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Volumn 3944 LNAI, Issue , 2006, Pages 95-116

Lessons learned in the challenge: Making predictions and scoring them

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE; PREDICTIVE CONTROL SYSTEMS; PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION; PROBLEM SOLVING; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS;

EID: 33745827012     PISSN: 03029743     EISSN: 16113349     Source Type: Book Series    
DOI: 10.1007/11736790_7     Document Type: Conference Paper
Times cited : (12)

References (17)
  • 3
    • 20444487144 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation
    • Department of Statistics, University of Washington
    • Gneiting, T., Raftery, A.E.: Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. Technical Report 463, Department of Statistics, University of Washington (2004)
    • (2004) Technical Report , vol.463
    • Gneiting, T.1    Raftery, A.E.2
  • 5
    • 33745827721 scopus 로고
    • The verification of probability forecasts
    • Sanders, F.: The verification of probability forecasts. Journal of Applied Meteorology 6 (1967) 756-761
    • (1967) Journal of Applied Meteorology , vol.6 , pp. 756-761
    • Sanders, F.1
  • 9
    • 33745814357 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive density evaluation
    • Rutgers University, Department of Economics
    • Corradi, V., Swanson, N.R.: Predictive density evaluation. Technical Report 200419, Rutgers University, Department of Economics (2004)
    • (2004) Technical Report 200419
    • Corradi, V.1    Swanson, N.R.2
  • 10
    • 1842483168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic forecasts of precipitation in terms of quantites using NWP model output
    • Bremnes, J.B.: Probabilistic forecasts of precipitation in terms of quantites using NWP model output. Monthly Weather Review 132 (2004) 338-347
    • (2004) Monthly Weather Review , vol.132 , pp. 338-347
    • Bremnes, J.B.1
  • 11
    • 0000165587 scopus 로고
    • A scoring system for probability forecasts of ranked categories
    • Epstein, E.S.: A scoring system for probability forecasts of ranked categories. Journal of Applied Meteorology 8 (1969) 985-987
    • (1969) Journal of Applied Meteorology , vol.8 , pp. 985-987
    • Epstein, E.S.1
  • 12
    • 0029530075 scopus 로고
    • A probabilistic forecast contest and the difficulty in assessing short-range forecast uncertainty
    • Hamill, T.M., Wilks, D.S.: A probabilistic forecast contest and the difficulty in assessing short-range forecast uncertainty. Weather and Forecasting 10 (1995) 620-631
    • (1995) Weather and Forecasting , vol.10 , pp. 620-631
    • Hamill, T.M.1    Wilks, D.S.2
  • 13
    • 0016961866 scopus 로고
    • Scoring rules for continuous probability distributions
    • Matheson, J.E., Winkler, R.L.: Scoring rules for continuous probability distributions. Management Science 22 (1976) 1087-1096
    • (1976) Management Science , vol.22 , pp. 1087-1096
    • Matheson, J.E.1    Winkler, R.L.2
  • 14
    • 0000626524 scopus 로고
    • Expected information as expected utility
    • Bernardo, J.M.: Expected information as expected utility. The Annals of Statistics 7 (1979) 686-690
    • (1979) The Annals of Statistics , vol.7 , pp. 686-690
    • Bernardo, J.M.1
  • 15
    • 0014797488 scopus 로고
    • A family of strictly proper scoring rules which are sensitive to distance
    • Staël von Holstein, C.A.S.: A family of strictly proper scoring rules which are sensitive to distance. Journal of Applied Meteorology 9 (1970) 360-364
    • (1970) Journal of Applied Meteorology , vol.9 , pp. 360-364
    • Staël Von Holstein, C.A.S.1
  • 16
    • 0006804895 scopus 로고
    • The ranked probability score and the probability score: A comparison
    • Murphy, A.H.: The ranked probability score and the probability score: A comparison. Monthly Weather Review 08 (1970) 917-924
    • (1970) Monthly Weather Review , vol.8 , pp. 917-924
    • Murphy, A.H.1
  • 17


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.