메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 10, Issue 2, 2006, Pages 179-200

Probabilistic model for eruptions and associated flood events in the Katla caldera, Iceland

Author keywords

Catastrophic floods; Eruption probabilities; Jokulhlaups; Katla volcano; Markov processes; Probabilistic modeling; Simulations; Volcanic eruptions

Indexed keywords

DRAINAGE; FLOODS; FLOW OF WATER; GLACIERS; MARKOV PROCESSES;

EID: 33748871678     PISSN: 14200597     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10596-005-9018-y     Document Type: Conference Paper
Times cited : (37)

References (35)
  • 1
    • 0001956923 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Surface and bedrock topography of the Myrdalsjokull ice cap, Iceland
    • H. Bjornsson, F. Palsson and M.T. Gudmundsson, Surface and bedrock topography of the Myrdalsjokull ice cap, Iceland, Jokull 49 (2000) 29-46.
    • (2000) Jokull , vol.49 , pp. 29-46
    • Bjornsson, H.1    Palsson, F.2    Gudmundsson, M.T.3
  • 2
    • 0004222681 scopus 로고
    • [Water is a need] (Menningarsjodur, Reykjavik)
    • S. Rist, Vatns er thorf [Water is a need] (Menningarsjodur, Reykjavik, 1990) 248 pp.
    • (1990) Vatns Er Thorf , pp. 248
    • Rist, S.1
  • 3
    • 0002971069 scopus 로고
    • Katla og annall Kotlugosa
    • S. Thorarinsson, Katla og annall Kotlugosa [Katla volcano and annals of Katla eruptions], Arbok Ferdafelags Islands (1975) 125-149.
    • (1975) Arbok Ferdafelags Islands , pp. 125-149
    • Thorarinsson, S.1
  • 4
    • 0001380463 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Holocene eruptions within the Katla volcanic system, south Iceland: Characteristics and environmental impact
    • G. Larsen, Holocene eruptions within the Katla volcanic system, south Iceland: Characteristics and environmental impact, Jokull 49 (2000) 1-28.
    • (2000) Jokull , vol.49 , pp. 1-28
    • Larsen, G.1
  • 5
    • 0030425870 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The jokulhlaup from Katla in 1918
    • H. Tomasson, The jokulhlaup from Katla in 1918, Ann. Glaciol. 22 (1996) 249-254.
    • (1996) Ann. Glaciol. , vol.22 , pp. 249-254
    • Tomasson, H.1
  • 6
    • 0034878866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A probabilistic assessment of eruption recurrence on Taveuni volcano
    • S.J. Cronin, M. Bebbington and C.D. Lai, A probabilistic assessment of eruption recurrence on Taveuni volcano, Fiji, Bull. Volcanol. 63 (2001) 274-288.
    • (2001) Fiji, Bull. Volcanol. , vol.63 , pp. 274-288
    • Cronin, S.J.1    Bebbington, M.2    Lai, C.D.3
  • 7
    • 33748856326 scopus 로고
    • On the predicting of volcanic eruptions in Iceland
    • S. Thorarinsson, On the predicting of volcanic eruptions in Iceland, Bull. Volcanol. XXIII (1960) 45-53.
    • (1960) Bull. Volcanol. , vol.23 , pp. 45-53
    • Thorarinsson, S.1
  • 8
    • 0000984424 scopus 로고
    • Repose-period patterns of volcanoes. IV. Eruption histories of some selected volcanoes
    • F.E. Wickman, Repose-period patterns of volcanoes. IV. Eruption histories of some selected volcanoes, Ark. Mineral. Geol. 4 (1966) 337-350.
    • (1966) Ark. Mineral. Geol. , vol.4 , pp. 337-350
    • Wickman, F.E.1
  • 9
    • 0041957569 scopus 로고
    • A probability model of volcanoes and the probability of Eruptions of Hekla and Katla
    • J.E. Thorlaksson, A probability model of volcanoes and the probability of Eruptions of Hekla and Katla, Bull. Volcanol. XXXI (1967) 97-106.
    • (1967) Bull. Volcanol. , vol.31 , pp. 97-106
    • Thorlaksson, J.E.1
  • 10
    • 33748862109 scopus 로고
    • Volcanic prediction in Iceland
    • NVI Research Report 7902, Nordic Volcaological Institute, Reykjavik
    • G.E. Sigvaldason, Volcanic prediction in Iceland, NVI Research Report 7902, Nordic Volcaological Institute, Reykjavik (1979) 26 p.
    • (1979) , pp. 26
    • Sigvaldason, G.E.1
  • 11
    • 0018919707 scopus 로고
    • Statistical analysis of damaging earthquakes and volcanic eruptions in Iceland from 1550-1978
    • G. Gudmundsson and K. Saemundsson, Statistical analysis of damaging earthquakes and volcanic eruptions in Iceland from 1550-1978, J. Geophys. 47 (1980) 99-109.
    • (1980) J. Geophys. , vol.47 , pp. 99-109
    • Gudmundsson, G.1    Saemundsson, K.2
  • 12
    • 0344823694 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent unrest and magma movements at Eyjafjallajokull and Katla volcanoes, Iceland
    • doi:10.1029/2001JB000917
    • E. Sturkell, F. Sigmundsson and P. Einarsson, Recent unrest and magma movements at Eyjafjallajokull and Katla volcanoes, Iceland, J. Geophys. Res. 108(B8) (2003) 2369, doi:10.1029/2001JB000917.
    • (2003) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.108 , Issue.B8 , pp. 2369
    • Sturkell, E.1    Sigmundsson, F.2    Einarsson, P.3
  • 14
    • 33748854925 scopus 로고
    • Skyrslur um Kotlugos
    • (Hid Islenzka Bokmenntafelag, Kaupmannahofn og Reykjavik)
    • Skyrslur um Kotlugos [Reports on the eruptions of Katla], Safn til sögu Íslands IV, (Hid Islenzka Bokmenntafelag, Kaupmannahofn og Reykjavik, 1907-1915) pp. 186-294.
    • (1907) Safn Til Sögu Íslands IV , pp. 186-294
  • 15
    • 0005566202 scopus 로고
    • [The 1918 Eruption of Katla and Its Consequences] (Prentsmidjan Gutenberg, Reykjavik)
    • G. Sveinsson, Kotlugosid 1918 og afleidingar thess [The 1918 Eruption of Katla and Its Consequences] (Prentsmidjan Gutenberg, Reykjavik, 1919) 61 pp.
    • (1919) Kotlugosid 1918 Og Afleidingar Thess , pp. 61
    • Sveinsson, G.1
  • 16
    • 4243677411 scopus 로고
    • [The Katla Eruption of 1918] (Prentsmidjan Gutenberg, Reykjavik)
    • G. Johannson, Kotlugosid 1918 [The Katla Eruption of 1918], (Prentsmidjan Gutenberg, Reykjavik, 1919) 70 pp.
    • (1919) Kotlugosid 1918 , pp. 70
    • Johannson, G.1
  • 17
    • 33748866967 scopus 로고
    • [Tephra Layers in the Vicinity of Katla], B.Sc. hons. thesis, University of Iceland, Reykjavik
    • G. Larsen, Gjoskulog i nagrenni Kotlu [Tephra Layers in the Vicinity of Katla], B.Sc. hons. thesis, University of Iceland, Reykjavik (1978) 57 pp.
    • (1978) Gjoskulog I Nagrenni Kotlu , pp. 57
    • Larsen, G.1
  • 18
    • 84886966894 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Melting of ice by magma-ice-water interactions during subglacial eruptions as an indicator of heat transfer in subaqueous eruptions
    • in: eds. J.D.L. White, J.L. Smellie and D. Clague (American Geophysical Union)
    • M.T. Gudmundsson, Melting of ice by magma-ice-water interactions during subglacial eruptions as an indicator of heat transfer in subaqueous eruptions, in: Explosive Subaqueous Volcanism, Geophysical Monograph 140, eds. J.D.L. White, J.L. Smellie and D. Clague (American Geophysical Union, 2003) pp. 61-72.
    • (2003) Explosive Subaqueous Volcanism, Geophysical Monograph , vol.140 , pp. 61-72
    • Gudmundsson, M.T.1
  • 19
    • 1642562836 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 1996 eruption at Gjalp, Vatnajokull ice cap, Iceland: Efficiency of heat transfer, ice deformation and subglacial water pressure
    • M.T. Gudmundsson, F. Sigmundsson, H. Bjornsson and Th. Hognadottir, The 1996 eruption at Gjalp, Vatnajokull ice cap, Iceland: Efficiency of heat transfer, ice deformation and subglacial water pressure, Bull. Volcanol. 66 (2004) 46-65.
    • (2004) Bull. Volcanol. , vol.66 , pp. 46-65
    • Gudmundsson, M.T.1    Sigmundsson, F.2    Bjornsson, H.3    Hognadottir, Th.4
  • 20
    • 33748847279 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eruption history and magmatic evolution at the Katla volcanic system, Iceland, during the Holocene
    • DEA thesis, Universite Blaise Pascal, Clermont-Ferrand
    • B.A. Oladottir, Eruption history and magmatic evolution at the Katla volcanic system, Iceland, during the Holocene, DEA thesis, Universite Blaise Pascal, Clermont-Ferrand (2004).
    • (2004)
    • Oladottir, B.A.1
  • 21
    • 33748863962 scopus 로고
    • The Markarfljot Sandur Area, Southern Iceland: Sedimentological, Petrographical and Stratigraphical studies
    • Ph.D. thesis (Uppsala University, Uppsala)
    • H. Haraldsson, The Markarfljot Sandur Area, Southern Iceland: Sedimentological, Petrographical and Stratigraphical studies, Ph.D. thesis (Uppsala University, Uppsala, 1981) 65 pp.
    • (1981) , pp. 65
    • Haraldsson, H.1
  • 22
    • 0012172098 scopus 로고
    • [Rivers and range in the Fjallabak area], Arbok Ferdafelags Islands
    • F. Sigurdsson Fold og votn ad Fjallabaki [Rivers and range in the Fjallabak area], Arbok Ferdafelags Islands (1988) 181-202.
    • (1988) Fold Og Votn Ad Fjallabaki , pp. 181-202
    • Sigurdsson, F.1
  • 24
    • 33748871092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Jokulmenjar a Emstrum, nordvestan Myrdalsjokuls
    • Research Report OS-2002/080 (Orkustofnun, Reykjavik)
    • I. Kaldal and E.G. Vilmundardottir, Jokulmenjar a Emstrum, nordvestan Myrdalsjokuls, Research Report OS-2002/080 (Orkustofnun, Reykjavik, 2002) 29 pp.
    • (2002) , pp. 29
    • Kaldal, I.1    Vilmundardottir, E.G.2
  • 25
    • 33845404659 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Jokulhlaup til vesturs fra Myrdalsjokli: Ummerki um forsoguleg hlaup nidur Markarfljot
    • in: (Rikislogreglustjori, Reykjavik) (in Icelandic)
    • G. Larsen, K. Smith, A.J. Newton and O. Knudsen, Jokulhlaup til vesturs fra Myrdalsjokli: Ummerki um forsoguleg hlaup nidur Markarfljot. [Jokulhlaups towards west from Myrdalsjokull: Prehistoric floods in Markarfljot river], in: Hættumat vegna eldgosa og hlaupa frá vestanver∂um Myrdalsjokli og Eyjafjallajokli (Rikislogreglustjori, Reykjavik, 2005) pp. xx-yy (in Icelandic).
    • (2005) Hættumat Vegna Eldgosa Og Hlaupa Frá Vestanver∂um Myrdalsjokli Og Eyjafjallajokli
    • Larsen, G.1    Smith, K.2    Newton, A.J.3    Knudsen, O.4
  • 26
    • 0019203388 scopus 로고
    • Langlei∂ir gjosku ur Premur Kotlugosum
    • S. Thorarinsson, Langlei∂ir gjosku ur Premur Kotlugosum, Jokull 30 (1980) 65-73.
    • (1980) Jokull , vol.30 , pp. 65-73
    • Thorarinsson, S.1
  • 27
    • 0028584706 scopus 로고
    • The crustal magma chamber of the Katla volcano in south Iceland revealed by 2-D seimic undershooting
    • O. Gudmundsson, B. Brandsdottir, W. Menke and G.E. Sigvaldason, The crustal magma chamber of the Katla volcano in south Iceland revealed by 2-D seimic undershooting, Geophys. J. Int. 119 (1994) 277-296.
    • (1994) Geophys. J. Int. , vol.119 , pp. 277-296
    • Gudmundsson, O.1    Brandsdottir, B.2    Menke, W.3    Sigvaldason, G.E.4
  • 28
    • 0344759833 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Earthquakes in the Myrdalsjokull area, Iceland, 1978-1985: Seasonal correlation and connection with volcanoes
    • P. Einarsson and B. Brandsdottir, Earthquakes in the Myrdalsjokull area, Iceland, 1978-1985: Seasonal correlation and connection with volcanoes, Jokull 49 (2000) 59-74.
    • (2000) Jokull , vol.49 , pp. 59-74
    • Einarsson, P.1    Brandsdottir, B.2
  • 29
    • 33748859172 scopus 로고
    • The structure of Katla, a central volcano in a propagating rift zone, south Iceland from gravity data
    • M.T. Gudmundsson, The structure of Katla, a central volcano in a propagating rift zone, south Iceland from gravity data, EOS Trans. AGU 75 (1994) 335.
    • (1994) EOS Trans. AGU , vol.75 , pp. 335
    • Gudmundsson, M.T.1
  • 30
    • 33748862733 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aeromagnetic measurements over Myrdalsjokull and vicinity
    • G. Jonsson and L. Kristjansson, Aeromagnetic measurements over Myrdalsjokull and vicinity, Jokull 49 (2000) 47-58.
    • (2000) Jokull , vol.49 , pp. 47-58
    • Jonsson, G.1    Kristjansson, L.2
  • 31
    • 0030424051 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical analysis of New Zealand volcanic occurrence data
    • M.S. Bebbington and C.D. Lai, Statistical analysis of New Zealand volcanic occurrence data, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. 74 (1996) 101-110.
    • (1996) J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res. , vol.74 , pp. 101-110
    • Bebbington, M.S.1    Lai, C.D.2
  • 32
    • 14344250826 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: The example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius
    • W. Marzocchi, L. Sandri, P. Gasparini, C. Newhall and E. Boschi, Quantifying probabilities of volcanic events: The example of volcanic hazard at Mount Vesuvius, J. Geophys. Res. 109 (2004) B11201.
    • (2004) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.109
    • Marzocchi, W.1    Sandri, L.2    Gasparini, P.3    Newhall, C.4    Boschi, E.5
  • 33
    • 0028895867 scopus 로고
    • Three nonhomogeneous Poisson models for the probability of basaltic volcanism: Application to the Yucca Mountain region, Nevada
    • C.B. Connor and B.E. Hill, Three nonhomogeneous Poisson models for the probability of basaltic volcanism: Application to the Yucca Mountain region, Nevada, J. Geophys. Res. 100 (1995) 10107-10125.
    • (1995) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.100 , pp. 10107-10125
    • Connor, C.B.1    Hill, B.E.2
  • 34
    • 0002188567 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Basaltic volcanoes and volcanic systems
    • in: ed. H. Sigurdsson (Academic Press, San Diego)
    • G.P.L. Walker, Basaltic volcanoes and volcanic systems, in: Encyclopedia of volcanoes, ed. H. Sigurdsson (Academic Press, San Diego, 2000) 283-289.
    • (2000) Encyclopedia of Volcanoes , pp. 283-289
    • Walker, G.P.L.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.