Assessment of radionuclide transport uncertainty in the unsaturated zone of Yucca Mountain

Advances in Water Resources

Volumn 30, Issue 1, 2007, Pages 118-134

  Ye, Ming ^a,d   Pan, Feng ^a,d   Wu, Yu Shu ^b   Hu, Bill X ^c   Shirley, Craig ^a   Yu, Zhongbo ^d  

^a DESERT RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (United States)

^b LAWRENCE BERKELEY NATIONAL LABORATORY   (United States)

^c FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF NEVADA   (United States)

Author keywords

Matrix permeability; Monte Carlo simulation; Parameter distribution function; Porosity; Sorption coefficient; Tracer and radionuclide transport; Uncertainty analysis; Unsaturated zone; Yucca Mountain

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SIMULATION; HYDRAULIC CONDUCTIVITY; MONTE CARLO METHODS; PERCOLATION (FLUIDS); POROSITY; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS; RADIOACTIVE TRACERS; RANDOM PROCESSES;

LATIN HYPERCUBE SAMPLING; MATRIX PERMEABILITY; PERCOLATION FLUX; RADIONUCLIDE TRANSPORT; SORPTION COEFFICIENT; UNSATURATED ZONE; WATER TABLE;

RADIOISOTOPES;

COMPUTER SIMULATION; HYDRAULIC CONDUCTIVITY; MONTE CARLO METHODS; PERCOLATION (FLUIDS); POROSITY; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS; RADIOACTIVE TRACERS; RADIOISOTOPES; RANDOM PROCESSES;

MATRIC POTENTIAL; MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS; PERCOLATION; PERMEABILITY; POROSITY; RADIONUCLIDE; SOLUTE TRANSPORT; SORPTION; UNSATURATED FLOW; VADOSE ZONE;

NEVADA; NORTH AMERICA; UNITED STATES; YUCCA MOUNTAIN;

EID: 33750940570     PISSN: 03091708     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2006.03.005     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Ahlers CF, Bandurraga TM, Bodvarsson GS, Chen G, Finsterle S, Wu YS. Summary of model calibration and sensitivity studies using the LBNL/USGS three-dimensional unsaturated zone site-scale model. Yucca Mountain site characterization project report, Milestone 3GLM107M, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, 1995.
2. Ahlers C.F., Finsterle S., and Bodvarsson G.S. Characterization and prediction of subsurface pneumatic response at Yucca Mountain, Nevada. J Contam Hydrol 38 1-3 (1999) 47-68
3. Bardurraga T.M., and Bardvarsson G.S. Calibrating hydrogeologic properties for the 3-D site-scale unsaturated zone model at Yucca Mountain, Nevada. J Contam Hydrol 38 1-3 (1999) 5-46
4. Bowen WM, Bennett CA. Statistical methods for nuclear material management. Report NUREG/CR-4604, Battelle Pacific Northwest laboratory, Richland, WA, 1988.
5. Carsel R.F., and Parrish R.S. Developing joint probability distributions of soil water retention characteristics. Water Resour Res 24 5 (1988) 755-769
6. Dagan G. Flow and transport in porous formations (1989), Springer-Verlag, Berlin
7. Flint LE. Characterization of hydrogeologic units using matrix properties, Yucca Mountain, Nevada. US Geol Surv Water-Resour Invest Report, 97-4243, 1998.
8. Flint L.E. Physical and hydraulic properties of volcanic rocks from Yucca Mountain, Nevada. Water Resour Res 39 5 (2003) 1-13
9. Gelhar L.W. Stochastic subsurface hydrology (1989), Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs
10. Helton J.C., and Davis F.J. Latin Hypercube Sampling and the propagation of uncertainty in analyses of complex systems. Reliab Eng Syst Safety 81 (2003) 23-69
11. Hu B.X., Wu J., Shirley C., and Zhang D. A numerical method of moments for reactive solute transport in physically and chemically nonstationary formations: linear equilibrium sorption with random Kd. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 20 (2004) 46-63 10.1007/s00589-003-0253-5
12. Illman W.A., and Hughson D.L. Stochastic simulations of steady state unsaturated flow in a three-layer, heterogeneous, dual continuum model of fractured rock. J Hydrol 307 (2005) 17-37
13. Iman R.L., and Conover W.J. A distribution-free approach to inducing rank correlation among input variables. Commu Statist Simul Comput 11 3 (1982) 311-334
14. Iuzzolino H. Users Manual (Rev 00) for LHS, Version 2.51. Civilian Radioactive Waste Managemenet System Management and Operating Contractor, MOL.20040210.0391, Albuquerque, New Mexico, 2003.
15. Johnson N.L., and Kotz S. Distributions in statistics: continuous univariate distributions vol. 1 (1970), Houghton Miffin Company, Boston
16. Liu HH, Ahlers CF, Mukhpadhayay S, Wu YS. Calibrated properties model. Report MDL-NBS-HS-000003 REV 01, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA and CRWMS M&O, Las Vegas, Nevada, 2003.
17. Liu HH, Zhu M, Persoff P, Gilkcrson K, Wu YS, Wang JSY. Analysis of Hydrologic Properties Data. Report MDL-NBS-HS-000014 REV00, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA and CRWMS M&O, Las Vegas, Nevada, 2003.
18. Mallants D., Jacques D., Vanclooster M., Diels J., and Feyen J. A stochastic approach to simulate water flow in a macroporous soil. Geoderma 10 (1996) 299-324
19. Mckay M.D., Beckman R.J., and Conover W.J. A comparison of three methods for selecting values of input variables in the analysis of output from a computer code. Technometrics 21 2 (1979) 239-245
20. Meyer PD, Rockhold, ML, Gee GW. Uncertainty analysis of infiltration and subsurface flow and transport for SDMP sites. NUREG/CR-6565, PNNL-11705, US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research, Washington, DC, 1997.
21. Neuman S.P. Maximum likelihood Bayesian averaging of alternative conceptual-mathematical models. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 17 5 (2003) 291-305 10.1007/s00477-003-0151-7
22. Nichols W.E., and Freshley M.D. Uncertainty analyses of unsaturated zone travel time at Yucca Mountain. Groundwater 31 2 (1993) 293-301
23. Pan F. Uncertainty analysis of radionuclide transport in the unsaturated zone at Yucca Mountain. Master Thesis, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, 2005. p. 128.
24. Pruess K. TOUGH2-a general-purpose numerical simulator for multiphase fluid and heat flow. Report LBL-29400, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, 1991.
25. Robinson BA, Li C, Ho CK. Performance assessment model development and analysis of radionuclide transport in the unsaturated zone, Yucca Mountain, Nevada, 2003.
26. Swiler LP, Wyss GD. A user's guide to Sandia's Latin Hypercube Sampling software: LHS UNIX library/standalone version. Technical Report SAND2004-2439, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, 2004.
27. Triay IR, Meijer A, Conca JL, Kung KS, Rundberg RS, Strietelmeier BA, et al. Summary and synthesis report on radionuclide retardation for the Yucca Mountain site characterization project. Report LA-13262-MS, Los Alamos National Laboratory, ACC: MOL.19971210.0177, Los Alamos, New Mexico, 1997.
28. Viswanathan H.S., Robinson B.A., Valocchi A.J., and Triay I.R. A reactive transport model of neptunium migration from the potential repository at Yucca Mountain. J Hydrol (Amsterdam) 209 (1998) 251-280
29. Wu J., and Hu B.X. Three-dimensional method of moments for linear equilibrium-adsorbing solute transport in physically and chemically nonstationary formations. Math Geol 36 2 (2004) 261-287
30. Wu Y.S., Haukwa C., and Bodvarsson G.S. A modeling study of perched water phenomena in the unsaturated zone of Yucca Mountain, Nevada. J Contam Hydrol 38 1-3 (1999) 157-184
31. Wu Y.S., Haukwa C., and Bodvarsson G.S. A site-scale model for fluid and heat flow in the unsaturated zone of Yucca Mountain, Nevada. J Contam Hydrol 38 1-3 (1999) 185-217
32. Wu Y.S., and Pruess K. Numerical simulation of non-isothermal multiphase tracer transport in heterogeneous fractured porous media. Adv Water Resour 23 (2000) 699-723
33. Wu Y.S., Pan L., Zhang W., and Bodvarsson G.S. Characterization of flow and transport processes within the unsaturated zone of Yucca Mountain, Nevada, under current and future climates. J Contam Hydrol 54 (2002) 215-247
34. Wu Y.S., Zhang W., Pan L., Hinds J., and Bardvarsson G.S. Modeling capillary barriers in unsaturated fractured rock. Water Resour Res 38 11 (2002) 1253 10.1029/2001WR00852
35. Wu YS, Lu G, Zhang K, Zhang G, Liu HH, Xu T, et al. UZ Flow Models and Submodels, Report MDL-NBS-HS-000006 REV02, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA and CRWMS M&O, Las Vegas, Nevada, 2004.
36. Wu Y.S., Lu G., Zhang K., and Bodvarsson G.S. A mountain-scale model for characterizing unsaturated flow and transport in fractured tuffs of Yucca Mountain. Vadose Zone J 3 (2004) 796-805
37. Xu J., and Hu B.X. A numerical Eulerian method of moment for solute transport in a nonstationary dual-porosity medium. Adv Water Resour 27 3 (2004) 207-222
38. Ye M., Neuman S.P., and Meyer P.D. Maximum likelihood Bayesian averaging of spatial variability models in unsaturated fractured tuff. Water Resour Res 40 (2004) W05113 10.1029/2003WR002557
39. Ye M., Neuman S.P., Guadagnini A., and Tartakovsky D.M. Nonlocal and localized analyses of conditional mean transient flow in bounded, randomly heterogeneous porous media. Water Resour Res 40 (2004) W05104 10.1029/2003WR002099
40. Zhang D., and Winter C.L. Nonstationary stochastic analysis of steady state flow through variably saturated, heterogeneous media. Water Resour Res 34 5 (1998) 1091-1100
41. Zhang D. Nonstationary stochastic analysis of transient unsaturated flow in randomly heterogeneous media. Water Resour Res 35 4 (1999) 1127-1141
42. Zhang D. Stochastic methods for flow in porous media: coping with uncertainties (2002), Academic Press, San Diegeo
43. Zhang K, Wu YS, Houseworth JE. Sensitivity analysis of hydrological parameters in modeling flow and transport in the unsaturated zone of Yucca Mountain. Hydrogeol J, in press.
44. Zhang Y., Pinder G.F., and Herrera G.S. Least cost design of groundwater quality monitoring networks. Water Resour Res 41 (2005) W08412 10.1029/2005WR003936
45. Zhou Q., Liu H.H., Bodvarsson G.S., and Oldenburg C.M. Flow and transport in unsaturated fractured rock: effects of multiscale heterogeneity of hydrogeologic properties. J Contam Hydrol 60 (2003) 1-30