulsipher, 2006. Analysis of Extreme Weather Events Shows Vulnerability of Gulf of Mexico Production, Oil and Gas Journal, Vol. 104.17.
6. Watson, C. Jr., and Johnson, M., 2004: Hurricane Loss Estimation Models, Opportunities for Improving the State of the Art, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 85, 1713-1726.
7. Watson, C., Jr., 1995: The Arbiter Of Storms: a High Resolution, GIS Based Storm Hazard Model, National Weather Digest, 20, 2-9.
8. Iman, R. L., M. E. Johnson and C. Watson, Jr., 2006: Statistical Aspects of Forecasting and Planning for Hurricanes, The American Statistician, 60, 105-121.
9. Johnson, M. E., 1997: Caribbean Storm Surge Return Periods, Organization of American States Caribbean Disaster Mitigation Project Workshop, Kingston, Jamaica, October 31, 1997.
10. Watson, C., Jr., 2002b: Implications of climate change for modeling coastal hazards, Solutions for Coastal Disaster '02 Conference Proceedings, American Society of Civil Engineers, Reston, VA.
11. Watson, C., Jr. and Johnson, M. E., 2000: Risk Analysis for a Drilling Platform, WTC internal report.