Application and evaluation of classification trees for screening unwanted plants

Austral Ecology

Volumn 31, Issue 5, 2006, Pages 647-655

  Caley, Peter ^a,b,d   Kuhnert, Petra M ^b,c  

^a CSIRO   (Australia)

^b The CRC for Australian Weed Management   (Australia)

^c UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND   (Australia)

^d The Australian National University   (Australia)

Author keywords

Classification; Invasive screening; ROC curve; TREE models; Weed Risk Assessment

Indexed keywords

CLASSIFICATION; COMPARATIVE STUDY; DATA SET; DISPERSAL; GRAPHICAL METHOD; INTRODUCED SPECIES; NATURALIZATION; PROPAGULE; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; WEED;

AUSTRALASIA; AUSTRALIA;

EID: 33746255850     PISSN: 14429985     EISSN: 14429993     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1442-9993.2006.01617.x     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Berggren A. (2001) Colonization success in Roesel's bush-cricket Metrioptera roeseli: the effects of propagule size. Ecology 82, 274-80.
2. Breiman L., Friedman J. H., Olshen R. A. & Stone C. J. (1984) Classification and Regression Trees. Wadsworth, Belmont.
3. Crawley M. J. (1987) What makes a community invasible? In: Colonization, Succession and Stability (eds A. J. Gray, M. C. Crawley & P. J. Edwards) pp. 429-53. Blackwell Scientific, Oxford.
4. Daehler C. C. & Carino D. A. (2000) Predicting invasive plants: prospects for a general screening system based on current regional models. Biol. Invasions 2, 93-102.
5. Daehler C. C., Denslow J. S., Ansari S. & Kuo H.-C. (2004) A risk-assessment system for screening out invasive pest plants from Hawaii and other Pacific islands. Conserv. Biol. 18, 360-8.
6. DeLong E. R., DeLong D. M. & Clarke-Pearson D. L. (1988) Comparing the areas under two or more correlated receiver operating characteristic curves: a nonparametric approach. Biometrics 44, 837-45.
7. Duncan R. P., Bomford M., Forsyth D. M. & Conibear L. (2001) High predictability in introduction outcomes and the geographical range size of introduced Australian birds: a role for climate. J. Anim. Ecol. 70, 621-32.
8. Efron B. (1982) The Jacknife, the Bootstrap, and Other Resampling Plans. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, Philadelphia.
9. Forsyth D. M. & Duncan R. P. (2001) Propagule size and the relative success of exotic ungulate and bird introductions to New Zealand. Am. Nat. 157, 583-95.
10. Forsyth D. M., Duncan R. P., Bomford M. & Moore G. (2003) Climatic suitability, life-history traits, introduction effort and the establishment and spread of introduced mammals in Australia. Conserv. Biol. 18, 557-69.
11. Gerlach J. D. & Rice K. J. (2003) Testing life history correlates of invasiveness using congeneric plant species. Ecol. Appl. 13, 167-79.
12. Heger T. & Trepl L. (2003) Predicting biological invasions. Biol. Invasions 5, 313-21.
13. Hughes G. & Madden L. V. (2003) Evaluating predictive models with application in regulatory policy for invasive weeds. Agric. Syst. 76, 755-74.
14. Jefferson L., Havens K. & Ault J. (2004) Implementing invasive screening procedures: the Chicago Botanic Garden model. Weed Sci. 18, 1434-40.
15. Keane R. M. & Crawley M. J. (2002) Exotic plant invasions and the enemy release hypothesis. Trends Ecol. Evol. 17, 164-70.
16. Kohavi R. (1995) A study of cross-validation and bootstrap for accuracy estimation and model selection. In: Proceedings of the Fourteenth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (ed. C. S. Mellish) pp. 1137-43. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, Inc., Montreal.
17. Kolar C. S. & Lodge D. M. (2002) Ecological predictions and risk assessment for alien fishes in North America. Science 298, 1233-6.
18. Kowarik I. (1995) Time lags in biological invasions with regard to the success and failure of alien species. In: Plant Invasions: General Aspects and Special Problems (ed. P. Pysek) pp. 15-38. Academic Publishing, Amsterdam.
19. Kowarik I. (2003) Human agency in biological invasions: secondary releases foster naturalisation and population expansion of alien plant species. Biol. Invasions 5, 293-312.
20. Lambrinos J. G. (2002) The variable invasive success of Cortaderia species in a complex landscape. Ecology 83, 518-29.
21. Lockwood J. L., Cassey P. & Blackburn T. (2005) The role of propagule pressure in explaining species invasions. Trends Ecol. Evol. 20, 223-8.
22. Lonsdale W. M. & Smith C. S. (2001) Evaluating pest-screening systems - insights from epidemiology and ecology. In: Weed Risk Assessment (eds R. H. Groves, F. D. Panetta & J. G. Virtue) pp. 52-60. CSIRO Publishing, Melbourne.
23. Mack R. N. (1996) Predicting the identity and fate of plant invaders: emergent and emerging approaches. Biol. Invasions 78, 107-21.
24. Maillet J. & Lopez-Garcia C. (2000) What criteria are relevant for predicting the invasive capacity of a new agricultural weed? The case of invasive American species in France. Weed Res. 40, 11-26.
25. Mitchell C. E. & Power A. G. (2003) Release of invasive plants from fungal and viral pathogens. Nature 421, 625-7.
26. Pheloung P. C., Williams P. A. & Halloy S. R. (1999) A weed risk assessment model for use as a biosecurity tool evaluating plant introductions. J. Environ. Manage. 57, 239-51.
27. Pimentel D., McNair S., Janecka J. et al. (2001) Economic and environmental threats of alien plant, animal, and microbe invasions. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 84, 1-20.
28. R Development Core Team (2004) A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna.
29. Reichard S. H. & Hamilton C. W. (1997) Predicting invasions of woody plants introduced into North America. Conserv. Biol. 11, 193-203.
30. Rejmanek M. (1996) A theory of seed plant invasiveness: the first sketch. Biol. Conserv. 78, 171-81.
31. Rejmanek M. (2000) Invasive plants: approaches and predictions. Austral Ecol. 25, 497-506.
32. Rejmanek M. & Richardson D. M. (1996) What attributes make some plant species more invasive? Ecology 77, 1655-61.
33. Richardson D. M., Pysek P., Rejmanek M., Barbour M. G., Panetta F. D. & West C. J. (2000) Naturalization and invasion of alien plants: concepts and definitions. Divers. Distrib. 6, 93-107.
34. Roberston E. A., Zweig M. H. & Van Steirteghem M. D. (1983) Evaluating the clinical accuracy of laboratory tests. Am. J. Clin. Pathol. 79, 78-86.
35. Scott J. K. & Panetta F. D. (1993) Predicting the Australian weed status of southern African plants. J. Biogeogr. 20, 87-93.
36. Simons A. M. (2003) Invasive aliens and sampling bias. Ecol. Lett. 6, 278-80.
37. Smith C. S., Lonsdale W. M. & Fortune J. (1999) When to ignore advice: invasion predictions and decision theory. Biol. Invasions 1, 89-96.
38. Therneau T. M. & Atkinson E. J. (1997) An introduction to recursive partitioning using the RPART routines. Technical Report, Mayo Foundation.
39. Tucker K. C. & Richardson D. M. (1995) An expert system for screening potentially invasive alien plants in South African fynbos. J. Environ. Manage. 44, 309-38.
40. United States National Research Council (2002) Predicting Invasions of Nonindigenous Plants and Plant Pests. National Academy Press, Washington, DC.
41. Venables W. N. & Ripley B. D. (2002) Modern Applied Statistics with S, 4th edn. Springer-Verlag, New York.
42. Virtue J. G., Bennett S. J. & Randall R. P. (2004) Plant introductions in Australia: how can we resolve 'weedy' conflicts of interest? In: 14th Australian Weeds Conference (eds B. M. Sindel & S. B. Johnson) pp. 42-8. Weed Society of New South Wales, Sydney.
43. Williamson M. H. & Fitter A. (1996) The characters of successful invaders. Biol. Conserv. 78, 163-70.