메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 39, Issue 1, 1985, Pages 26-32

Separating the brier score into calibration and refinement components: A graphical exposition

Author keywords

Brier score; Calibration; Laws of large numbers; Proper scoring rules; Refinement

Indexed keywords


EID: 33745958247     PISSN: 00031305     EISSN: 15372731     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/00031305.1985.10479382     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (44)

References (16)
  • 1
    • 0003010182 scopus 로고
    • Verification of Forecasts Expressed in Terms of Probability
    • Brier, G. W. (1950), “Verification of Forecasts Expressed in Terms of Probability,” Monthly Weather Review, 75, 1-3.
    • (1950) Monthly Weather Review , vol.75 , pp. 1-3
    • Brier, G.W.1
  • 3
    • 0001128623 scopus 로고
    • Assessing Probability Assessors: Calibration and Refinement
    • S. S. Gupta and J. O. Berger, New York: Academic Press
    • DeGroot, M., and Fienberg, S. (1982), “Assessing Probability Assessors: Calibration and Refinement,” in Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics III (Vol. 1), eds. S. S. Gupta and J. O. Berger, New York: Academic Press, pp. 291-314.
    • (1982) Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics III , vol.1 , pp. 291-314
    • de Groot, M.1    Fienberg, S.2
  • 4
    • 0002345034 scopus 로고
    • The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters
    • DeGroot, M., and Fienberg, S. (1983), “The Comparison and Evaluation of Forecasters,” The Statistician, 32, 12-22.
    • (1983) The Statistician , vol.32 , pp. 12-22
    • de Groot, M.1    Fienberg, S.2
  • 8
    • 0002941732 scopus 로고
    • Calibration of ‘ Probabilities: The State of the Art to 1980
    • D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky, New York: Cambridge University Press
    • Lichtenstein, S., Fischhoff, B., and Phillips, L. (1982), “Calibration of ‘ Probabilities: The State of the Art to 1980,” in Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, eds. D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky, New York: Cambridge University Press.
    • (1982) Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
    • Lichtenstein, S.1    Fischhoff, B.2    Phillips, L.3
  • 10
    • 33847385360 scopus 로고
    • Scalar and Vector Partitions of the Probability Score. Part I: Two-State Situation
    • Murphy, A. H. (1972), “Scalar and Vector Partitions of the Probability Score. Part I: Two-State Situation,” Journal of Applied Meteorology, 11, 273-282.
    • (1972) Journal of Applied Meteorology , vol.11 , pp. 273-282
    • Murphy, A.H.1
  • 11
    • 0000918735 scopus 로고
    • A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score
    • Murphy, A. H. (1973), “A New Vector Partition of the Probability Score,” Journal of Applied Meteorology, 12, 595-600.
    • (1973) Journal of Applied Meteorology , vol.12 , pp. 595-600
    • Murphy, A.H.1
  • 13
    • 0000646922 scopus 로고
    • On Subjective Probability Forecasting
    • Sanders, F. (1963), “On Subjective Probability Forecasting,” Journal of Applied Meteorology, 2, 191-201.
    • (1963) Journal of Applied Meteorology , vol.2 , pp. 191-201
    • Sanders, F.1
  • 16
    • 0346760117 scopus 로고
    • Calibration, Sufficiency, and Domination Considerations for Bayesian Probability Assessors
    • Vardeman, S., and Meeden, G. (1983), “Calibration, Sufficiency, and Domination Considerations for Bayesian Probability Assessors,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 78, 808-816.
    • (1983) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.78 , pp. 808-816
    • Vardeman, S.1    Meeden, G.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.