메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 23, Issue 4, 2006, Pages 683-698

Large shocks and the September 11th terrorist attacks on international stock markets

Author keywords

GARCH model; Large shocks; Outliers; Stock market indexes; Terrorist attacks

Indexed keywords


EID: 33746237668     PISSN: 02649993     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2006.03.008     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (94)

References (65)
  • 1
    • 38249005415 scopus 로고
    • International stock market linkages: Evidence from the pre- and post-October 1987 period
    • Arshanapalli B., and Doukas J. International stock market linkages: Evidence from the pre- and post-October 1987 period. Journal of Banking and Finance 17 (1993) 193-208
    • (1993) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.17 , pp. 193-208
    • Arshanapalli, B.1    Doukas, J.2
  • 3
    • 44949279468 scopus 로고
    • Shifting trends, segmented trends, and infrequent permanent shocks
    • Balke N.S., and Fomby T.B. Shifting trends, segmented trends, and infrequent permanent shocks. Journal of Monetary Economics 28 (1991) 61-85
    • (1991) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.28 , pp. 61-85
    • Balke, N.S.1    Fomby, T.B.2
  • 4
    • 84986401410 scopus 로고
    • Large shocks, small shocks, and economic fluctuations: outliers in macroeconomic time series
    • Balke N.S., and Fomby T.B. Large shocks, small shocks, and economic fluctuations: outliers in macroeconomic time series. Journal of Applied Econometrics 9 (1994) 181-200
    • (1994) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.9 , pp. 181-200
    • Balke, N.S.1    Fomby, T.B.2
  • 5
    • 33745076326 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating the long-run impacts of the 9/11 terrorist attacks on US domestic airline travel
    • Blunk S.S., Clark D.E., and McGibany J.M. Evaluating the long-run impacts of the 9/11 terrorist attacks on US domestic airline travel. Applied Economics 38 (2006) 363-370
    • (2006) Applied Economics , vol.38 , pp. 363-370
    • Blunk, S.S.1    Clark, D.E.2    McGibany, J.M.3
  • 6
    • 42449156579 scopus 로고
    • Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
    • Bollerslev T. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics 31 (1986) 307-327
    • (1986) Journal of Econometrics , vol.31 , pp. 307-327
    • Bollerslev, T.1
  • 7
    • 70349218800 scopus 로고
    • Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation inference in dynamic models with time-varying covariances
    • Bollerslev T., and Wooldridge J. Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation inference in dynamic models with time-varying covariances. Econometric Theory 11 (1992) 143-172
    • (1992) Econometric Theory , vol.11 , pp. 143-172
    • Bollerslev, T.1    Wooldridge, J.2
  • 8
    • 34848900983 scopus 로고
    • ARCH modeling in finance: a review of the theory and empirical evidence
    • Bollerslev T., Chou R.Y., and Kroner K.F. ARCH modeling in finance: a review of the theory and empirical evidence. Journal of Econometrics 52 (1992) 5-59
    • (1992) Journal of Econometrics , vol.52 , pp. 5-59
    • Bollerslev, T.1    Chou, R.Y.2    Kroner, K.F.3
  • 9
    • 0031161635 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Price and volatility spillovers in Scandinavian stock markets
    • Booth G.G., Martikainen T., and Tse Y. Price and volatility spillovers in Scandinavian stock markets. Journal of Banking and Finance 21 (1997) 811-823
    • (1997) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.21 , pp. 811-823
    • Booth, G.G.1    Martikainen, T.2    Tse, Y.3
  • 10
    • 84950643380 scopus 로고
    • Intervention analysis with applications to economic and environmental problems
    • Box G.E.P., and Tiao G.C. Intervention analysis with applications to economic and environmental problems. Journal of the American Statistical Association 70 (1975) 70-79
    • (1975) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.70 , pp. 70-79
    • Box, G.E.P.1    Tiao, G.C.2
  • 11
    • 21844504230 scopus 로고
    • Unit roots and infrequent large shocks: new international evidence on output growth
    • Bradley M.D., and Jansen D.W. Unit roots and infrequent large shocks: new international evidence on output growth. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 27 (1995) 876-893
    • (1995) Journal of Money, Credit and Banking , vol.27 , pp. 876-893
    • Bradley, M.D.1    Jansen, D.W.2
  • 12
    • 0009933657 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Outliers and conditional autoregressive heteroscedasticity in time series
    • Carnero M.A., Peña D., and Ruiz E. Outliers and conditional autoregressive heteroscedasticity in time series. Revista Estadistica 53 (2001) 143-213
    • (2001) Revista Estadistica , vol.53 , pp. 143-213
    • Carnero, M.A.1    Peña, D.2    Ruiz, E.3
  • 13
    • 10044269556 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The market's reaction to unexpected, catastrophic events: the case of airline stock returns and the September 11th attacks
    • Carter D.A., and Simkins B.J. The market's reaction to unexpected, catastrophic events: the case of airline stock returns and the September 11th attacks. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 44 (2004) 539-558
    • (2004) The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance , vol.44 , pp. 539-558
    • Carter, D.A.1    Simkins, B.J.2
  • 14
    • 0024012372 scopus 로고
    • Estimation of time series parameters in the presence of outliers
    • Chang I., Tiao G.C., and Chen C. Estimation of time series parameters in the presence of outliers. Technometrics 30 (1988) 193-204
    • (1988) Technometrics , vol.30 , pp. 193-204
    • Chang, I.1    Tiao, G.C.2    Chen, C.3
  • 15
    • 85015092105 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Outliers and portfolio optimization
    • Charles A. Outliers and portfolio optimization. Banque et Marchés 72 (2004) 44-51
    • (2004) Banque et Marchés , vol.72 , pp. 44-51
    • Charles, A.1
  • 16
    • 14544277096 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Outliers and GARCH models in financial data
    • Charles A., and Darné O. Outliers and GARCH models in financial data. Economics Letters 86 (2005) 347-352
    • (2005) Economics Letters , vol.86 , pp. 347-352
    • Charles, A.1    Darné, O.2
  • 17
    • 33746179870 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relevance of detecting outliers in GARCH models for modelling and forecasting financial data
    • Charles A., and Darné O. Relevance of detecting outliers in GARCH models for modelling and forecasting financial data. Finance 26 (2005) 33-71
    • (2005) Finance , vol.26 , pp. 33-71
    • Charles, A.1    Darné, O.2
  • 18
    • 21144473917 scopus 로고
    • Joint estimation of model parameters and outlier effects in time series
    • Chen C., and Liu L.M. Joint estimation of model parameters and outlier effects in time series. Journal of the American Statistical Association 88 (1993) 284-297
    • (1993) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.88 , pp. 284-297
    • Chen, C.1    Liu, L.M.2
  • 20
    • 5444263115 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Unit roots and infrequent large shocks: new international evidence on output
    • Darné O., and Diebolt C. Unit roots and infrequent large shocks: new international evidence on output. Journal of Monetary Economics 51 (2004) 1449-1465
    • (2004) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.51 , pp. 1449-1465
    • Darné, O.1    Diebolt, C.2
  • 22
    • 77951155008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Outlier detection in GARCH models
    • Nuffield College, University of Oxford
    • Doornik J.A., and Ooms M. Outlier detection in GARCH models. Working Paper (2002), Nuffield College, University of Oxford
    • (2002) Working Paper
    • Doornik, J.A.1    Ooms, M.2
  • 23
    • 2442565831 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Terrorism-induced structural shifts in financial risk: airline stocks in the aftermath of the September 11th terror attacks
    • Drakos K. Terrorism-induced structural shifts in financial risk: airline stocks in the aftermath of the September 11th terror attacks. European Journal of Political Economy 20 (2004) 435-446
    • (2004) European Journal of Political Economy , vol.20 , pp. 435-446
    • Drakos, K.1
  • 24
    • 0000051984 scopus 로고
    • Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflations
    • Engle R.F. Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflations. Econometrica 50 (1982) 987-1007
    • (1982) Econometrica , vol.50 , pp. 987-1007
    • Engle, R.F.1
  • 25
    • 84993924525 scopus 로고
    • Measuring and testing the impact of news on volatility
    • Engle R.F., and Ng V.K. Measuring and testing the impact of news on volatility. Journal of Finance 48 (1993) 1749-1778
    • (1993) Journal of Finance , vol.48 , pp. 1749-1778
    • Engle, R.F.1    Ng, V.K.2
  • 26
  • 27
    • 4644271817 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International transmission of stock exchange volatility: empirical evidence from the Asian crisis
    • Fernandez-Izquierdo A., and Lafuente A.J. International transmission of stock exchange volatility: empirical evidence from the Asian crisis. Global Finance Journal 15 (2004) 125-137
    • (2004) Global Finance Journal , vol.15 , pp. 125-137
    • Fernandez-Izquierdo, A.1    Lafuente, A.J.2
  • 28
    • 0347654183 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Unobserved components in ARCH models: an application to seasonal adjustment
    • Fiorentini G., and Maravall A. Unobserved components in ARCH models: an application to seasonal adjustment. Journal of Forecasting 15 (1996) 175-201
    • (1996) Journal of Forecasting , vol.15 , pp. 175-201
    • Fiorentini, G.1    Maravall, A.2
  • 29
  • 30
    • 0039789821 scopus 로고
    • The effects of additive outliers on tests for unit roots and cointegration
    • Franses P.H., and Haldrup N. The effects of additive outliers on tests for unit roots and cointegration. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 12 (1994) 471-478
    • (1994) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.12 , pp. 471-478
    • Franses, P.H.1    Haldrup, N.2
  • 32
    • 33746200920 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Macroeconomic news and stock returns in the US and Germany
    • Funke N., and Matsuda A. Macroeconomic news and stock returns in the US and Germany. IMF Working Paper No. 02/239 (2002)
    • (2002) IMF Working Paper No. 02/239
    • Funke, N.1    Matsuda, A.2
  • 33
    • 33746200921 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gómez, V., Maravall, A., 1997. Programs TRAMO and SEATS: Instructions for the user (beta version: June 1997), Working Paper No. 97001, Dirección General de Análisis y Programación Presupuestaria, Ministerio de Economía y Hacienda, Madrid.
  • 34
    • 3142782904 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • US commercial airline performance after September 11, 2001: decomposing the effect of the terrorist attack from macroeconomic influences
    • Guzhva V.S., and Pagiavlas N. US commercial airline performance after September 11, 2001: decomposing the effect of the terrorist attack from macroeconomic influences. Journal of Transport Management 10 (2004) 327-332
    • (2004) Journal of Transport Management , vol.10 , pp. 327-332
    • Guzhva, V.S.1    Pagiavlas, N.2
  • 35
    • 0001698432 scopus 로고
    • Correlations in price changes and volatility across international stock markets
    • Hamao Y., Masulis R.W., and Ng V.K. Correlations in price changes and volatility across international stock markets. Review of Financial Studies 3 (1990) 281-307
    • (1990) Review of Financial Studies , vol.3 , pp. 281-307
    • Hamao, Y.1    Masulis, R.W.2    Ng, V.K.3
  • 36
    • 1642310479 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contagion in financial markets after September 11: myth or reality
    • Hon M., Strauss J., and Yong S.-K. Contagion in financial markets after September 11: myth or reality. Journal of Financial Research 27 (2004) 95-114
    • (2004) Journal of Financial Research , vol.27 , pp. 95-114
    • Hon, M.1    Strauss, J.2    Yong, S.-K.3
  • 37
    • 0040003835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Outliers in GARCH processes
    • University of Chicago
    • Hotta L.K., and Tsay R.S. Outliers in GARCH processes. Manuscript (1998), University of Chicago
    • (1998) Manuscript
    • Hotta, L.K.1    Tsay, R.S.2
  • 38
    • 5144230676 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spanish air travel and the September 11 terrorist attacks: a note
    • Inglada V., and Rey B. Spanish air travel and the September 11 terrorist attacks: a note. Journal of Air Transport Management 10 (2004) 441-443
    • (2004) Journal of Air Transport Management , vol.10 , pp. 441-443
    • Inglada, V.1    Rey, B.2
  • 39
    • 11244339020 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the impact of the September 11 terrorist attacks on U.S. airline demand
    • Ito H., and Lee D. Assessing the impact of the September 11 terrorist attacks on U.S. airline demand. Journal of Economics and Business 57 (2005) 75-95
    • (2005) Journal of Economics and Business , vol.57 , pp. 75-95
    • Ito, H.1    Lee, D.2
  • 41
    • 2442626799 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Macroeconomic news announcements and the role of expectations: evidence for US bond, stock and foreign exchange markets
    • Kim S.-J., McKenzie M.D., and Faff R.W. Macroeconomic news announcements and the role of expectations: evidence for US bond, stock and foreign exchange markets. Journal of Multinational Finance Management 14 (2004) 217-232
    • (2004) Journal of Multinational Finance Management , vol.14 , pp. 217-232
    • Kim, S.-J.1    McKenzie, M.D.2    Faff, R.W.3
  • 42
    • 0036074971 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • G@RCH 2.0: an Ox package for estimating and forecasting various ARCH models
    • Laurent S., and Peters J.P. G@RCH 2.0: an Ox package for estimating and forecasting various ARCH models. Journal of Economic Surveys 16 (2004) 447-485
    • (2004) Journal of Economic Surveys , vol.16 , pp. 447-485
    • Laurent, S.1    Peters, J.P.2
  • 43
    • 1342280119 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diagnosing shocks in stock market returns of Greater China
    • Lo W.C., and Chan W.S. Diagnosing shocks in stock market returns of Greater China. Multinational Finance Journal 4 (2000) 269-288
    • (2000) Multinational Finance Journal , vol.4 , pp. 269-288
    • Lo, W.C.1    Chan, W.S.2
  • 44
    • 0000921289 scopus 로고
    • Some heteroskedasticity-consistent matrix estimators with improved finite sample properties
    • MacKinnon J.G., and White H. Some heteroskedasticity-consistent matrix estimators with improved finite sample properties. Journal of Econometrics 29 (1985) 305-325
    • (1985) Journal of Econometrics , vol.29 , pp. 305-325
    • MacKinnon, J.G.1    White, H.2
  • 46
    • 28144439315 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of the 9/11 events on the American and French stock markets
    • Maillet B., and Michel T. The impact of the 9/11 events on the American and French stock markets. Review of International Economics 13 (2005) 597-610
    • (2005) Review of International Economics , vol.13 , pp. 597-610
    • Maillet, B.1    Michel, T.2
  • 47
    • 33746179862 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How much did the airline industry recover since September 11, 2001?
    • Statistics Canada
    • Masse R. How much did the airline industry recover since September 11, 2001?. Research Paper No 51F009XIE (2001), Statistics Canada
    • (2001) Research Paper No 51F009XIE
    • Masse, R.1
  • 48
    • 0005673989 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ARCH modelling of Australian bilateral exchange rate data
    • McKenzie M.D. ARCH modelling of Australian bilateral exchange rate data. Applied Economics 7 (1997) 147-164
    • (1997) Applied Economics , vol.7 , pp. 147-164
    • McKenzie, M.D.1
  • 49
    • 84986777926 scopus 로고
    • Diagnostic checking ARMA time series models using squared-residual autocorrelations
    • McLeod A.I., and Li W.K. Diagnostic checking ARMA time series models using squared-residual autocorrelations. Journal of Time Series Analysis 4 (1983) 269-273
    • (1983) Journal of Time Series Analysis , vol.4 , pp. 269-273
    • McLeod, A.I.1    Li, W.K.2
  • 50
    • 0842316847 scopus 로고
    • ARCH models as diffusion approximations
    • Nelson D.B. ARCH models as diffusion approximations. Journal of Econometrics 45 (1990) 7-38
    • (1990) Journal of Econometrics , vol.45 , pp. 7-38
    • Nelson, D.B.1
  • 51
    • 84972091517 scopus 로고
    • Stationarity and persistence in the GARCH(1,1) model
    • Nelson D.B. Stationarity and persistence in the GARCH(1,1) model. Econometric Theory 6 3 (1990) 318-384
    • (1990) Econometric Theory , vol.6 , Issue.3 , pp. 318-384
    • Nelson, D.B.1
  • 52
    • 0000706085 scopus 로고
    • A simple positive semi-definite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix
    • Newey W., and West K. A simple positive semi-definite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix. Econometrica 55 (1987) 703-708
    • (1987) Econometrica , vol.55 , pp. 703-708
    • Newey, W.1    West, K.2
  • 53
    • 84963002108 scopus 로고
    • Automatic lag selection in covariance matrix estimation
    • Newey W., and West K. Automatic lag selection in covariance matrix estimation. Review of Economic Studies 61 (1994) 631-653
    • (1994) Review of Economic Studies , vol.61 , pp. 631-653
    • Newey, W.1    West, K.2
  • 54
    • 2342556835 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of scheduled US macroeconomic news on stock market uncertainty: a multinational perspective
    • Nikkinen J., and Sahlström P. Impact of scheduled US macroeconomic news on stock market uncertainty: a multinational perspective. Multinational Finance Journal 5 (2001) 129-149
    • (2001) Multinational Finance Journal , vol.5 , pp. 129-149
    • Nikkinen, J.1    Sahlström, P.2
  • 55
    • 2342551106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scheduled domestic and US macroeconomic news and stock valuation in Europe
    • Nikkinen J., and Sahlström P. Scheduled domestic and US macroeconomic news and stock valuation in Europe. Journal of Multinational Finance Management 14 (2004) 201-215
    • (2004) Journal of Multinational Finance Management , vol.14 , pp. 201-215
    • Nikkinen, J.1    Sahlström, P.2
  • 57
    • 0344547293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting volatility in financial markets: a review
    • Poon S.H., and Granger C.W. Forecasting volatility in financial markets: a review. Journal of Economic Literature 16 (2003) 478-539
    • (2003) Journal of Economic Literature , vol.16 , pp. 478-539
    • Poon, S.H.1    Granger, C.W.2
  • 58
    • 84977714155 scopus 로고
    • Industrial structure and the comparative behavior of international stock market indices
    • Roll R. Industrial structure and the comparative behavior of international stock market indices. Journal of Finance 47 (1992) 3-41
    • (1992) Journal of Finance , vol.47 , pp. 3-41
    • Roll, R.1
  • 59
    • 0009798634 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Two stylized facts and the GARCH(1,1) model
    • Stockholm School of Economics
    • Teräsvirta T. Two stylized facts and the GARCH(1,1) model. Working Paper No 96 (1996), Stockholm School of Economics
    • (1996) Working Paper No 96
    • Teräsvirta, T.1
  • 60
    • 5444227107 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Outliers in eleven Finnish macroeconomic time series
    • Tolvi J. Outliers in eleven Finnish macroeconomic time series. Finnish Economic Papers 14 (2001) 14-32
    • (2001) Finnish Economic Papers , vol.14 , pp. 14-32
    • Tolvi, J.1
  • 61
    • 84944452417 scopus 로고
    • Outliers, level shifts, and variance changes in time series
    • Tsay R.S. Outliers, level shifts, and variance changes in time series. Journal of Forecasting 7 (1988) 1-20
    • (1988) Journal of Forecasting , vol.7 , pp. 1-20
    • Tsay, R.S.1
  • 63
    • 18944394129 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling outliers and extreme observations for ARMA-GARCH processes
    • Department of Economics, University of Western Australia
    • Verhoeven P., and McAleer M. Modelling outliers and extreme observations for ARMA-GARCH processes. Working Paper (2000), Department of Economics, University of Western Australia
    • (2000) Working Paper
    • Verhoeven, P.1    McAleer, M.2
  • 64
    • 0000095552 scopus 로고
    • A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity
    • White H. A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity. Econometrica 48 (1980) 817-838
    • (1980) Econometrica , vol.48 , pp. 817-838
    • White, H.1
  • 65
    • 0002644952 scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood estimation of misspecified models
    • White H. Maximum likelihood estimation of misspecified models. Econometrica 50 (1982) 1-25
    • (1982) Econometrica , vol.50 , pp. 1-25
    • White, H.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.