Control theory and the management of ecosystems

Journal of Applied Ecology

Volumn 43, Issue 5, 2006, Pages 957-966

  Loehle, Craig ^a  

^a NATIONAL COUNCIL FOR AIR AND STREAM IMPROVEMENT   (United States)

Author keywords

Conservation; Economics; Exploitation; Fisheries; Forestry; Optimal control; Sampling; Stability

Indexed keywords

ECOSYSTEM MANAGEMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; NATURAL RESOURCE; POLICY IMPLEMENTATION; RESOURCE MANAGEMENT;

EID: 33747617762     PISSN: 00218901     EISSN: 13652664     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2006.01208.x     Document Type: Article

References (65)

1. Akçakaya, H.R. (2001) Linking population-level risk assessment with landscape and habitat models. Science of the Total Environment, 274, 283-291.
2. Bagchi, A. (1993) Optimal Control of Stochastic Systems. Prentice Hall, New York, NY.
3. Bartell, S.M., Pastorok, R.A., Akçakaya, H.R., Regan, H., Ferson, S. & Mackay, C. (2003) Realism and relevance of ecological models used in chemical risk assessment. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 9, 907-938.
4. Beck, M.B. (1979) Model structure identification from experimental data. Theoretical Systems Ecology (ed. E. Halfon), pp. 260-289, Chapter 11. Academic Press, New York, NY.
5. Bellamy, J.A., Walker, D.H., McDonald, G.T. & Syme, G.J. (2001) A systems approach to the evaluation of natural resource management initiatives. Journal of Environmental Management, 63, 407-423.
6. Bradstock, R.A., Bedward, J., Gill, A.M. & Cohn, J.S. (2005) Which mosaic? A landscape ecological approach for evaluating interactions between fire regimes, habitat and animals. Wildlife Research, 32, 409-423.
7. Brown, J.H., Whitham, T.G., Ernest, S.K.M. & Gehring, C.A. (2001) Complex species interactions and the dynamics of ecological systems: long-term experiments. Science, 293, 643-650.
8. Bugmann, H. (2001) A review of forest gap models. Climatic Change, 51, 259-305.
9. Chang, S.J. (1998) A generalized Faustmann model for the determination of optimal harvest age. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 28, 652-659.
10. Charles, A.T. (1998) Living with uncertainty in fisheries: analytical methods, management priorities and the Canadian groundfishery experience. Fisheries Research, 37, 37-50.
11. Clark, J.S. & Bjørnstad, O.N. (2004) Population time series: process variability, observation errors, missing values, lags, and hidden states. Ecology, 85, 3140-3150.
12. Clark, W.G. & Hare, S.R. (2004) A conditional constant catch policy for managing the Pacific halibut fishery. North American Journal of Fisheries Management, 24, 106-113.
13. Cliff, E.M. & Vincent, T.L. (1973) An optimal policy for a fish harvest. Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, 12, 485-496.
14. Cobelli, C., Lepschy, A. & Romanin-Jacur, G. (1979) Structural identifiability of linear compartmental models. Theoretical Systems Ecology (ed. E. Halfon), pp. 237-258, Chapter 10. Academic Press, New York, NY.
15. Crépin, A.-S. (2003) Multiple species boreal forests: what Faustmann missed. Environmental and Resource Economics, 26, 625-646.
16. Eisenack, K. & Kropp, J. (2001) Assessment of management options in marine fisheries by qualitative modeling techniques. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 43, 215-224.
17. El-Gohary, A. & Al-Ruzaiza, A.S. (2002) Optimal control of the equilibrium state of a prey-predator model. Nonlinear Dynamics, Psychology, and Life Sciences, 6, 27-36.
18. Englund, G. & Moen, J. (2003) Testing models of trophic dynamics: the problem of translating from model to nature. Australian Ecology, 28, 61-69.
19. Field, S.A., Tyre, A.J., Jonzén, N., Rhodes, J.R. & Possingham, H.P. (2004) Minimizing the cost of environmental management decisions by optimizing statistical thresholds. Ecology Letters, 7, 669-675.
20. Field, S.A., Tyre, A.J. & Possingham, H.P. (2005) Optimizing allocation of monitoring effort under economic and observational constraints. Journal of Wildlife Management, 69, 473-482.
21. Folke, C., Carpenter, S., Walker, B., Scheffer, M., Elmqvist, T., Gunderson, L. & Holling, C.S. (2004) Regime shifts, resilience, and biodiversity in ecosystem management. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution and Systematics, 35, 557-581.
22. Halfon, E. (1979) Preview: theory in ecosystem analysis. Theoretical Systems Ecology (ed. E. Halfon), pp. 1-13. Academic Press, New York, NY.
23. Harding, E.K., Crone, E.E., Elderd, B.D., Hoekstra, J.M., McKerrow, A.J., Perrine, J.D., Regetz, J., Rissler, L.J., Stanley, A.G., Walters, E.L. & NCEAS Habitat Conservation Plan Working Group (2001) The scientific foundations of habitat conservation plans: a quantitative assessment. Conservation Biology, 15, 488-500.
24. Hof, J. & Bevers, M. (1998) Spatial Optimization for Managed Ecosystems. Columbia University Press, New York, NY.
25. Hutchings, J.A. & Reynolds, J.D. (2004) Marine fish population collapses: consequences for recovery and extinction risk. Bioscience, 54, 297-309.
26. Imeson, R.J., Van Den Bergh, G.C.J.M. & Hoekstra, J. (2002) Integrated models of fisheries management and policy. Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 7, 259-271.
27. Jasinski, J.P.P. & Payette, S. (2005) The creation of alternative stable states in the southern boreal forest, Quebec, Canada. Ecological Monographs, 75, 561-583.
28. Jensen, C.X.J. & Ginzburg, L.R. (2005) Paradoxes or theoretical failures? The jury is still out. Ecological Modelling, 188, 3-14.
29. Jonzén, N. Lundberg, P. Ranta, E. & Kaitala, V. (2002) The irreducible uncertainty of the demography-environment interaction in ecology. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B, 269, 221-225.
30. Kaitala, V., Jonzén, N. & Enberg, K. (2003) Harvesting strategies in a fish stock dominated by low-frequency variability: the Norwegian spring-spawning herring (Clupea harengus). Marine Resources Economics, 18, 263-274.
31. Katsukawa, T. (2004) Numerical investigation of the optimal control rule for decision-making in fisheries management. Fisheries Science, 70, 123-131.
32. Kirk, D.E. (1998) Optimal Control Theory: An Introduction. Dover Publications, Mineola, NY.
33. Leigh, J.R. (2004) Control Theory. The Institution of Electrical Engineers, London, UK.
34. Lindley, S.T. (2003) Estimation of population growth and extinction parameters from noisy data. Ecological Applications, 13, 806-813.
35. MacKenzie, D.I., Nichols, J.D., Hines, J.E., Knutson, M.G. & Franklin, A.B. (2003) Estimating site occupancy, colonization, and local extinction when a species is detected imperfectly. Ecology, 84, 2200-2207.
36. Meek, P. (2004) Compromising science for regulatory compliance: a case study of confounding conservation policy. Conservation of Australia's Forest Fauna (ed. D. Lunney), pp. 256-269. Royal Zoological Society of New South Wales, Mosman, NSW, Australia.
37. Moore, J.L., Folkmann, M., Balmford, A., Brooks, T., Burgess, N., Rahbek, C., Williams, P.H. & Krarup, J. (2003) Heuristic and optimal solutions for set-covering problems in conservation biology. Ecography, 26, 595-601.
38. van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2003) Alternative attractors may boost uncertainty and sensitivity in ecological models. Ecological Modelling, 159, 117-124.
39. van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2004) Large species shifts triggered by small forces. American Naturalist, 164, 255-266.
40. Newman, D.H. (2002) Forestry's golden rule and the development of the optimal forest rotation literature. Journal of Forest Economics, 8, 5-27.
41. Purohit, D. & Chaudhuri, K.S. (2002) Nonselective harvesting of a prey-predator fishery with Gompertz law of growth. International Journal of Mathematical Education in Science and Technology, 33, 671-678.
42. Rafikov, M. & Balthazar, J.M. (2005) Optimal pest control problem in population dynamics. Computation and Applied Mathematics, 24, 65-81.
43. Ramirez, O.A. & Saunders, J.L. (1999) Estimating economic thresholds for pest control: an alternative procedure. Journal of Economic Entomology, 92, 391-401.
44. Reisewitz, S.E., Estes, J.A. & Simenstad, C.A. (2005) Indirect food web interactions: sea otters and kelp forest fishes in the Aleutian archipelago. Oecologia, 146, 623-631.
45. Ringold, P.L., Mulder, B., Alegria, J., Czaplewski, R.L., Tolle, T. & Burnett, K. (1999) Establishing a regional monitoring strategy: the Pacific northwest forest plan. Environmental Management, 23, 179-192.
46. Robinson, A.P. & Monserud, R.A. (2003) Criteria for comparing the adaptability of forest growth models. Forest Ecology and Management, 172, 53-67.
47. Rose, G.A. (2004) Reconciling overfishing and climate change with stock dynamics of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) over 500 years. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Science, 61, 1553-1557.
48. Rose, S.K. & Chapman, D. (2003) Timber harvest adjacency economies, hunting, species protection, and old growth value: seeking the dynamic optimum. Ecological Economics, 44, 325-344.
49. Roughgarden, J. & Smith, F. (1996) Why fisheries collapse and what to do about it. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 93, 5078-5083.
50. Runge, M.C. & Johnson, F.A. (2002) The importance of functional form in optimal control solutions of problems in population dynamics. Ecology, 83, 1357-1371.
51. Senina, I., Tyutyunov, Y. & Arditi, R. (1999) Extinction risk assessment and optimal harvesting of anchovy and sprat in the Azov Sea. Journal of Applied Ecology, 36, 297-306.
52. Seppelt, R. & Richter, O. (1995) Sustainable use of agricultural ecosystems: an optimum control problem. Knowledge Tools for a Sustainable Civilization, 4th Canadian Conference on Foundations and Applications of Science Theory, 8-10 June 1995, Toronto, ON, Canada (ed. H. Burkhardt), pp. 62-69. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Piscataway, NJ, USA.
53. Shea, K. & Possingham, H.P. (2000) Optimal release strategies for biological control agents: an application of stochastic dynamic programming to population management. Journal of Applied Ecology, 37, 77-86.
54. Shea, K., Possingham, H.P., Murdoch, W.W. & Roush, R. (2002) Active adaptive management in insect pest and weed control: intervention with a plan for learning. Ecological Applications, 12, 927-936.
55. Simberloff, D. (2004) Community ecology: is it time to move on? American Naturalist, 163, 787-799.
56. Sohngen, B. & Mendelsohn, R. (2003) An optimal control model of forest carbon sequestration. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 85, 448-457.
57. Stankey, G.H., Bormann, B.T., Ryan, C., Shindler, B., Sturtevant, V., Clark, R.N. & Philpot, C. (2003) Adaptive management and the northwest forest plan: rhetoric and reality. Journal of Forestry, 101, 40-46.
58. Stigter, J.D. & van Langevelde, F. (2004) Optimal harvesting in a two-species model under critical depensation: the case of optimal harvesting in semi-arid grazing systems. Ecological Modelling, 179, 153-161.
59. Stuart, S.N., Chanson, J.S., Cox, N.A., Young, B.E., Rodrigues, A.S.L., Fischman, D.L. & Waller, R.W. (2004) Status and trends of amphibian declines and extinctions worldwide. Science, 306, 1783-1786.
60. Vaca-Rodríguez, J.G. & Enríquez-Andrade, R.R. (2006) Analysis of the eastern Pacific yellowfin tuna fishery based on multiple management objectives. Ecological Modelling, 191, 275-290.
61. Walter, E., Braems, I., Jaulin, L. & Kleffer, M. (2004) Numerical software with result verification: international Dagstuhl Seminar, Dagstuhl Castle, Germany, January 19-24, 2003. Revised papers. Lecture Notes in Computer Science (eds R. Alt, A. Frommer, R.B. Kearfott & W. Luther), pp. 124-131. Springer-Verlag, Berlin.
62. Watson, R. & Pauly, D. (2001) Systematic distortions in world fisheries catch trends. Nature, 414, 534-536.
63. Wilhere, G.F. (2002) Adaptive management in habitat conservation plans. Conservation Biology, 16, 20-29.
64. Wu, J., Fukuhara, M. & Takeda, T. (2005) Parameter estimation of an ecological system by a neural network with residual minimization training. Ecological Modelling, 189, 289-304.
65. Yndestad, H. (1997) Systems dynamics in the fisheries of northeast arctic cod. Paper Presented at 15th International System Dynamics Conference, 19-22 August 1997, Istanbul, Turkey (eds Y. Barlas, V.G. Ditier & S. Polat), pp. 719-726. University Printing Office, Boǧazigi University, Istanbul, Turkey.