The East Aegean Sea strong earthquake sequence of October-November 2005: Lessons learned for earthquake prediction from foreshocks

Natural Hazards and Earth System Science

Volumn 6, Issue 6, 2006, Pages 895-901

  Papadopoulos, G A ^a   Latoussakis, I ^a   Daskalaki, E ^a   Diakogianni, G ^a   Fokaefs, A ^a   Kolligri, M ^a   Liadopoulou, K ^a   Orfanogiannaki, K ^a   Pirentis, A ^a  

^a NATIONAL OBSERVATORY OF ATHENS   (Greece)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AFTERSHOCK; EARTHQUAKE CATALOGUE; EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE; EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION; FORESHOCK; LEAST SQUARES METHOD; MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ANALYSIS; SEISMICITY;

AEGEAN SEA; EURASIA; EUROPE; GREECE; MEDITERRANEAN SEA; NORTHERN AEGEAN; SAMOS; SOUTHERN EUROPE;

EID: 33750031511     PISSN: 15618633     EISSN: 16849981     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-6-895-2006     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Aki, K.: Maximum likelihood estimate of b in the formula log N=a-bM and its confidence limits, Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst., 43, 237-239, 1965.
2. Gardner, J. K. and Knopoff, L.: Is the sequence of earthquakes in Southern California, with aftershocks removed, Poissonian, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 64, 1363-1367, 1974.
3. Gutenberg, B. and Richter, C.: Frequency of earthquakes in California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 34, 185-188, 1944.
4. Hainzl, S., Zöller, G., and Kurths, J.: Similar power laws for foreshock and aftershock sequences in a spring-block model for earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 7243-7253, 1999.
5. Jones, L. M.: Foreshocks (1966-1980) in the San Andreas System, California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 74, 1361-1380, 1984.
6. Jones, L. M. and Molnar, P.: Some Characteristics of Foreshocks and their Possible Relationship to Earthquake Prediction and Premonitory Slip on Faults, J. Geophys. Res., 84, 3596-3608, 1979.
7. Kagan, Y. and Knopoff, L.: Statistical study of the occurrence of shallow earthquakes, Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc., 55, 67-86, 1978.
8. L≥5.5 in Greece diagnosed by algorithm M8, Tectonophysics, 210, 315-326, 1992.
9. Lombardi, A. M.: The maximum likelihood estimator of b-value for mainshocks, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 93, 2082-2088, 2003.
10. Mogi, K.: The fracture of a semi-infinite body caused by an inner stress origin and its relation to the earthquake phenomena (second paper), Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst., 41, 595-614, 1963.
11. Molchan, G. M., Kronrod, T. L., and Nekrasona, A. K.: Immediate foreshocks: time variation of the b-value, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 111, 229-240, 1999.
12. National Observatory of Athens, Institute of Geodynamics (NOAGI), Earthquake Catalogue, http://www.gein.noa.gr, 2006.
13. Papadopoulos, G. A., Drakatos, G., and Plessa, A.: Foreshock Activity as a precursor of strong earthquakes in Corinthos Gulf, Central Greece, Phys. Chem. Earth, 25, 239-245, 2000.
14. Papanastassiou, D.: Detectability and location of the determination of source parameters of the seismological networks of NOA, PhD thesis, University of Athens, 1989.
15. Papazachos, B.: Foreshocks and earthquake prediction, Tectonophysics, 28, 213-226, 1975.
16. Scholz, C. H.: The frequency-magnitude relation of microfracturing in rock and its relation to earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 58, 399-415, 1968.
17. Sobolev, G. A.: Precursory Phases of Large Kamchatkan Earthquakes, Volcanol. Seismol., 21, 497-509, 2000.
18. Utsu, T.: A method in determining the value of b in a formula logn =a-bM showing the magnitude frequency for earthquakes, Geophys. Bull. Hokkaido Univ., 13, 99-103, 1965.
19. Utsu, T.: A statistical significance test for the difference in b-value between two earthquake groups, J. Phys. Earth, 14, 37-40, 1966.
20. Utsu, T.: Representation and analysis of the earthquake size distribution: a historical review and some new approaches, Pure Appl. Geophys., 155, 509-535, 1999.