메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 21, Issue 12, 2006, Pages 1711-1721

Time-series modeling of fishery landings using ARIMA models and Fuzzy Expected Intervals software

Author keywords

ARIMA modeling; Decision Support Systems; Fish landings; Fuzzy Expected Interval model; Stochastic prediction models

Indexed keywords

DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS; FISHERIES; FORECASTING; FUZZY SETS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; OPTIMAL SYSTEMS;

EID: 33746475212     PISSN: 13648152     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2005.09.001     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (57)

References (49)
  • 1
    • 0016355478 scopus 로고
    • A new look at the statistical model identification
    • Akaike H. A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Transactions of Automated Control 19 6 (1974) 716-723
    • (1974) IEEE Transactions of Automated Control , vol.19 , Issue.6 , pp. 716-723
    • Akaike, H.1
  • 3
    • 3142741175 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Perspectives on ecosystem-based approaches to the management of marine resources
    • Browman H.I., and Stergiou K.I. Perspectives on ecosystem-based approaches to the management of marine resources. Marine Ecology Progress Series 274 (2004) 269-303
    • (2004) Marine Ecology Progress Series , vol.274 , pp. 269-303
    • Browman, H.I.1    Stergiou, K.I.2
  • 6
    • 3543104287 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On optimal forecasting with soft computation for non-linear time-series
    • Chen S.-R., and Wu B. On optimal forecasting with soft computation for non-linear time-series. Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making 3 (2003) 215-228
    • (2003) Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making , vol.3 , pp. 215-228
    • Chen, S.-R.1    Wu, B.2
  • 7
    • 33746530240 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CIESM, 2003. Mediterranean biological time series. CIESM Workshop Monographs No. 22, 142 pp.
  • 8
    • 33746578704 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • De la Serna, J.M., Di Natale, A., Pereda, P., Restrepo, V., Tserpes, G., 2002. Large pelagic species: future management of common Mediterranean resources. International Conference on Mediterranean Fisheries, Naples.
  • 9
    • 0032418884 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationships between Alaskan salmon catch and North Pacific climate on interannual and interdecadal time scales
    • Downton M.W., and Miller K.A. Relationships between Alaskan salmon catch and North Pacific climate on interannual and interdecadal time scales. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 55 (1998) 2255-2265
    • (1998) Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences , vol.55 , pp. 2255-2265
    • Downton, M.W.1    Miller, K.A.2
  • 10
    • 17044432696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An application of two techniques for the analysis of short, multivariate, non-stationary time-series of Mauritanian trawl survey data
    • Erzini K., Inejih C.A.O., and Stobberup K.A. An application of two techniques for the analysis of short, multivariate, non-stationary time-series of Mauritanian trawl survey data. ICES Journal of Marine Science 62 (2005) 353-359
    • (2005) ICES Journal of Marine Science , vol.62 , pp. 353-359
    • Erzini, K.1    Inejih, C.A.O.2    Stobberup, K.A.3
  • 11
    • 0842306137 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Directions for productivity measurement in fisheries
    • Felthoven R.G., and Paul C.J.M. Directions for productivity measurement in fisheries. Marine Policy 28 (2004) 161-169
    • (2004) Marine Policy , vol.28 , pp. 161-169
    • Felthoven, R.G.1    Paul, C.J.M.2
  • 12
    • 28444479834 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fila, G., Donatelli, M., Bellocchi, G. PTFIndicator: an IRENE_DLL-based application to evaluate estimates from pedotransfer functions by integrated indices. Environmental Modelling & Software, in press, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2005.01.001.
  • 13
    • 0024252062 scopus 로고
    • Time series models of the marine lobster fishery: the effect of temperature
    • Fogarty M.J. Time series models of the marine lobster fishery: the effect of temperature. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 45 (1988) 1145-1153
    • (1988) Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences , vol.45 , pp. 1145-1153
    • Fogarty, M.J.1
  • 14
    • 0028992650 scopus 로고
    • On a structural time series method for estimating stock biomass and recruitment from catch and effort data
    • Freeman S.N., and Kirkwood G.P. On a structural time series method for estimating stock biomass and recruitment from catch and effort data. Fisheries Research 22 (1995) 77-98
    • (1995) Fisheries Research , vol.22 , pp. 77-98
    • Freeman, S.N.1    Kirkwood, G.P.2
  • 16
    • 0000311828 scopus 로고
    • Climate change and salmon production in the Northeast Pacific Ocean
    • Climate Change and Northern Fish Populations. Beamish R.J. (Ed)
    • Hare S.R., and Francis R.C. Climate change and salmon production in the Northeast Pacific Ocean. In: Beamish R.J. (Ed). Climate Change and Northern Fish Populations. Canadian Special Publication of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 121 (1995) 357-372
    • (1995) Canadian Special Publication of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences , vol.121 , pp. 357-372
    • Hare, S.R.1    Francis, R.C.2
  • 17
    • 9944247180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A decision support system applying an integrated fuzzy model for long-term forest fire risk estimation
    • Iliadis L.S. A decision support system applying an integrated fuzzy model for long-term forest fire risk estimation. Environmental Modelling & Software 20 5 (2005) 613-621
    • (2005) Environmental Modelling & Software , vol.20 , Issue.5 , pp. 613-621
    • Iliadis, L.S.1
  • 18
    • 33746556250 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Computer Expert system that performs classification of companies and investments of the rural sector, using multicriteria analysis and fuzzy logic. The case of wood industry
    • University of Macedonia, Thessaloniki, Greece
    • Iliadis L., Koutroumanidis T., Arabatzis G., and Arapatsakos C. A Computer Expert system that performs classification of companies and investments of the rural sector, using multicriteria analysis and fuzzy logic. The case of wood industry. Proceedings of the Sixth Balkan Conference on Operational Research organized by HELORS, 22-25/5/2002 (2002), University of Macedonia, Thessaloniki, Greece
    • (2002) Proceedings of the Sixth Balkan Conference on Operational Research organized by HELORS, 22-25/5/2002
    • Iliadis, L.1    Koutroumanidis, T.2    Arabatzis, G.3    Arapatsakos, C.4
  • 20
    • 13244283586 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The anchovy fishery in the Aegean Sea. A flourishing industry or a lost affair?
    • Kallianiotis A. The anchovy fishery in the Aegean Sea. A flourishing industry or a lost affair?. Scientia Marina 60 Suppl. (1996) 287-288
    • (1996) Scientia Marina , vol.60 , Issue.SUPPL , pp. 287-288
    • Kallianiotis, A.1
  • 22
    • 0018046449 scopus 로고
    • Fuzzy sets, fuzzy algebra and fuzzy statistics
    • Kandel A., and Byatt W.J. Fuzzy sets, fuzzy algebra and fuzzy statistics. Proceedings of the IEEE 66 12 (1978) 1619-1625
    • (1978) Proceedings of the IEEE , vol.66 , Issue.12 , pp. 1619-1625
    • Kandel, A.1    Byatt, W.J.2
  • 23
    • 33746537997 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kapadagakis, A., Machias, A., Somarakis, S., Tsimenides, N., Laurensen, J., Giannoulaki, M., Maraveya, E., Stergiou, K.I., Karpouzi, V., Moutopoulos, D.K., Koulouris, M., 2001. Patterns and propensities in Greek fishing effort and catches. Final Report IMBC and Aristotle University, Laboratory of Ichthyology, October 2001, 36 pp. and annex 177 pp.
  • 25
    • 33746549943 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lloret, J., 2003. Use of Box-Jenkins models to analyze time-series of fishery data in relation to environmental factors in northwestern Mediterranean. In: CIESM, Mediterranean Biological Time-series. CIESM Workshop Monographs No.22, Split, pp. 37-42.
  • 26
    • 0034022680 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time series modeling of landings in Northwest Mediterranean Sea
    • Lloret J., Lleonart J., and Sole I. Time series modeling of landings in Northwest Mediterranean Sea. ICES Journal of Marine Science 57 (2000) 171-184
    • (2000) ICES Journal of Marine Science , vol.57 , pp. 171-184
    • Lloret, J.1    Lleonart, J.2    Sole, I.3
  • 28
    • 0016539206 scopus 로고
    • Note on a distribution-free CUSUM technique
    • McGilchrist C.A., and Woodyer K.D. Note on a distribution-free CUSUM technique. Technometrics 17 (1975) 321-325
    • (1975) Technometrics , vol.17 , pp. 321-325
    • McGilchrist, C.A.1    Woodyer, K.D.2
  • 29
    • 10644287872 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • FUERO: foundations of a fuzzy exploratory model for soil erosion hazard prediction
    • Metternicht G., and Gonzalez S. FUERO: foundations of a fuzzy exploratory model for soil erosion hazard prediction. Environmental Modelling & Software 20 6 (2005) 715-728
    • (2005) Environmental Modelling & Software , vol.20 , Issue.6 , pp. 715-728
    • Metternicht, G.1    Gonzalez, S.2
  • 30
    • 0038688384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rapid worldwide depletion of predatory fish communities
    • Myers R.A., and Worm B. Rapid worldwide depletion of predatory fish communities. Nature 423 (2003) 280-283
    • (2003) Nature , vol.423 , pp. 280-283
    • Myers, R.A.1    Worm, B.2
  • 32
    • 0010256502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis and prediction of anchovy fisheries in Korea
    • (in Korean)
    • Park H.H., and Yoon G.D. Analysis and prediction of anchovy fisheries in Korea. Bulletin of the Korean Fisheries Society 29 2 (1996) 143-149 (in Korean)
    • (1996) Bulletin of the Korean Fisheries Society , vol.29 , Issue.2 , pp. 143-149
    • Park, H.H.1    Yoon, G.D.2
  • 33
    • 0037414961 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical modeling of interannual trends in abundance of squid (Loligo forbesi) in Scottish waters
    • Pierce G.J., and Boyle P.R. Empirical modeling of interannual trends in abundance of squid (Loligo forbesi) in Scottish waters. Fisheries Research 59 3 (2003) 305-326
    • (2003) Fisheries Research , vol.59 , Issue.3 , pp. 305-326
    • Pierce, G.J.1    Boyle, P.R.2
  • 35
    • 33746521983 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistica for Windows, ver. 5.1
    • StatSoft Inc. 720 pp.
    • StatSoft Inc. Statistica for Windows, ver. 5.1. Computer Program Manual (1996), StatSoft Inc. 720 pp.
    • (1996) Computer Program Manual
    • StatSoft, Inc.1
  • 36
    • 0024938869 scopus 로고
    • Modeling and forecasting the fishery for pilchard (Sardina pilchardus) in Greek waters using ARIMA time-series models
    • Stergiou K.I. Modeling and forecasting the fishery for pilchard (Sardina pilchardus) in Greek waters using ARIMA time-series models. ICES Journal of Marine Science 46 (1989) 16-23
    • (1989) ICES Journal of Marine Science , vol.46 , pp. 16-23
    • Stergiou, K.I.1
  • 37
    • 0025670735 scopus 로고
    • Prediction of the Mullidae fishery in the eastern Mediterranean 24 months in advance
    • Stergiou K.I. Prediction of the Mullidae fishery in the eastern Mediterranean 24 months in advance. Fisheries Research 9 (1990) 67-74
    • (1990) Fisheries Research , vol.9 , pp. 67-74
    • Stergiou, K.I.1
  • 38
    • 84985059057 scopus 로고
    • Short-term fisheries forecasting: comparison of smoothing, ARIMA and regression techniques
    • Stergiou K.I. Short-term fisheries forecasting: comparison of smoothing, ARIMA and regression techniques. Journal of Applied Ichthyology 7 (1991) 193-204
    • (1991) Journal of Applied Ichthyology , vol.7 , pp. 193-204
    • Stergiou, K.I.1
  • 39
    • 0026290015 scopus 로고
    • Describing and forecasting the sardine-anchovy complex in the eastern Mediterranean using vector autoregressions
    • Stergiou K.I. Describing and forecasting the sardine-anchovy complex in the eastern Mediterranean using vector autoregressions. Fisheries Research 11 (1991) 127-141
    • (1991) Fisheries Research , vol.11 , pp. 127-141
    • Stergiou, K.I.1
  • 40
    • 0008254238 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Variability of fish catches in different ecosystems
    • Durand M.E., Cury P., Mendelssohn R., Roy C., Bakun A., and Pauly D. (Eds), ORSTOM Editions, Paris
    • Stergiou K.I. Variability of fish catches in different ecosystems. In: Durand M.E., Cury P., Mendelssohn R., Roy C., Bakun A., and Pauly D. (Eds). Global Versus Local Changes in Upwelling Systems (1998), ORSTOM Editions, Paris
    • (1998) Global Versus Local Changes in Upwelling Systems
    • Stergiou, K.I.1
  • 41
    • 0036164126 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Overfishing, tropicalization of fish stocks, uncertainty and ecosystem management: resharpening Ockham's razor
    • Stergiou K.I. Overfishing, tropicalization of fish stocks, uncertainty and ecosystem management: resharpening Ockham's razor. Fisheries Research 55 (2002) 1-9
    • (2002) Fisheries Research , vol.55 , pp. 1-9
    • Stergiou, K.I.1
  • 42
    • 0029669051 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling and forecasting annual fisheries catches: comparison of regression, univariate and multivariate time-series methods
    • Stergiou K.I., and Christou E.D. Modelling and forecasting annual fisheries catches: comparison of regression, univariate and multivariate time-series methods. Fisheries Research 25 (1996) 105-138
    • (1996) Fisheries Research , vol.25 , pp. 105-138
    • Stergiou, K.I.1    Christou, E.D.2
  • 43
    • 0030620506 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling and forecasting monthly fisheries catches: comparison of regression, univariate and multivariate time series methods
    • Stergiou K.I., Christou E.D., and Petrakis G. Modeling and forecasting monthly fisheries catches: comparison of regression, univariate and multivariate time series methods. Fisheries Research 29 (1997) 55-95
    • (1997) Fisheries Research , vol.29 , pp. 55-95
    • Stergiou, K.I.1    Christou, E.D.2    Petrakis, G.3
  • 46
    • 0039257103 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of fuzzy statistical technique in change periods detection of nonlinear time series
    • Wu B., and Chen M.-H. Use of fuzzy statistical technique in change periods detection of nonlinear time series. Applied Mathematics and Computation 99 (1999) 241-254
    • (1999) Applied Mathematics and Computation , vol.99 , pp. 241-254
    • Wu, B.1    Chen, M.-H.2
  • 47
    • 0742271402 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining forecasting procedures: some theoretical results
    • Yang Y. Combining forecasting procedures: some theoretical results. Econometric Theory 20 1 (2004) 176-222
    • (2004) Econometric Theory , vol.20 , Issue.1 , pp. 176-222
    • Yang, Y.1
  • 48
    • 0010262024 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting of hairtail (Trichiurus leplurus) landings in Korea waters by time series analysis
    • (in Korean)
    • Yoon S., and Zhang C.I. Forecasting of hairtail (Trichiurus leplurus) landings in Korea waters by time series analysis. Bulletin of the Korean Fisheries Society 24 4 (1993) 363-368 (in Korean)
    • (1993) Bulletin of the Korean Fisheries Society , vol.24 , Issue.4 , pp. 363-368
    • Yoon, S.1    Zhang, C.I.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.