메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 17, Issue 4, 2004, Pages 655-672

Preventing intelligence failures by learning from the past

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 33746490318     PISSN: 08850607     EISSN: 15210561     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/08850600490496452     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (34)

References (42)
  • 2
    • 84974313490 scopus 로고
    • Analysis, War, and Decision: Why Intelligence Failures Are Inevitable
    • October
    • Richard K. Betts, “Analysis, War, and Decision: Why Intelligence Failures Are Inevitable,”World Politics, Vol. 31, No. 2, October 1978, pp. 61-89.
    • (1978) World Politics , vol.31 , Issue.2 , pp. 61-89
    • Betts, R.K.1
  • 4
    • 84971872118 scopus 로고
    • Hindsight and Foresight: A Conceptual Framework for the Analysis of Surprise Attacks
    • April
    • Abraham Ben-Zvi, “Hindsight and Foresight: A Conceptual Framework for the Analysis of Surprise Attacks,”World Politics, Vol. 28, No. 3, April 1976, p. 386.
    • (1976) World Politics , vol.28 , Issue.3 , pp. 386
    • Ben-Zvi, A.1
  • 5
    • 85023831779 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Roberta Wohlstetter, Pearl Harbor: Warning and Decision(Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1962).
    • Wohlstetter, R.1
  • 9
    • 85023828396 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Joseph Stalin, British Intelligence, and Strategic Surprise in June 1941
    • Central Intelligence Agency, Washington, DC, “Omens and Oracles,”, August
    • Donald P. Steury, “Joseph Stalin, British Intelligence, and Strategic Surprise in June 1941,”Studies in Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency, Washington, DC, No. 2, 1998, Joseph C. Arnold, “Omens and Oracles,”Proceedings, August 1980, p. 52.
    • (1998) Studies in Intelligence , Issue.2 , pp. 52
    • Steury, D.P.1    Arnold, J.C.2
  • 10
    • 85023854978 scopus 로고
    • The Real Stories Behind Those Intelligence ‘Failures
    • January
    • Ross S. Kelly, “The Real Stories Behind Those Intelligence ‘Failures,”’ArmyMagazine, January 1982, p. 12.
    • (1982) Armymagazine , pp. 12
    • Kelly, R.S.1
  • 12
    • 85023831302 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • George Poteat, “The Intelligence Gap: Hypotheses on the Process of Surprise,”Intelligence Studies Notes, No.3, Fall 1976, p. 15.
    • Poteat, G.1
  • 13
    • 34250765679 scopus 로고
    • The Intelligence Gap: Hypotheses on the Process of Surprise
    • Fall
    • George Poteat, “The Intelligence Gap: Hypotheses on the Process of Surprise,”Intelligence Studies Notes, No.3, Fall 1976, p. 18.
    • (1976) Intelligence Studies Notes , Issue.3 , pp. 18
    • Poteat, G.1
  • 14
    • 84972004002 scopus 로고
    • Failures in National Intelligence Estimates: The Case of the Yom Kippur War
    • April
    • Avi Schlam, “Failures in National Intelligence Estimates: The Case of the Yom Kippur War,”World Politics, Vol. 28, No. 3, April 1976, pp. 353- 355.
    • (1976) World Politics , vol.28 , Issue.3
    • Schlam, A.1
  • 15
    • 84909215559 scopus 로고
    • The Study of Intelligence
    • Winter
    • Michael I. Handel, “The Study of Intelligence,”Orbis, No. 26, Winter 1983, pp. 818-819.
    • (1983) Orbis , Issue.26 , pp. 818-819
    • Handel, M.I.1
  • 16
    • 84909215559 scopus 로고
    • The Study of Intelligence
    • Winter
    • Michael I. Handel, “The Study of Intelligence,”Orbis, No. 26, Winter 1983, p. 819.
    • (1983) Orbis , Issue.26 , pp. 819
    • Handel, M.I.1
  • 17
    • 84925926544 scopus 로고
    • Surprise and Change in International Politics
    • Spring
    • Michael I. Handel, “Surprise and Change in International Politics,”International Security, Spring 1980, pp. 57-85.
    • (1980) International Security , pp. 57-85
    • Handel, M.I.1
  • 19
    • 84909342356 scopus 로고
    • Intelligence and Deception
    • Robert Pfaltzgraff Jr., Uri Ra’anaan, and Warren Milberg, eds., Hamden, CT: Archon Books
    • Reginald V. Jones, “Intelligence and Deception,” in Robert Pfaltzgraff Jr., Uri Ra’anaan, and Warren Milberg, eds., Intelligence Policy and National Security(Hamden, CT: Archon Books, 1981), pp. 3-22;
    • (1981) Intelligence Policy and National Security , pp. 3-22
    • Jones, R.V.1
  • 21
    • 85023893895 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fallout Is Heavy as CIA Fails to Predict Inida Test
    • May
    • Brian Duffy and Robert Greenberger, “Fallout Is Heavy as CIA Fails to Predict Inida Test,”The Wall Street Journal, 12 May 1998.
    • (1998) The Wall Street Journal , pp. 12
    • Duffy, B.1    Greenberger, R.2
  • 22
    • 85023895498 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • circa 1999
    • “Perception Management Analysts,” circa 1999, http://www.odci.gov/cia/employment/jobpostings/percmgt.htm
  • 26
    • 84905597014 scopus 로고
    • Improving Intelligence Analysis: Some Insights on Data, Concepts, Management in the Intelligence Community
    • Winter
    • Richards J. Heuer Jr., “Improving Intelligence Analysis: Some Insights on Data, Concepts, Management in the Intelligence Community,”The Bureaucrat, Winter 1979-1980, p. 8.
    • (1979) The Bureaucrat , pp. 8
    • Heuer, R.J.1
  • 27
    • 84972920565 scopus 로고
    • Policy-Makers and Intelligence Analysts: Love, Hate, or Indifference
    • Richard K. Betts, “Policy-Makers and Intelligence Analysts: Love, Hate, or Indifference,”IntelligenceandNational Security, Vol. 3, No. 1, 1988, p. 186.
    • (1988) Intelligenceandnational Security , vol.3 , Issue.1 , pp. 186
    • Betts, R.K.1
  • 29
    • 0039941947 scopus 로고
    • Intelligence and the Problem of Strategic Surprise
    • September
    • Michael I. Handel, “Intelligence and the Problem of Strategic Surprise,”The Journal of Strategic Studies, September 1984, pp. 269-270.
    • (1984) The Journal of Strategic Studies , pp. 269-270
    • Handel, M.I.1
  • 32
    • 85023879884 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Walter Laqueur, A World of Secrets, p. 341.
    • Laqueur, W.1
  • 33
    • 78650165294 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Winter
    • Amos Kovacs, “The Nonuse of Intelligence,”International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence, Vol. 10, No. 4, Winter 1997-1998, pp. 383-417.
    • (1997) The Nonuse of Intelligence , vol.10 , Issue.4 , pp. 383-417
    • Kovacs, A.1
  • 34
    • 84926273813 scopus 로고
    • The Seven Sins of Strategic Intelligence
    • Fall
    • Loch K. Johnson, “The Seven Sins of Strategic Intelligence,”World Affairs, Vol. 146, No. 2, Fall 1983, p. 182.
    • (1983) World Affairs , vol.146 , Issue.2 , pp. 182
    • Johnson, L.K.1
  • 35
    • 85023853800 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • http://www.miami.muohio.edu/University_Advancement/AlumniRelations/Chapters/dcprogramevent.cfm
  • 37
    • 84917372357 scopus 로고
    • CIA Functional Diversity and the National Security Policy Process
    • Stephen Cimbala, ed., United States: Transnational Publishers
    • Stafford T. Thomas, “CIA Functional Diversity and the National Security Policy Process,” in Stephen Cimbala, ed., Intelligence and Intelligence Policy in a Democratic Society(United States: Transnational Publishers, 1987), pp. 85-99.
    • (1987) Intelligence and Intelligence Policy in a Democratic Society , pp. 85-99
    • Thomas, S.T.1
  • 39
    • 84874561126 scopus 로고
    • An Opportunity Unfulfilled: The Use and Perceptions of Intelligence at the White House
    • Winter
    • Robert M. Gates, “An Opportunity Unfulfilled: The Use and Perceptions of Intelligence at the White House,”The Washington Quarterly, Winter 1989, p. 40.
    • (1989) The Washington Quarterly , pp. 40
    • Gates, R.M.1
  • 42
    • 85023813941 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • http://www.access.gpo.gov/su_docs/dpos/epubs/int/pdf/report/html


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.