메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 128, Issue 3, 2006, Pages 394-405

Bayesian and sensitivity analysis approaches to modeling the direct solar irradiance

Author keywords

Bayesian inference; Direct solar irradiance; Neural network; Pruning; Sensitivity analysis

Indexed keywords

COMPUTATIONAL COMPLEXITY; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; NEURAL NETWORKS; PROBABILISTIC LOGICS; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; SOLAR ENERGY;

EID: 33748455685     PISSN: 01996231     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1115/1.2210495     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (14)

References (32)
  • 1
    • 0034075429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical modelling of hourly direct irradiance by means of hourly global irradiance
    • Batlles, F. J., Rubio, M. A., Tovar, J., Olmo, F. J., and Alados-Arboledas, L., 2000, "Empirical Modelling of Hourly Direct Irradiance by Means of Hourly Global Irradiance," Energy, 25, pp. 675-688.
    • (2000) Energy , vol.25 , pp. 675-688
    • Batlles, F.J.1    Rubio, M.A.2    Tovar, J.3    Olmo, F.J.4    Alados-Arboledas, L.5
  • 2
    • 0035400260 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Solar radiation model
    • Wong, L. T., and Chow, W. K., 2001, "Solar Radiation Model," Appl. Energy, 69, pp. 191-224.
    • (2001) Appl. Energy , vol.69 , pp. 191-224
    • Wong, L.T.1    Chow, W.K.2
  • 3
    • 0000253288 scopus 로고
    • Correlations for direct normal and global horizontal irradiation on French mediterranean site
    • Louche, A., Notion, G., Poggi, P., and Simonot, G., 1991, "Correlations for Direct Normal and Global Horizontal Irradiation on French Mediterranean Site," Sol. Energy, 46, pp. 261-266.
    • (1991) Sol. Energy , vol.46 , pp. 261-266
    • Louche, A.1    Notion, G.2    Poggi, P.3    Simonot, G.4
  • 4
    • 0025545038 scopus 로고
    • Climatic evaluation of models thai predict hourly direct irradiance from hourly global irradiance: Prospects for performance improvemenls
    • Perez, R., Seals, R., Zelenka, A., and Ineichen, P., 1990, "Climatic Evaluation of Models Thai Predict Hourly Direct Irradiance From Hourly Global Irradiance: Prospects for Performance Improvemenls," Sol. Energy, 44, pp. 99-108.
    • (1990) Sol. Energy , vol.44 , pp. 99-108
    • Perez, R.1    Seals, R.2    Zelenka, A.3    Ineichen, P.4
  • 5
    • 0016894739 scopus 로고
    • A simple model for estimating the transmittance of direct solar radiation through clear atmospheres
    • Hottel, H. C., 1976, "A Simple Model for Estimating the Transmittance of Direct Solar Radiation Through Clear Atmospheres," Sol. Energy, 18, pp. 129-134.
    • (1976) Sol. Energy , vol.18 , pp. 129-134
    • Hottel, H.C.1
  • 6
    • 0032073494 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of global solar radiation using artificial neural networks
    • Mohandes, M., Rehman, S., and Halawani, T. O., 1998, "Estimation of Global Solar Radiation Using Artificial Neural Networks," Renewable Energy, 14, pp. 179-184.
    • (1998) Renewable Energy , vol.14 , pp. 179-184
    • Mohandes, M.1    Rehman, S.2    Halawani, T.O.3
  • 7
    • 0037141799 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generation of hourly irradiation synthetic series using the neural network multilayer preceptron
    • Hontoria, L., Aguilera, J., and Zufiria, P., 2002, "Generation of Hourly Irradiation Synthetic Series Using the Neural Network Multilayer Preceptron," Sol. Energy, 72(5), pp. 441-446.
    • (2002) Sol. Energy , vol.72 , Issue.5 , pp. 441-446
    • Hontoria, L.1    Aguilera, J.2    Zufiria, P.3
  • 10
    • 0024880831 scopus 로고
    • Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators
    • Hornik, K., Stinchcombe, M., and White, H., 1989, "Multilayer Feedforward Networks are Universal approximators," Neural Networks, 2(5), pp. 359-366.
    • (1989) Neural Networks , vol.2 , Issue.5 , pp. 359-366
    • Hornik, K.1    Stinchcombe, M.2    White, H.3
  • 11
    • 0027662338 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pruning algorithms - A survey
    • Reed, R., 1996, "Pruning Algorithms - A Survey," IEEE Trans. Neural Netw., 4(5), pp. 740-747.
    • (1996) IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. , vol.4 , Issue.5 , pp. 740-747
    • Reed, R.1
  • 13
    • 0028698662 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian non-linear modelling for the prediction competition
    • MacKay, D. J. C., 1994, "Bayesian Non-Linear Modelling for the Prediction Competition," ASHRAE Trans., 100(2), pp. 1053-1062.
    • (1994) ASHRAE Trans. , vol.100 , Issue.2 , pp. 1053-1062
    • MacKay, D.J.C.1
  • 14
    • 9944242270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selection of input parameters to model direcl solar irradiance by using artificial neural net-works
    • Lopez, G., Batlles, F. J., and Tovar-Pescador, J., 2005, "Selection of Input Parameters to Model Direcl Solar Irradiance by Using Artificial Neural Net-works," Energy, 30(9), pp. 1675-1684, http://www.sciencedirect.com
    • (2005) Energy , vol.30 , Issue.9 , pp. 1675-1684
    • Lopez, G.1    Batlles, F.J.2    Tovar-Pescador, J.3
  • 15
    • 0033079533 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A quantitative model-independent method for global sensitivity analysis of model output
    • Sallelli, A., Taranlola, S., and Chan, K., 1999, "A Quantitative Model-Independent Method for Global Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output," Technometrics, 41(1), pp. 39-56.
    • (1999) Technometrics , vol.41 , Issue.1 , pp. 39-56
    • Sallelli, A.1    Taranlola, S.2    Chan, K.3
  • 16
    • 0033585038 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayes offer 'new' way to make sense of numbers
    • Malakoff, D. M., 1999, "Bayes Offer 'New' Way to Make Sense of Numbers," Science, 286, pp. 1460-1464.
    • (1999) Science , vol.286 , pp. 1460-1464
    • Malakoff, D.M.1
  • 17
    • 0002282678 scopus 로고
    • Probability, frequency and reasonable expectation
    • Cox, R. T., 1946, "Probability, Frequency and Reasonable Expectation," Am. J. Phys., 14, pp. 1-13.
    • (1946) Am. J. Phys. , vol.14 , pp. 1-13
    • Cox, R.T.1
  • 18
    • 0001185873 scopus 로고
    • An essay towards solving a problem in the Doctrine of Chances
    • Bayes, T., 1763, "An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances," Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London, 53, pp. 370-418.
    • (1763) Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London , vol.53 , pp. 370-418
    • Bayes, T.1
  • 22
  • 23
    • 32644444495 scopus 로고
    • From laplace to supernova 19871: Bayesian inference in astrophysics
    • Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England
    • Loredo, T. J., 1990, "From Laplace to Supernova 19871: Bayesian Inference in Astrophysics," Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods in Applied Statistics, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England.
    • (1990) Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods in Applied Statistics
    • Loredo, T.J.1
  • 24
    • 0039205196 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian model selection: Examples relevant to NMR
    • P. Skilling, eds., Kluwer, Dordrecht
    • Bretthorst, G. L., 1990, "Bayesian Model Selection: Examples Relevant to NMR," Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods, P. Skilling, eds., Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp. 377-388.
    • (1990) Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods , pp. 377-388
    • Bretthorst, G.L.1
  • 25
    • 0001874549 scopus 로고
    • An introduction to parameter estimation using Bayesian probability
    • P. Fougere, eds., Kluwer, Dordrecht
    • Bretthorst, G. L., 1990, "An Introduction to Parameter Estimation Using Bayesian Probability," Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods, P. Fougere, eds., Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp. 53-79.
    • (1990) Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Methods , pp. 53-79
    • Bretthorst, G.L.1
  • 26
    • 0002704818 scopus 로고
    • A practical bayesian framework for back-propagation networks
    • MacKay, D. J. C., 1992, "A Practical Bayesian Framework for Back-Propagation Networks," Neural Comput., 4(3), pp. 448-472.
    • (1992) Neural Comput. , vol.4 , Issue.3 , pp. 448-472
    • MacKay, D.J.C.1
  • 27
    • 0001025418 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian interpolation
    • MacKay, D. J. C., 1992, "Bayesian Interpolation," Neural Comput., 4(3), pp. 415-447.
    • (1992) Neural Comput. , vol.4 , Issue.3 , pp. 415-447
    • MacKay, D.J.C.1
  • 28
    • 0004070877 scopus 로고
    • Ace of bayes: Application of neural networks with pruning
    • The Danish Meat Research Institute, Denmark
    • Thodberg, H. H., 1993, "Ace of Bayes: Application of Neural Networks With Pruning," Technical Report No. 1132E, The Danish Meat Research Institute, Denmark.
    • (1993) Technical Report No. 1132E , vol.1132 E
    • Thodberg, H.H.1
  • 30
    • 0025530131 scopus 로고
    • Diffuse fraction correlations
    • Reindl, D. T., Beckman, W. A., and Duffie, J. A., 1990, "Diffuse Fraction Correlations," Sol. Energy, 45(1), pp. 1-7.
    • (1990) Sol. Energy , vol.45 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-7
    • Reindl, D.T.1    Beckman, W.A.2    Duffie, J.A.3
  • 31
    • 0025549865 scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of hourly tilted surface radiation
    • Reindl, D. T., Beckman, W. A., and Duffie, J. A., 1990, "Evaluation of Hourly Tilted Surface Radiation," Sol. Energy, 45(1), pp. 9-17.
    • (1990) Sol. Energy , vol.45 , Issue.1 , pp. 9-17
    • Reindl, D.T.1    Beckman, W.A.2    Duffie, J.A.3
  • 32
    • 0035424035 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The level of complexity needed for weather data in models of solar system performance
    • Boland, J., and Dik, M., 2001, "The Level of Complexity Needed for Weather Data in Models of Solar System Performance," Sol. Energy, 71(3), pp. 187-191.
    • (2001) Sol. Energy , vol.71 , Issue.3 , pp. 187-191
    • Boland, J.1    Dik, M.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.