Spatial distribution of foot-and-mouth disease in Pakistan estimated using imperfect data

Preventive Veterinary Medicine

Volumn 76, Issue 3-4, 2006, Pages 280-289

  Perez, Andres M ^a,b   Thurmond, Mark C ^a   Carpenter, Tim E ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^b INSTITUTO NACIONAL DE TECNOLOGÍA AGROPECUARIA INTA   (Argentina)

Author keywords

Co kriging; Foot and mouth disease; Pakistan; Spatial model

Indexed keywords

ANIMAL; ANIMAL DISEASE; ARTICLE; CLUSTER ANALYSIS; COMMERCIAL PHENOMENA; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; EPIDEMIC; FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE; FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE VIRUS; HUMAN; ISOLATION AND PURIFICATION; PAKISTAN; POPULATION DENSITY; RISK; RISK FACTOR; STATISTICAL MODEL;

ANIMALS; COMMERCE; DISEASE OUTBREAKS; FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE; FOOT-AND-MOUTH DISEASE VIRUS; HUMANS; LIKELIHOOD FUNCTIONS; MODELS, STATISTICAL; ODDS RATIO; PAKISTAN; POPULATION DENSITY; RISK FACTORS; SPACE-TIME CLUSTERING;

ANIMALIA; BOVIDAE;

EID: 33748085703     PISSN: 01675877     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2006.05.013     Document Type: Article

References (23)

1. Abramowitz M., and Stegun I.A. Handbook of Mathematical Functions (1965), Dover, New York
2. Anon, 2004. Encyclopædia Britannica On line: Pakistan. http://www.britannica.com/eb/article?tocId=23701 (consulted August 20, 2005).
3. Correa Melo E., Saraiva V., and Astudillo V. Review of the status of foot and mouth disease in countries of South America and approaches to control and eradication. Rev. Sci. Technol. 21 (2002) 429-436
4. Estrada-Pena A. Climate warming and changes in habitat suitability for Boophilus microplus (Acari: Ixodidae) in Central America. J. Parasitol. 87 (2001) 978-987
5. FAO, 2004. FAO/AGA Project, Working Livestock Distribution Data in Asia. http://ergodd.zoo.ox.ac.uk/agaagdat/submit.asp (consulted August 20, 2005).
6. Ferguson N.M., Donnelly C.A., and Anderson R.M. Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain. Nature 413 (2001) 542-548
7. Gibbens J.C., Sharpe C.E., Wilesmith J.W., Mansley L.M., Michalopoulou E., Ryan J.B., and Hudson M. Descriptive epidemiology of the 2001 foot and mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain: the first five months. Vet. Rec. 24 (2001) 729-743
8. Gribov A., Krivoruchko K., and Ver Hoef J.M. Modeling the semivariogram: new approach methods comparison and case study. Stochastic Modeling II vol. 2 (2001), American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG). http://campus.esri.com/campus/library/Bibliography/RecordDetail.cfm?ID=3 0583 (consulted April 14, 2006)
9. Isaaks E.H., and Srivastava R.M. Applied Geostatistics (1989), Oxford University Press, New York p. 561
10. Jasra A.W., Rehman A.U., and Afzal M. Socio-economics of pastoralist communities of highland Balochistan, Pakistan. Int. J. Agric. Biol. 3 (2001) 256-259
11. Kao R.R. The role of mathematical modelling in the control of the 2001 FMD epidemic in the UK. Trends Microbiol. 10 (2002) 279-286
12. Keeling M.J., Woolhouse M.E., Shaw D.J., Matthews L., Chase-Topping M., Haydon D.T., Cornell S.J., Kappey J., Wilesmith J., and Grenfell B.T. Dynamics of the 2001 UK foot and mouth epidemic: stochastic dispersal in a heterogeneous landscape. Science 294 (2001) 813-817
13. Krige D.G. A statistical approach to some basic mine valuation problems on the Witwatersrand. J. Chem. Metall. Mining Soc. South Africa 52 (1951) 119-139
14. Leforban Y. How predictable were the outbreaks of foot and mouth disease in Europe in 2001 and is vaccination the answer?. Rev. Sci. Technol. 21 (2002) 549-556
15. Leforban Y., and Gerbier G. Review of the status of foot and mouth disease and approach to control/eradication in Europe and Central Asia. Rev. Sci. Technol. 21 (2002) 477-492
16. OIE, 2003. Monthly incidence of foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks by location in Pakistan (1996-2000). http://www.oie.int/hs2/zi_pays_mald.asp?c_pays=147&annee=1996&c_ mald=2 (consulted August 20, 2005).
17. Oliver M.A., Webster R., Lajaunie C., Muir K.R., Parkes S.E., Cameron A.H., Stevens M.C., and Mann J.R. Binomial cokriging for estimating and mapping the risk of childhood cancer. J. Math. Appl. Med. Biol. 15 (1998) 279-297
18. ORNL, 2004. LandScan Global Population Project. http://www.ornl.gov/gist/landscan/index.html (consulted December 20, 2004).
19. Perez A.M., Ward M.P., and Carpenter T.E. Epidemiological investigations of the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Argentina. Vet. Rec. 154 (2004) 777-782
20. Perez A.M., Ward M.P., and Carpenter T.E. Control of a foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Argentina. Prev. Vet. Med. 65 (2004) 217-226
21. Ward M.P., and Perez A.M. Herd demographics correlated with the spatial distribution of a foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Buenos Aires province. Argentina Prev. Vet. Med. 65 (2004) 227-237
22. Wilesmith J.W., Stevenson M.A., King C.B., and Morris R.S. Spatio-temporal epidemiology of foot-and-mouth disease in two counties of Great Britain in 2001. Prev. Vet. Med. 61 (2003) 157-170
23. WRLFMD, 2002. Report from the OIE/FAO World Reference Laboratory for Foot-and-Mouth Disease. Virus strain identification for the years 2000-2001. http://www.iah.bbsrc.ac.uk/virus/Picornaviridae/Aphthovirus/index.html (consulted August 27, 2005).