Desistance or displacement? the changing patterns of offending from adolescence to young adulthood

Journal of Quantitative Criminology

Volumn 22, Issue 3, 2006, Pages 215-239

  Massoglia, Michael ^a  

^a PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Criminal offending; Desistance; Latent class models

Indexed keywords

EID: 33747656938     PISSN: 07484518     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10940-006-9009-8     Document Type: Article

References (67)

1. Bachman JG, O'Malley PM, Schulenberg JE, Johnston LD, Bryant AL, Merline AC (2002) The decline of substance use in young adulthood: changes in social activities, roles, and beliefs. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah, NJ
2. Bachman JG, Wadsworth KN, O'Malley PM, Johnston LD, Schulenberg JE (1997) Smoking, drinking, and drug use in young adulthood: the impacts of new freedoms and new responsibilities. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah, NJ
3. Becker MP (1990) Algorithm AS 253: maximum likelihood estimation of the RC(M) association model. Appl Stat 39:152-167
4. Bohrnstedt G, Knoke D (1994) Statistics for social data analysis, 3rd edn. E. Peacock Publishers, Itasca, IL
5. Brame R, Paternoster R (2003) Missing data problems in criminological research: two case studies. J Quant Criminol 19:55-78
6. Brame R, Piquero A (2003) Selective attrition and the age-crime relationship. J Quant Criminol 19:107-128
7. Brame R, Bushway SD, Paternoster R (2003) Examining the prevalence of criminal desistance. Criminology 41:423-448
8. Bursik R Jr, Gramick HG (1993) Neighborhoods and crime: the dimensions of effective community control. Lexington Books, California
9. Bushway SD, Thornberry TP, Krohn MD (2003) Desistance as a developmental process: a comparison of static and dynamic approaches. J Quant Criminol 19:129-153
10. Bushway S, Piquero A, Broidy L, Cauffman E, Mazerolle P (2001) An empirical framework for studying desistance as a process. Criminology 39:491-516
11. Caspi A (1998) Personality development across the life course. In: Eisenberg N (eds) Handbook of child psychology, vol. 3: social, emotional, and personality development. Wiley, New York
12. Clogg CC (1977) Unrestricted and restricted maximum likelihood latent structure analysis: a manual for users. Working paper no. 1977-09. Pennsylvania State University, Population Issues Research Center, University Park, PA
13. Clogg CC (1995) Latent class models. In: Arminger G, Clogg C, Sobel ME (eds) Handbook of statistical modeling for the social and behavioral sciences. Plenum Press, New York
14. Clogg CC, Eliason SR, Wahl RJ (1990) Labor-market experiences and labor-force outcomes. Am J Sociol 95:1536-1576
15. Clogg CC, Eliason SR, Leicht K (2002) Analyzing the labor force: concepts, measures, and trends. Plenum Press, New York
16. Clogg CC, Shihadeh ES (1994) Statistical models for ordinal variables. Sage Publication, Beverly Hills
17. Cohen J (1986). Research on criminal careers: individual frequency rates and offense seriousness. In: Blumstein A, Cohen J, Roth J, Visher C (eds) Criminal careers and "career criminals." Report to the National Academy of Sciences Panel on Research on Criminal Careers. National Academy Press, Washington, DC
18. D'Unger AV, Land KC, McCall PL, Nagin DS (1998) How many latent classes of delinquent/criminal careers? Results from mixed Poisson regression Analyses. Am J Sociol 103:1593-1630
19. Eliason SR (1993) Maximum likelihood estimation: logic and practice. Sage Publication, Beverly Hills
20. Eliason SR (1995). Modeling manifest and latent dimensions of association in two-way cross-classifications. Sociol Methods Res 24:30-67
21. Eliason SR (1997) The categorical data analysis system user's manual. Version 4.0
22. Elliott D, Huizinga D, Ageton S (1985) Explaining delinquency and drug use. Sage Publications, Beverly Hills
23. Elliott D, Huizinga D, Menard S (1989) Multiple problem youth: delinquency, substance abuse, and mental health problems. Springer-Verlag, New York
24. Farrington D, Hawkins D (1991). Predicting participation, early onset, and later persistence in officially recorded delinquency. Crim Behav Ment Health 1:1-33
25. Felson RB, Haynie DL (2002) Pubertal development, social factors, and delinquency among adolescent boys. Criminology 40:967-988
26. Fergusson DM, Horwood LJ, Nagin DS (2000) Offending trajectories in a New Zealand birth cohort. Criminology 38:525-551
27. Francis B, Soothill K, Fligelstone R (2004) Identifying patterns and pathways of offending behaviour: anew approach to typologies of crime. Eur J Criminol 1:48-87
28. Glueck S, Glueck E (1940) Juvenile delinquents grown up. Oxford University Press, New York
29. Glueck S, Glueck E (1968) Delinquents and nondelinquents in perspective. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA
30. Goodman LA (1987) New methods for analyzing the intrinsic character of qualitative variables using cross-classified data. Am J Sociol 93:529-583
31. Gottfredson M, Hirschi T (1990) A general theory of crime. Stanford University Press, Stanford, CA
32. Griffiths E, Chavez JM (2004) Communities, street guns and homicide trajectories in Chicago, 1980-1995: merging methods for examining homicide trends across space and time. Criminology 42:941-978
33. Heimer K, Matsueda RL (1994) Role taking, role commitment, and delinquency: a theory of differential social control. Am Sociol Rev 59:365-390
34. Hindelang M, Hirschi T, Weis JG (1981) Measuring delinquency. Sage Publication, Beverly Hills
35. Hirschi T, Gottfredson M (1983) Age and the explanation of crime. Am J Sociol 89:552-584
36. Jang SJ, Johnson BR (2001) Neighborhood disorder, religiosity, and adolescent use of illicit drugs: a test of multilevel hypotheses. Criminology 39:109-144
37. Laub JH, Nagan D, Sampson RJ (1998) Trajectories of change in criminal offending: good marriages and the desistance process. Am Sociol Rev 63:225-239
38. Laub JH, Sampson RJ (2003) Shared beginnings, divergent lives: delinquent boys to age 70. Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA
39. Lauristen J (1998) The age-crime debate: assessing the limits of longitudinal self-report data. Soc Forces 77:127-155
40. Loeber R, Le Blanc M (1990) Toward a developmental criminology. In: Tonry M, Morris N (eds) Crime and justice. University of Chicago Press, Chicago
41. Loeber R, Stouthamer-Loeber M, Van Kammen W, Farrington D (1991) Initiation, escalation, and desistance in juvenile offending and their correlates. J Crim Law Criminol 82:36-82
42. Maruna S (2000) Making good: how ex-convicts reform and rebuild their lives. American Psychological Association, Washington, DC
43. Matsueda R (1992) Reflected appraisals, parental labeling, and delinquency: specifying a symbolic interactionist theory. Am J Sociol 97:1577-1611
44. McCutcheon A (1987) Latent class analysis. Sage Publications, New York
45. McDermott S, Nagin DS (2001) Same or different? Comparing offender groups and covariates over time. Sociol Methods Res 29:282-319
46. Moffitt T (1993) Life-course-persistent and adolescence limited antisocial behavior: a developmental taxonomy. Psychol Rev 100:674-701
47. Moffitt TE, Krueger RF, Caspi A, Wright R (2000) Partner abuse and general crime: how are they the same? How are they different? Criminology 38:199-232
48. Nagin D, Farrington D, Moffitt T (1995) Life-course trajectories of different types of offenders. Criminology 33:111-140
49. Nagin D, Tremblay RE (2001) Analyzing developmental trajectories of distinct but related behaviors: a group based method. Psychol Methods 6:18-34
50. Paternoster R, Brame R (1998) The structural similarity of processes generating criminal and analogous behaviors. Criminology 36:633-670
51. Paternoster R, Brame R (2000) On the association between self-control, crime, and analogous behaviors. Criminology 38:971-982
52. Piliavin I, Gartner R, Thornton C, Matsueda R (1986) Crime, deterrence, and rational choice. Am Soc Rev 51:101-119
53. Piquero AR, Brame R, Mazerolle P, Haapanen R (2002a) Crime in emerging adulthood. Criminology 40:137-170
54. Piquero A, Macintosh R, Hickman M (2002b) The validity of a self-reported delinquency scale: comparisons across gender, age, race, and place of residence. Sociol Methods Res 30:492-529
55. Roeder K, Lynch K, Nagin D (1999) Modeling uncertainty in latent class membership: a case study in criminology. J Am Stat Assoc 94:766-776
56. Sampson RJ, Laub JH (1990) Crime and deviance over the life course: the salience of adult social bonds. Am Sociol Rev 55:609-627
57. Sampson R, Laub J (1993) Crime in the making: pathways and turning points through life. Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA
58. Shaw C (1966) The Jack-Roller, 5th edn. University of Chicago Press, Chicago
59. Shover N (1993) Great pretenders: pursuits and careers of persistent thieves. Westview Press, Boulder
60. Silver E (2000) Extending social disorganization theory: a multilevel approach to the study of violence among persons with mental illnesses. Criminology 38:1043-1074
61. Steffensmeier D, Allan E, Harer M, Streifel D (1989) Age and the distribution of crime. Am J Sociol 94: 803-831
62. Uggen C (2000) Work as a turning point in the life course of criminals: a duration model of age, employment, and recidivism. Am Sociol Rev 65:529-549
63. Warr M (1998) Life-course transitions and desistance from crime. Criminology 36:183-215
64. Wilson W (1987) The truly disadvantaged. The inner city, the underclass and public policy. University of Chicago Press, Chicago
65. Wright BR, Caspi A, Moffitt TE, Silva PA (1999) Low self-control, social bonds, and crime: social causation, social selection, or both? Criminology 37:479-514
66. Wright BR, Caspi A, Moffitt TE, Silva PA (2001) The effects of social ties on crime vary by criminal propensity: a life course model of Interdependence. Criminology 39:321-351
67. Yamaguchi K (1987) Event-History analysis: its contributions to modeling and causal inference. Sociol Theor Method 2:61-82