Managing changing risks to infrastructure systems

Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Civil Engineering

Volumn 159, Issue 2 SPEC. ISS., 2006, Pages 21-27

  Hall, Jim ^a   Dawson, Richard ^a   Manning, Lucy ^a   Walkden, Mike ^a   Dickson, Mark ^b   Sayers, Paul ^c  

^a NEWCASTLE UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

^b NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF WATER AND ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (New Zealand)

^c HR Wallingford   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Environment; Infrastructure planning; Risk probability analysis

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; DECISION MAKING; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; RISK ASSESSMENT; STRATEGIC PLANNING;

ENVIRONMENTAL LOADS; INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING; RISK & PROBABILITY ANALYSIS;

INDUSTRIAL MANAGEMENT;

CLIMATE CHANGE; DECISION MAKING; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; INDUSTRIAL MANAGEMENT; RISK ASSESSMENT; STRATEGIC PLANNING;

CIVIL ENGINEERING; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; INFRASTRUCTURE; NATURAL HAZARD; RISK ASSESSMENT;

EID: 33750726083     PISSN: 0965089X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1680/cien.2006.159.6.21     Document Type: Review

References (25)

1. BLOCKLEY D. I. The Nature of Structural Design and Safety. Ellis Norwood, Chichester, 1960.
2. ALLENBY B. Earth systems engineering and management. IEEE Technology and Society Magazine, 2000, 19, No. 4, 10-24.
3. KILSBY C. G., JONES P. D., BURTON A., FORD A. C., FOWLER H. J., HARPHAM C., JAMES P., SMITH A. and WILBY R. L. A daily weather generator for use in climate change studies. Environmental Modelling and Software, 2006, in press.
4. MELCHERS R. E. Structural Reliability Analysis and Prediction, 2nd edn. John Wiley, Chichester, 1999.
5. RIPLEY B. D. Stochastic Simulation. Wiley, New York, 1987.
6. HELTON J. C., JOHNSON J. D., SALLABERRY C. J. and STORLIE C. B. Survey of Sampling-Based Methods for Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis. Sandia National Laboratories Report, Albuquerque, NM, SAND2006-2901.
7. EVANS E. P., ASHLEY R., HALL J. W., PENNING-ROWSELL E. C., SAUL A., SAYERS P. B., THORNE C. R. and WATKINSON A. Foresight Flood and Coastal Defence Project: Scientific Summary: Volume 2, Managing Future Risks. Office of Science and Technology, London, 2004.
8. HULME M., JENKINS G. J., LU X., TURNPENNY J. R., MITCHELL T. D., JONES R. G., LOWE J., MURPHY J. M., HASSELL D., BOORMAN P., MCDONALD R. and HILL S. Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom: The UKCIP02 Scientific Report. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, UK, 2002.
9. HM TREASURY. The Green Book: Appraisal and Evaluation in Central Government, Treasury Guidance. The Stationery Office, London, 2003.
10. RACKWITZ R., LENTZ A. and FABER M. Socio-economically sustainable civil engineering infrastructures by optimization. Structural Safety, 2005, 27, No. 3, 187-229.
11. LINDLEY D. V. Making Decisions, 2nd edn. Wiley, London, 1990.
12. FRENCH S. Decision Theory: An Introduction to the Mathematics of Rationality. Ellis Horwood, Chichester, 1986.
13. COLLINGRIDGE D. The Social Control of Technology. The Open University Press, Milton Keynes, 1980.
14. BEN-HAIM Y. Information-Gap Decision Theory: Decisions Under Severe Uncertainty, 2nd edn. Academic Press, San Diego, 2006.
15. ROSENHEAD J. Robustness analysis: keeping your options open. In ROSENHEAD J. and MINGERS J. (eds) Rational Analysis for a Problematic World Revisited: Problem Structuring Methods for Complexity, Uncertainty and Conflict. John Wiley, Chichester, 2001, 181-207.
16. LEMPERT R., POPPER S. W. and BANKES S. C. Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis. RAND, Santa Monica CA, 2003.
17. DICKSON M. E., WALKDEN, M. J. and HALL J. W. Modelling the impacts of climatic change on an eroding coast over the 21st century, Climatic Change, 2006, in press.
18. HALL J. W., DAWSON R. J., WALKDEN M. J. A., DICKSON M. E., STANSBY P. K., ZHOU J., NICHOLLS R. J., BROWN I. and WATKINSON A. Broad-scale analysis of morphological and climate impacts on coastal flood risk. In Coastal Dynamics '05, Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Coastal Dynamics, Barcelona, Spain, April 4-8, 2005. American Society of Civil Engineers, Reston, VA, 2006.
19. DICKSON M., WALKDEN M., HALL J., PEARSONS. and REES J. Numerical modelling of potential climate-change | impacts on rates of soft-cliff recession, northeast Norfolk, UK. In Coastal Dynamics '05, Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Coastal Dynamics, Barcelona, Spain, April 4-8, 2005. American Society of Civil Engineers, Reston, VA, 2006.
20. HAWKES P. J., GOULDBY B. P., TAWN J. A. and OWEN M. W. The joint probability of waves and water levels in coastal engineering. Journal of Hydraulic Research, 2002, 40, 241-251.
21. MANNING L. J., HALL J. W. and KILSBY C. G. Spatial analysis of the reliability of transport networks subject to rainfall-induced landslides. Hydrological Processes, 2006, in review.
22. WILKINSON P. L., ANDERSON M. G. and LLOYD D. M. An integrated hydrological model for rain-induced landslide prediction, forth Surface Processes and Landforms, 2002, 27, 1285-1297.
23. OFFICE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY. Foresight Futures 2020: Revised Scenarios and Guidance. Department of Trade and Industry, London, 2002.
24. DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT, FOOD AND RURAL AFFAIRS. Adaptation Policy Framework, A Consultation by the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. Defra, London, 2005, PB 11431.
25. EVANS E. P., ASHLEY R., HALL J. W., PENNING-ROWSELL E. C., SAUL A., SAYERS P. B., THORNE C. R. and WATKINSON A. Foresight Flood ond Coastal Defence Project: Scientific Summary: Volume I, Future Risks and Their Drivers. Office of Science and Technology, London, 2004.